Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Pacers	37%	107	111	116.8	95	92.7
	9	Heat	63%	111	116	122.1	95	97.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 23	37.0	11	50%	2	10	1	1	4	2	0	2	3-6	50%	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
Buddy Hield #24 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 30	36.5	29	76%	7	2	1	1	1	3	2	5	3-3	100%	4-6	67%	6-12	50%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	29.9	21	81%	10	0	0	2	0	6	2	8	10-11	91%	1-4	25%	3-5	60%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 23	29.6	7	39%	3	1	1	0	1	6	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 23	28.4	10	50%	1	1	0	1	2	2	1	0	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	1-2	50%

T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31	27.3	18	75%	3	6	0	0	1	3	0	3	0-1	0%	6-9	67%	2-3	67%
Chris Duarte #3 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 26	19.9	4	50%	1	2	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-1	0%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Daniel Theis #27 · C · 6'9" 243 · 31	18.1	9	56%	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	13.4	2	33%	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Terry Taylor #21 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trevelin Queen #8 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	60%	31	24	3	5	11	25	5	26	20-28	71%	23-45	51%	15-33	45%

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21 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 23	37.0	11	50%	2	10	1	1	4	2	0	2	3-6	50%	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
Buddy Hield #24 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 30	36.5	29	76%	7	2	1	1	1	3	2	5	3-3	100%	4-6	67%	6-12	50%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	29.9	21	81%	10	0	0	2	0	6	2	8	10-11	91%	1-4	25%	3-5	60%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 23	29.6	7	39%	3	1	1	0	1	6	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 23	28.4	10	50%	1	1	0	1	2	2	1	0	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	1-2	50%

T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31	27.3	18	75%	3	6	0	0	1	3	0	3	0-1	0%	6-9	67%	2-3	67%
Chris Duarte #3 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 26	19.9	4	50%	1	2	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-1	0%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Daniel Theis #27 · C · 6'9" 243 · 31	18.1	9	56%	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	13.4	2	33%	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Terry Taylor #21 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trevelin Queen #8 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	60%	31	24	3	5	11	25	5	26	20-28	71%	23-45	51%	15-33	45%

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9 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	40.3	15	44%	6	3	0	1	1	1	1	5	6-6	100%	3-11	27%	1-3	33%
Caleb Martin #16 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 27	37.4	12	46%	11	3	4	0	1	4	3	8	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	1-4	25%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	37.3	17	61%	4	3	1	0	3	4	1	3	6-7	86%	1-4	25%	3-7	43%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 26	36.9	38	83%	9	3	1	0	2	2	2	7	14-14	100%	12-16	75%	0-0	-
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	35.3	25	63%	5	7	1	0	2	2	5	0	7-8	88%	9-18	50%	0-0	-

Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	24.7	4	40%	6	0	0	2	2	3	0	6	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	16.9	3	75%	5	1	0	0	0	5	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	11.1	2	50%	2	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamaree Bouyea #11 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Stress Reaction
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 2nd Finger; Surgery
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	59%	48	21	7	3	11	22	15	33	36-39	92%	31-60	52%	6-19	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.19 59.7%

MIA

1.17 58.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

14

20

70%

MIA

12

22

55%

Midrange

IND

9

25

36%

MIA

19

38

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

15

22.5

33

45%

68%

MIA

6

9.0

19

32%

47%

Free Throws

IND

20

28

71%

MIA

36

39

92%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Hield	29	76%	14.5 / 19
M. Turner	21	81%	10.5 / 13
T. McConnell	18	75%	9.0 / 12
T. Haliburton	11	50%	5.5 / 11
A. Nembhard	10	50%	5.0 / 10
D. Theis	9	56%	4.5 / 8
A. Nesmith	7	39%	3.5 / 9
C. Duarte	4	50%	2.0 / 4
B. Mathurin	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo	38	83%	19.0 / 23
J. Butler	25	63%	12.5 / 20
G. Vincent	17	61%	8.5 / 14
T. Herro	15	44%	7.5 / 17
C. Martin	12	46%	6.0 / 13
H. Highsmith	4	40%	2.0 / 5
M. Strus	3	75%	1.5 / 2
O. Robinson	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 114.3 25 112.9	IND 116.8 MIA 122.1 +5.3
Pace	5 101.3 29 96.3	IND 92.7 MIA 97.5 +4.8
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.9 5 15.0	IND 15.5 MIA 14.8 −0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	16 54.5% 25 53.0%	IND 58.3% +7.7% MIA 50.6%
TO %	21 13.9% 15 13.2%	IND 10.9% −1.0% MIA 11.9%
ORB %	18 23.4% 21 22.8%	IND 13.2% MIA 36.6% +23.4%
FTrt	15 26.5 13 27.0	IND 35.9 MIA 49.4 +13.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 64.3% 14 60.8%	IND 63.2% +6.4% MIA 56.8%
STL %	11 7.6% 3 8.2%	IND 3.2% MIA 7.4% +4.2%
BLK %	3 10.4% 29 6.3%	IND 8.3% +1.6% MIA 6.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.7% 22 55.9%	IND 59.7% +1.1% MIA 58.6%
Rim FG%	28 60.5% 20 62.6%	IND 70.0% +15.5% MIA 54.5%
Mid FG%	17 42.8% 7 45.3%	IND 36.0% MIA 50.0% +14.0%
3P %	11 36.7% 27 34.4%	IND 45.5% +13.9% MIA 31.6%
FT %	13 79.0% 2 83.1%	IND 71.4% MIA 92.3% +20.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 37.2% 29 29.9%	IND 25.6% MIA 27.8% +2.2%
Mid Att. %	5 21.6% 24 29.4%	IND 32.1% −16.0% MIA 48.1%
3P Att. %	8 41.2% 9 40.8%	IND 42.3% +18.3% MIA 24.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	MIA
Possessions	95	95
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	111	116
Rebounds	31	48
Assists	24	21
Steals	3	7
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	11 (2)
Fouls	25	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (3)	15 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (2)	33 (5)
Field Goals	38-78	37-79
At-the-Rim FG	14-20	12-22
Midrange FG	9-25	19-38
2-Point FG	23-45	31-60
3-Point FG	15-33	6-19
Free Throws	20-28	36-39
Fast Break Pts	6	14
2nd Chance Pts	13	20
Points in Paint	42	52
Pts off Turnovers	15	12
Bench Points	33	9
Biggest Lead	9	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg