Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, February 11, 2023

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	9	Heat	48%	104	107
	23	Magic	52%	105	103

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
Heat	104.9	102	87.4
Magic	101.0	102	97.9

Scoring Opportunities

MIA

+17

-19

100

ORL

+15

-18

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.07 53.5%

ORL

1.04 52.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	ORL
OT1 - 0:00.0		End of 1st OT.	107 100%	103 0%
OT1 - 0:01.8	Heat	Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 1	107 99.9%	103 0.1%
OT1 - 0:01.8	Magic	Franz Wagner personal foul (Away from play) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)	106 99.9%	103 0.1%
OT1 - 0:01.8		Heat 60 second timeout	106	103
OT1 - 0:01.8	Magic	Paolo Banchero personal foul (Take) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)	106 99.5%	103 0.5%
OT1 - 0:03.0		Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo)	106	103
OT1 - 0:03.2		Heat 60 second timeout	106	103
OT1 - 0:03.2	Magic	Paolo Banchero turnover (out of bounds step)	106 99.4%	103 0.6%
OT1 - 0:03.4	Magic	Paolo Banchero offensive rebound	106 98.3%	103 1.7%
OT1 - 0:06.2	Magic	Gary Harris misses three point stepback jump shot	106 98.0%	103 2.0%
OT1 - 0:10.0		Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo)	106	103
OT1 - 0:10.4		Magic 60 second timeout	106	103
OT1 - 0:15.8	Magic	Paolo Banchero defensive rebound	106 91.1%	103 8.9%
OT1 - 0:19.1	Heat	Tyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot	106 93.2%	103 6.8%
OT1 - 0:40.1	Magic	Markelle Fultz turnover (out of bounds lost ball)	106 92.3%	103 7.7%
OT1 - 0:45.7	Magic	Markelle Fultz defensive rebound	106 83.3%	103 16.7%
OT1 - 0:48.9	Heat	Jimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot	106 85.6%	103 14.4%
OT1 - 1:13	Magic	Franz Wagner makes two point running layup	106 87.3%	103 12.7%
OT1 - 1:17	Magic	Gary Harris defensive rebound	106 91.0%	101 9.0%
OT1 - 1:19	Heat	Jimmy Butler misses two point driving layup	106 92.3%	101 7.7%
OT1 - 1:39	Heat	Tyler Herro defensive rebound	106 93.3%	101 6.7%
OT1 - 1:42	Magic	Gary Harris misses three point pullup jump shot	106 92.0%	101 8.0%
OT1 - 1:51	Heat	Jimmy Butler makes two point stepback jump shot	106 88.0%	101 12.0%
OT1 - 2:10	Magic	Markelle Fultz turnover (offensive foul)	104 84.8%	101 15.2%
OT1 - 2:10	Magic	Markelle Fultz offensive foul (Charge) (Max Strus draws the foul)	104 74.2%	101 25.8%
OT1 - 2:12	Magic	Markelle Fultz defensive rebound	104 74.2%	101 25.8%
OT1 - 2:15	Heat	Gabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot	104 77.9%	101 22.1%
OT1 - 2:41	Magic	Markelle Fultz makes two point putback layup	104 85.2%	101 14.8%
OT1 - 2:43	Magic	Markelle Fultz offensive rebound	104 88.2%	99 11.8%
OT1 - 2:45	Magic	Markelle Fultz misses two point driving reverse layup	104 92.4%	99 7.6%
OT1 - 2:55		Magic 60 second timeout	104	99
OT1 - 2:56	Heat	Tyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)	104 85.9%	99 14.1%
OT1 - 3:09	Heat	Max Strus defensive rebound	102 82.2%	99 17.8%
OT1 - 3:13	Magic	Jimmy Butler blocks Gary Harris's two point driving layup	102 79.7%	99 20.3%
OT1 - 3:33	Heat	Tyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)	102 69.2%	99 30.8%
OT1 - 4:02	Magic	Franz Wagner makes two point driving dunk	100 62.2%	99 37.8%
OT1 - 4:09	Heat	Jimmy Butler personal foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)	100 69.8%	97 30.2%
OT1 - 4:14		Stoppage (Out of bounds)	100	97
OT1 - 4:24	Heat	Gabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot	100 69.9%	97 30.1%
OT1 - 4:36	Heat	Bam Adebayo defensive rebound	97 53.4%	97 46.6%
OT1 - 4:39	Magic	Paolo Banchero misses two point fadeaway jump shot	97 50.4%	97 49.6%
OT1 - 5:00		Bam Adebayo vs. Wendell Carter Jr. (Paolo Banchero gains possession)	97 43.5%	97 56.5%
OT1 - 5:00		Magic lineup change (Franz Wagner, Gary Harris, Wendell Carter Jr., Paolo Banchero, Markelle Fultz)	97	97
Q4 - 0:00.0		End of 4th Quarter.	97	97
Q4 - 0:00.8	Heat	Heat offensive rebound	97 50.3%	97 49.7%
Q4 - 0:00.8	Heat	Jimmy Butler misses three point jump shot	97 44.8%	97 55.2%
Q4 - 0:01.5		Heat 60 second timeout	97	97
Q4 - 0:01.0		Magic lineup change (Franz Wagner, Gary Harris, Jonathan Isaac, Wendell Carter Jr., Markelle Fultz)	97	97
Q4 - 0:01.0		Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo)	97	97
Q4 - 0:01.5		Heat 60 second timeout	97	97
Q4 - 0:01.5	Heat	Max Strus defensive rebound	97 54.8%	97 45.2%
Q4 - 0:02.3	Magic	Paolo Banchero misses two point driving layup	97 50.6%	97 49.4%
Q4 - 0:06.2	Heat	Jimmy Butler personal foul (Take) (Markelle Fultz draws the foul)	97 33.2%	97 66.8%
Q4 - 0:12.1	Heat	Gabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 2	97 35.0%	97 65.0%
Q4 - 0:12.0		Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo)	96	97
Q4 - 0:12.1	Heat	Gabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 2	96 32.4%	97 67.6%
Q4 - 0:12.1		Instant replay (Challenge: Stands)	95	97
Q4 - 0:12.1		Magic 60 second timeout	95	97
Q4 - 0:12.1	Magic	Markelle Fultz personal foul (Loose ball) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)	95 29.5%	97 70.5%
Q4 - 0:12.3	Magic	Wendell Carter Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)	95 18.6%	97 81.4%
Q4 - 0:13.8	Magic	Wendell Carter Jr. offensive rebound	95 6.9%	97 93.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0	Magic	Gary Harris misses three point jump shot	95 14.7%	97 85.3%
Q4 - 0:35.5	Heat	Jimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)	95 9.8%	97 90.2%
Q4 - 0:39.7	Magic	Gary Harris personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)	93 7.9%	97 92.1%
Q4 - 0:51.7	Magic	Paolo Banchero makes two point jump shot	93 10.2%	97 89.8%
Q4 - 1:12	Heat	Jimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot	93 18.3%	95 81.7%
Q4 - 1:28	Magic	Wendell Carter Jr. turnover (offensive foul)	91 14.4%	95 85.6%
Q4 - 1:28	Magic	Wendell Carter Jr. offensive foul (Off the ball) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)	91 8.6%	95 91.4%
Q4 - 1:45	Heat	Gabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)	91 9.7%	95 90.3%
Q4 - 1:56	Heat	Bam Adebayo defensive rebound	88 4.4%	95 95.6%
Q4 - 1:58	Magic	Franz Wagner misses two point driving layup	88 3.7%	95 96.3%
Q4 - 2:22	Heat	Tyler Herro makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)	88 2.4%	95 97.6%
Q4 - 2:34	Magic	Markelle Fultz makes two point jump shot (Wendell Carter Jr. assists)	86 1.8%	95 98.2%
Q4 - 2:48	Magic	Wendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound	86 2.3%	93 97.7%
Q4 - 2:50	Heat	Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot	86 2.8%	93 97.2%
Q4 - 3:06	Magic	Markelle Fultz makes two point pullup jump shot	86 5.9%	93 94.1%
Q4 - 3:20		Magic lineup change (Franz Wagner, Gary Harris, Wendell Carter Jr., Paolo Banchero, Markelle Fultz)	86	91
Q4 - 3:20		Magic 60 second timeout	86	91
Q4 - 3:20	Heat	Tyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)	86 7.6%	91 92.4%
Q4 - 3:33	Heat	Max Strus defensive rebound	84 8.9%	91 91.1%
Q4 - 3:37	Magic	Franz Wagner misses three point jump shot	84 7.9%	91 92.1%
Q4 - 3:52	Magic	Bol Bol defensive rebound	84 5.9%	91 94.1%
Q4 - 3:56	Heat	Gabe Vincent misses three point jump shot	84 6.6%	91 93.4%
Q4 - 4:09	Magic	Franz Wagner turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)	84 8.3%	91 91.7%
Q4 - 4:30	Magic	Franz Wagner defensive rebound	84 5.7%	91 94.3%
Q4 - 4:33	Heat	Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2	84 5.9%	91 94.1%
Q4 - 4:33		Magic lineup change (Franz Wagner, Jalen Suggs, Moritz Wagner, Markelle Fultz, Bol Bol)	84	91
Q4 - 4:33	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2	84 7.5%	91 92.5%
Q4 - 4:33		Magic delay of game violation	83	91
Q4 - 4:33	Magic	Jalen Suggs shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)	83 6.9%	91 93.1%
Q4 - 4:35	Heat	Bam Adebayo defensive rebound	83 5.8%	91 94.2%
Q4 - 4:39	Magic	Jimmy Butler blocks Moritz Wagner's two point putback layup	83 5.2%	91 94.8%
Q4 - 4:40	Magic	Moritz Wagner offensive rebound	83 4.0%	91 96.0%
Q4 - 4:42	Magic	Franz Wagner misses two point driving hook shot	83 5.1%	91 94.9%
Q4 - 5:01	Magic	Moritz Wagner defensive rebound	83 5.8%	91 94.2%
Q4 - 5:04	Heat	Max Strus misses three point running jump shot	83 6.3%	91 93.7%
Q4 - 5:07	Heat	Gabe Vincent defensive rebound	83 7.9%	91 92.1%
Q4 - 5:11	Magic	Franz Wagner misses two point driving finger roll layup	83 7.1%	91 92.9%
Q4 - 5:32	Heat	Jimmy Butler makes two point alley-oop dunk (Max Strus assists)	83 5.6%	91 94.4%
Q4 - 5:52	Magic	Bol Bol turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)	81 4.2%	91 95.8%
Q4 - 6:04	Magic	Cole Anthony offensive rebound	81 4.2%	91 95.8%
Q4 - 6:08	Magic	Franz Wagner misses two point pullup bank jump shot	81 5.3%	91 94.7%
Q4 - 6:25	Magic	Franz Wagner defensive rebound	81 4.1%	91 95.9%
Q4 - 6:29	Heat	Jimmy Butler misses two point driving floating bank jump shot	81 4.6%	91 95.4%
Q4 - 6:41		Heat 60 second timeout	81	91
Q4 - 6:41	Magic	Bol Bol makes two point running dunk (Cole Anthony assists)	81 5.7%	91 94.3%
Q4 - 6:44	Heat	Bam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Jalen Suggs steals)	81 7.1%	89 92.9%
Q4 - 6:45	Heat	Bam Adebayo defensive rebound	81 9.8%	89 90.2%
Q4 - 6:50	Magic	Bam Adebayo blocks Cole Anthony's two point pullup jump shot	81 8.9%	89 91.1%
Q4 - 7:05	Heat	Tyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Jalen Suggs steals)	81	89
Q4 - 7:05		Jump ball. Jalen Suggs vs. Bam Adebayo (Bol Bol gains possession)	81 8.8%	89 91.2%
Q4 - 7:10		Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo)	81	89
Q4 - 7:14	Heat	Max Strus offensive rebound	81 11.7%	89 88.3%
Q4 - 7:18	Heat	Gabe Vincent misses three point jump shot	81 9.6%	89 90.4%
Q4 - 7:30	Magic	Cole Anthony makes two point cutting layup (Bol Bol assists)	81 11.6%	89 88.4%
Q4 - 7:48	Heat	Gabe Vincent makes two point driving reverse layup	81 13.9%	87 86.1%
Q4 - 8:09	Magic	Moritz Wagner makes two point layup (Cole Anthony assists)	79 12.6%	87 87.4%
Q4 - 8:16	Magic	Bol Bol defensive rebound	79 15.5%	85 84.5%
Q4 - 8:19	Heat	Max Strus misses three point jump shot	79 16.5%	85 83.5%
Q4 - 8:24	Magic	Cole Anthony personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)	79 19.2%	85 80.8%
Q4 - 8:36	Heat	Bam Adebayo defensive rebound	79 19.1%	85 80.9%
Q4 - 8:39	Magic	Jalen Suggs misses regular free throw 2 of 2	79 18.6%	85 81.4%
Q4 - 8:39	Magic	Jalen Suggs makes regular free throw 1 of 2	79 16.3%	85 83.7%
Q4 - 8:39	Heat	Tyler Herro shooting foul (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)	79 17.1%	84 82.9%
Q4 - 8:47	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot	79 18.9%	84 81.1%
Q4 - 8:52	Heat	Bam Adebayo defensive rebound	77 15.6%	84 84.4%
Q4 - 8:56	Magic	Bol Bol misses two point driving floating jump shot	77 14.5%	84 85.5%
Q4 - 9:13		Magic lineup change (Franz Wagner, Jalen Suggs, Moritz Wagner, Cole Anthony, Bol Bol)	77	84
Q4 - 9:13		Magic 60 second timeout	77	84
Q4 - 9:13	Heat	Tyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)	77 13.7%	84 86.3%
Q4 - 9:23		Stoppage (Out of bounds)	75	84
Q4 - 9:23	Heat	Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound	75 11.4%	84 88.6%
Q4 - 9:27	Magic	Moritz Wagner misses three point jump shot	75 10.6%	84 89.4%
Q4 - 9:49	Heat	Max Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)	75 9.0%	84 91.0%
Q4 - 9:56	Heat	Bam Adebayo defensive rebound	72 5.9%	84 94.1%
Q4 - 10:00	Magic	Cole Anthony misses two point floating jump shot	72 5.5%	84 94.5%
Q4 - 10:12	Heat	Haywood Highsmith personal foul (Loose ball) (Cole Anthony draws the foul)	72 5.6%	84 94.4%
Q4 - 10:12	Magic	Magic defensive rebound	72 5.6%	84 94.4%
Q4 - 10:12	Heat	Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot	72 6.0%	84 94.0%
Q4 - 10:34		Heat 60 second timeout	72	84
Q4 - 10:34	Magic	Jonathan Isaac makes two point dunk (Cole Anthony assists)	72 7.0%	84 93.0%
Q4 - 10:41	Heat	Gabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds bad pass)	72 8.3%	82 91.7%
Q4 - 10:53	Magic	Jonathan Isaac makes regular free throw 2 of 2	72 10.4%	82 89.6%
Q4 - 10:53	Magic	Jonathan Isaac misses regular free throw 1 of 2	72 10.7%	81 89.3%
Q4 - 10:53	Heat	Max Strus shooting foul (Jonathan Isaac draws the foul)	72 9.2%	81 90.8%
Q4 - 11:07	Heat	Tyler Herro turnover (offensive foul)	72 11.3%	81 88.7%
Q4 - 11:07	Heat	Tyler Herro offensive foul (Charge) (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)	72 13.6%	81 86.4%
Q4 - 11:27	Magic	Cole Anthony makes two point pullup jump shot	72 13.6%	81 86.4%
Q4 - 11:40	Magic	Bol Bol defensive rebound	72 16.1%	79 83.9%
Q4 - 11:45	Heat	Max Strus misses three point jump shot	72 17.0%	79 83.0%
Q4 - 12:00		Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo)	72	79
Q3 - 0:00.0		End of 3rd Quarter.	72 19.2%	79 80.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0	Heat	Heat offensive rebound	72 20.6%	79 79.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0	Heat	Jalen Suggs blocks Bam Adebayo's three point pullup jump shot	72 18.5%	79 81.5%
Q3 - 0:03.2	Magic	Cole Anthony makes three point stepback jump shot	72 20.5%	79 79.5%
Q3 - 0:25.2	Magic	Jonathan Isaac defensive rebound	72 27.7%	76 72.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0	Heat	Bam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot	72 28.9%	76 71.1%
Q3 - 0:43.8		Stoppage (Out of bounds)	72	76
Q3 - 0:44.5	Magic	Jonathan Isaac turnover (out of bounds lost ball)	72 31.7%	76 68.3%
Q3 - 0:44.8	Magic	Jonathan Isaac offensive rebound	72 27.7%	76 72.3%
Q3 - 0:46.1	Magic	Jonathan Isaac misses two point layup	72 30.4%	76 69.6%
Q3 - 0:59.0	Magic	Jonathan Isaac defensive rebound	72 27.7%	76 72.3%
Q3 - 1:02	Heat	Caleb Martin misses two point jump shot	72 29.8%	76 70.2%
Q3 - 1:14		Stoppage (Out of bounds)	72	76
Q3 - 1:18	Magic	Moritz Wagner makes regular free throw 2 of 2	72 32.7%	76 67.3%
Q3 - 1:18		Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Caleb Martin, Tyler Herro, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo)	72	75
Q3 - 1:18	Magic	Moritz Wagner misses regular free throw 1 of 2	72 33.3%	75 66.7%
Q3 - 1:18	Heat	Bam Adebayo shooting foul (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)	72 29.9%	75 70.1%
Q3 - 1:33	Heat	Max Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)	72 32.4%	75 67.6%
Q3 - 1:55		Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Moritz Wagner, Cole Anthony, Jonathan Isaac, Bol Bol)	69	75
Q3 - 1:55		Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Jamaree Bouyea, Tyler Herro, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo)	69	75
Q3 - 1:55		Heat 60 second timeout	69	75
Q3 - 1:55	Magic	Jalen Suggs personal foul (Loose ball) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)	69 25.0%	75 75.0%
Q3 - 1:55	Heat	Heat defensive rebound	69 25.0%	75 75.0%
Q3 - 1:55	Magic	Cole Anthony misses three point jump shot	69 23.9%	75 76.1%
Q3 - 1:57	Magic	Paolo Banchero offensive rebound	69 21.5%	75 78.5%
Q3 - 1:59	Magic	Paolo Banchero misses three point jump shot	69 23.9%	75 76.1%
Q3 - 2:13	Magic	Paolo Banchero defensive rebound	69 22.6%	75 77.4%
Q3 - 2:17	Heat	Tyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot	69 23.6%	75 76.4%
Q3 - 2:40	Magic	Moritz Wagner makes three point jump shot (Cole Anthony assists)	69 26.0%	75 74.0%
Q3 - 2:59	Heat	Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)	69 33.0%	72 67.0%
Q3 - 3:24	Magic	Moritz Wagner makes three point jump shot (Cole Anthony assists)	66 27.0%	72 73.0%
Q3 - 3:35	Heat	Tyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Max Strus assists)	66 33.6%	69 66.4%
Q3 - 3:43	Magic	Moritz Wagner makes regular free throw 2 of 2	64 30.5%	69 69.5%
Q3 - 3:43		Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Moritz Wagner, Cole Anthony, Jonathan Isaac, Paolo Banchero)	64	68
Q3 - 3:43	Magic	Moritz Wagner misses regular free throw 1 of 2	64 31.0%	68 69.0%
Q3 - 3:43	Heat	Tyler Herro shooting foul (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)	64 27.9%	68 72.1%
Q3 - 3:47	Heat	Tyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Moritz Wagner steals)	64 29.9%	68 70.1%
Q3 - 3:59	Magic	Moritz Wagner makes regular free throw 2 of 2	64 34.2%	68 65.8%
Q3 - 3:59	Magic	Moritz Wagner makes regular free throw 1 of 2	64 34.7%	67 65.3%
Q3 - 3:59	Heat	Orlando Robinson personal foul (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)	64 35.3%	66 64.7%
Q3 - 4:15	Heat	Max Strus makes three point jump shot (Orlando Robinson assists)	64 38.0%	66 62.0%
Q3 - 4:28		Stoppage (Other)	61	66
Q3 - 4:31	Magic	Paolo Banchero makes two point driving layup	61 31.2%	66 68.8%
Q3 - 4:49	Heat	Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 2	61 34.2%	64 65.8%
Q3 - 4:49		Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Moritz Wagner, Jonathan Isaac, Paolo Banchero, Markelle Fultz)	60	64
Q3 - 4:49	Heat	Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 2	60 33.4%	64 66.6%
Q3 - 4:49	Magic	Moritz Wagner shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)	59 32.5%	64 67.5%
Q3 - 5:04		Magic lineup change (Gary Harris, Moritz Wagner, Jonathan Isaac, Paolo Banchero, Markelle Fultz)	59	64
Q3 - 5:04		Heat lineup change (Jamaree Bouyea, Caleb Martin, Tyler Herro, Max Strus, Orlando Robinson)	59	64
Q3 - 5:04	Magic	Markelle Fultz turnover (offensive foul)	59 31.7%	64 68.3%
Q3 - 5:04	Magic	Markelle Fultz offensive foul (Charge) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)	59 28.1%	64 71.9%
Q3 - 5:09	Heat	Max Strus turnover (bad pass) (Jonathan Isaac steals)	59 28.1%	64 71.9%
Q3 - 5:19	Magic	Markelle Fultz makes two point pullup jump shot	59 31.7%	64 68.3%
Q3 - 5:33	Heat	Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2	59 34.9%	62 65.1%
Q3 - 5:33		Magic lineup change (Gary Harris, Jonathan Isaac, Wendell Carter Jr., Paolo Banchero, Markelle Fultz)	58	62
Q3 - 5:33		Heat lineup change (Jamaree Bouyea, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Max Strus, Orlando Robinson)	58	62
Q3 - 5:33	Heat	Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2	58 34.4%	62 65.6%
Q3 - 5:33	Magic	Gary Harris shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)	57 33.9%	62 66.1%
Q3 - 5:38	Heat	Jimmy Butler defensive rebound	57 31.7%	62 68.3%
Q3 - 5:38	Magic	Franz Wagner misses three point jump shot	57 30.5%	62 69.5%
Q3 - 5:40	Magic	Paolo Banchero offensive rebound	57 28.1%	62 71.9%
Q3 - 5:43	Magic	Paolo Banchero misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot	57 30.5%	62 69.5%
Q3 - 5:57	Heat	Caleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Wendell Carter Jr. steals)	57 28.1%	62 71.9%
Q3 - 6:22	Magic	Paolo Banchero makes regular free throw 2 of 2	57 32.2%	62 67.8%
Q3 - 6:22	Magic	Paolo Banchero makes regular free throw 1 of 2	57 32.9%	61 67.1%
Q3 - 6:22	Heat	Max Strus shooting foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)	57 33.7%	60 66.3%
Q3 - 6:25	Heat	Jimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Markelle Fultz steals)	57 35.4%	60 64.6%
Q3 - 6:37	Magic	Franz Wagner makes two point driving finger roll layup	57 39.1%	60 60.9%
Q3 - 6:45		Heat lineup change (Jamaree Bouyea, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo)	57	58
Q3 - 6:45		Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo)	57	58
Q3 - 6:45	Heat	Gabe Vincent personal foul (Markelle Fultz draws the foul)	57 42.6%	58 57.4%
Q3 - 6:59	Heat	Jimmy Butler turnover (back court violation)	57 42.6%	58 57.4%
Q3 - 7:16	Heat	Caleb Martin defensive rebound	57 46.7%	58 53.3%
Q3 - 7:21	Magic	Franz Wagner misses two point driving hook shot	57 45.4%	58 54.6%
Q3 - 7:39		Magic 60 second timeout	57	58
Q3 - 7:40	Heat	Gabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)	57 42.6%	58 57.4%
Q3 - 7:41	Heat	Caleb Martin offensive rebound	54 36.1%	58 63.9%
Q3 - 7:44	Heat	Caleb Martin misses three point jump shot	54 33.4%	58 66.6%
Q3 - 7:51	Heat	Bam Adebayo defensive rebound	54 36.1%	58 63.9%
Q3 - 7:56	Magic	Paolo Banchero misses two point pullup jump shot	54 34.9%	58 65.1%
Q3 - 8:23	Heat	Tyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)	54 32.6%	58 67.4%
Q3 - 8:40	Magic	Paolo Banchero makes regular free throw 2 of 2	52 30.1%	58 69.9%
Q3 - 8:40		Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)	52	57
Q3 - 8:40	Magic	Paolo Banchero makes regular free throw 1 of 2	52 30.7%	57 69.3%
Q3 - 8:40	Heat	Max Strus shooting foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)	52 31.5%	56 68.5%
Q3 - 8:49	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes two point running layup	52 32.6%	56 67.4%
Q3 - 8:54	Heat	Bam Adebayo defensive rebound	50 30.1%	56 69.9%
Q3 - 8:56	Magic	Franz Wagner misses three point jump shot	50 29.0%	56 71.0%
Q3 - 9:01	Magic	Paolo Banchero defensive rebound	50 27.3%	56 72.7%
Q3 - 9:03	Heat	Tyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot	50 28.2%	56 71.8%
Q3 - 9:25		Stoppage (Out of bounds)	50	56
Q3 - 9:25	Heat	Heat defensive rebound	50 30.5%	56 69.5%
Q3 - 9:25	Magic	Markelle Fultz misses two point layup	50 29.5%	56 70.5%
Q3 - 9:35		Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo)	50	56
Q3 - 9:35	Heat	Tyler Herro personal foul (Loose ball) (Franz Wagner draws the foul)	50 27.2%	56 72.8%
Q3 - 9:35	Magic	Magic offensive rebound	50 27.2%	56 72.8%
Q3 - 9:35	Magic	Paolo Banchero misses three point jump shot	50 29.5%	56 70.5%
Q3 - 9:39	Magic	Wendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound	50 27.2%	56 72.8%
Q3 - 9:43	Heat	Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot	50 28.2%	56 71.8%
Q3 - 9:49	Magic	Paolo Banchero turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)	50 30.5%	56 69.5%
Q3 - 9:51	Magic	Markelle Fultz defensive rebound	50 27.2%	56 72.8%
Q3 - 9:54	Heat	Jimmy Butler misses two point driving layup	50 28.2%	56 71.8%
Q3 - 9:57	Heat	Jimmy Butler defensive rebound	50 30.5%	56 69.5%
Q3 - 10:03	Magic	Markelle Fultz misses two point pullup jump shot	50 29.9%	56 70.1%
Q3 - 10:17	Heat	Jimmy Butler makes two point tip layup	50 27.8%	56 72.2%
Q3 - 10:17	Heat	Jimmy Butler offensive rebound	48 25.5%	56 74.5%
Q3 - 10:20	Heat	Jimmy Butler misses two point layup	48 23.5%	56 76.5%
Q3 - 10:32	Heat	Jimmy Butler defensive rebound	48 25.5%	56 74.5%
Q3 - 10:36	Magic	Paolo Banchero misses two point jump shot	48 24.6%	56 75.4%
Q3 - 10:51	Heat	Bam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)	48 22.7%	56 77.3%
Q3 - 10:51	Heat	Bam Adebayo offensive foul (Franz Wagner draws the foul)	48 25.4%	56 74.6%
Q3 - 11:05	Magic	Franz Wagner turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)	48 25.7%	56 74.3%
Q3 - 11:22	Heat	Caleb Martin makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)	48 23.1%	56 76.9%
Q3 - 11:49	Magic	Markelle Fultz makes two point pullup jump shot	46 21.0%	56 79.0%
Q3 - 12:00		Magic lineup change (Franz Wagner, Gary Harris, Wendell Carter Jr., Paolo Banchero, Markelle Fultz)	46	54
Q3 - 12:00		Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)	46	54
Q2 - 0:00.0		End of 1st Half.	46 23.1%	54 76.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0	Magic	Magic offensive rebound	46 24.2%	54 75.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0	Magic	Markelle Fultz misses three point pullup jump shot	46 25.5%	54 74.5%
Q2 - 0:02.7	Heat	Max Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)	46 24.2%	54 75.8%
Q2 - 0:06.0		Stoppage (Out of bounds)	43	54
Q2 - 0:09.1	Heat	Jimmy Butler defensive rebound	43 19.4%	54 80.6%
Q2 - 0:12.4	Magic	Caleb Martin blocks Markelle Fultz's two point driving layup	43 18.9%	54 81.1%
Q2 - 0:32.0	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)	43 17.8%	54 82.2%
Q2 - 0:46.4	Magic	Wendell Carter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2	41 15.7%	54 84.3%
Q2 - 0:46.0		Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Tyler Herro, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo)	41	53
Q2 - 0:46.4	Magic	Wendell Carter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2	41 16.1%	53 83.9%
Q2 - 0:46.4	Heat	Gabe Vincent shooting foul (Wendell Carter Jr. draws the foul)	41 16.5%	52 83.5%
Q2 - 0:46.4	Magic	Wendell Carter Jr. offensive rebound	41 17.7%	52 82.3%
Q2 - 0:47.9	Magic	Gary Harris misses two point driving floating jump shot	41 18.8%	52 81.2%
Q2 - 1:07	Heat	Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2	41 18.7%	52 81.3%
Q2 - 1:07		Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Gary Harris, Wendell Carter Jr., Markelle Fultz, Bol Bol)	40	52
Q2 - 1:07		Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo)	40	52
Q2 - 1:07	Heat	Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2	40 18.4%	52 81.6%
Q2 - 1:07	Magic	Paolo Banchero personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)	39 18.2%	52 81.8%
Q2 - 1:10	Heat	Caleb Martin defensive rebound	39 16.4%	52 83.6%
Q2 - 1:14	Magic	Paolo Banchero misses three point pullup jump shot	39 16.0%	52 84.0%
Q2 - 1:34	Heat	Jimmy Butler makes two point layup (Bam Adebayo assists)	39 15.1%	52 84.9%
Q2 - 1:55	Magic	Markelle Fultz turnover (offensive foul)	37 13.2%	52 86.8%
Q2 - 1:55	Magic	Markelle Fultz offensive foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)	37 12.2%	52 87.8%
Q2 - 2:06	Heat	Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 2	37 12.7%	52 87.3%
Q2 - 2:06	Heat	Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 2	36 12.4%	52 87.6%
Q2 - 2:06	Magic	Gary Harris shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)	35 12.1%	52 87.9%
Q2 - 2:06	Heat	Caleb Martin offensive rebound	35 11.5%	52 88.5%
Q2 - 2:06	Heat	Tyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot	35 10.7%	52 89.3%
Q2 - 2:09	Heat	Caleb Martin offensive rebound	35 11.5%	52 88.5%
Q2 - 2:11	Heat	Gabe Vincent misses three point jump shot	35 10.6%	52 89.4%
Q2 - 2:20	Magic	Wendell Carter Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)	35 11.5%	52 88.5%
Q2 - 2:39	Magic	Wendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound	35 10.3%	52 89.7%
Q2 - 2:41	Heat	Jimmy Butler misses two point jump shot	35 10.6%	52 89.4%
Q2 - 2:55		Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Gary Harris, Wendell Carter Jr., Paolo Banchero, Markelle Fultz)	35	52
Q2 - 2:55		Magic 60 second timeout	35	52
Q2 - 2:55	Magic	Wendell Carter Jr. turnover (traveling)	35 11.5%	52 88.5%
Q2 - 3:00	Magic	Wendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound	35 10.2%	52 89.8%
Q2 - 3:04	Heat	Caleb Martin misses three point jump shot	35 11.4%	52 88.6%
Q2 - 3:24	Magic	Paolo Banchero makes two point layup (Wendell Carter Jr. assists)	35 12.3%	52 87.7%
Q2 - 3:37	Heat	Gabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 2	35 13.4%	50 86.6%
Q2 - 3:37		Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)	34	50
Q2 - 3:37	Heat	Gabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 2	34 13.2%	50 86.8%
Q2 - 3:37	Magic	Markelle Fultz personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)	33 13.1%	50 86.9%
Q2 - 3:43	Magic	Gary Harris makes three point jump shot (Franz Wagner assists)	33	50
Q2 - 3:51		Stoppage (Out of bounds)	33	47
Q2 - 4:02	Magic	Wendell Carter Jr. makes flagrant free throw 2 of 2	33 17.1%	47 82.9%
Q2 - 4:02	Magic	Wendell Carter Jr. makes flagrant free throw 1 of 2	33 16.0%	46 84.0%
Q2 - 4:02		Instant replay (Request: Ruling Overturned)	33	45
Q2 - 4:02	Heat	Gabe Vincent flagrant 1 (Wendell Carter Jr. draws the foul)	33 16.4%	45 83.6%
Q2 - 4:13	Heat	Orlando Robinson makes two point putback dunk	33 18.8%	45 81.2%
Q2 - 4:15	Heat	Orlando Robinson offensive rebound	31 17.1%	45 82.9%
Q2 - 4:18	Heat	Gabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot	31 16.0%	45 84.0%
Q2 - 4:22	Heat	Orlando Robinson offensive rebound	31 17.1%	45 82.9%
Q2 - 4:26	Heat	Jimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot	31 16.0%	45 84.0%
Q2 - 4:47	Heat	Orlando Robinson defensive rebound	31 17.1%	45 82.9%
Q2 - 4:49	Magic	Franz Wagner misses two point driving reverse layup	31 16.6%	45 83.4%
Q2 - 4:56	Heat	Caleb Martin personal foul (Franz Wagner draws the foul)	31 15.5%	45 84.5%
Q2 - 5:14	Heat	Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2	31 15.8%	45 84.2%
Q2 - 5:14		Magic lineup change (Franz Wagner, Gary Harris, Wendell Carter Jr., Paolo Banchero, Markelle Fultz)	30	45
Q2 - 5:14		Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Tyler Herro, Orlando Robinson)	30	45
Q2 - 5:14	Heat	Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2	30 15.6%	45 84.4%
Q2 - 5:14	Magic	Paolo Banchero shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)	29 15.4%	45 84.6%
Q2 - 5:18	Heat	Caleb Martin defensive rebound	29 14.6%	45 85.4%
Q2 - 5:20	Magic	Franz Wagner misses three point stepback jump shot	29 14.1%	45 85.9%
Q2 - 5:41	Magic	Paolo Banchero defensive rebound	29 13.0%	45 87.0%
Q2 - 5:45	Heat	Max Strus misses three point jump shot	29 13.5%	45 86.5%
Q2 - 6:00	Magic	Wendell Carter Jr. makes two point driving layup	29 14.6%	45 85.4%
Q2 - 6:14	Heat	Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2	29 16.3%	43 83.7%
Q2 - 6:14	Heat	Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2	28 16.1%	43 83.9%
Q2 - 6:14	Magic	Paolo Banchero shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)	27 15.9%	43 84.1%
Q2 - 6:14	Heat	Jimmy Butler offensive rebound	27 15.2%	43 84.8%
Q2 - 6:16	Heat	Jalen Suggs blocks Jimmy Butler's two point cutting layup	27 14.1%	43 85.9%
Q2 - 6:30		Magic lineup change (Franz Wagner, Jalen Suggs, Cole Anthony, Wendell Carter Jr., Paolo Banchero)	27	43
Q2 - 6:30		Heat 60 second timeout	27	43
Q2 - 6:30	Magic	Jalen Suggs makes two point running layup	27 15.2%	43 84.8%
Q2 - 6:34	Heat	Max Strus turnover (bad pass) (Jalen Suggs steals)	27 16.3%	41 83.7%
Q2 - 6:56	Magic	Jalen Suggs makes three point jump shot (Moritz Wagner assists)	27 18.2%	41 81.8%
Q2 - 7:08		Stoppage (Blood rule)	27	38
Q2 - 7:10	Heat	Caleb Martin makes two point turnaround bank jump shot	27 21.9%	38 78.1%
Q2 - 7:22		Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo)	25	38
Q2 - 7:22	Magic	Franz Wagner personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)	25 20.2%	38 79.8%
Q2 - 7:23	Heat	Bam Adebayo defensive rebound	25 20.2%	38 79.8%
Q2 - 7:27	Magic	Franz Wagner misses two point driving floating jump shot	25 19.7%	38 80.3%
Q2 - 7:38	Magic	Franz Wagner defensive rebound	25 18.4%	38 81.6%
Q2 - 7:42	Heat	Haywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot	25 19.0%	38 81.0%
Q2 - 7:52	Magic	Moritz Wagner personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)	25 20.2%	38 79.8%
Q2 - 7:52	Heat	Heat offensive rebound	25 20.2%	38 79.8%
Q2 - 7:53	Heat	Max Strus misses three point jump shot	25 19.0%	38 81.0%
Q2 - 8:12	Magic	Jalen Suggs makes three point jump shot (Moritz Wagner assists)	25 20.5%	38 79.5%
Q2 - 8:23	Heat	Heat turnover (shot clock violation)	25 23.9%	35 76.1%
Q2 - 8:23	Heat	Heat offensive rebound	25 26.0%	35 74.0%
Q2 - 8:23	Heat	Max Strus misses three point jump shot	25 24.6%	35 75.4%
Q2 - 8:36	Heat	Bam Adebayo offensive rebound	25 26.0%	35 74.0%
Q2 - 8:40	Heat	Gabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot	25 24.5%	35 75.5%
Q2 - 8:56	Magic	Franz Wagner turnover (offensive foul)	25 26.0%	35 74.0%
Q2 - 8:56	Magic	Franz Wagner offensive foul (Charge) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)	25 23.9%	35 76.1%
Q2 - 9:15	Heat	Haywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)	25 24.1%	35 75.9%
Q2 - 9:25	Heat	Tyler Herro defensive rebound	22 20.7%	35 79.3%
Q2 - 9:28	Magic	Jalen Suggs misses three point jump shot	22 20.1%	35 79.9%
Q2 - 9:39		Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo)	22	35
Q2 - 9:39	Heat	Max Strus personal foul (Franz Wagner draws the foul)	22 19.0%	35 81.0%
Q2 - 9:52	Heat	Orlando Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Moritz Wagner steals)	22 19.0%	35 81.0%
Q2 - 10:07	Magic	Jalen Suggs makes two point alley-oop layup (Franz Wagner assists)	22 21.2%	35 78.8%
Q2 - 10:19	Heat	Jamaree Bouyea turnover (offensive foul)	22 22.8%	33 77.2%
Q2 - 10:19	Heat	Jamaree Bouyea offensive foul (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)	22 24.7%	33 75.3%
Q2 - 10:25	Heat	Orlando Robinson defensive rebound	22 24.7%	33 75.3%
Q2 - 10:28	Magic	Jamaree Bouyea blocks Cole Anthony's two point running layup	22 24.1%	33 75.9%
Q2 - 10:30	Magic	Cole Anthony defensive rebound	22 22.8%	33 77.2%
Q2 - 10:32	Heat	Cole Anthony blocks Haywood Highsmith's two point putback layup	22 23.3%	33 76.7%
Q2 - 10:33	Heat	Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound	22 24.7%	33 75.3%
Q2 - 10:35	Heat	Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot	22 23.3%	33 76.7%
Q2 - 10:52	Magic	Franz Wagner makes regular free throw 2 of 2	22 24.6%	33 75.4%
Q2 - 10:52	Magic	Franz Wagner makes regular free throw 1 of 2	22 24.9%	32 75.1%
Q2 - 10:52	Heat	Haywood Highsmith shooting foul (Franz Wagner draws the foul)	22 25.1%	31 74.9%
Q2 - 11:18	Heat	Haywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)	22 27.2%	31 72.8%
Q2 - 11:40	Magic	Moritz Wagner makes two point cutting layup (Jalen Suggs assists)	19 23.5%	31 76.5%
Q2 - 12:00		Magic lineup change (Franz Wagner, Jalen Suggs, Moritz Wagner, Cole Anthony, Bol Bol)	19	29
Q2 - 12:00		Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Jamaree Bouyea, Tyler Herro, Max Strus, Orlando Robinson)	19	29
Q1 - 0:00.0		End of 1st Quarter.	19 25.3%	29 74.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0	Magic	Magic offensive rebound	19 25.3%	29 74.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0	Magic	Haywood Highsmith blocks Cole Anthony's two point driving floating jump shot	19 26.5%	29 73.5%
Q1 - 0:07.3	Magic	Moritz Wagner offensive rebound	19 25.7%	29 74.3%
Q1 - 0:09.6	Magic	Cole Anthony misses three point jump shot	19 26.8%	29 73.2%
Q1 - 0:28.7	Magic	Bol Bol defensive rebound	19 25.7%	29 74.3%
Q1 - 0:31.5	Heat	Orlando Robinson misses regular free throw 2 of 2	19 25.9%	29 74.1%
Q1 - 0:31.5	Heat	Orlando Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 2	19 27.0%	29 73.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0		Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Caleb Martin, Tyler Herro, Max Strus, Orlando Robinson)	18	29
Q1 - 0:31.5	Magic	Moritz Wagner shooting foul (Orlando Robinson draws the foul)	18 26.5%	29 73.5%
Q1 - 0:39.3	Magic	Jalen Suggs makes three point running jump shot (Cole Anthony assists)	18 25.5%	29 74.5%
Q1 - 0:42.1	Magic	Cole Anthony defensive rebound	18 29.4%	26 70.6%
Q1 - 0:45.7	Heat	Moritz Wagner blocks Tyler Herro's three point fadeaway jump shot	18 29.9%	26 70.1%
Q1 - 0:50.0		Stoppage (Out of bounds)	18	26
Q1 - 0:50.0	Heat	Heat offensive rebound	18 31.2%	26 68.8%
Q1 - 0:51.0	Heat	Max Strus misses two point driving finger roll layup	18 29.9%	26 70.1%
Q1 - 1:06	Heat	Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound	18 31.5%	26 68.5%
Q1 - 1:10	Magic	Moritz Wagner misses three point jump shot	18 30.9%	26 69.1%
Q1 - 1:17	Magic	Cole Anthony defensive rebound	18 29.7%	26 70.3%
Q1 - 1:21	Heat	Tyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot	18 30.2%	26 69.8%
Q1 - 1:29		Stoppage (Out of bounds)	18	26
Q1 - 1:46	Magic	Bol Bol turnover (offensive foul)	18 31.4%	26 68.6%
Q1 - 1:46	Magic	Bol Bol offensive foul (Charge) (Max Strus draws the foul)	18 29.7%	26 70.3%
Q1 - 2:01		Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Moritz Wagner, Cole Anthony, Jonathan Isaac, Bol Bol)	18	26
Q1 - 2:01		Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Jamaree Bouyea, Tyler Herro, Max Strus, Orlando Robinson)	18	26
Q1 - 2:01		Stoppage (Out of bounds)	18	26
Q1 - 2:05	Magic	Paolo Banchero defensive rebound	18 30.1%	26 69.9%
Q1 - 2:08	Heat	Tyler Herro misses two point reverse layup	18 30.7%	26 69.3%
Q1 - 2:22	Magic	Wendell Carter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jalen Suggs assists)	18 32.1%	26 67.9%
Q1 - 2:31	Magic	Jonathan Isaac defensive rebound	18 36.0%	23 64.0%
Q1 - 2:34	Heat	Tyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot	18 36.7%	23 63.3%
Q1 - 2:43	Heat	Bam Adebayo defensive rebound	18 38.2%	23 61.8%
Q1 - 2:47	Magic	Jonathan Isaac misses two point jump shot	18 37.5%	23 62.5%
Q1 - 2:51	Magic	Paolo Banchero offensive rebound	18 36.0%	23 64.0%
Q1 - 2:53	Magic	Paolo Banchero misses two point layup	18 37.5%	23 62.5%
Q1 - 3:11	Heat	Gabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot	18 35.9%	23 64.1%
Q1 - 3:31	Magic	Markelle Fultz makes two point running layup	16 34.3%	23 65.7%
Q1 - 3:35	Heat	Tyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Jalen Suggs steals)	16 35.9%	21 64.1%
Q1 - 3:45		Heat 60 second timeout	16	21
Q1 - 3:53	Magic	Paolo Banchero makes two point floating jump shot	16 38.4%	21 61.6%
Q1 - 3:55	Magic	Paolo Banchero offensive rebound	16 40.1%	19 59.9%
Q1 - 3:57	Magic	Paolo Banchero misses three point pullup jump shot	16 41.9%	19 58.1%
Q1 - 4:18	Heat	Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)	16 41.1%	19 58.9%
Q1 - 4:37		Stoppage (Out of bounds)	13	19
Q1 - 4:37	Heat	Heat offensive rebound	13 37.8%	19 62.2%
Q1 - 4:38	Heat	Jalen Suggs blocks Bam Adebayo's two point running layup	13 36.3%	19 63.7%
Q1 - 4:38	Heat	Bam Adebayo defensive rebound	13 37.8%	19 62.2%
Q1 - 4:42	Magic	Jalen Suggs misses two point jump shot	13 37.2%	19 62.8%
Q1 - 4:44		Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Jonathan Isaac, Wendell Carter Jr., Paolo Banchero, Markelle Fultz)	13	19
Q1 - 4:44		Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo)	13	19
Q1 - 4:44		Stoppage (Out of bounds)	13	19
Q1 - 4:44	Heat	Bam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds step)	13 35.7%	19 64.3%
Q1 - 4:46	Magic	Paolo Banchero turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)	13 37.8%	19 62.2%
Q1 - 5:08	Heat	Gabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)	13 36.4%	19 63.6%
Q1 - 5:16	Heat	Jimmy Butler defensive rebound	10 33.4%	19 66.6%
Q1 - 5:19	Magic	Markelle Fultz misses two point fadeaway jump shot	10 32.9%	19 67.1%
Q1 - 5:33	Magic	Paolo Banchero defensive rebound	10 31.9%	19 68.1%
Q1 - 5:35	Heat	Max Strus misses three point pullup jump shot	10 32.4%	19 67.6%
Q1 - 5:42		Gary Harris kicked ball violation	10	19
Q1 - 5:54	Magic	Markelle Fultz makes regular free throw 2 of 2	10 33.8%	19 66.2%
Q1 - 5:54		Magic lineup change (Gary Harris, Jonathan Isaac, Wendell Carter Jr., Paolo Banchero, Markelle Fultz)	10	18
Q1 - 5:54	Magic	Markelle Fultz makes regular free throw 1 of 2	10 34.1%	18 65.9%
Q1 - 5:54	Heat	Gabe Vincent shooting foul (Markelle Fultz draws the foul)	10 34.5%	17 65.5%
Q1 - 6:05	Heat	Max Strus turnover (bad pass) (Gary Harris steals)	10 35.7%	17 64.3%
Q1 - 6:15	Heat	Bam Adebayo defensive rebound	10 37.4%	17 62.6%
Q1 - 6:17	Magic	Wendell Carter Jr. misses two point turnaround jump shot	10 36.9%	17 63.1%
Q1 - 6:38		Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo)	10	17
Q1 - 6:38		Magic 60 second timeout	10	17
Q1 - 6:38	Heat	Jimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds step)	10 36.1%	17 63.9%
Q1 - 6:54	Magic	Markelle Fultz makes three point running jump shot (Franz Wagner assists)	10 37.8%	17 62.2%
Q1 - 7:00	Heat	Bam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Franz Wagner steals)	10 40.9%	14 59.1%
Q1 - 7:10	Magic	Wendell Carter Jr. makes two point alley-oop dunk (Franz Wagner assists)	10 42.8%	14 57.2%
Q1 - 7:26	Heat	Tyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot	10 44.2%	12 55.8%
Q1 - 7:49	Magic	Franz Wagner turnover (traveling)	8 43.1%	12 56.9%
Q1 - 7:50	Magic	Paolo Banchero defensive rebound	8 41.6%	12 58.4%
Q1 - 7:54	Heat	Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot	8 42.1%	12 57.9%
Q1 - 7:59	Heat	Gabe Vincent offensive rebound	8 43.2%	12 56.8%
Q1 - 8:02	Heat	Bam Adebayo misses two point finger roll layup	8 42.4%	12 57.6%
Q1 - 8:25	Magic	Gary Harris makes three point jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)	8 43.6%	12 56.4%
Q1 - 8:38	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot	8 46.2%	9 53.8%
Q1 - 8:47	Heat	Bam Adebayo defensive rebound	6 45.1%	9 54.9%
Q1 - 8:49	Magic	Gary Harris misses two point pullup jump shot	6 44.7%	9 55.3%
Q1 - 8:59	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2	6 43.9%	9 56.1%
Q1 - 8:59	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2	5 43.7%	9 56.3%
Q1 - 8:59	Magic	Wendell Carter Jr. shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)	4 43.4%	9 56.6%
Q1 - 9:17	Magic	Wendell Carter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Paolo Banchero assists)	4 43.2%	9 56.8%
Q1 - 9:29	Magic	Paolo Banchero defensive rebound	4 45.5%	6 54.5%
Q1 - 9:32	Heat	Jimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot	4 45.9%	6 54.1%
Q1 - 9:49	Heat	Caleb Martin defensive rebound	4 46.8%	6 53.2%
Q1 - 9:53	Magic	Franz Wagner misses regular free throw 1 of 1	4 46.7%	6 53.3%
Q1 - 9:53	Heat	Tyler Herro shooting foul (Franz Wagner draws the foul)	4 46.0%	6 54.0%
Q1 - 9:53	Magic	Franz Wagner makes two point cutting layup (Markelle Fultz assists)	4	6
Q1 - 10:00	Heat	Jimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)	4 47.7%	4 52.3%
Q1 - 10:08	Heat	Bam Adebayo defensive rebound	2 46.9%	4 53.1%
Q1 - 10:13	Magic	Gary Harris misses three point running pullup jump shot	2 46.6%	4 53.4%
Q1 - 10:15	Magic	Gary Harris defensive rebound	2 46.1%	4 53.9%
Q1 - 10:19	Heat	Tyler Herro misses two point jump shot	2 46.4%	4 53.6%
Q1 - 10:29	Magic	Paolo Banchero makes two point cutting layup (Markelle Fultz assists)	2 47.1%	4 52.9%
Q1 - 10:44	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes two point driving layup	2 47.8%	2 52.2%
Q1 - 10:56	Heat	Bam Adebayo defensive rebound	0 47.3%	2 52.7%
Q1 - 10:59	Magic	Markelle Fultz misses two point floating jump shot	0 47.2%	2 52.8%
Q1 - 11:04	Heat	Gabe Vincent turnover (lost ball) (Gary Harris steals)	0 46.9%	2 53.1%
Q1 - 11:12	Magic	Paolo Banchero makes two point alley-oop layup (Wendell Carter Jr. assists)	0 47.5%	2 52.5%
Q1 - 11:30	Magic	Franz Wagner defensive rebound	0 48.0%	0 52.0%
Q1 - 11:32	Heat	Caleb Martin misses three point jump shot	0 48.1%	0 51.9%
Q1 - 12:00		Bam Adebayo vs. Wendell Carter Jr. (Jimmy Butler gains possession)	0 48.2%	0 51.8%
Q1 - 12:00		Magic lineup change (Franz Wagner, Gary Harris, Wendell Carter Jr., Paolo Banchero, Markelle Fultz)	0	0
Q1 - 12:00		Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)	0	0
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	ORL
			Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.07 53.5%

ORL

1.04 52.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

63%

ORL

56%

Midrange

MIA

50%

ORL

29%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

18.0

31%

46%

ORL

16.5

38%

57%

Free Throws

MIA

91%

ORL

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Herro	23	50%	11.5 / 23
J. Butler	22	52%	11.0 / 21
G. Vincent	20	71%	10.0 / 14
B. Adebayo	13	54%	6.5 / 12
M. Strus	12	50%	6.0 / 12
C. Martin	8	50%	4.0 / 8
H. Highsmith	6	75%	3.0 / 4
O. Robinson	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Fultz	17	57%	8.5 / 15
P. Banchero	16	44%	8.0 / 18
W. Carter	14	117%	7.0 / 6
J. Suggs	14	88%	7.0 / 8
M. Wagner	14	70%	7.0 / 10
F. Wagner	10	31%	5.0 / 16
C. Anthony	7	39%	3.5 / 9
G. Harris	6	33%	3.0 / 9
J. Isaac	3	38%	1.5 / 4
B. Bol	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA

+17

-19

100

ORL

+15

-18

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.07 53.5%

ORL

1.04 52.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	112.9 111.9	MIA 104.9 +3.9 ORL 101.0
Pace	96.3 99.1	MIA 87.4 ORL 97.9 +10.5
Avg. Poss. Time	15.0 14.4	MIA 16.5 ORL 14.7 −1.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	53.0% 53.2%	MIA 50.6% +1.7% ORL 48.9%
TO %	13.2% 14.4%	MIA 17.4% ORL 15.6% −1.8%
ORB %	22.8% 23.8%	MIA 25.6% +0.1% ORL 25.5%
FTrt	27.0 29.0	MIA 27.1 +0.7 ORL 26.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	60.8% 57.4%	MIA 64.9% +5.4% ORL 59.5%
STL %	8.2% 7.4%	MIA 6.9% ORL 11.8% +4.9%
BLK %	6.3% 9.4%	MIA 10.3% ORL 10.9% +0.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	55.9% 56.1%	MIA 53.5% +1.5% ORL 52.0%
Rim FG%	62.6% 63.6%	MIA 62.5% +6.6% ORL 55.9%
Mid FG%	45.3% 40.5%	MIA 50.0% +20.8% ORL 29.2%
3P %	34.4% 34.6%	MIA 30.8% ORL 37.9% +7.1%
FT %	83.1% 78.4%	MIA 91.3% +13.0% ORL 78.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29.9% 37.3%	MIA 18.8% ORL 39.1% +20.3%
Mid Att. %	29.4% 26.6%	MIA 35.3% ORL 27.6% −7.7%
3P Att. %	40.8% 36.1%	MIA 45.9% +12.5% ORL 33.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	ORL
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	28.0	25.0
Points	107	103
Rebounds	46	44
Assists	24	22
Steals	7	12
Blocks	6	5
Turnovers (Team)	19 (1)	18 (0)
Fouls	22	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (6)	12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (2)	32 (1)
Field Goals	37-85	37-87
At-the-Rim FG	10-16	19-34
Midrange FG	15-30	7-24
2-Point FG	25-46	26-58
3-Point FG	12-39	11-29
Free Throws	21-23	18-23
Fast Break Pts	5	17
2nd Chance Pts	14	6
Points in Paint	42	46
Pts off Turnovers	17	24
Bench Points	21	40
Biggest Lead	5	17

BOXSCORE

9 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	47.0	23	50%	2	1	0	0	4	5	0	2	1-1	100%	8-13	62%	2-10	20%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26	43.4	13	54%	17	6	2	1	4	2	1	16	3-4	75%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	41.1	20	71%	2	2	1	0	2	4	1	1	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	4-10	40%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	33.7	22	52%	7	6	2	2	3	2	2	5	8-8	100%	7-16	44%	0-1	0%
Caleb Martin #16 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 27	25.6	8	50%	7	1	2	1	1	1	3	4	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%

Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	39.2	12	50%	4	7	0	0	3	4	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	4-11	36%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	16.1	6	75%	3	0	0	1	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	9.6	3	75%	4	1	0	0	1	1	2	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jamaree Bouyea #11 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 24	9.3	0	0%	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43	NWT - Not With Team
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 2nd Finger; Surgery
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Stress reaction
Omer Yurtseven #77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	107	54%	46	24	7	6	19	22	11	35	21-23	91%	25-46	54%	12-39	31%

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9 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	47.0	23	50%	2	1	0	0	4	5	0	2	1-1	100%	8-13	62%	2-10	20%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26	43.4	13	54%	17	6	2	1	4	2	1	16	3-4	75%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	41.1	20	71%	2	2	1	0	2	4	1	1	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	4-10	40%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	33.7	22	52%	7	6	2	2	3	2	2	5	8-8	100%	7-16	44%	0-1	0%
Caleb Martin #16 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 27	25.6	8	50%	7	1	2	1	1	1	3	4	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%

Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	39.2	12	50%	4	7	0	0	3	4	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	4-11	36%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	16.1	6	75%	3	0	0	1	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	9.6	3	75%	4	1	0	0	1	1	2	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jamaree Bouyea #11 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 24	9.3	0	0%	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43	NWT - Not With Team
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 2nd Finger; Surgery
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Stress reaction
Omer Yurtseven #77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	107	54%	46	24	7	6	19	22	11	35	21-23	91%	25-46	54%	12-39	31%

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23 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21	35.9	10	31%	4	4	1	0	4	3	0	4	2-3	67%	4-11	36%	0-4	0%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 20	33.8	16	44%	13	1	0	0	3	4	5	8	4-4	100%	6-12	50%	0-4	0%
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 25	33.0	17	57%	4	3	1	0	4	5	1	3	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	1-2	50%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 24	31.8	14	117%	6	3	1	0	4	2	2	4	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	2-2	100%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 28	28.0	6	33%	2	0	2	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-6	33%

Jalen Suggs #4 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	27.9	14	88%	0	2	4	3	0	2	0	0	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	3-4	75%
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 26	21.3	14	70%	3	2	2	1	0	3	2	1	4-6	67%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23	19.9	7	39%	4	6	0	1	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Bol Bol #10 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 23	19.2	2	50%	4	1	0	0	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 25	14.3	3	38%	4	0	1	0	1	0	1	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Admiral Schofield #25 · PF · 6'5" 241 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Chuma Okeke #3 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Kevon Harris #7 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Terrence Ross #31 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
Patrick Beverley #21 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 35	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	103	52%	44	22	12	5	18	24	12	32	18-23	78%	26-58	45%	11-29	38%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE