Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 30, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Warriors	58%	116	128	115.3	111	109.3
	23	Thunder	42%	113	120	110.1	109	110.7

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

-15

104

OKC

+10

-16

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.23 61.5%

OKC

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Klay Thompson #11 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 33	36.8	28	64%	7	3	1	0	2	2	0	7	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	6-14	43%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 35	36.6	38	83%	8	12	0	1	4	0	1	7	6-6	100%	4-6	67%	8-14	57%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 28	32.3	15	58%	4	1	1	2	1	4	0	4	0-0	-	6-9	67%	1-4	25%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 33	31.4	7	70%	9	12	2	0	3	3	1	8	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 24	30.9	15	50%	0	4	2	0	2	1	0	0	5-8	63%	2-6	33%	2-6	33%

Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 26	26.2	8	50%	4	3	3	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 27	22.5	8	67%	6	0	0	1	0	1	4	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 20	12.1	4	40%	3	1	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Anthony Lamb #40 · SF · 6'6" 227 · 25	11.2	5	125%	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
JaMychal Green #1 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Wiseman #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ty Jerome #10 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 26	INACTIVE
Ryan Rollins #2 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 21	INACTIVE
Andre Iguodala #9 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	62%	44	37	9	4	15	18	6	38	16-20	80%	26-43	60%	20-47	43%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

3 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Klay Thompson #11 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 33	36.8	28	64%	7	3	1	0	2	2	0	7	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	6-14	43%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 35	36.6	38	83%	8	12	0	1	4	0	1	7	6-6	100%	4-6	67%	8-14	57%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 28	32.3	15	58%	4	1	1	2	1	4	0	4	0-0	-	6-9	67%	1-4	25%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 33	31.4	7	70%	9	12	2	0	3	3	1	8	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 24	30.9	15	50%	0	4	2	0	2	1	0	0	5-8	63%	2-6	33%	2-6	33%

Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 26	26.2	8	50%	4	3	3	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 27	22.5	8	67%	6	0	0	1	0	1	4	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 20	12.1	4	40%	3	1	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Anthony Lamb #40 · SF · 6'6" 227 · 25	11.2	5	125%	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
JaMychal Green #1 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Wiseman #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ty Jerome #10 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 26	INACTIVE
Ryan Rollins #2 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 21	INACTIVE
Andre Iguodala #9 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	62%	44	37	9	4	15	18	6	38	16-20	80%	26-43	60%	20-47	43%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

23 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 25	36.5	31	55%	4	7	0	3	5	3	0	4	10-10	100%	9-22	41%	1-2	50%
Kenrich Williams #34 · C · 6'7" 210 · 28	33.1	7	35%	8	2	3	0	2	1	2	6	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 22	31.0	19	63%	4	2	1	1	1	1	1	3	2-2	100%	7-11	64%	1-3	33%
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 20	29.4	21	53%	8	6	3	0	5	2	2	6	2-4	50%	8-15	53%	1-3	33%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SF · 6'5" 190 · 24	22.8	3	75%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%

Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 24	25.4	10	71%	3	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 21	17.8	12	67%	8	3	1	0	0	1	2	6	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-3	67%
Mike Muscala #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32	14.1	8	100%	2	1	1	0	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	2-2	100%
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 22	12.9	5	63%	1	0	1	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Darius Bazley #55 · PF · 6'9" 208 · 23	9.9	2	100%	2	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	7.0	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Tibial Plateau; Non-displaced fracture
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	58%	43	23	10	4	16	18	8	35	17-20	85%	35-69	51%	11-24	46%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	OKC

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.23 61.5%

OKC

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

70%

OKC

61%

Midrange

GSW

44%

OKC

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

30.0

43%

64%

OKC

16.5

46%

69%

Free Throws

GSW

80%

OKC

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	38	83%	19.0 / 23
K. Thompson	28	64%	14.0 / 22
A. Wiggins	15	58%	7.5 / 13
J. Poole	15	50%	7.5 / 15
D. DiVincenzo	8	50%	4.0 / 8
K. Looney	8	67%	4.0 / 6
D. Green	7	70%	3.5 / 5
A. Lamb	5	125%	2.5 / 2
J. Kuminga	4	40%	2.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	31	55%	15.5 / 28
J. Giddey	21	53%	10.5 / 20
J. Williams	19	63%	9.5 / 15
J. Williams	12	67%	6.0 / 9
I. Joe	10	71%	5.0 / 7
M. Muscala	8	100%	4.0 / 4
K. Williams	7	35%	3.5 / 10
T. Mann	5	63%	2.5 / 4
A. Wiggins	3	75%	1.5 / 2
D. Bazley	2	100%	1.0 / 1
O. Dieng	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 115.6 16 114.6	GSW 115.3 +5.2 OKC 110.1
Pace	1 102.1 3 101.6	GSW 109.3 OKC 110.7 +1.4
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.9 29 13.8	GSW 13.2 OKC 13.0 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 57.1% 24 53.1%	GSW 62.2% +6.8% OKC 55.4%
TO %	29 15.3% 4 12.1%	GSW 13.2% −1.1% OKC 14.3%
ORB %	14 24.4% 12 24.8%	GSW 14.6% OKC 17.4% +2.8%
FTrt	30 22.4 23 25.6	GSW 22.2 +0.7 OKC 21.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 69.1% 27 56.7%	GSW 80.4% +30.4% OKC 50.0%
STL %	19 7.0% 5 8.1%	GSW 8.1% OKC 9.2% +1.1%
BLK %	25 7.1% 24 7.9%	GSW 5.8% OKC 9.3% +3.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 58.7% 24 55.7%	GSW 61.5% +3.2% OKC 58.3%
Rim FG%	2 67.1% 30 58.7%	GSW 70.4% +9.1% OKC 61.3%
Mid FG%	25 41.2% 12 43.7%	GSW 43.8% +1.7% OKC 42.1%
3P %	2 38.5% 17 35.6%	GSW 42.6% OKC 45.8% +3.2%
FT %	9 79.4% 6 80.9%	GSW 80.0% OKC 85.0% +5.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 30.7% 3 38.9%	GSW 30.0% OKC 33.3% +3.3%
Mid Att. %	4 21.4% 11 24.2%	GSW 17.8% −23.1% OKC 40.9%
3P Att. %	3 47.9% 18 36.8%	GSW 52.2% +26.4% OKC 25.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Game Totals	GSW	OKC
Possessions	111	109
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	128	120
Rebounds	44	43
Assists	37	23
Steals	9	10
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	16 (1)
Fouls	18	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (2)	8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (1)	35 (2)
Field Goals	46-90	46-93
At-the-Rim FG	19-27	19-31
Midrange FG	7-16	16-38
2-Point FG	26-43	35-69
3-Point FG	20-47	11-24
Free Throws	16-20	17-20
Fast Break Pts	14	17
2nd Chance Pts	9	11
Points in Paint	46	54
Pts off Turnovers	14	13
Bench Points	25	39
Biggest Lead	21	1

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg