Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Timberwolves	31%	111	143	140.2	102	107.5
	12	Jazz	69%	118	118	115.7	102	97.0

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #1 · PG · 6'4" 225 · 22	33.1	31	57%	7	8	1	0	1	1	0	7	1-1	100%	9-18	50%	4-9	44%
Jaylen Nowell #4 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 24	29.0	30	88%	4	6	2	0	0	1	1	3	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	6-9	67%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 29	28.7	12	100%	5	7	1	2	3	3	1	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-3	67%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 22	24.7	14	88%	4	4	0	1	2	4	0	4	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	2-4	50%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 23	22.0	8	50%	7	3	0	0	2	3	2	5	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-4	50%

Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 20	29.0	12	50%	11	0	1	2	0	4	2	9	0-0	-	6-10	60%	0-2	0%
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 24	23.5	25	89%	3	3	0	0	1	2	1	2	3-3	100%	5-8	63%	4-5	80%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 27	15.7	2	33%	2	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Bryn Forbes #10 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 30	13.7	9	90%	2	2	0	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Nathan Knight #13 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 25	11.7	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 26	4.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 21	4.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 31	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Soreness
Austin Rivers #25 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 31	DNP - League Suspension
D'Angelo Russell #0 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 27	INACTIVE
Kyle Anderson #5 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Spasms
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	143	69%	47	35	6	6	10	19	8	39	8-8	100%	33-55	60%	23-43	53%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

25 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #1 · PG · 6'4" 225 · 22	33.1	31	57%	7	8	1	0	1	1	0	7	1-1	100%	9-18	50%	4-9	44%
Jaylen Nowell #4 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 24	29.0	30	88%	4	6	2	0	0	1	1	3	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	6-9	67%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 29	28.7	12	100%	5	7	1	2	3	3	1	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-3	67%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 22	24.7	14	88%	4	4	0	1	2	4	0	4	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	2-4	50%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 23	22.0	8	50%	7	3	0	0	2	3	2	5	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-4	50%

Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 20	29.0	12	50%	11	0	1	2	0	4	2	9	0-0	-	6-10	60%	0-2	0%
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 24	23.5	25	89%	3	3	0	0	1	2	1	2	3-3	100%	5-8	63%	4-5	80%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 27	15.7	2	33%	2	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Bryn Forbes #10 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 30	13.7	9	90%	2	2	0	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Nathan Knight #13 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 25	11.7	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 26	4.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 21	4.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 31	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Soreness
Austin Rivers #25 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 31	DNP - League Suspension
D'Angelo Russell #0 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 27	INACTIVE
Kyle Anderson #5 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Spasms
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	143	69%	47	35	6	6	10	19	8	39	8-8	100%	33-55	60%	23-43	53%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

12 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Collin Sexton #2 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 24	31.3	22	79%	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	3	6-8	75%	2-5	40%	4-5	80%
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 22	30.2	16	67%	9	1	1	3	0	0	4	5	4-5	80%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 31	24.2	8	31%	6	6	1	1	1	1	2	4	1-1	100%	2-8	25%	1-5	20%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · SF · 7'1" 240 · 26	23.4	21	62%	5	3	0	0	2	2	1	4	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	3-7	43%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 32	21.6	14	50%	6	1	0	0	1	2	3	3	0-0	-	4-9	44%	2-5	40%

Talen Horton-Tucker #0 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 22	24.4	15	58%	1	6	0	1	1	2	1	0	3-3	100%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	24.3	0	0%	4	1	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Simone Fontecchio #16 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 27	23.6	9	41%	1	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-7	14%
Rudy Gay #22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 36	18.2	9	35%	6	2	0	0	1	1	4	2	2-2	100%	2-9	22%	1-3	33%
Udoka Azubuike #20 · C · 7'0" 280 · 23	15.1	4	100%	5	0	0	0	1	1	0	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Leandro Bolmaro #10 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	3.7	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #6 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	INACTIVE
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 26	INACTIVE
Mike Conley #11 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 35	INACTIVE
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jarred Vanderbilt #8 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Spasm
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	51%	50	27	2	5	8	12	21	29	18-21	86%	32-71	45%	12-34	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	UTA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.38 68.8%

UTA

1.02 50.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

18

27

67%

UTA

22

43

51%

Midrange

MIN

15

28

54%

UTA

10

28

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

23

34.5

43

53%

80%

UTA

12

18.0

34

35%

53%

Free Throws

MIN

8

100%

UTA

18

21

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	31	57%	15.5 / 27
J. Nowell	30	88%	15.0 / 17
L. Garza	25	89%	12.5 / 14
J. McDaniels	14	88%	7.0 / 8
T. Prince	12	100%	6.0 / 6
J. Minott	12	50%	6.0 / 12
B. Forbes	9	90%	4.5 / 5
N. Reid	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. McLaughlin	2	33%	1.0 / 3
N. Knight	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Sexton	22	79%	11.0 / 14
L. Markkanen	21	62%	10.5 / 17
W. Kessler	16	67%	8.0 / 12
T. Horton-Tucker	15	58%	7.5 / 13
K. Olynyk	14	50%	7.0 / 14
S. Fontecchio	9	41%	4.5 / 11
R. Gay	9	35%	4.5 / 13
J. Clarkson	8	31%	4.0 / 13
U. Azubuike	4	100%	2.0 / 2
O. Agbaji	0	-	0.0 / 4
L. Bolmaro	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 113.7 9 115.6	MIN 140.2 +24.5 UTA 115.7
Pace	10 101.0 12 100.6	MIN 107.5 +10.5 UTA 97.0
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.2 15 14.4	MIN 13.4 −1.5 UTA 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.0% 15 54.8%	MIN 68.9% +21.3% UTA 47.6%
TO %	27 14.5% 28 14.7%	MIN 9.8% UTA 6.5% −3.3%
ORB %	27 21.5% 4 26.8%	MIN 21.6% UTA 35.0% +13.4%
FTrt	12 27.0 14 26.6	MIN 8.2 UTA 20.0 +11.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 61.0% 11 61.1%	MIN 62.5% +1.1% UTA 61.4%
STL %	7 7.9% 30 6.0%	MIN 5.9% +3.9% UTA 2.0%
BLK %	6 9.8% 11 9.2%	MIN 8.5% UTA 9.1% +0.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 58.0% 13 57.3%	MIN 68.8% +17.9% UTA 50.9%
Rim FG%	9 64.9% 12 64.1%	MIN 66.7% +15.5% UTA 51.2%
Mid FG%	14 43.2% 9 44.3%	MIN 53.6% +17.9% UTA 35.7%
3P %	13 36.5% 20 35.3%	MIN 53.5% +18.2% UTA 35.3%
FT %	24 75.5% 14 78.6%	MIN 100.0% +14.3% UTA 85.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 38.7% 18 34.5%	MIN 27.6% UTA 41.0% +13.4%
Mid Att. %	8 23.2% 9 23.5%	MIN 28.6% UTA 26.7% −1.9%
3P Att. %	14 38.1% 6 42.1%	MIN 43.9% +11.5% UTA 32.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	UTA
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	22.8	25.2
Points	143	118
Rebounds	47	50
Assists	35	27
Steals	6	2
Blocks	6	5
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	8 (0)
Fouls	19	12
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (4)	21 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (1)	29 (1)
Field Goals	56-98	44-105
At-the-Rim FG	18-27	22-43
Midrange FG	15-28	10-28
2-Point FG	33-55	32-71
3-Point FG	23-43	12-34
Free Throws	8-8	18-21
Fast Break Pts	27	2
2nd Chance Pts	15	18
Points in Paint	60	62
Pts off Turnovers	8	10
Bench Points	48	37
Biggest Lead	31	1

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg