Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, February 25, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Nuggets	46%	112	94	96.9	97	93.1
	7	Grizzlies	54%	113	112	110.9	101	105.3

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+12

-15

MEM

+14

-12

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.99 49.5%

MEM

1.09 54.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	26.7	11	55%	1	1	1	1	1	2	0	1	3-4	75%	4-4	100%	0-4	0%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	26.7	15	68%	13	3	0	0	3	1	3	10	1-1	100%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	25.0	8	31%	3	4	1	0	1	1	2	1	1-1	100%	2-8	25%	1-5	20%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	19.0	2	20%	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	19.0	5	25%	3	1	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-7	14%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 27	24.8	8	33%	6	2	0	0	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	4-10	40%	0-2	0%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	24.8	12	67%	4	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	21.3	11	79%	4	2	0	0	1	0	1	3	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	2-2	100%
Thomas Bryant #13 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	21.3	2	25%	8	0	1	1	1	0	1	7	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 33	18.7	8	44%	2	3	1	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-6	33%
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 35	4.3	2	100%	1	2	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	4.3	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 26	4.3	7	117%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	2-2	100%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Rib; Contusion
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	50%	48	22	4	4	15	13	11	37	11-14	79%	25-52	48%	11-37	30%

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4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	26.7	11	55%	1	1	1	1	1	2	0	1	3-4	75%	4-4	100%	0-4	0%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	26.7	15	68%	13	3	0	0	3	1	3	10	1-1	100%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	25.0	8	31%	3	4	1	0	1	1	2	1	1-1	100%	2-8	25%	1-5	20%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	19.0	2	20%	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	19.0	5	25%	3	1	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-7	14%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 27	24.8	8	33%	6	2	0	0	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	4-10	40%	0-2	0%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	24.8	12	67%	4	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	21.3	11	79%	4	2	0	0	1	0	1	3	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	2-2	100%
Thomas Bryant #13 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	21.3	2	25%	8	0	1	1	1	0	1	7	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 33	18.7	8	44%	2	3	1	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-6	33%
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 35	4.3	2	100%	1	2	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	4.3	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 26	4.3	7	117%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	2-2	100%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Rib; Contusion
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	50%	48	22	4	4	15	13	11	37	11-14	79%	25-52	48%	11-37	30%

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7 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Xavier Tillman #2 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	25.2	12	100%	7	4	0	1	1	3	1	6	0-0	-	6-6	100%	0-0	-
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	24.5	10	36%	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	3	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	1-7	14%
Dillon Brooks #24 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	24.2	12	67%	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 24	24.2	23	57%	7	4	1	0	4	2	0	7	4-5	80%	8-14	57%	1-4	25%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 23	20.9	7	44%	3	0	1	1	2	4	0	3	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-3	33%

Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 27	24.6	12	86%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	4-5	80%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 22	22.8	5	42%	6	1	2	0	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
Tyus Jones #21 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 27	19.5	17	71%	2	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	5-10	50%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 26	18.5	8	67%	9	1	0	0	2	0	3	6	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 27	14.1	2	33%	3	1	2	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
David Roddy #27 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 22	4.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21	4.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Kennedy Chandler #1 · PG · 6'0" 170 · 20	4.3	2	50%	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	4.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Kenneth Lofton Jr. #6 · PF · 6'7" 275 · 21	4.3	2	50%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Steven Adams #4 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	54%	50	25	10	3	12	13	11	39	7-8	88%	30-51	59%	15-44	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MEM

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.99 49.5%

MEM

1.09 54.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

61%

MEM

68%

Midrange

DEN

38%

MEM

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

16.5

30%

45%

MEM

22.5

34%

51%

Free Throws

DEN

79%

MEM

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Green	12	67%	6.0 / 9
K. Caldwell-Pope	11	55%	5.5 / 10
C. Braun	11	79%	5.5 / 7
J. Murray	8	31%	4.0 / 13
B. Brown	8	33%	4.0 / 12
R. Jackson	8	44%	4.0 / 9
J. White	7	117%	3.5 / 3
M. Porter	5	25%	2.5 / 10
P. Watson	3	150%	1.5 / 1
V. Cancar	2	20%	1.0 / 5
T. Bryant	2	25%	1.0 / 4
I. Smith	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Morant	23	57%	11.5 / 20
T. Jones	17	71%	8.5 / 12
X. Tillman	12	100%	6.0 / 6
D. Brooks	12	67%	6.0 / 9
L. Kennard	12	86%	6.0 / 7
D. Bane	10	36%	5.0 / 14
B. Clarke	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Jackson	7	44%	3.5 / 8
S. Aldama	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Konchar	2	33%	1.0 / 3
K. Chandler	2	50%	1.0 / 2
K. Lofton Jr.	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Roddy	0	-	0.0 / 2
Z. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. LaRavia	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 116.8 11 114.9	DEN 96.9 MEM 110.9 +14.0
Pace	21 99.0 8 101.3	DEN 93.1 MEM 105.3 +12.1
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.7 25 14.0	DEN 15.5 MEM 13.7 −1.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.3% 21 54.0%	DEN 46.6% MEM 55.3% +8.7%
TO %	22 14.0% 8 12.7%	DEN 13.6% MEM 10.9% −2.7%
ORB %	11 24.8% 6 26.5%	DEN 22.0% MEM 22.9% +0.9%
FTrt	20 25.9 19 25.9	DEN 15.7 +7.3 MEM 8.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 66.3% 19 59.6%	DEN 61.1% +5.5% MEM 55.6%
STL %	9 7.6% 4 8.1%	DEN 4.1% MEM 9.9% +5.8%
BLK %	21 8.0% 7 9.7%	DEN 7.8% +2.0% MEM 5.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.7% 23 55.9%	DEN 49.5% MEM 54.4% +4.9%
Rim FG%	3 67.8% 18 63.6%	DEN 60.9% MEM 68.0% +7.1%
Mid FG%	15 43.0% 14 43.1%	DEN 37.9% MEM 50.0% +12.1%
3P %	4 37.9% 23 35.1%	DEN 29.7% MEM 34.1% +4.4%
FT %	26 75.1% 30 73.3%	DEN 78.6% MEM 87.5% +8.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 37.3% 10 35.8%	DEN 25.8% MEM 26.3% +0.5%
Mid Att. %	12 26.6% 14 27.0%	DEN 32.6% MEM 27.4% −5.2%
3P Att. %	21 36.1% 16 37.2%	DEN 41.6% MEM 46.3% +4.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	MEM
Possessions	97	101
Possession Minutes	25.0	23.0
Points	94	112
Rebounds	48	50
Assists	22	25
Steals	4	10
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	12 (0)
Fouls	13	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (1)	11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (0)	39 (4)
Field Goals	36-89	45-95
At-the-Rim FG	14-23	17-25
Midrange FG	11-29	13-26
2-Point FG	25-52	30-51
3-Point FG	11-37	15-44
Free Throws	11-14	7-8
Fast Break Pts	11	19
2nd Chance Pts	14	10
Points in Paint	42	60
Pts off Turnovers	10	20
Bench Points	53	48
Biggest Lead	4	35

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg