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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 27, 2023
7:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Pistons35%108106
27Hornets65%114117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Killian Hayes
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.6
35.3
30.3
12
41%
4
10
4
1
2
1
0
4
4-4
100%
4-11
3-7
36%
46%
0-2
0%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 31.6
30.4
3.2
4
29%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-2
0-0
0%
52%
1-4
25%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 31.6
30.3
17.5
17
51%
4
2
1
1
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
5-7
1-3
71%
45%
1-8
13%
James Wiseman
C · 7'1" 240 · 21.9
26.6
20.2
23
84%
7
0
0
0
0
0
4
3
4-6
67%
8-10
4-7
80%
56%
1-1
100%
Isaiah Livers
F · 6'6" 232 · 24.6
8.3
25.1
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-3
0%
Hamidou Diallo
G · 6'5" 197 · 24.6
33.0
19.1
23
65%
3
2
3
1
0
1
1
2
3-6
50%
10-14
4-7
71%
56%
0-1
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.5
28.2
12.3
4
25%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
49%
0-2
0%
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 24.0
24.5
17.6
21
61%
12
1
0
0
0
2
4
8
1-3
33%
10-14
3-6
71%
57%
0-2
0%
R.J. Hampton
G · 6'4" 175 · 22.1
23.4
4.3
2
17%
5
1
1
0
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
47%
0-3
0%
Jaden Ivey
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.0
29.8
1
4-8
49%
Jalen Duren
C · 6'11" 250 · 19.3
22.7
1
4-6
63%
Isaiah Stewart
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 21.8
22.3
0
2-4
56%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 28.9
Buddy Boeheim
F · 6'6" 205 · 23.3
Jared Rhoden
G · 6'6" 210 · 23.5
Cade Cunningham
G · 6'7" 220 · 21.4
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 33.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.9
37.9
32.1
22
57%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
6-11
4-8
55%
52%
3-8
38%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 32.9
35.6
29.5
19
58%
5
6
2
1
0
5
0
5
3-3
100%
8-12
4-8
67%
54%
0-3
0%
Mark Williams
C · 7'0" 240 · 21.2
29.7
23.1
15
69%
11
3
0
1
1
2
4
7
1-2
50%
7-10
4-7
70%
63%
0-0
-
JT Thor
F · 6'9" 203 · 20.5
22.2
16.9
7
88%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
56%
1-1
100%
LaMelo Ball
G · 6'8" 180 · 21.5
21.0
37.4
18
95%
6
5
0
2
0
5
0
6
0-1
0%
0-2
5-10
0%
50%
6-7
86%
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.3
32.2
25.8
7
33%
3
7
1
1
0
1
1
2
5-6
83%
1-7
3-6
14%
50%
0-1
0%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.2
27.6
22.0
18
68%
5
0
2
1
0
2
0
5
3-3
100%
3-6
4-7
50%
55%
3-6
50%
Nick Richards
C · 6'11" 245 · 25.2
18.3
18.7
9
59%
9
0
0
0
1
0
2
7
5-6
83%
2-5
3-5
40%
63%
0-0
-
Kai Jones
C-F · 6'10" 221 · 22.1
10.6
9.3
2
100%
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
59%
0-0
-
Bryce McGowens
G · 6'6" 175 · 20.3
4.9
19.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Svi Mykhailiuk
F · 6'8" 212 · 25.7
4.7
0
0-1
52%
James Bouknight
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.4
2.5
0
0-0
49%
Theo Maledon
G · 6'5" 175 · 21.7
P.J. Washington
F · 6'7" 236 · 24.5
Cody Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.