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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 1, 2023
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Kings69%123119
29Spurs31%116109
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.1
38
34
31
2
10
3
1
1
1
1
1
3-3
100%
11-19
8-15
58%
57%
2-4
50%
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 26.7
37
33
34
11
4
2
1
2
3
2
9
3-5
60%
14-18
6-10
78%
63%
1-2
50%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 30.7
36
34
14
6
1
1
1
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
57%
2-4
50%
Keegan Murray
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.5
27
33
2
7
2
0
1
0
0
1
6
2-4
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
55%
0-6
0%
Kevin Huerter
G · 6'7" 194 · 24.4
19
26
5
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-4
50%
57%
1-3
33%
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.0
33
23
22
3
5
3
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
57%
2-3
67%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 27.2
20
16
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
58%
0-1
0%
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 25.9
11
10
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
61%
0-2
0%
Davion Mitchell
G · 6'0" 202 · 24.4
10
14
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
0-1
0%
Terence Davis
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.7
9
9
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
56%
0-1
0%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.3
3
0
1-1
66%
Deonte Burton
G-F · 6'5" 250 · 29.0
2
0
0-0
51%
KZ Okpala
F · 6'9" 210 · 23.8
2
0
0-0
57%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 29.6
1
0
0-0
61%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 32.4
1
0
0-0
42%
Keon Ellis
G · 6'6" 175 · 23.1
Neemias Queta
C · 6'11" 248 · 23.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 23.3
37
33
18
8
5
0
1
0
2
2
6
1-2
50%
7-13
6-12
54%
53%
1-5
20%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 27.3
29
23
18
12
3
1
1
1
5
4
8
0-0
-
9-13
5-7
69%
62%
0-0
-
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 27.0
27
26
4
6
3
2
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
55%
0-2
0%
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.1
9
27
0
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
5-9
-
52%
0-0
-
Jeremy Sochan
F · 6'9" 230 · 19.7
7
28
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
5-9
0%
54%
0-1
0%
Malaki Branham
F · 6'5" 180 · 19.7
32
19
22
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
6-8
2-4
75%
54%
3-5
60%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 29.4
29
22
19
8
3
2
1
0
4
2
6
1-1
100%
6-7
2-5
86%
51%
2-6
33%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 31.1
23
20
5
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
56%
1-2
50%
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 25.2
19
20
14
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
7-8
3-6
88%
57%
0-1
0%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 26.7
16
19
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Isaiah Roby
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.0
8
5
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
54%
1-1
100%
Blake Wesley
G · 6'5" 185 · 19.9
4
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 22.4
Charles Bassey
C-F · 6'10" 230 · 22.3
Romeo Langford
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.3
Dominick Barlow
F · 6'9" 215 · 19.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.