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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 26, 2023
3:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Wizards49%11082
18Bulls51%111102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Kuzma
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.6
38.3
36.6
10
26%
4
3
0
1
0
3
0
4
1-2
50%
3-10
5-10
30%
53%
1-8
13%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 29.7
36.6
33.6
18
45%
7
8
0
1
0
3
1
6
3-7
43%
6-14
7-13
43%
54%
1-3
33%
Daniel Gafford
F-C · 6'11" 238 · 24.4
30.9
14.9
15
76%
11
1
2
0
1
2
5
6
1-2
50%
7-9
2-3
78%
70%
0-0
-
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 30.8
28.1
21.5
14
100%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
4-4
1-3
100%
52%
2-3
67%
Deni Avdija
F · 6'9" 210 · 22.1
27.1
25.7
8
59%
4
2
1
1
0
4
0
4
3-4
75%
1-1
3-5
100%
54%
1-4
25%
Corey Kispert
F · 6'6" 224 · 24.0
24.4
19.7
7
39%
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
61%
1-7
14%
Jordan Goodwin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
19.5
5.9
0
0%
4
3
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Kendrick Nunn
G · 6'3" 193 · 27.6
14.7
11.7
4
29%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
53%
0-2
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 37.7
12.5
11.3
3
52%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
57%
0-0
-
Anthony Gill
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.4
7.9
3.4
3
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
3-6
50%
0-0
0-1
-
61%
0-0
-
Vernon Carey Jr.
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 22.0
1.3
0
0-0
53%
Isaiah Todd
F · 6'9" 219 · 21.4
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 27.7
Johnny Davis
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.0
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 27.6
Quenton Jackson
G · 6'5" 173 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.6
35.3
31.4
29
78%
2
6
2
1
0
1
0
2
7-8
88%
11-15
7-13
73%
54%
0-0
-
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.0
33.1
30.0
27
70%
1
4
0
1
1
3
0
1
3-3
100%
9-14
5-9
64%
55%
2-4
50%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 32.3
32.4
28.8
16
47%
13
1
0
1
0
0
2
11
2-2
100%
7-10
5-9
70%
57%
0-6
0%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.6
26.1
22.6
0
0%
5
1
0
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-3
0%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 29.0
25.9
22.9
6
50%
4
3
2
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
2-6
33%
Coby White
G · 6'5" 191 · 23.0
25.9
25.9
17
96%
4
3
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
52%
3-5
60%
Patrick Williams
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.5
22.1
27.2
5
63%
4
1
0
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
54%
1-2
50%
Ayo Dosunmu
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.1
21.9
27.3
0
0%
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
60%
0-4
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 29.5
13.9
13.7
2
35%
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-2
0%
1-2
3-5
50%
58%
0-0
-
Dalen Terry
F · 6'7" 195 · 20.6
1.8
11.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 26.0
1.8
9.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
62%
0-0
-
Terry Taylor
G · 6'5" 230 · 23.4
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.3
Carlik Jones
G · 6'0" 174 · 25.2
Marko Simonovic
C · 6'11" 220 · 23.4
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 36.8
Javonte Green
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.