Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Pelicans	35%	112	113	111.9	101	107.3
	4	Nuggets	65%	117	122	119.6	102	96.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 31	38.8	21	50%	2	7	1	0	3	2	0	2	5-5	100%	5-13	38%	2-6	33%
Herbert Jones #5 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 24	36.7	21	88%	4	4	5	0	2	4	2	2	7-8	88%	4-4	100%	2-4	50%
Brandon Ingram #14 · PF · 6'8" 190 · 25	32.9	16	40%	4	9	1	1	4	3	0	4	5-6	83%	4-13	31%	1-4	25%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 23	31.7	14	64%	3	1	2	0	0	2	0	3	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	1-5	20%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31	19.0	10	56%	6	2	0	0	1	2	2	4	0-1	0%	5-9	56%	0-0	-

Naji Marshall #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	24.1	4	50%	3	2	0	0	2	1	1	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 30	21.3	13	81%	11	1	2	0	1	5	3	8	1-2	50%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 25	13.6	3	50%	1	2	1	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 28	12.7	5	50%	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Willy Hernangomez #9 · C · 6'11" 240 · 29	9.3	6	100%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jaxson Hayes #10 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kira Lewis Jr. #13 · PG · 6'3" 170 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrett Temple #41 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dereon Seabron #0 · SG · 6'7" 180 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dyson Daniels #11 · PG · 6'7" 199 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Injury Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	59%	36	28	13	2	15	24	8	28	21-25	84%	34-58	59%	8-27	30%

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21 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 31	38.8	21	50%	2	7	1	0	3	2	0	2	5-5	100%	5-13	38%	2-6	33%
Herbert Jones #5 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 24	36.7	21	88%	4	4	5	0	2	4	2	2	7-8	88%	4-4	100%	2-4	50%
Brandon Ingram #14 · PF · 6'8" 190 · 25	32.9	16	40%	4	9	1	1	4	3	0	4	5-6	83%	4-13	31%	1-4	25%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 23	31.7	14	64%	3	1	2	0	0	2	0	3	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	1-5	20%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31	19.0	10	56%	6	2	0	0	1	2	2	4	0-1	0%	5-9	56%	0-0	-

Naji Marshall #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	24.1	4	50%	3	2	0	0	2	1	1	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 30	21.3	13	81%	11	1	2	0	1	5	3	8	1-2	50%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 25	13.6	3	50%	1	2	1	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 28	12.7	5	50%	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Willy Hernangomez #9 · C · 6'11" 240 · 29	9.3	6	100%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jaxson Hayes #10 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kira Lewis Jr. #13 · PG · 6'3" 170 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrett Temple #41 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dereon Seabron #0 · SG · 6'7" 180 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dyson Daniels #11 · PG · 6'7" 199 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Injury Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	59%	36	28	13	2	15	24	8	28	21-25	84%	34-58	59%	8-27	30%

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4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	38.4	15	63%	5	1	4	2	0	1	2	3	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	3-7	43%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	38.0	26	81%	18	15	1	1	5	2	1	17	5-5	100%	9-11	82%	1-3	33%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	35.9	15	54%	6	6	0	0	0	3	2	4	2-5	40%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	35.7	32	70%	5	6	0	0	5	1	1	4	5-5	100%	3-9	33%	7-12	58%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	30.3	13	54%	5	1	1	0	2	4	3	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	3-6	50%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26	20.6	7	50%	0	2	1	0	4	3	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	18.6	8	67%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	2-3	67%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	14.2	4	67%	5	0	0	0	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	4.7	2	33%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	3.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	60%	44	33	7	3	18	21	10	34	20-24	83%	27-51	53%	16-36	44%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.18 58.9%

DEN

1.21 60.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOP

20

25

80%

DEN

17

24

71%

Midrange

NOP

14

33

42%

DEN

10

27

37%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOP

8

12.0

27

30%

44%

DEN

16

24.0

36

44%

67%

Free Throws

NOP

21

25

84%

DEN

20

24

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. McCollum	21	50%	10.5 / 21
H. Jones	21	88%	10.5 / 12
B. Ingram	16	40%	8.0 / 20
T. Murphy	14	64%	7.0 / 11
L. Nance	13	81%	6.5 / 8
J. Valančiūnas	10	56%	5.0 / 9
W. Hernangomez	6	100%	3.0 / 3
D. Graham	5	50%	2.5 / 5
N. Marshall	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Alvarado	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	32	70%	16.0 / 23
N. Jokić	26	81%	13.0 / 16
K. Caldwell-Pope	15	63%	7.5 / 12
A. Gordon	15	54%	7.5 / 14
M. Porter	13	54%	6.5 / 12
J. Green	8	67%	4.0 / 6
B. Brown	7	50%	3.5 / 7
C. Braun	4	67%	2.0 / 3
B. Hyland	2	33%	1.0 / 3
Z. Nnaji	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 114.3 5 117.1	NOP 111.9 DEN 119.6 +7.7
Pace	15 99.2 21 98.5	NOP 107.3 +10.9 DEN 96.4
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.3 13 14.7	NOP 13.4 −1.5 DEN 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 54.3% 1 57.3%	NOP 54.1% DEN 58.6% +4.5%
TO %	23 14.0% 22 14.0%	NOP 13.5% −2.1% DEN 15.6%
ORB %	11 24.8% 13 24.8%	NOP 19.0% DEN 26.3% +7.3%
FTrt	10 27.8 19 25.9	NOP 29.4 +1.8 DEN 27.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	10 61.6% 2 66.3%	NOP 66.7% DEN 76.7% +10.0%
STL %	2 8.3% 9 7.6%	NOP 12.9% +6.0% DEN 6.9%
BLK %	20 8.1% 19 8.3%	NOP 3.9% DEN 5.2% +1.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.9% 5 58.7%	NOP 58.9% DEN 60.4% +1.5%
Rim FG%	16 62.8% 3 66.5%	NOP 80.0% +9.2% DEN 70.8%
Mid FG%	21 42.3% 13 43.4%	NOP 42.4% +5.4% DEN 37.0%
3P %	15 36.4% 4 37.9%	NOP 29.6% DEN 44.4% +14.8%
FT %	10 79.3% 26 75.1%	NOP 84.0% +0.7% DEN 83.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 37.7% 2 39.0%	NOP 29.4% +1.8% DEN 27.6%
Mid Att. %	20 27.9% 12 24.9%	NOP 38.8% DEN 31.0% −7.8%
3P Att. %	28 34.4% 21 36.1%	NOP 31.8% DEN 41.4% +9.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	NOP	DEN
Possessions	101	102
Possession Minutes	22.6	25.4
Points	113	122
Rebounds	36	44
Assists	28	33
Steals	13	7
Blocks	2	3
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	18 (0)
Fouls	24	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (2)	10 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (4)	34 (1)
Field Goals	42-85	43-87
At-the-Rim FG	20-25	17-24
Midrange FG	14-33	10-27
2-Point FG	34-58	27-51
3-Point FG	8-27	16-36
Free Throws	21-25	20-24
Fast Break Pts	15	26
2nd Chance Pts	13	9
Points in Paint	52	50
Pts off Turnovers	23	16
Bench Points	31	21
Biggest Lead	12	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg