Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Heat	36%	105	99	93.4	106	104.2
	2	Bucks	64%	110	128	120.8	106	107.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	28.2	14	44%	5	1	0	0	1	2	0	5	1-2	50%	2-8	25%	3-7	43%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 26	25.0	18	47%	7	1	1	0	2	1	1	6	2-4	50%	8-16	50%	0-1	0%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	23.0	2	17%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-5	0%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 34	21.5	0	0%	8	4	1	1	0	2	1	7	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	21.4	23	82%	2	1	0	0	2	1	1	1	6-8	75%	7-9	78%	1-1	100%

Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	26.6	5	31%	4	4	0	1	0	3	2	2	2-3	67%	0-3	0%	1-4	25%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	26.5	17	65%	5	1	0	3	0	2	1	4	5-6	83%	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	19.8	2	14%	4	3	0	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	19.8	3	25%	2	1	3	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-6	17%
Cody Zeller #44 · C · 7'0" 240 · 30	16.3	10	83%	4	3	0	0	1	2	3	1	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	6.7	3	50%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	5.2	2	50%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43	DNP – Coach's Decision
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	INACTIVE
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Stress reaction
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	47%	45	21	5	5	10	17	9	36	18-25	72%	27-52	52%	9-40	23%

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11 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	28.2	14	44%	5	1	0	0	1	2	0	5	1-2	50%	2-8	25%	3-7	43%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 26	25.0	18	47%	7	1	1	0	2	1	1	6	2-4	50%	8-16	50%	0-1	0%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	23.0	2	17%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-5	0%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 34	21.5	0	0%	8	4	1	1	0	2	1	7	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	21.4	23	82%	2	1	0	0	2	1	1	1	6-8	75%	7-9	78%	1-1	100%

Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	26.6	5	31%	4	4	0	1	0	3	2	2	2-3	67%	0-3	0%	1-4	25%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	26.5	17	65%	5	1	0	3	0	2	1	4	5-6	83%	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	19.8	2	14%	4	3	0	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	19.8	3	25%	2	1	3	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-6	17%
Cody Zeller #44 · C · 7'0" 240 · 30	16.3	10	83%	4	3	0	0	1	2	3	1	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	6.7	3	50%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	5.2	2	50%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43	DNP – Coach's Decision
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	INACTIVE
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Stress reaction
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	47%	45	21	5	5	10	17	9	36	18-25	72%	27-52	52%	9-40	23%

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2 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jevon Carter #5 · SG · 6'0" 190 · 27	33.5	11	29%	8	2	1	0	1	1	1	7	2-4	50%	3-9	33%	1-8	13%
Jrue Holiday #21 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 33	28.9	24	80%	5	7	0	1	0	2	0	5	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	5-9	56%
Grayson Allen #12 · SF · 6'3" 198 · 27	28.1	16	62%	1	3	0	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	4-8	50%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 35	27.1	17	71%	7	1	0	0	2	4	3	4	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	1-2	50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 28	6.5	4	50%	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 28	21.8	18	75%	11	1	0	0	0	0	2	9	3-3	100%	6-8	75%	1-3	33%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	18.9	6	50%	1	4	1	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 35	17.9	4	50%	4	0	1	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 32	17.3	12	67%	4	5	1	0	2	2	1	3	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 33	16.0	9	75%	3	0	1	0	1	1	0	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	2-2	100%
Meyers Leonard #3 · C · 7'1" 255 · 31	14.9	5	83%	6	0	1	0	1	3	2	4	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
MarJon Beauchamp #0 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 22	4.6	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 31	4.5	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · C · 6'9" 240 · 24	INACTIVE
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Soreness
Wesley Matthews #23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	58%	57	27	6	1	10	18	10	47	15-19	79%	28-52	54%	19-46	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	MIL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA

0.93 46.7%

MIL

1.16 58.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

16

19

84%

MIL

18

28

64%

Midrange

MIA

11

33

33%

MIL

10

24

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

9

13.5

40

23%

34%

MIL

19

28.5

46

41%

62%

Free Throws

MIA

18

25

72%

MIL

15

19

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	23	82%	11.5 / 14
B. Adebayo	18	47%	9.0 / 19
C. Martin	17	65%	8.5 / 13
T. Herro	14	44%	7.0 / 16
C. Zeller	10	83%	5.0 / 6
M. Strus	5	31%	2.5 / 8
D. Robinson	3	25%	1.5 / 6
H. Highsmith	3	50%	1.5 / 3
G. Vincent	2	17%	1.0 / 6
V. Oladipo	2	14%	1.0 / 7
J. Cain	2	50%	1.0 / 2
K. Love	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Holiday	24	80%	12.0 / 15
B. Portis	18	75%	9.0 / 12
B. Lopez	17	71%	8.5 / 12
G. Allen	16	62%	8.0 / 13
K. Middleton	12	67%	6.0 / 9
J. Carter	11	29%	5.5 / 19
J. Crowder	9	75%	4.5 / 6
A. Green	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Leonard	5	83%	2.5 / 3
G. Antetokounmpo	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Ingles	4	50%	2.0 / 4
T. Antetokounmpo	2	100%	1.0 / 1
M. Beauchamp	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 112.9 13 114.9	MIA 93.4 MIL 120.8 +27.4
Pace	29 96.3 9 101.0	MIA 104.2 MIL 107.8 +3.6
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.0 16 14.4	MIA 13.8 MIL 13.4 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 53.0% 10 55.5%	MIA 44.0% MIL 57.7% +13.7%
TO %	15 13.2% 19 13.6%	MIA 8.8% −1.3% MIL 10.1%
ORB %	21 22.8% 9 25.0%	MIA 16.1% MIL 21.7% +5.6%
FTrt	13 27.0 25 24.8	MIA 27.2 +7.8 MIL 19.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 60.8% 15 60.4%	MIA 58.3% +0.9% MIL 57.4%
STL %	3 8.2% 28 6.2%	MIA 4.7% MIL 5.7% +1.0%
BLK %	29 6.3% 18 8.3%	MIA 9.6% +7.7% MIL 1.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.9% 16 56.9%	MIA 46.7% MIL 58.2% +11.5%
Rim FG%	20 62.6% 6 65.3%	MIA 84.2% +19.9% MIL 64.3%
Mid FG%	7 45.3% 16 42.9%	MIA 33.3% MIL 41.7% +8.4%
3P %	27 34.4% 10 36.8%	MIA 22.5% MIL 41.3% +18.8%
FT %	2 83.1% 29 74.3%	MIA 72.0% MIL 78.9% +6.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 29.9% 25 31.6%	MIA 20.7% MIL 28.6% +7.9%
Mid Att. %	24 29.4% 10 23.8%	MIA 35.9% MIL 24.5% −11.4%
3P Att. %	9 40.8% 4 44.6%	MIA 43.5% MIL 46.9% +3.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	MIL
Possessions	106	106
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	99	128
Rebounds	45	57
Assists	21	27
Steals	5	6
Blocks	5	1
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	10 (2)
Fouls	17	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (1)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (2)	47 (1)
Field Goals	36-92	47-98
At-the-Rim FG	16-19	18-28
Midrange FG	11-33	10-24
2-Point FG	27-52	28-52
3-Point FG	9-40	19-46
Free Throws	18-25	15-19
Fast Break Pts	13	13
2nd Chance Pts	11	13
Points in Paint	50	44
Pts off Turnovers	13	9
Bench Points	42	56
Biggest Lead	4	35

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg