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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 23, 2023
8:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Spurs17%107116
8Mavericks83%121142
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Malaki Branham
F · 6'5" 180 · 19.8
35.4
29.5
23
63%
2
5
0
1
0
4
1
1
3-3
100%
7-12
4-7
58%
54%
2-5
40%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 23.4
31.1
30.5
22
67%
8
7
1
1
0
6
0
8
5-8
63%
7-10
5-10
70%
53%
1-3
33%
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 27.1
29.5
27.4
15
69%
6
2
0
1
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
54%
2-3
67%
Devonte' Graham
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.0
28.4
22.5
10
58%
1
5
0
1
1
1
0
1
4-6
67%
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
2-5
40%
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 25.3
27.4
27.2
13
42%
12
3
1
1
0
0
3
9
1-1
100%
6-13
4-7
46%
57%
0-2
0%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 31.1
24.6
19.6
6
50%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
55%
0-2
0%
Blake Wesley
G · 6'5" 185 · 19.9
20.9
15.4
9
51%
3
2
1
0
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
1-6
2-4
17%
48%
2-2
100%
Charles Bassey
C-F · 6'10" 230 · 22.3
19.3
11.6
16
95%
7
2
1
0
0
0
3
4
1-1
100%
6-7
2-3
86%
58%
1-1
100%
Dominick Barlow
F · 6'9" 215 · 19.7
16.1
10.9
2
100%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 33.1
7.2
4.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-2
0%
Jeremy Sochan
F · 6'9" 230 · 19.8
25.2
1
4-8
52%
Julian Champagnie
F · 6'7" 217 · 21.7
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.1
Khem Birch
C · 6'9" 220 · 30.4
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 22.5
Isaiah Roby
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.1
Romeo Langford
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 24.0
30.4
32.8
28
66%
7
10
2
1
2
1
0
7
11-12
92%
7-10
8-13
70%
60%
1-6
17%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 30.9
30.0
35.6
23
78%
1
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
5-9
6-11
56%
57%
3-4
75%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.6
26.9
20.1
10
63%
8
1
3
1
0
0
3
5
0-2
0%
5-7
3-4
71%
73%
0-0
-
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 31.9
25.9
32.5
12
100%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
55%
4-6
67%
Josh Green
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.3
25.5
32.4
11
62%
1
2
0
1
1
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
64%
2-4
50%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 30.9
26.5
27.1
22
83%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
1-1
2-4
100%
52%
6-11
55%
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 27.4
22.3
19.9
16
57%
7
1
0
0
2
2
0
7
8-9
89%
4-8
3-5
50%
63%
0-2
0%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 33.9
21.3
2.1
15
107%
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
5-6
83%
Frank Ntilikina
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.6
20.9
14.2
2
36%
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-4
50%
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-1
0%
Theo Pinson
G-F · 6'6" 218 · 27.3
5.9
16.2
0
0%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Jaden Hardy
G · 6'4" 198 · 20.6
4.4
18.8
3
75%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
56%
1-2
50%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 35.1
8.4
0
2-3
64%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 33.5
2.5
0
0-0
51%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 30.3
A.J. Lawson
G · 6'6" 179 · 22.6
McKinley Wright IV
G · 5'11" 192 · 24.3
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 31.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.