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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 23, 2023
7:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Celtics69%117142
24Pacers31%110138
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 26.3
42.5
26.7
30
55%
11
3
1
1
0
3
5
6
5-7
71%
8-19
5-9
42%
57%
3-5
60%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.0
41.7
35.0
31
52%
12
7
2
1
1
4
3
9
10-11
91%
6-13
6-11
46%
54%
3-12
25%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.0
35.4
26.7
15
57%
5
3
2
1
0
5
2
3
4-5
80%
4-6
2-4
67%
52%
1-5
20%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.7
33.9
25.6
7
88%
7
6
0
1
1
0
4
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
56%
1-2
50%
Robert Williams III
F · 6'10" 241 · 25.4
25.7
21.9
8
67%
4
1
0
1
1
0
3
1
0-0
-
4-6
4-5
67%
72%
0-0
-
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 30.2
36.9
27.7
24
96%
5
7
2
1
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
4-6
4-7
67%
52%
5-6
83%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.6
25.1
32.5
17
66%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
3-6
4-7
50%
53%
3-6
50%
Sam Hauser
F · 6'7" 217 · 25.2
13.0
26.7
8
133%
1
1
0
1
3
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
61%
2-2
100%
Grant Williams
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.2
6.2
28.9
2
50%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
55%
0-1
0%
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 27.6
4.7
12.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
67%
0-0
-
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 31.6
25.2
1
1-2
55%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 33.9
18.8
0
1-2
54%
Payton Pritchard
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.1
10.8
0
1-1
52%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 34.5
JD Davison
G · 6'3" 195 · 20.4
Mfiondu Kabengele
F · 6'10" 256 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyrese Haliburton
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.0
39.4
32.3
22
68%
1
14
3
2
2
1
0
1
5-5
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
55%
3-8
38%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 26.9
36.9
29.1
40
111%
10
2
0
1
1
5
3
7
6-7
86%
5-5
5-8
100%
60%
8-10
80%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 29.2
36.8
28.0
18
62%
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-1
0%
3-4
2-3
75%
50%
4-10
40%
Aaron Nesmith
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.4
34.1
28.9
9
54%
3
2
2
1
0
2
1
2
3-3
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
52%
0-3
0%
Andrew Nembhard
G-F · 6'5" 191 · 23.1
23.1
22.5
5
36%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
1-5
20%
Bennedict Mathurin
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 20.7
30.3
26.0
19
60%
7
4
2
1
0
1
3
4
3-4
75%
5-10
4-8
50%
51%
2-4
50%
Jordan Nwora
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.5
18.5
10.8
6
43%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
43%
2-4
50%
Chris Duarte
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.7
16.2
16.6
7
58%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 30.9
16.1
17.1
8
51%
5
3
1
0
2
1
3
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
62%
1-3
33%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.9
13.6
19.7
4
67%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
54%
0-0
-
Isaiah Jackson
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.1
12.7
0
2-4
58%
Jalen Smith
F-C · 6'10" 215 · 22.9
6.1
0
1-2
59%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 36.8
5.7
0
0-0
53%
Oshae Brissett
F · 6'8" 210 · 24.7
4.8
0
0-1
48%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 36.0
1.9
0
0-0
52%
Trevelin Queen
G · 6'6" 190 · 26.0
Kendall Brown
G · 6'8" 205 · 19.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.