Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Wizards	69%	120	127	128.3	99	92.5
	29	Spurs	31%	113	106	107.1	99	106.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 28	31.7	16	62%	6	3	0	0	5	2	0	6	5-6	83%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Kristaps Porziņģis #6 · C · 7'2" 240 · 27	30.0	17	61%	9	7	3	5	2	5	1	8	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	1-3	33%
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 30	29.8	21	75%	7	7	0	2	2	1	0	7	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	3-6	50%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 24	27.1	14	64%	2	2	2	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	4-7	57%
Monté Morris #22 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 28	24.3	11	92%	2	4	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-4	75%

Deni Avdija #9 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 22	33.3	25	96%	9	1	1	1	2	4	1	8	3-4	75%	8-10	80%	2-2	100%
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	23.4	5	63%	6	2	0	0	0	1	1	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Kendrick Nunn #20 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 27	20.2	12	55%	3	2	1	0	0	1	1	2	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Taj Gibson #67 · PF · 6'9" 232 · 38	17.9	4	50%	1	4	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Vernon Carey Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 270 · 22	2.2	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Todd #14 · PF · 6'9" 219 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jordan Goodwin #7 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 30	Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
Daniel Gafford #21 · PF · 6'10" 265 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Non-Covid illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	67%	45	32	7	8	13	19	5	40	15-17	88%	32-56	57%	16-30	53%

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15 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 28	31.7	16	62%	6	3	0	0	5	2	0	6	5-6	83%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Kristaps Porziņģis #6 · C · 7'2" 240 · 27	30.0	17	61%	9	7	3	5	2	5	1	8	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	1-3	33%
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 30	29.8	21	75%	7	7	0	2	2	1	0	7	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	3-6	50%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 24	27.1	14	64%	2	2	2	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	4-7	57%
Monté Morris #22 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 28	24.3	11	92%	2	4	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-4	75%

Deni Avdija #9 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 22	33.3	25	96%	9	1	1	1	2	4	1	8	3-4	75%	8-10	80%	2-2	100%
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	23.4	5	63%	6	2	0	0	0	1	1	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Kendrick Nunn #20 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 27	20.2	12	55%	3	2	1	0	0	1	1	2	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Taj Gibson #67 · PF · 6'9" 232 · 38	17.9	4	50%	1	4	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Vernon Carey Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 270 · 22	2.2	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Todd #14 · PF · 6'9" 219 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jordan Goodwin #7 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 30	Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
Daniel Gafford #21 · PF · 6'10" 265 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Non-Covid illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	67%	45	32	7	8	13	19	5	40	15-17	88%	32-56	57%	16-30	53%

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29 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	33.8	26	62%	4	4	2	0	1	1	2	2	0-2	0%	10-14	71%	2-7	29%
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SG · 6'9" 223 · 27	33.8	9	28%	8	2	2	2	1	0	3	5	2-4	50%	2-9	22%	1-5	20%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	30.6	9	50%	4	9	0	0	1	1	1	3	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 20	27.2	17	61%	2	5	0	0	1	4	0	2	2-3	67%	6-10	60%	1-3	33%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 27	21.6	7	50%	5	2	0	1	2	2	2	3	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Stanley Johnson #34 · SF · 6'7" 245 · 27	22.5	10	71%	2	2	1	0	1	4	1	1	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	21.8	16	67%	11	0	0	2	1	2	4	7	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	1-2	50%
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	21.6	6	33%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-1	0%	0-4	0%	2-5	40%
Malaki Branham #22 · SF · 6'4" 180 · 20	17.8	6	43%	5	2	1	0	1	4	0	5	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	7.1	0	0%	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Roby #18 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	2.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Romeo Langford #35 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Tightness
Josh Richardson #7 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Procedure
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	50%	43	26	6	6	10	20	14	29	15-23	65%	35-68	51%	7-29	24%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.34 66.8%

SAS

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

25

35

71%

SAS

23

38

61%

Midrange

WAS

7

21

33%

SAS

12

30

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

16

24.0

30

53%

80%

SAS

7

10.5

29

24%

36%

Free Throws

WAS

15

17

88%

SAS

15

23

65%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Avdija	25	96%	12.5 / 13
B. Beal	21	75%	10.5 / 14
K. Porziņģis	17	61%	8.5 / 14
K. Kuzma	16	62%	8.0 / 13
C. Kispert	14	64%	7.0 / 11
K. Nunn	12	55%	6.0 / 11
M. Morris	11	92%	5.5 / 6
D. Wright	5	63%	2.5 / 4
T. Gibson	4	50%	2.0 / 4
V. Carey Jr.	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Johnson	26	62%	13.0 / 21
J. Sochan	17	61%	8.5 / 14
Z. Collins	16	67%	8.0 / 12
S. Johnson	10	71%	5.0 / 7
K. Bates-Diop	9	28%	4.5 / 16
T. Jones	9	50%	4.5 / 9
J. Poeltl	7	50%	3.5 / 7
D. McDermott	6	33%	3.0 / 9
M. Branham	6	43%	3.0 / 7
B. Wesley	0	-	0.0 / 2
I. Roby	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 114.3 29 110.2	WAS 128.3 +21.2 SAS 107.1
Pace	20 98.6 2 101.7	WAS 92.5 SAS 106.4 +13.8
Avg. Poss. Time	6 14.9 26 14.0	WAS 15.6 SAS 13.5 −2.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 26 52.5%	WAS 65.1% +18.2% SAS 46.9%
TO %	17 13.5% 24 14.4%	WAS 13.0% SAS 8.5% −4.5%
ORB %	23 22.7% 7 25.6%	WAS 14.7% SAS 25.9% +11.2%
FTrt	21 25.8 29 22.9	WAS 19.8 SAS 23.7 +3.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 60.3% 6 63.2%	WAS 66.7% +4.8% SAS 61.9%
STL %	21 6.9% 23 6.8%	WAS 7.1% +1.0% SAS 6.1%
BLK %	13 9.1% 28 6.7%	WAS 11.8% +1.1% SAS 10.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 57.1% 28 54.3%	WAS 66.8% +17.3% SAS 49.5%
Rim FG%	1 67.3% 25 61.3%	WAS 71.4% +10.9% SAS 60.5%
Mid FG%	19 42.7% 23 42.3%	WAS 33.3% SAS 40.0% +6.7%
3P %	18 35.6% 26 34.5%	WAS 53.3% +29.2% SAS 24.1%
FT %	15 78.5% 28 74.3%	WAS 88.2% +23.0% SAS 65.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 34.1% 12 36.7%	WAS 40.7% +1.5% SAS 39.2%
Mid Att. %	25 29.4% 22 28.6%	WAS 24.4% −6.5% SAS 30.9%
3P Att. %	19 36.5% 27 34.8%	WAS 34.9% +5.0% SAS 29.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	SAS
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	25.7	22.3
Points	127	106
Rebounds	45	43
Assists	32	26
Steals	7	6
Blocks	8	6
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	10 (0)
Fouls	19	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (3)	14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	40 (2)	29 (3)
Field Goals	48-86	42-97
At-the-Rim FG	25-35	23-38
Midrange FG	7-21	12-30
2-Point FG	32-56	35-68
3-Point FG	16-30	7-29
Free Throws	15-17	15-23
Fast Break Pts	12	13
2nd Chance Pts	9	17
Points in Paint	56	66
Pts off Turnovers	6	16
Bench Points	48	38
Biggest Lead	21	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg