Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, February 15, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Rockets	24%	108	96	90.6	106	99.5
	17	Thunder	76%	119	133	126.7	105	112.2

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+19

-17

108

OKC

+13

-10

108

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.89 44.4%

OKC

1.23 61.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jabari Smith Jr. #1 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 20	29.0	15	75%	9	2	2	2	2	3	2	7	5-6	83%	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
KJ Martin #6 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 22	27.9	4	18%	6	2	0	1	1	2	2	4	2-4	50%	1-6	17%	0-3	0%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 21	21.6	8	33%	10	2	0	0	3	4	5	5	0-0	-	4-11	36%	0-1	0%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SG · 6'4" 230 · 27	18.8	11	61%	2	1	0	0	2	4	1	1	2-5	40%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Jalen Green #4 · PG · 6'4" 186 · 21	16.1	14	58%	2	2	0	1	1	2	0	2	6-7	86%	1-6	17%	2-4	50%

Josh Christopher #9 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 21	22.4	10	71%	2	3	1	1	4	5	1	1	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	1-1	100%
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	19.1	10	71%	3	2	1	0	2	5	1	2	6-10	60%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
TyTy Washington Jr. #0 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21	18.9	8	36%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-6	33%
Darius Days #5 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 23	17.3	7	44%	3	0	0	1	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-6	17%
Usman Garuba #16 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 21	14.8	0	0%	4	1	1	0	1	4	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trevor Hudgins #12 · PG · 6'0" 180 · 24	13.5	3	19%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-7	14%
Frank Kaminsky #33 · C · 7'0" 242 · 30	13.4	4	40%	3	5	0	1	0	1	1	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 35	7.1	2	33%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Daishen Nix #15 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	44%	47	20	5	7	17	33	14	33	26-38	68%	20-52	38%	10-37	27%

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28 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jabari Smith Jr. #1 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 20	29.0	15	75%	9	2	2	2	2	3	2	7	5-6	83%	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
KJ Martin #6 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 22	27.9	4	18%	6	2	0	1	1	2	2	4	2-4	50%	1-6	17%	0-3	0%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 21	21.6	8	33%	10	2	0	0	3	4	5	5	0-0	-	4-11	36%	0-1	0%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SG · 6'4" 230 · 27	18.8	11	61%	2	1	0	0	2	4	1	1	2-5	40%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Jalen Green #4 · PG · 6'4" 186 · 21	16.1	14	58%	2	2	0	1	1	2	0	2	6-7	86%	1-6	17%	2-4	50%

Josh Christopher #9 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 21	22.4	10	71%	2	3	1	1	4	5	1	1	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	1-1	100%
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	19.1	10	71%	3	2	1	0	2	5	1	2	6-10	60%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
TyTy Washington Jr. #0 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21	18.9	8	36%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-6	33%
Darius Days #5 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 23	17.3	7	44%	3	0	0	1	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-6	17%
Usman Garuba #16 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 21	14.8	0	0%	4	1	1	0	1	4	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trevor Hudgins #12 · PG · 6'0" 180 · 24	13.5	3	19%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-7	14%
Frank Kaminsky #33 · C · 7'0" 242 · 30	13.4	4	40%	3	5	0	1	0	1	1	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 35	7.1	2	33%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Daishen Nix #15 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	44%	47	20	5	7	17	33	14	33	26-38	68%	20-52	38%	10-37	27%

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17 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 25	29.1	29	69%	2	6	0	2	1	3	0	2	13-15	87%	8-14	57%	0-2	0%
Jaylin Williams #6 · C · 6'9" 240 · 21	25.5	8	44%	16	0	2	0	1	3	1	15	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-5	40%
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 20	24.5	13	54%	3	6	1	1	2	1	0	3	3-4	75%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	24.3	15	68%	3	3	1	0	0	3	1	2	4-4	100%	4-4	100%	1-5	20%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 22	22.2	13	81%	4	2	1	0	2	4	3	1	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	1-2	50%

Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 26	18.4	6	43%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-7	29%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	18.3	9	75%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3-4	75%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 28	18.1	6	43%	5	2	0	1	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 24	16.5	7	58%	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 29	14.2	12	86%	5	0	1	0	2	3	1	4	3-3	100%	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 22	10.2	4	40%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	9.9	6	100%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 26	9.0	5	63%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	3-5	60%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	INACTIVE
Olivier Sarr #30 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Tibial Plateau; Non-displaced fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	62%	49	21	8	4	10	21	10	39	40-47	85%	33-53	62%	9-34	26%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	OKC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.89 44.4%

OKC

1.23 61.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

30%

OKC

62%

Midrange

HOU

48%

OKC

64%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

15.0

27%

41%

OKC

13.5

26%

40%

Free Throws

HOU

68%

OKC

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Smith	15	75%	7.5 / 10
J. Green	14	58%	7.0 / 12
J. Tate	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Christopher	10	71%	5.0 / 7
T. Eason	10	71%	5.0 / 7
A. Sengun	8	33%	4.0 / 12
T. Washington	8	36%	4.0 / 11
D. Days	7	44%	3.5 / 8
K. Martin	4	18%	2.0 / 11
F. Kaminsky	4	40%	2.0 / 5
T. Hudgins	3	19%	1.5 / 8
B. Marjanovic	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	29	69%	14.5 / 21
L. Dort	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Giddey	13	54%	6.5 / 12
J. Williams	13	81%	6.5 / 8
D. Šarić	12	86%	6.0 / 7
J. Robinson-Earl	9	75%	4.5 / 6
J. Williams	8	44%	4.0 / 9
I. Joe	7	58%	3.5 / 6
L. Waters	6	43%	3.0 / 7
K. Williams	6	43%	3.0 / 7
A. Wiggins	6	100%	3.0 / 3
E. Omoruyi	5	63%	2.5 / 4
T. Mann	4	40%	2.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 111.0 16 114.6	HOU 90.6 OKC 126.7 +36.1
Pace	13 99.4 3 101.6	HOU 99.5 OKC 112.2 +12.7
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.7 29 13.8	HOU 14.5 OKC 12.8 −1.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 51.6% 24 53.1%	HOU 39.3% OKC 53.4% +14.1%
TO %	30 15.5% 4 12.1%	HOU 14.5% OKC 9.3% −5.2%
ORB %	1 30.3% 12 24.8%	HOU 26.4% +3.1% OKC 23.3%
FTrt	7 28.5 23 25.6	HOU 42.7 OKC 54.0 +11.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	29 55.1% 27 56.7%	HOU 66.7% +16.7% OKC 50.0%
STL %	14 7.4% 5 8.1%	HOU 4.7% OKC 7.6% +2.9%
BLK %	10 9.2% 24 7.9%	HOU 13.2% +5.5% OKC 7.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.41 and 2.41.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 53.9% 24 55.7%	HOU 44.4% OKC 61.6% +17.2%
Rim FG%	29 59.6% 30 58.7%	HOU 29.6% OKC 61.9% +32.3%
Mid FG%	30 40.4% 12 43.7%	HOU 48.0% OKC 63.6% +15.6%
3P %	30 32.7% 17 35.6%	HOU 27.0% +0.5% OKC 26.5%
FT %	25 75.4% 6 80.9%	HOU 68.4% OKC 85.1% +16.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 42.0% 3 38.9%	HOU 30.3% OKC 48.3% +17.9%
Mid Att. %	6 22.0% 11 24.2%	HOU 28.1% OKC 12.6% −15.4%
3P Att. %	24 35.9% 18 36.8%	HOU 41.6% +2.5% OKC 39.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.14 and 2.14.

Game Totals	HOU	OKC
Possessions	106	105
Possession Minutes	25.6	22.5
Points	96	133
Rebounds	47	49
Assists	20	21
Steals	5	8
Blocks	7	4
Turnovers (Team)	17 (1)	10 (1)
Fouls	33	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (5)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (3)	39 (2)
Field Goals	30-89	42-87
At-the-Rim FG	8-27	26-42
Midrange FG	12-25	7-11
2-Point FG	20-52	33-53
3-Point FG	10-37	9-34
Free Throws	26-38	40-47
Fast Break Pts	14	24
2nd Chance Pts	19	14
Points in Paint	38	64
Pts off Turnovers	6	24
Bench Points	44	55
Biggest Lead	1	42

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg