Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Wizards	44%	114	119	125.3	95	89.6
	11	Hawks	56%	117	116	119.6	97	103.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 28	36.7	28	48%	3	1	1	1	2	2	1	2	6-7	86%	8-19	42%	2-7	29%
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 30	35.0	37	60%	3	7	1	0	2	2	0	3	2-2	100%	16-26	62%	1-4	25%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 24	34.3	13	81%	12	2	1	3	2	2	4	8	3-4	75%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Deni Avdija #9 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 22	31.1	4	22%	13	0	1	0	0	1	4	9	0-0	-	2-8	25%	0-1	0%
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	30.7	9	90%	3	4	0	1	0	3	3	0	3-3	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 24	24.9	9	64%	6	0	0	0	0	1	1	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-5	60%
Jordan Goodwin #7 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 24	18.5	6	75%	1	4	2	0	0	2	1	0	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Kendrick Nunn #20 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 28	15.2	8	50%	2	1	0	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Taj Gibson #67 · PF · 6'9" 232 · 38	13.6	5	50%	5	0	0	0	1	0	1	4	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Monté Morris #22 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Back; Low back soreness
Vernon Carey Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 270 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaiah Todd #14 · PF · 6'9" 219 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kristaps Porziņģis #6 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Left knee soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	56%	48	19	6	5	8	15	16	32	17-20	85%	42-76	55%	6-21	29%

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15 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 28	36.7	28	48%	3	1	1	1	2	2	1	2	6-7	86%	8-19	42%	2-7	29%
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 30	35.0	37	60%	3	7	1	0	2	2	0	3	2-2	100%	16-26	62%	1-4	25%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 24	34.3	13	81%	12	2	1	3	2	2	4	8	3-4	75%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Deni Avdija #9 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 22	31.1	4	22%	13	0	1	0	0	1	4	9	0-0	-	2-8	25%	0-1	0%
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	30.7	9	90%	3	4	0	1	0	3	3	0	3-3	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 24	24.9	9	64%	6	0	0	0	0	1	1	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-5	60%
Jordan Goodwin #7 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 24	18.5	6	75%	1	4	2	0	0	2	1	0	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Kendrick Nunn #20 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 28	15.2	8	50%	2	1	0	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Taj Gibson #67 · PF · 6'9" 232 · 38	13.6	5	50%	5	0	0	0	1	0	1	4	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Monté Morris #22 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Back; Low back soreness
Vernon Carey Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 270 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaiah Todd #14 · PF · 6'9" 219 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kristaps Porziņģis #6 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Left knee soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	56%	48	19	6	5	8	15	16	32	17-20	85%	42-76	55%	6-21	29%

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11 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 29	35.2	13	72%	15	3	2	3	0	2	6	9	1-2	50%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 26	35.0	15	42%	2	5	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	6-12	50%	1-6	17%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 24	34.2	31	53%	2	7	0	1	4	2	1	1	7-8	88%	9-20	45%	2-6	33%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 25	33.2	14	64%	3	0	0	2	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-5	40%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 25	26.3	10	63%	4	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%

Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	27.3	12	67%	6	1	1	0	0	1	1	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	4-8	50%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	19.5	16	89%	2	2	0	0	2	0	0	2	4-4	100%	0-2	0%	4-5	80%
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	16.4	2	25%	2	2	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 22	12.8	3	38%	6	1	1	1	1	5	3	3	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyrese Martin #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 25	INACTIVE
Donovan Williams #4 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	55%	42	21	4	7	9	17	13	29	17-19	89%	30-58	52%	13-35	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	ATL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.11 55.6%

ATL

1.10 55.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

24

42

57%

ATL

16

29

55%

Midrange

WAS

18

34

53%

ATL

14

29

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

6

9.0

21

29%

43%

ATL

13

19.5

35

37%

56%

Free Throws

WAS

17

20

85%

ATL

17

19

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Beal	37	60%	18.5 / 31
K. Kuzma	28	48%	14.0 / 29
D. Gafford	13	81%	6.5 / 8
D. Wright	9	90%	4.5 / 5
C. Kispert	9	64%	4.5 / 7
K. Nunn	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Goodwin	6	75%	3.0 / 4
T. Gibson	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Avdija	4	22%	2.0 / 9

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Young	31	53%	15.5 / 29
B. Bogdanović	16	89%	8.0 / 9
D. Murray	15	42%	7.5 / 18
D. Hunter	14	64%	7.0 / 11
C. Capela	13	72%	6.5 / 9
S. Bey	12	67%	6.0 / 9
J. Collins	10	63%	5.0 / 8
O. Okongwu	3	38%	1.5 / 4
A. Griffin	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 113.8 8 115.5	WAS 125.3 +5.7 ATL 119.6
Pace	19 99.1 6 101.6	WAS 89.6 ATL 103.2 +13.6
Avg. Poss. Time	6 14.8 26 14.0	WAS 16.1 ATL 14.0 −2.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 19 54.1%	WAS 52.6% ATL 53.2% +0.6%
TO %	17 13.4% 3 12.0%	WAS 7.8% −0.4% ATL 8.2%
ORB %	23 22.6% 8 25.1%	WAS 35.6% +6.7% ATL 28.9%
FTrt	21 25.8 26 24.4	WAS 20.6 +0.2 ATL 20.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 60.3% 28 56.0%	WAS 39.6% ATL 48.8% +9.2%
STL %	22 6.9% 20 6.9%	WAS 6.3% +2.2% ATL 4.1%
BLK %	18 8.4% 13 9.0%	WAS 8.6% ATL 9.2% +0.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 57.1% 19 56.5%	WAS 55.6% +0.4% ATL 55.2%
Rim FG%	1 68.7% 15 64.0%	WAS 57.1% +1.9% ATL 55.2%
Mid FG%	18 43.0% 4 46.0%	WAS 52.9% +4.6% ATL 48.3%
3P %	18 35.6% 21 35.2%	WAS 28.6% ATL 37.1% +8.5%
FT %	15 78.5% 3 81.8%	WAS 85.0% ATL 89.5% +4.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 31.9% 19 32.6%	WAS 43.3% +12.1% ATL 31.2%
Mid Att. %	26 31.6% 29 34.4%	WAS 35.1% ATL 31.2% −3.9%
3P Att. %	19 36.5% 30 33.1%	WAS 21.6% ATL 37.6% +16.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.

Game Totals	WAS	ATL
Possessions	95	97
Possession Minutes	25.4	22.6
Points	119	116
Rebounds	48	42
Assists	19	21
Steals	6	4
Blocks	5	7
Turnovers (Team)	8 (1)	9 (0)
Fouls	15	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (4)	13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (2)	29 (1)
Field Goals	48-97	43-93
At-the-Rim FG	24-42	16-29
Midrange FG	18-34	14-29
2-Point FG	42-76	30-58
3-Point FG	6-21	13-35
Free Throws	17-20	17-19
Fast Break Pts	8	22
2nd Chance Pts	22	15
Points in Paint	66	52
Pts off Turnovers	12	7
Bench Points	28	33
Biggest Lead	7	10

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg