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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 28, 2023
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Kings49%115123
23Thunder51%116117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 30.7
37.1
30.1
29
83%
9
3
0
1
1
2
1
8
9-10
90%
4-8
3-5
50%
54%
4-5
80%
Keegan Murray
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.5
36.4
29.7
13
65%
10
4
1
1
0
0
1
9
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
52%
3-7
43%
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 26.8
33.6
30.7
22
81%
13
9
0
1
1
4
2
11
6-8
75%
8-10
6-10
80%
61%
0-0
-
Kevin Huerter
G · 6'7" 194 · 24.5
33.4
20.8
20
67%
4
9
0
1
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
6-8
2-3
75%
57%
2-6
33%
Davion Mitchell
G · 6'0" 202 · 24.5
32.6
15.2
15
75%
1
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
52%
3-7
43%
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.1
15.4
22.7
7
72%
3
2
0
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
1-1
3-6
100%
55%
1-3
33%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 32.5
13.8
1.6
4
41%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0-0
0%
42%
1-3
33%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 27.3
12.9
20.6
9
51%
5
0
0
0
1
2
2
3
2-4
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
57%
1-4
25%
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 25.9
12.5
13.5
4
41%
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-2
0%
2-3
2-3
67%
60%
0-1
0%
Terence Davis
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.8
9.6
14.2
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-5
0%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.4
1.9
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
63%
0-0
-
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.3
0.7
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-1
0%
Kessler Edwards
F · 6'7" 203 · 22.6
3.0
0
0-0
46%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 29.7
1.6
0
0-0
59%
Neemias Queta
C · 6'11" 248 · 23.6
Keon Ellis
G · 6'6" 175 · 23.1
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 21.9
32.7
29.5
27
68%
5
8
2
1
0
1
1
4
8-9
89%
8-13
5-8
62%
59%
1-3
33%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 23.7
22.3
26.5
8
80%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
2-4
50%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 23.9
21.3
31.2
11
38%
3
2
0
1
0
1
2
1
1-1
100%
2-9
3-7
22%
49%
2-5
40%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 20.4
19.4
29.1
8
37%
6
5
0
1
1
1
3
3
0-2
0%
4-10
6-12
40%
55%
0-0
-
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.7
17.3
19.1
6
38%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
55%
0-3
0%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 24.2
28.9
18.1
10
50%
6
3
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-3
33%
58%
2-4
50%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.2
28.8
22.8
11
56%
4
0
5
1
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
5-7
3-4
71%
58%
0-2
0%
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 28.9
27.1
10.1
21
80%
8
2
0
0
0
2
1
7
5-5
100%
5-5
1-2
100%
52%
2-6
33%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
F · 6'8" 242 · 22.3
21.3
14.9
5
36%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
54%
1-5
20%
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 22.1
20.8
14.3
10
48%
3
6
0
0
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 21.2
12.2
0
1-3
51%
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 20.8
Olivier Sarr
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.0
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 24.6
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 25.6
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 19.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.