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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 9, 2023
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Bulls53%111105
26Nets47%110116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.9
39.9
35.2
38
69%
1
1
0
1
0
4
0
1
4-6
67%
14-18
5-9
78%
53%
2-7
29%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 32.3
37.2
31.5
15
50%
17
1
0
1
0
0
2
15
0-0
-
6-9
6-10
67%
56%
1-6
17%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.5
36.0
34.6
14
44%
3
6
0
1
1
3
1
2
4-7
57%
5-12
8-14
42%
52%
0-1
0%
Ayo Dosunmu
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.1
27.1
31.7
6
44%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-4
4-6
50%
60%
0-2
0%
Patrick Williams
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.5
14.4
27.2
2
25%
2
0
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
52%
0-0
-
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 28.9
29.5
20.3
6
63%
7
2
1
1
0
1
0
7
4-4
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Coby White
G · 6'5" 191 · 23.0
26.4
25.8
11
46%
4
3
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
50%
1-5
20%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 36.8
12.0
13.2
5
63%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
1-1
100%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 29.5
10.8
13.8
4
50%
5
0
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
3-4
50%
56%
0-0
-
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 26.0
6.7
17.6
4
33%
4
0
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
61%
0-2
0%
Dalen Terry
F · 6'7" 195 · 20.6
2.2
0
0-0
50%
Tony Bradley
C · 6'10" 248 · 25.1
2.0
0
0-0
59%
Malcolm Hill
F · 6'6" 220 · 27.3
0.5
0
0-0
67%
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.3
Carlik Jones
G · 6'0" 174 · 25.1
Javonte Green
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.5
Marko Simonovic
C · 6'11" 220 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 29.8
38.6
33.2
25
60%
5
6
4
1
0
1
1
4
7-9
78%
6-10
4-8
60%
49%
2-7
29%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.8
34.6
32.3
9
40%
9
1
0
1
0
1
3
6
1-3
33%
4-6
1-3
67%
56%
0-4
0%
Cam Thomas
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.3
33.1
31.8
20
46%
6
4
0
1
0
4
0
6
13-13
100%
2-10
6-11
20%
53%
1-6
17%
Day'Ron Sharpe
F · 6'11" 265 · 21.3
28.4
10.8
8
44%
12
1
0
0
1
1
3
9
0-0
-
4-9
2-3
44%
57%
0-0
-
Royce O'Neale
F · 6'6" 226 · 29.7
28.3
29.3
6
43%
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
2-7
29%
Yuta Watanabe
G · 6'9" 205 · 28.3
22.3
20.7
14
100%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
54%
4-5
80%
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 31.4
21.5
23.4
18
100%
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
6-9
67%
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 26.6
19.6
25.0
8
57%
8
4
0
1
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
58%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 34.5
13.7
17.1
8
44%
2
2
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
49%
2-5
40%
Edmond Sumner
G · 6'5" 188 · 27.1
22.4
1
3-6
54%
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.1
12.4
0
1-2
51%
David Duke Jr.
G · 6'4" 204 · 23.3
6.0
0
1-1
51%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.5
Cameron Johnson
F · 6'9" 205 · 26.9
Nic Claxton
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.8
Mikal Bridges
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.