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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 28, 2023
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Wizards44%114119
11Hawks56%117116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Kuzma
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.6
36.7
36.2
28
48%
3
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
6-7
86%
8-19
5-10
42%
54%
2-7
29%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 29.7
35.0
34.4
37
60%
3
7
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
16-26
7-13
62%
54%
1-4
25%
Daniel Gafford
F-C · 6'11" 238 · 24.4
34.3
23.4
13
84%
12
2
1
1
3
2
4
8
3-4
75%
5-6
4-6
83%
71%
0-0
-
Deni Avdija
F · 6'9" 210 · 22.2
31.1
26.1
4
22%
13
0
1
1
0
0
4
9
0-0
-
2-8
3-5
25%
55%
0-1
0%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 30.8
30.7
24.6
9
85%
3
4
0
2
1
0
3
0
3-3
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
53%
0-0
-
Corey Kispert
F · 6'6" 224 · 24.0
24.9
22.1
9
64%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
61%
3-5
60%
Jordan Goodwin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
18.5
12.0
6
77%
1
4
2
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
0-0
-
Kendrick Nunn
G · 6'3" 193 · 27.6
15.2
13.4
8
50%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
53%
0-2
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 37.7
13.6
11.6
5
51%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
58%
0-2
0%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 27.7
25.8
1
3-5
55%
Anthony Gill
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.4
6.5
0
1-1
63%
Vernon Carey Jr.
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 22.0
Isaiah Todd
F · 6'9" 219 · 21.4
Johnny Davis
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.0
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 27.6
Quenton Jackson
G · 6'5" 173 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 28.8
35.2
20.5
13
73%
15
3
2
1
3
0
6
9
1-2
50%
6-8
4-7
75%
63%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 26.4
35.0
31.8
15
42%
2
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
6-12
6-10
50%
53%
1-6
17%
Trae Young
G · 6'2" 178 · 24.4
34.2
32.2
31
53%
2
7
0
1
1
4
1
1
7-8
88%
9-20
6-11
45%
52%
2-6
33%
De'Andre Hunter
F · 6'7" 225 · 25.2
33.2
25.0
14
64%
3
0
0
1
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
53%
2-5
40%
John Collins
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
26.3
25.8
10
64%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
3-4
4-6
75%
62%
0-2
0%
Saddiq Bey
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.9
27.3
28.1
12
67%
6
1
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
4-8
50%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.5
19.5
25.4
16
91%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
53%
4-5
80%
AJ Griffin
F · 6'6" 220 · 19.5
16.4
14.5
2
25%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
56%
0-3
0%
Onyeka Okongwu
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 22.2
12.8
25.7
3
34%
6
1
1
1
1
1
3
3
1-1
100%
1-4
4-7
25%
65%
0-0
-
Jalen Johnson
F · 6'8" 210 · 21.2
11.5
0
1-2
59%
Bruno Fernando
F · 6'10" 233 · 24.5
2.8
0
0-1
56%
Garrison Mathews
G · 6'5" 204 · 26.3
2.4
0
0-0
67%
Aaron Holiday
G · 6'1" 187 · 26.4
2.2
0
0-0
47%
Tyrese Martin
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.0
2.0
0
0-0
52%
Vit Krejci
G · 6'8" 195 · 22.7
1.7
0
0-0
53%
Trent Forrest
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.7
Donovan Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.