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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 13, 2023
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Pelicans47%112103
19Thunder53%114100
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 25.4
32.2
32.1
34
67%
4
1
0
1
0
6
1
3
3-3
100%
11-19
7-14
58%
51%
3-5
60%
Trey Murphy III
F · 6'8" 206 · 22.7
31.5
31.7
12
47%
3
1
1
1
3
3
0
3
3-4
75%
0-3
3-5
0%
59%
3-8
38%
Jose Alvarado
G · 6'0" 179 · 24.8
29.0
19.1
14
64%
1
2
1
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
51%
2-6
33%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.8
24.8
22.9
14
85%
8
2
0
0
0
3
1
7
4-5
80%
5-5
5-9
100%
59%
0-1
0%
Herbert Jones
F · 6'6" 206 · 24.4
23.7
31.6
4
50%
5
2
2
2
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
54%
0-1
0%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 29.4
34.1
27.9
10
56%
2
3
5
1
2
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-4
3-6
100%
48%
0-4
0%
Naji Marshall
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.1
22.8
24.1
4
69%
4
3
1
1
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-1
3-5
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Larry Nance Jr.
F · 6'9" 230 · 30.1
21.2
23.7
4
67%
4
3
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
62%
0-1
0%
Kira Lewis Jr.
G · 6'3" 170 · 21.9
19.0
11.2
7
60%
2
2
2
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Jaxson Hayes
C · 6'11" 220 · 22.7
1.8
7.7
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
64%
0-0
-
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.7
7.9
0
2-3
55%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 36.8
3.3
0
0-0
48%
Dereon Seabron
G · 6'7" 180 · 22.7
1.2
0
0-0
52%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.4
Zion Williamson
F · 6'7" 285 · 22.6
E.J. Liddell
F · 6'6" 240 · 22.2
Dyson Daniels
G · 6'6" 199 · 19.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 21.8
39.2
31.1
22
69%
7
4
2
1
1
1
2
5
2-2
100%
7-12
4-8
58%
57%
2-3
67%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 24.6
39.0
34.8
24
48%
10
5
1
1
0
6
3
7
8-9
89%
8-19
9-17
42%
54%
0-2
0%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 20.3
32.5
28.8
17
52%
7
4
1
1
0
4
1
6
1-1
100%
8-14
6-12
57%
54%
0-2
0%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 23.8
24.1
24.7
6
31%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
4-6
67%
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
0-4
0%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.6
15.9
20.4
0
0%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
54%
0-3
0%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.2
30.9
24.3
9
64%
8
3
1
1
1
2
5
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
58%
1-1
100%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 23.6
22.3
21.2
16
62%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
50%
4-11
36%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
F · 6'8" 242 · 22.3
18.2
18.2
0
0%
3
0
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
54%
0-4
0%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 24.1
12.3
21.0
3
150%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
57%
1-1
100%
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 25.5
5.7
5.9
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
57%
1-2
50%
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 22.0
17.2
1
2-4
48%
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 28.9
13.7
0
1-3
50%
Eugene Omoruyi
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.0
Olivier Sarr
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.0
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 20.8
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 19.7
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.