Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, February 23, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Blazers	20%	107	116	113.7	102	93.9
	17	Kings	80%	119	133	130.4	102	113.0

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+13

-12

103

SAC

+14

-18

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.10 55.2%

SAC

1.36 67.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cam Reddish #5 · SG · 6'8" 208 · 23	34.7	24	57%	4	4	2	0	5	1	2	2	7-7	100%	4-7	57%	3-11	27%
Ryan Arcidiacono #51 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 29	33.9	9	56%	6	6	0	0	1	3	0	6	0-0	-	0-3	0%	3-5	60%
Nassir Little #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	33.5	26	68%	3	2	4	1	0	1	0	3	1-1	100%	5-10	50%	5-9	56%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SF · 6'5" 202 · 26	26.8	5	50%	4	2	2	0	1	3	0	4	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Drew Eubanks #24 · C · 6'10" 245 · 26	24.1	8	57%	7	3	0	0	0	4	4	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-

Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	22.4	9	32%	3	1	1	0	2	4	1	2	0-0	-	3-9	33%	1-5	20%
Trendon Watford #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	19.4	15	83%	3	4	0	0	2	2	1	2	3-4	75%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Keon Johnson #6 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	18.7	16	67%	1	3	2	0	1	1	1	0	3-4	75%	2-7	29%	3-3	100%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 21	16.7	4	67%	1	1	0	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Kevin Knox II #11 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	5.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
John Butler Jr. #21 · C · 7'1" 190 · 20	4.6	0	0%	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Justise Winslow #26 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 33	Inactive – Rest
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 29	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	55%	33	26	12	3	12	23	9	24	14-17	82%	27-55	49%	16-38	42%

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30 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cam Reddish #5 · SG · 6'8" 208 · 23	34.7	24	57%	4	4	2	0	5	1	2	2	7-7	100%	4-7	57%	3-11	27%
Ryan Arcidiacono #51 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 29	33.9	9	56%	6	6	0	0	1	3	0	6	0-0	-	0-3	0%	3-5	60%
Nassir Little #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	33.5	26	68%	3	2	4	1	0	1	0	3	1-1	100%	5-10	50%	5-9	56%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SF · 6'5" 202 · 26	26.8	5	50%	4	2	2	0	1	3	0	4	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Drew Eubanks #24 · C · 6'10" 245 · 26	24.1	8	57%	7	3	0	0	0	4	4	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-

Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	22.4	9	32%	3	1	1	0	2	4	1	2	0-0	-	3-9	33%	1-5	20%
Trendon Watford #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	19.4	15	83%	3	4	0	0	2	2	1	2	3-4	75%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Keon Johnson #6 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	18.7	16	67%	1	3	2	0	1	1	1	0	3-4	75%	2-7	29%	3-3	100%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 21	16.7	4	67%	1	1	0	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Kevin Knox II #11 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	5.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
John Butler Jr. #21 · C · 7'1" 190 · 20	4.6	0	0%	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Justise Winslow #26 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 33	Inactive – Rest
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 29	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	55%	33	26	12	3	12	23	9	24	14-17	82%	27-55	49%	16-38	42%

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17 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 27	31.5	18	69%	17	10	3	0	5	0	3	14	6-6	100%	6-9	67%	0-1	0%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	25.9	10	63%	4	0	1	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-6	33%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 25	25.7	31	86%	3	3	1	0	4	1	0	3	7-8	88%	9-11	82%	2-4	50%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 23	25.3	10	71%	2	1	0	2	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	23.7	15	75%	2	2	1	0	1	0	1	1	4-5	80%	4-6	67%	1-2	50%

Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 24	23.4	3	50%	2	4	1	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 25	20.8	15	63%	3	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	2-4	50%	5-7	71%	1-3	33%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 27	20.5	7	58%	5	2	0	0	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-4	25%
Terence Davis #3 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 26	18.4	20	83%	4	2	0	1	3	3	1	3	4-5	80%	2-5	40%	4-5	80%
Chimezie Metu #7 · C · 6'10" 219 · 26	14.7	2	25%	5	1	2	1	0	2	1	4	0-1	0%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23	3.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 29	2.1	2	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Matthew Dellavedova #8 · PG · 6'4" 198 · 32	2.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 30	1.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
KZ Okpala #30 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	68%	49	27	9	4	18	16	12	37	25-31	81%	33-51	65%	14-34	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	POR	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.10 55.2%

SAC

1.36 67.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

77%

SAC

64%

Midrange

POR

30%

SAC

67%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

24.0

42%

63%

SAC

21.0

41%

62%

Free Throws

POR

82%

SAC

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Little	26	68%	13.0 / 19
C. Reddish	24	57%	12.0 / 21
K. Johnson	16	67%	8.0 / 12
T. Watford	15	83%	7.5 / 9
R. Arcidiacono	9	56%	4.5 / 8
S. Sharpe	9	32%	4.5 / 14
D. Eubanks	8	57%	4.0 / 7
M. Thybulle	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Walker	4	67%	2.0 / 3
K. Knox	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Butler Jr.	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Fox	31	86%	15.5 / 18
T. Davis	20	83%	10.0 / 12
D. Sabonis	18	69%	9.0 / 13
H. Barnes	15	75%	7.5 / 10
M. Monk	15	63%	7.5 / 12
K. Huerter	10	63%	5.0 / 8
K. Murray	10	71%	5.0 / 7
T. Lyles	7	58%	3.5 / 6
D. Mitchell	3	50%	1.5 / 3
C. Metu	2	25%	1.0 / 4
R. Holmes	2	-	0.0 / 0
K. Edwards	0	-	0.0 / 3
M. Dellavedova	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.6 1 119.1	POR 113.7 SAC 130.4 +16.7
Pace	18 98.7 11 100.6	POR 93.9 SAC 113.0 +19.1
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.7 30 13.7	POR 15.3 SAC 12.7 −2.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 54.9% 2 57.2%	POR 54.8% SAC 63.5% +8.7%
TO %	20 13.8% 10 12.9%	POR 11.5% −3.9% SAC 15.4%
ORB %	24 22.4% 22 22.7%	POR 19.6% SAC 33.3% +13.7%
FTrt	6 28.9 9 28.4	POR 18.3 SAC 36.5 +18.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 59.7% 7 62.6%	POR 60.5% +3.1% SAC 57.4%
STL %	24 6.8% 22 6.9%	POR 11.8% +3.0% SAC 8.8%
BLK %	17 8.4% 30 6.0%	POR 5.9% SAC 7.3% +1.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 57.5% 1 59.6%	POR 55.2% SAC 67.9% +12.7%
Rim FG%	22 62.3% 4 66.4%	POR 77.3% +13.7% SAC 63.6%
Mid FG%	24 42.2% 3 46.5%	POR 30.3% SAC 66.7% +36.4%
3P %	14 36.5% 9 36.9%	POR 42.1% +0.9% SAC 41.2%
FT %	8 79.6% 12 79.0%	POR 82.4% +1.8% SAC 80.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 37.5% 14 35.2%	POR 23.7% SAC 38.8% +15.2%
Mid Att. %	3 21.2% 7 22.5%	POR 35.5% SAC 21.2% −14.3%
3P Att. %	7 41.3% 5 42.3%	POR 40.9% +0.9% SAC 40.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	SAC
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	26.1	21.7
Points	116	133
Rebounds	33	49
Assists	26	27
Steals	12	9
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	18 (0)
Fouls	23	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	24 (3)	37 (1)
Field Goals	43-93	47-85
At-the-Rim FG	17-22	21-33
Midrange FG	10-33	12-18
2-Point FG	27-55	33-51
3-Point FG	16-38	14-34
Free Throws	14-17	25-31
Fast Break Pts	6	11
2nd Chance Pts	16	14
Points in Paint	44	56
Pts off Turnovers	17	24
Bench Points	44	49
Biggest Lead	16	23

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg