Final Win Prob. pScore
1643%105
112
857%108
108
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo Nuggets
124.49092.1
MIA logo Heat
120.09089.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.112
108
Q4 - 0:01.6HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound112
108
Q4 - 0:01.6NuggetsBruce Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 2112
108
Q4 - 0:01.6NuggetsBruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2112
108
Q4 - 0:01.0Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Max Strus, Jamaree Bouyea, Bam Adebayo)111
108
Q4 - 0:01.6HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Take) (Bruce Brown draws the foul)111
108
Q4 - 0:03.3Nuggets lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Vlatko Cancar, Michael Porter Jr.)111
108
Q4 - 0:03.3Nuggets 60 second timeout111
108
Q4 - 0:03.3NuggetsVlatko Cancar defensive rebound111
108
Q4 - 0:05.0HeatMax Strus misses regular free throw 3 of 3111
108
Q4 - 0:05.0Nuggets lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Vlatko Cancar)111
108
Q4 - 0:05.0HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 3111
108
Q4 - 0:05.0HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 3111
107
Q4 - 0:05.0NuggetsBruce Brown shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)111
106
Q4 - 0:06.9Heat 60 second timeout111
106
Q4 - 0:06.9HeatMax Strus defensive rebound111
106
Q4 - 0:07.3NuggetsChristian Braun misses regular free throw 2 of 2111
106
Q4 - 0:07.3NuggetsChristian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 2111
106
Q4 - 0:07.3HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Take) (Christian Braun draws the foul)110
106
Q4 - 0:08.2NuggetsChristian Braun defensive rebound110
106
Q4 - 0:11.5HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot110
106
Q4 - 0:13.1Stoppage (Out of bounds)110
106
Q4 - 0:13.1HeatHeat offensive rebound110
106
Q4 - 0:13.7HeatJimmy Butler misses two point cutting layup110
106
Q4 - 0:16.4Nuggets lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Vlatko Cancar, Christian Braun)110
106
Q4 - 0:16.4Heat 60 second timeout110
106
Q4 - 0:16.4HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound110
106
Q4 - 0:19.5NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot110
106
Q4 - 0:31.4NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound110
106
Q4 - 0:34.0HeatMax Strus misses two point driving floating jump shot110
106
Q4 - 0:47.9HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound110
106
Q4 - 0:50.7NuggetsBam Adebayo blocks Bruce Brown's two point driving layup110
106
Q4 - 1:06HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving bank jump shot110
106
Q4 - 1:17HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound110
104
Q4 - 1:23NuggetsBruce Brown misses three point jump shot110
104
Q4 - 1:31HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Vlatko Cancar draws the foul)110
104
Q4 - 1:41Instant replay (Request: Stands)110
104
Q4 - 1:41HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive goaltending)110
104
Q4 - 2:02NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround bank jump shot110
104
Q4 - 2:23HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
104
Q4 - 2:23HeatMax Strus misses regular free throw 1 of 2108
103
Q4 - 2:23NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)108
103
Q4 - 2:30NuggetsVlatko Cancar turnover (out of bounds bad pass)108
103
Q4 - 2:49HeatMax Strus turnover (offensive foul)108
103
Q4 - 2:49HeatMax Strus offensive foul (Off the ball) (Vlatko Cancar draws the foul)108
103
Q4 - 3:01HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound108
103
Q4 - 3:04NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot108
103
Q4 - 3:19HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
103
Q4 - 3:19Nuggets 60 second timeout108
102
Q4 - 3:19HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
102
Q4 - 3:19NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)108
101
Q4 - 3:34NuggetsBruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Vlatko Cancar assists)108
101
Q4 - 4:04HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)105
101
Q4 - 4:10NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)105
98
Q4 - 4:30Nuggets lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Vlatko Cancar, Michael Porter Jr.)105
98
Q4 - 4:30HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)105
98
Q4 - 4:30HeatHeat offensive rebound105
98
Q4 - 4:32HeatVlatko Cancar blocks Max Strus's three point jump shot105
98
Q4 - 4:57NuggetsVlatko Cancar makes two point cutting layup (Nikola Jokic assists)105
98
Q4 - 5:09HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2103
98
Q4 - 5:09HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2103
97
Q4 - 5:09NuggetsBruce Brown personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)103
96
Q4 - 5:23Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent, Bam Adebayo)103
96
Q4 - 5:23Heat 60 second timeout103
96
Q4 - 5:23NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point driving layup (Christian Braun assists)103
96
Q4 - 5:29NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound101
96
Q4 - 5:31HeatJamaree Bouyea misses two point floating jump shot101
96
Q4 - 5:41HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound101
96
Q4 - 5:45NuggetsVlatko Cancar misses three point jump shot101
96
Q4 - 5:55NuggetsVlatko Cancar defensive rebound101
96
Q4 - 5:57HeatMichael Porter Jr. blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving floating jump shot101
96
Q4 - 6:09NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)101
96
Q4 - 6:25HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving finger roll layup (Max Strus assists)99
96
Q4 - 6:33Heat lineup change (Orlando Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Max Strus, Jamaree Bouyea)99
94
Q4 - 6:33Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Vlatko Cancar, Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr.)99
94
Q4 - 6:33NuggetsJeff Green personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)99
94
Q4 - 6:33HeatHeat offensive rebound99
94
Q4 - 6:34HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot99
94
Q4 - 6:49NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point tip layup99
94
Q4 - 6:49NuggetsChristian Braun offensive rebound97
94
Q4 - 6:52NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point running jump shot97
94
Q4 - 6:57HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Michael Porter Jr. steals)97
94
Q4 - 7:02HeatMax Strus defensive rebound97
94
Q4 - 7:05NuggetsJamaree Bouyea blocks Jeff Green's two point driving layup97
94
Q4 - 7:23Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Max Strus, Jamaree Bouyea, Bam Adebayo)97
94
Q4 - 7:23Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Jeff Green, Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr.)97
94
Q4 - 7:23HeatJamaree Bouyea turnover (traveling)97
94
Q4 - 7:33Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus, Jamaree Bouyea, Bam Adebayo)97
94
Q4 - 7:33NuggetsChristian Braun personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)97
94
Q4 - 7:45NuggetsJeff Green makes two point cutting layup (Ish Smith assists)97
94
Q4 - 7:59HeatMax Strus makes two point driving reverse layup (Gabe Vincent assists)95
94
Q4 - 8:24NuggetsJeff Green makes regular free throw 2 of 295
92
Q4 - 8:24NuggetsJeff Green makes regular free throw 1 of 294
92
Q4 - 8:24HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jeff Green draws the foul)93
92
Q4 - 8:36HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Max Strus assists)93
92
Q4 - 8:46NuggetsThomas Bryant personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)93
90
Q4 - 9:03NuggetsThomas Bryant makes two point jump shot (Ish Smith assists)93
90
Q4 - 9:24HeatJamaree Bouyea makes two point running reverse layup91
90
Q4 - 9:29NuggetsJeff Green turnover (bad pass) (Jamaree Bouyea steals)91
88
Q4 - 9:40NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope offensive rebound91
88
Q4 - 9:44NuggetsIsh Smith misses two point pullup jump shot91
88
Q4 - 9:58Nuggets 60 second timeout91
88
Q4 - 9:58HeatMax Strus makes two point driving bank jump shot (Jamaree Bouyea assists)91
88
Q4 - 10:03NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (lost ball) (Jamaree Bouyea steals)91
86
Q4 - 10:15HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)91
86
Q4 - 10:40NuggetsIsh Smith makes two point driving layup91
83
Q4 - 10:54NuggetsJeff Green defensive rebound89
83
Q4 - 10:57HeatJamaree Bouyea misses three point pullup jump shot89
83
Q4 - 11:09NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)89
83
Q4 - 11:17HeatJamaree Bouyea defensive rebound89
83
Q4 - 11:19NuggetsJeff Green misses three point jump shot89
83
Q4 - 11:38NuggetsThomas Bryant defensive rebound89
83
Q4 - 11:40HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot89
83
Q4 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Max Strus, Jamaree Bouyea, Gabe Vincent, Bam Adebayo)89
83
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.89
83
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound89
83
Q3 - 0:00.9HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot89
83
Q3 - 0:08.0HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound89
83
Q3 - 0:11.7HeatGabe Vincent misses two point pullup jump shot89
83
Q3 - 0:31.8HeatMax Strus defensive rebound89
83
Q3 - 0:33.6NuggetsJeff Green misses two point driving reverse layup89
83
Q3 - 0:50.1HeatMax Strus makes two point driving bank jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)89
83
Q3 - 0:57.9HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound89
81
Q3 - 1:01NuggetsIsh Smith misses two point pullup jump shot89
81
Q3 - 1:21HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point tip dunk89
81
Q3 - 1:22HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound89
79
Q3 - 1:24HeatGabe Vincent misses two point floating jump shot89
79
Q3 - 1:43HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound89
79
Q3 - 1:45NuggetsChristian Braun misses two point running layup89
79
Q3 - 1:48HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Christian Braun steals)89
79
Q3 - 1:56Nuggets lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jeff Green, Ish Smith, Christian Braun)89
79
Q3 - 1:56Nuggets 60 second timeout89
79
Q3 - 1:56Nikola Jokic kicked ball violation89
79
Q3 - 2:04NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving layup (Christian Braun assists)89
79
Q3 - 2:22HeatMax Strus makes two point driving bank jump shot (Jamaree Bouyea assists)87
79
Q3 - 2:42HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound87
77
Q3 - 2:44NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point driving reverse layup87
77
Q3 - 2:57NuggetsIsh Smith defensive rebound87
77
Q3 - 2:59HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot87
77
Q3 - 3:14NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point layup87
77
Q3 - 3:29Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Orlando Robinson, Max Strus, Jamaree Bouyea, Gabe Vincent)85
77
Q3 - 3:29Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jeff Green, Ish Smith, Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr.)85
77
Q3 - 3:29Stoppage (Out of bounds)85
77
Q3 - 3:30NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound85
77
Q3 - 3:34HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot85
77
Q3 - 3:40HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound85
77
Q3 - 3:42NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot85
77
Q3 - 3:53Stoppage (Out of bounds)85
77
Q3 - 4:07HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)85
77
Q3 - 4:26NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point running jump shot (Bruce Brown assists)85
75
Q3 - 4:30NuggetsBruce Brown defensive rebound82
75
Q3 - 4:34HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot82
75
Q3 - 4:46NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point floating jump shot (Vlatko Cancar assists)82
75
Q3 - 5:05HeatJamaree Bouyea makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)80
75
Q3 - 5:29Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Orlando Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus, Jamaree Bouyea)80
73
Q3 - 5:29Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Vlatko Cancar, Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr.)80
73
Q3 - 5:29Heat 60 second timeout80
73
Q3 - 5:29NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point cutting layup (Vlatko Cancar assists)80
73
Q3 - 5:38NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound78
73
Q3 - 5:41HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot78
73
Q3 - 5:50NuggetsVlatko Cancar makes two point driving layup78
73
Q3 - 6:07HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Max Strus assists)76
73
Q3 - 6:26NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)76
71
Q3 - 6:43HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving reverse layup74
71
Q3 - 7:03NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. personal foul (Loose ball) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)74
69
Q3 - 7:03HeatHeat defensive rebound74
69
Q3 - 7:03NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point running pullup jump shot74
69
Q3 - 7:06NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound74
69
Q3 - 7:09HeatJamaree Bouyea misses two point driving floating bank jump shot74
69
Q3 - 7:17Stoppage (Out of bounds)74
69
Q3 - 7:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound74
69
Q3 - 7:21NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point running jump shot74
69
Q3 - 7:25NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound74
69
Q3 - 7:27HeatMax Strus misses three point stepback jump shot74
69
Q3 - 7:49NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 274
69
Q3 - 7:49Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Max Strus, Jamaree Bouyea, Bam Adebayo)73
69
Q3 - 7:49NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 273
69
Q3 - 7:49HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)72
69
Q3 - 7:56HeatGabe Vincent turnover (lost ball) (Vlatko Cancar steals)72
69
Q3 - 7:57HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound72
69
Q3 - 8:01NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot72
69
Q3 - 8:21NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound72
69
Q3 - 8:24HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot72
69
Q3 - 8:40NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)72
69
Q3 - 8:49NuggetsVlatko Cancar defensive rebound70
69
Q3 - 8:53HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot70
69
Q3 - 9:07NuggetsBruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)70
69
Q3 - 9:16HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 167
69
Q3 - 9:16NuggetsBruce Brown shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)67
68
Q3 - 9:16HeatGabe Vincent makes two point floating jump shot67
68
Q3 - 9:22Stoppage (Out of bounds)67
66
Q3 - 9:22HeatHeat offensive rebound67
66
Q3 - 9:24HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup67
66
Q3 - 9:36HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound67
66
Q3 - 9:39NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point running pullup jump shot67
66
Q3 - 9:42NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound67
66
Q3 - 9:43HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving floating jump shot67
66
Q3 - 9:50NuggetsBruce Brown turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)67
66
Q3 - 10:04HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 267
66
Q3 - 10:04HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 267
65
Q3 - 10:04NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)67
64
Q3 - 10:17NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (traveling)67
64
Q3 - 10:25NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound67
64
Q3 - 10:27HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot67
64
Q3 - 10:44NuggetsBruce Brown turnover (out of bounds bad pass)67
64
Q3 - 10:54HeatJimmy Butler makes two point alley-oop layup (Bam Adebayo assists)67
64
Q3 - 11:12NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point cutting layup (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)67
62
Q3 - 11:17NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound65
62
Q3 - 11:19HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot65
62
Q3 - 11:35HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound65
62
Q3 - 11:37NuggetsVlatko Cancar misses three point jump shot65
62
Q3 - 11:49HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Loose ball) (Vlatko Cancar draws the foul)65
62
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent, Bam Adebayo)65
62
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.65
62
Q2 - 0:00.2NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound65
62
Q2 - 0:00.9HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup65
62
Q2 - 0:16.7HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 165
62
Q2 - 0:16.7NuggetsNikola Jokic technical foul65
61
Q2 - 0:16.7NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point layup (Vlatko Cancar assists)65
61
Q2 - 0:32.6HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot63
61
Q2 - 0:45.4NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot63
59
Q2 - 1:04NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound61
59
Q2 - 1:06HeatGabe Vincent misses three point stepback jump shot61
59
Q2 - 1:18NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point cutting dunk (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)61
59
Q2 - 1:36HeatJimmy Butler makes three point stepback jump shot59
59
Q2 - 1:47NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)59
56
Q2 - 2:04HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 256
56
Q2 - 2:04HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 256
55
Q2 - 2:04NuggetsVlatko Cancar shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)56
54
Q2 - 2:08HeatMax Strus defensive rebound56
54
Q2 - 2:10NuggetsBruce Brown misses two point running layup56
54
Q2 - 2:14NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound56
54
Q2 - 2:18HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot56
54
Q2 - 2:39NuggetsVlatko Cancar makes regular free throw 2 of 256
54
Q2 - 2:39Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent, Bam Adebayo)55
54
Q2 - 2:39NuggetsVlatko Cancar makes regular free throw 1 of 255
54
Q2 - 2:39HeatOrlando Robinson shooting foul (Vlatko Cancar draws the foul)54
54
Q2 - 2:39NuggetsVlatko Cancar offensive rebound54
54
Q2 - 2:42NuggetsBruce Brown misses three point jump shot54
54
Q2 - 3:04HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)54
54
Q2 - 3:10HeatMax Strus offensive rebound54
51
Q2 - 3:12HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot54
51
Q2 - 3:27NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Bruce Brown assists)54
51
Q2 - 3:39Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Orlando Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent)52
51
Q2 - 3:39HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (out of bounds step)52
51
Q2 - 4:01NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 152
51
Q2 - 4:01HeatOrlando Robinson shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)51
51
Q2 - 4:01NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point layup (Bruce Brown assists)51
51
Q2 - 4:14HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 249
51
Q2 - 4:14Nuggets lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Vlatko Cancar, Michael Porter Jr.)49
50
Q2 - 4:14HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 249
50
Q2 - 4:14NuggetsBruce Brown shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)49
49
Q2 - 4:32HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound49
49
Q2 - 4:35NuggetsBruce Brown misses three point jump shot49
49
Q2 - 4:47HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)49
49
Q2 - 5:04NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point layup (Vlatko Cancar assists)49
46
Q2 - 5:15NuggetsBruce Brown defensive rebound47
46
Q2 - 5:19HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot47
46
Q2 - 5:44NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Christian Braun assists)47
46
Q2 - 5:49Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Orlando Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus, Jamaree Bouyea)44
46
Q2 - 5:49Nuggets 60 second timeout44
46
Q2 - 6:03HeatJamaree Bouyea makes three point pullup jump shot44
46
Q2 - 6:10HeatJamaree Bouyea offensive rebound44
43
Q2 - 6:13HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point layup44
43
Q2 - 6:25Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Vlatko Cancar, Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr.)44
43
Q2 - 6:25NuggetsChristian Braun personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)44
43
Q2 - 6:44NuggetsBruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)44
43
Q2 - 6:58NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound41
43
Q2 - 7:01HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot41
43
Q2 - 7:06Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus, Jamaree Bouyea, Bam Adebayo)41
43
Q2 - 7:06Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Jeff Green, Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr.)41
43
Q2 - 7:06Stoppage (Out of bounds)41
43
Q2 - 7:06HeatHeat offensive rebound41
43
Q2 - 7:06HeatKentavious Caldwell-Pope blocks Max Strus's two point running layup41
43
Q2 - 7:08NuggetsIsh Smith turnover (bad pass) (Max Strus steals)41
43
Q2 - 7:34HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)41
43
Q2 - 7:50NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Jeff Green assists)41
40
Q2 - 7:58NuggetsJeff Green defensive rebound38
40
Q2 - 8:02HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot38
40
Q2 - 8:05HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound38
40
Q2 - 8:07HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving floating bank jump shot38
40
Q2 - 8:27Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Caleb Martin, Max Strus, Jamaree Bouyea, Bam Adebayo)38
40
Q2 - 8:27Heat 60 second timeout38
40
Q2 - 8:28NuggetsThomas Bryant makes two point running layup (Ish Smith assists)38
40
Q2 - 8:32NuggetsChristian Braun defensive rebound36
40
Q2 - 8:36HeatGabe Vincent misses two point stepback jump shot36
40
Q2 - 8:53NuggetsJeff Green makes regular free throw 2 of 236
40
Q2 - 8:53NuggetsJeff Green makes regular free throw 1 of 235
40
Q2 - 8:53HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Jeff Green draws the foul)34
40
Q2 - 9:01HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)34
40
Q2 - 9:08NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound34
40
Q2 - 9:11HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot34
40
Q2 - 9:28NuggetsChristian Braun makes three point jump shot (Ish Smith assists)34
40
Q2 - 9:45HeatCaleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)31
40
Q2 - 9:45HeatCaleb Martin offensive foul (Charge) (Jeff Green draws the foul)31
40
Q2 - 9:47NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (bad pass) (Jamaree Bouyea steals)31
40
Q2 - 9:55NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound31
40
Q2 - 9:59HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot31
40
Q2 - 10:06NuggetsIsh Smith turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)31
40
Q2 - 10:11NuggetsChristian Braun offensive rebound31
40
Q2 - 10:16NuggetsJeff Green misses two point jump shot31
40
Q2 - 10:40HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)31
40
Q2 - 11:04NuggetsJeff Green makes two point cutting dunk (Ish Smith assists)31
38
Q2 - 11:13HeatCaleb Martin makes two point putback layup29
38
Q2 - 11:14HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound29
36
Q2 - 11:16HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot29
36
Q2 - 11:39NuggetsThomas Bryant makes two point turnaround hook shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)29
36
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.27
36
Q1 - 0:01.3HeatGabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot27
36
Q1 - 0:11.7NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Ish Smith assists)27
33
Q1 - 0:33.7HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 224
33
Q1 - 0:33.7HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 224
32
Q1 - 0:33.7NuggetsChristian Braun personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)24
31
Q1 - 0:33.7HeatHeat offensive rebound24
31
Q1 - 0:35.3HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point pullup jump shot24
31
Q1 - 0:46.6NuggetsThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 224
31
Q1 - 0:46.6NuggetsThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 223
31
Q1 - 0:46.6HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)22
31
Q1 - 1:00NuggetsIsh Smith defensive rebound22
31
Q1 - 1:02HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot22
31
Q1 - 1:12NuggetsThomas Bryant makes two point putback layup22
31
Q1 - 1:14NuggetsThomas Bryant offensive rebound20
31
Q1 - 1:15NuggetsThomas Bryant misses two point layup20
31
Q1 - 1:27HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Jeff Green draws the foul)20
31
Q1 - 1:37HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Jamaree Bouyea assists)20
31
Q1 - 1:51NuggetsThomas Bryant personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)20
29
Q1 - 2:06NuggetsJeff Green makes two point turnaround hook shot20
29
Q1 - 2:27HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 118
29
Q1 - 2:27NuggetsThomas Bryant shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)18
28
Q1 - 2:27HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running layup18
28
Q1 - 2:31HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound18
26
Q1 - 2:34NuggetsIsh Smith misses two point pullup jump shot18
26
Q1 - 2:39Nuggets lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jeff Green, Ish Smith, Christian Braun)18
26
Q1 - 2:39Stoppage (Out of bounds)18
26
Q1 - 2:39NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound18
26
Q1 - 2:39NuggetsHaywood Highsmith blocks Nikola Jokic's two point driving layup18
26
Q1 - 2:51Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Caleb Martin, Jamaree Bouyea, Gabe Vincent, Bam Adebayo)18
26
Q1 - 2:51Nuggets lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Nikola Jokic, Jeff Green, Ish Smith, Christian Braun)18
26
Q1 - 2:51Stoppage (Out of bounds)18
26
Q1 - 2:51NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound18
26
Q1 - 2:51NuggetsHaywood Highsmith blocks Jeff Green's two point running layup18
26
Q1 - 2:55NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound18
26
Q1 - 2:58HeatJamaree Bouyea misses three point jump shot18
26
Q1 - 3:08HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound18
26
Q1 - 3:11NuggetsChristian Braun misses three point jump shot18
26
Q1 - 3:26HeatJamaree Bouyea makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)18
26
Q1 - 3:40NuggetsJeff Green makes two point driving finger roll layup (Nikola Jokic assists)18
23
Q1 - 4:00HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)16
23
Q1 - 4:24NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Christian Braun assists)16
20
Q1 - 4:30NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound13
20
Q1 - 4:34HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot13
20
Q1 - 4:46NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Loose ball) (Orlando Robinson draws the foul)13
20
Q1 - 4:46HeatHeat offensive rebound13
20
Q1 - 4:47HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot13
20
Q1 - 5:02HeatMax Strus defensive rebound13
20
Q1 - 5:07NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot13
20
Q1 - 5:28Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Orlando Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus, Jamaree Bouyea)13
20
Q1 - 5:28Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Jeff Green, Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr.)13
20
Q1 - 5:28Nuggets 60 second timeout13
20
Q1 - 5:28HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point running layup (Jimmy Butler assists)13
20
Q1 - 5:32NuggetsVlatko Cancar turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)13
18
Q1 - 5:53HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving floating jump shot13
18
Q1 - 5:59HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound13
16
Q1 - 6:00NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point cutting layup13
16
Q1 - 6:15HeatCaleb Martin makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)13
16
Q1 - 6:33Jump ball. Max Strus vs. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Jimmy Butler gains possession)13
14
Q1 - 6:36Heat lineup change (Orlando Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent)13
14
Q1 - 6:36Heat 60 second timeout13
14
Q1 - 6:36HeatMax Strus defensive rebound13
14
Q1 - 6:43NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot13
14
Q1 - 6:57HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving bank jump shot13
14
Q1 - 7:10NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)13
12
Q1 - 7:11NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. offensive rebound13
12
Q1 - 7:16NuggetsBruce Brown misses three point jump shot13
12
Q1 - 7:33HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Gabe Vincent assists)13
12
Q1 - 7:47HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound13
10
Q1 - 7:49HeatKentavious Caldwell-Pope blocks Jimmy Butler's two point turnaround jump shot13
10
Q1 - 7:57NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving finger roll layup (Vlatko Cancar assists)13
10
Q1 - 8:15NuggetsVlatko Cancar defensive rebound11
10
Q1 - 8:18HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot11
10
Q1 - 8:29NuggetsVlatko Cancar makes two point layup (Nikola Jokic assists)11
10
Q1 - 8:41HeatJimmy Butler makes two point putback layup9
10
Q1 - 8:45HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound9
8
Q1 - 8:45HeatJimmy Butler misses two point tip layup9
8
Q1 - 8:45HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound9
8
Q1 - 8:50HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot9
8
Q1 - 9:03NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)9
8
Q1 - 9:23HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)7
8
Q1 - 9:36NuggetsVlatko Cancar turnover (out of bounds bad pass)7
6
Q1 - 9:52NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound7
6
Q1 - 9:55HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot7
6
Q1 - 10:17NuggetsVlatko Cancar makes two point driving finger roll layup (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)7
6
Q1 - 10:23NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound5
6
Q1 - 10:27HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot5
6
Q1 - 10:39NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot5
6
Q1 - 11:03HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)2
6
Q1 - 11:07Stoppage (Out of bounds)2
3
Q1 - 11:07HeatHeat offensive rebound2
3
Q1 - 11:08HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot2
3
Q1 - 11:19NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving layup2
3
Q1 - 11:41HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)0
3
Q1 - 12:00Nikola Jokic vs. Bam Adebayo (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent, Bam Adebayo)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Nuggets lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Vlatko Cancar, Michael Porter Jr.)0
0
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.32 65.9%
MIA
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
17
26
65%
MIA
15
20
75%
Midrange
DEN
16
22
73%
MIA
12
34
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
11
16.5
28
39%
59%
MIA
12
18.0
35
34%
51%
Free Throws
DEN
13
15
87%
MIA
18
20
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić2790%13.5 / 15
M. Porter1757%8.5 / 15
B. Brown1662%8.0 / 13
J. Green1255%6.0 / 11
V. Cancar1071%5.0 / 7
C. Braun1071%5.0 / 7
T. Bryant1083%5.0 / 6
K. Caldwell-Pope880%4.0 / 5
I. Smith225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2457%12.0 / 21
M. Strus2352%11.5 / 22
B. Adebayo1956%9.5 / 17
G. Vincent1558%7.5 / 13
J. Bouyea1063%5.0 / 8
C. Martin850%4.0 / 8
O. Robinson6100%3.0 / 3
H. Highsmith330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
77
+8
-13
85
MIA
82
+18
-8
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.32 65.9%
MIA
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
117.1
112.9
DEN 124.4 +4.4
MIA 120.0
Pace
98.5
96.3
DEN 92.1 +2.8
MIA 89.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
15.0
DEN 15.6 −0.5
MIA 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
57.3%
53.0%
DEN 65.1% +14.5%
MIA 50.6%
TO %
14.0%
13.2%
DEN 13.6%
MIA 8.4% −5.2%
ORB %
24.8%
22.8%
DEN 19.4%
MIA 21.4% +2.0%
FTrt
25.9
27.0
DEN 19.7
MIA 22.5 +2.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.3%
60.8%
DEN 77.3% +13.2%
MIA 64.1%
STL %
7.6%
8.2%
DEN 3.3%
MIA 10.0% +6.7%
BLK %
8.3%
6.3%
DEN 7.4%
MIA 8.3% +0.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.7%
55.9%
DEN 65.9% +11.9%
MIA 54.0%
Rim FG%
66.5%
62.6%
DEN 65.4%
MIA 75.0% +9.6%
Mid FG%
43.4%
45.3%
DEN 72.7% +37.4%
MIA 35.3%
3P %
37.9%
34.4%
DEN 39.3% +5.0%
MIA 34.3%
FT %
75.1%
83.1%
DEN 86.7%
MIA 90.0% +3.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.0%
29.9%
DEN 34.2% +11.7%
MIA 22.5%
Mid Att. %
24.9%
29.4%
DEN 28.9% −9.3%
MIA 38.2%
3P Att. %
36.1%
40.8%
DEN 36.8%
MIA 39.3% +2.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENMIA
Possessions9090
Possession Minutes23.524.2
Points112108
Rebounds3934
Assists3425
Steals39
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)8 (1)
Fouls1814
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)9 (9)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (0)25 (1)
Field Goals44-7639-89
At-the-Rim FG17-2615-20
Midrange FG16-2212-34
2-Point FG33-4827-54
3-Point FG11-2812-35
Free Throws13-1518-20
Fast Break Pts513
2nd Chance Pts624
Points in Paint5854
Pts off Turnovers916
Bench Points3419
Biggest Lead1011

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30
36.1
8
80%
4
6
0
2
3
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28
33.9
27
90%
12
8
0
0
0
3
0
12
3-3
100%
12-14
86%
0-0
-
#1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25
33.5
17
57%
6
0
1
1
2
2
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
50%
5-13
38%
#11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26
32.1
16
62%
2
3
0
0
2
4
0
2
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
3-7
43%
#31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26
28.0
10
71%
5
6
1
1
3
1
1
4
2-2
100%
4-4
100%
0-2
0%
#0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22
26.4
10
71%
4
4
1
0
0
3
2
2
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
#32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36
20.0
12
55%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
4-4
100%
4-8
50%
0-1
0%
#14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 35
15.8
2
25%
2
6
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
#13 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26
14.1
10
83%
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
#6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35
DNP – Coach's Decision
#8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20
DNP – Coach's Decision
#10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Inflammation
#21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Lower Leg; Fracture
#22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder; Sprain
#50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Rib; Contusion
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
66%
39
34
3
4
13
18
6
33
13-15
87%
33-48
69%
11-28
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.