Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Nuggets	43%	105	112	124.4	90	92.1
	8	Heat	57%	108	108	120.0	90	89.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	36.1	8	80%	4	6	0	2	3	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	33.9	27	90%	12	8	0	0	0	3	0	12	3-3	100%	12-14	86%	0-0	-
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	33.5	17	57%	6	0	1	1	2	2	1	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	5-13	38%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26	32.1	16	62%	2	3	0	0	2	4	0	2	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	3-7	43%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	28.0	10	71%	5	6	1	1	3	1	1	4	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	0-2	0%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	26.4	10	71%	4	4	1	0	0	3	2	2	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	20.0	12	55%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	4-4	100%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 35	15.8	2	25%	2	6	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Thomas Bryant #13 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	14.1	10	83%	2	0	0	0	0	3	1	1	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Rib; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	66%	39	34	3	4	13	18	6	33	13-15	87%	33-48	69%	11-28	39%

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16 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	36.1	8	80%	4	6	0	2	3	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	33.9	27	90%	12	8	0	0	0	3	0	12	3-3	100%	12-14	86%	0-0	-
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	33.5	17	57%	6	0	1	1	2	2	1	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	5-13	38%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26	32.1	16	62%	2	3	0	0	2	4	0	2	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	3-7	43%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	28.0	10	71%	5	6	1	1	3	1	1	4	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	0-2	0%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	26.4	10	71%	4	4	1	0	0	3	2	2	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	20.0	12	55%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	4-4	100%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 35	15.8	2	25%	2	6	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Thomas Bryant #13 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	14.1	10	83%	2	0	0	0	0	3	1	1	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Rib; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	66%	39	34	3	4	13	18	6	33	13-15	87%	33-48	69%	11-28	39%

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8 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Max Strus #31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	41.6	23	52%	7	4	1	0	1	1	1	6	3-5	60%	4-6	67%	4-14	29%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 26	34.4	19	56%	2	2	2	1	1	2	0	2	7-7	100%	6-14	43%	0-0	-
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	34.0	15	58%	2	4	1	0	2	6	0	2	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	4-9	44%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	32.3	24	57%	10	9	1	0	1	0	3	7	7-7	100%	7-16	44%	1-2	50%
Caleb Martin #16 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 27	28.2	8	50%	4	0	1	0	1	1	2	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-2	0%

Jamaree Bouyea #11 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 24	28.3	10	63%	2	3	3	1	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	27.6	3	30%	1	3	0	2	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	13.6	6	100%	6	0	0	0	0	2	2	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Contusion
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	INACTIVE
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Stress Reaction
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 2nd Finger; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	54%	34	25	9	4	8	14	9	25	18-20	90%	27-54	50%	12-35	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.32 65.9%

MIA

1.08 54.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

17

26

65%

MIA

15

20

75%

Midrange

DEN

16

22

73%

MIA

12

34

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

11

16.5

28

39%

59%

MIA

12

18.0

35

34%

51%

Free Throws

DEN

13

15

87%

MIA

18

20

90%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	27	90%	13.5 / 15
M. Porter	17	57%	8.5 / 15
B. Brown	16	62%	8.0 / 13
J. Green	12	55%	6.0 / 11
V. Cancar	10	71%	5.0 / 7
C. Braun	10	71%	5.0 / 7
T. Bryant	10	83%	5.0 / 6
K. Caldwell-Pope	8	80%	4.0 / 5
I. Smith	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	24	57%	12.0 / 21
M. Strus	23	52%	11.5 / 22
B. Adebayo	19	56%	9.5 / 17
G. Vincent	15	58%	7.5 / 13
J. Bouyea	10	63%	5.0 / 8
C. Martin	8	50%	4.0 / 8
O. Robinson	6	100%	3.0 / 3
H. Highsmith	3	30%	1.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.1 25 112.9	DEN 124.4 +4.4 MIA 120.0
Pace	21 98.5 29 96.3	DEN 92.1 +2.8 MIA 89.3
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.7 5 15.0	DEN 15.6 −0.5 MIA 16.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.3% 25 53.0%	DEN 65.1% +14.5% MIA 50.6%
TO %	22 14.0% 15 13.2%	DEN 13.6% MIA 8.4% −5.2%
ORB %	13 24.8% 21 22.8%	DEN 19.4% MIA 21.4% +2.0%
FTrt	19 25.9 13 27.0	DEN 19.7 MIA 22.5 +2.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 66.3% 14 60.8%	DEN 77.3% +13.2% MIA 64.1%
STL %	9 7.6% 3 8.2%	DEN 3.3% MIA 10.0% +6.7%
BLK %	19 8.3% 29 6.3%	DEN 7.4% MIA 8.3% +0.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.7% 22 55.9%	DEN 65.9% +11.9% MIA 54.0%
Rim FG%	3 66.5% 20 62.6%	DEN 65.4% MIA 75.0% +9.6%
Mid FG%	13 43.4% 7 45.3%	DEN 72.7% +37.4% MIA 35.3%
3P %	4 37.9% 27 34.4%	DEN 39.3% +5.0% MIA 34.3%
FT %	26 75.1% 2 83.1%	DEN 86.7% MIA 90.0% +3.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 39.0% 29 29.9%	DEN 34.2% +11.7% MIA 22.5%
Mid Att. %	12 24.9% 24 29.4%	DEN 28.9% −9.3% MIA 38.2%
3P Att. %	21 36.1% 9 40.8%	DEN 36.8% MIA 39.3% +2.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	MIA
Possessions	90	90
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.2
Points	112	108
Rebounds	39	34
Assists	34	25
Steals	3	9
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	8 (1)
Fouls	18	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (2)	9 (9)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (0)	25 (1)
Field Goals	44-76	39-89
At-the-Rim FG	17-26	15-20
Midrange FG	16-22	12-34
2-Point FG	33-48	27-54
3-Point FG	11-28	12-35
Free Throws	13-15	18-20
Fast Break Pts	5	13
2nd Chance Pts	6	24
Points in Paint	58	54
Pts off Turnovers	9	16
Bench Points	34	19
Biggest Lead	10	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg