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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 15, 2023
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Heat44%104105
14Nets56%106116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
39.3
33.3
18
57%
4
2
0
1
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
5-6
2-3
83%
56%
2-9
22%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 25.6
37.8
34.8
24
54%
13
6
0
1
2
2
2
11
4-7
57%
10-19
8-14
53%
56%
0-0
-
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.7
35.2
33.1
21
61%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
6-7
86%
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
3-9
33%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 33.4
32.0
30.5
13
49%
3
6
0
2
0
1
3
0
5-5
100%
4-11
7-12
36%
53%
0-0
-
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.4
31.6
25.8
13
55%
7
1
1
1
1
1
1
6
0-2
0%
5-8
2-4
63%
54%
1-3
33%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.2
23.5
22.3
7
93%
3
0
1
1
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.8
23.4
14.1
6
43%
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
58%
2-7
29%
Jamaree Bouyea
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.6
13.3
16.9
3
52%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Orlando Robinson
C · 7'0" 235 · 22.6
4.0
11.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
56%
0-0
-
Jamal Cain
F · 6'7" 191 · 23.9
5.6
0
1-1
54%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 42.7
1.2
0
0-0
46%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 36.9
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 19.7
Omer Yurtseven
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.7
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 23.1
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mikal Bridges
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.5
36.0
30.6
45
83%
8
5
2
1
2
3
3
5
7-7
100%
13-18
5-9
72%
54%
4-6
67%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 29.9
35.5
32.4
9
113%
4
5
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
4-8
-
49%
3-4
75%
Cameron Johnson
F · 6'9" 205 · 27.0
34.2
25.1
18
57%
1
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
3-4
75%
3-4
2-4
75%
54%
3-10
30%
Nic Claxton
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.8
25.3
27.5
4
50%
9
0
0
1
2
1
1
8
0-0
-
2-4
5-7
50%
70%
0-0
-
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.8
20.1
30.5
2
20%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
57%
0-3
0%
Royce O'Neale
F · 6'6" 226 · 29.7
24.9
22.8
8
100%
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
2-3
67%
Cam Thomas
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.3
21.2
23.4
19
74%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
52%
3-5
60%
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 26.6
20.5
17.1
2
50%
4
4
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
58%
0-0
-
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 31.4
12.6
18.9
9
54%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-3
33%
1-1
1-1
100%
55%
2-6
33%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.5
9.7
22.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
54%
0-2
0%
Day'Ron Sharpe
F · 6'11" 265 · 21.3
13.0
0
2-4
57%
Yuta Watanabe
G · 6'9" 205 · 28.3
10.8
0
1-1
53%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 34.5
8.5
0
1-1
48%
Edmond Sumner
G · 6'5" 188 · 27.1
8.4
0
1-2
54%
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.1
David Duke Jr.
G · 6'4" 204 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.