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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 4, 2023
9:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Hawks27%109108
2Nuggets73%118128
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 26.4
36
34
28
4
10
1
2
2
3
1
3
5-7
71%
7-13
6-11
54%
50%
3-8
38%
De'Andre Hunter
F · 6'7" 225 · 25.2
32
32
20
3
4
1
1
0
3
1
2
4-4
100%
5-11
4-7
45%
51%
2-4
50%
John Collins
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
30
29
6
4
3
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
4-6
60%
60%
0-0
-
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 28.7
26
25
12
11
0
0
1
0
1
3
8
2-3
67%
5-10
5-8
50%
61%
0-0
-
AJ Griffin
F · 6'6" 220 · 19.4
26
17
15
2
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
5-8
2-3
63%
55%
1-3
33%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.5
30
26
8
5
3
3
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Onyeka Okongwu
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 22.1
19
22
6
6
1
0
1
3
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
64%
0-0
-
Jalen Johnson
F · 6'8" 210 · 21.1
16
14
11
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
5
1-1
100%
5-7
1-3
71%
56%
0-1
0%
Trent Forrest
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.6
12
6
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Aaron Holiday
G · 6'1" 187 · 26.3
8
7
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 29.8
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Vit Krejci
G · 6'8" 195 · 22.6
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 33.8
3
0
0-0
45%
Donovan Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 21.4
Tyrese Martin
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.9
Trae Young
G · 6'2" 178 · 24.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 25.9
36
33
41
5
7
1
1
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
8-12
5-10
67%
54%
7-12
58%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.0
34
34
14
18
10
1
1
2
5
3
15
4-5
80%
5-7
8-12
71%
66%
0-1
0%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.4
30
32
15
6
4
0
1
1
0
2
4
1-1
100%
7-9
6-10
78%
61%
0-1
0%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 24.6
30
28
23
2
1
3
1
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
6-8
3-5
75%
60%
3-8
38%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.0
12
32
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
3-5
0%
52%
1-2
50%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.8
32
16
10
7
2
2
0
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-7
1-3
29%
56%
2-4
50%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 26.5
24
27
8
3
5
3
1
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
1-4
3-5
25%
57%
1-6
17%
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 25.8
22
19
5
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
58%
1-3
33%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 22.1
14
14
4
5
0
2
0
2
0
3
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-2
67%
63%
0-1
0%
Davon Reed
G · 6'6" 210 · 27.7
2
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
48%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 34.6
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 20.4
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
55%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.4
16
0
2-3
60%
Bones Hyland
G · 6'2" 169 · 22.4
8
0
1-2
49%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.5
4
0
1-1
70%
Collin Gillespie
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.6
Jack White
F · 6'7" 225 · 25.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.