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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 28, 2023
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Bulls46%10798
14Raptors54%109104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.0
37.8
31.3
17
62%
2
3
1
1
1
2
0
2
4-4
100%
5-7
5-10
71%
54%
1-5
20%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.6
34.7
32.4
13
49%
0
2
1
1
1
3
0
0
3-5
60%
5-11
7-13
45%
53%
0-0
-
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 32.3
31.5
30.1
23
80%
5
4
0
1
0
6
1
4
1-1
100%
5-8
5-10
63%
56%
4-6
67%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.6
29.1
23.9
8
58%
7
4
0
1
1
1
0
7
1-2
50%
2-2
1-1
100%
48%
1-4
25%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 29.0
26.3
23.8
6
55%
4
6
1
1
1
3
1
3
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
1-4
25%
Coby White
G · 6'5" 191 · 23.0
23.0
25.7
7
44%
0
5
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
51%
1-3
33%
Patrick Williams
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.5
21.5
24.4
8
80%
1
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
52%
2-2
100%
Ayo Dosunmu
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.1
19.7
24.4
10
71%
6
2
1
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
5-6
3-5
83%
59%
0-1
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 29.6
16.5
13.7
6
61%
10
1
0
1
1
2
3
7
2-2
100%
2-4
3-4
50%
57%
0-0
-
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 26.0
6.8
0
1-1
61%
Dalen Terry
F · 6'7" 195 · 20.6
6.3
0
1-1
53%
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.3
Javonte Green
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.6
Terry Taylor
G · 6'5" 230 · 23.4
Carlik Jones
G · 6'0" 174 · 25.2
Marko Simonovic
C · 6'11" 220 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 29.0
35.4
13.1
3
14%
6
9
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
1-9
11%
Scottie Barnes
F · 6'7" 225 · 21.6
35.1
33.8
11
41%
8
4
1
1
4
1
4
4
1-3
33%
2-9
5-9
22%
53%
2-3
67%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 28.9
34.3
33.7
20
48%
8
3
1
1
0
1
3
5
5-6
83%
6-13
7-14
46%
53%
1-5
20%
O.G. Anunoby
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.6
33.9
30.9
17
58%
8
2
1
1
0
3
3
5
3-4
75%
4-9
3-6
44%
54%
2-4
50%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 27.4
26.3
26.7
14
65%
3
2
3
1
2
1
1
2
2-4
50%
6-9
5-8
67%
62%
0-0
-
Gary Trent Jr.
G-F · 6'5" 209 · 24.1
27.8
29.9
19
68%
5
1
2
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
1-2
4-7
50%
49%
5-11
45%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.7
17.3
3.1
7
58%
5
3
1
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
59%
1-3
33%
Chris Boucher
F · 6'10" 200 · 30.1
13.8
20.0
9
90%
1
1
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-4
-
59%
3-5
60%
Precious Achiuwa
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.4
12.2
19.4
4
33%
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
54%
0-1
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 32.1
4.0
10.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-1
0%
Jeff Dowtin Jr.
G · 6'3" 177 · 25.8
17.3
1
2-3
50%
Malachi Flynn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.8
6.7
0
0-1
43%
Joe Wieskamp
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.5
4.7
0
0-0
48%
Ron Harper Jr.
F · 6'6" 245 · 22.9
4.3
0
0-1
52%
Christian Koloko
C · 7'1" 230 · 22.7
4.0
0
0-1
55%
Dalano Banton
F · 6'9" 204 · 23.3
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.