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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 1, 2023
7:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Bulls65%113117
28Pistons35%107115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.0
36.9
34.0
41
89%
1
0
1
1
1
2
0
1
7-7
100%
8-11
6-11
73%
55%
6-9
67%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.6
36.7
32.9
21
53%
7
7
0
1
0
2
3
4
7-9
78%
7-16
7-13
44%
54%
0-0
-
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 32.4
35.5
30.3
12
36%
9
2
1
1
0
1
1
8
2-4
50%
5-10
6-10
50%
57%
0-5
0%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.6
33.2
25.8
5
43%
10
10
4
1
1
1
4
6
1-4
25%
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 29.0
20.1
24.6
8
68%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
2-4
50%
Patrick Williams
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.5
27.8
23.2
11
56%
2
0
0
1
2
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-8
2-4
38%
53%
1-1
100%
Coby White
G · 6'5" 191 · 23.0
22.5
24.5
14
61%
2
5
3
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
52%
3-6
50%
Ayo Dosunmu
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.1
14.8
22.4
4
50%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-4
50%
60%
0-0
-
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 29.6
12.5
15.1
1
27%
6
0
0
1
0
3
2
4
1-2
50%
0-1
3-5
0%
58%
0-0
-
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 26.0
5.3
0
1-1
62%
Dalen Terry
F · 6'7" 195 · 20.6
4.6
0
0-1
54%
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.3
Javonte Green
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.6
Terry Taylor
G · 6'5" 230 · 23.4
Marko Simonovic
C · 6'11" 220 · 23.4
Carlik Jones
G · 6'0" 174 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 33.9
39.5
27.8
34
75%
6
3
1
1
1
2
2
4
4-4
100%
3-9
5-8
33%
54%
8-12
67%
Jaden Ivey
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.0
31.5
18.0
18
69%
4
2
1
1
0
4
0
4
6-9
67%
3-5
2-5
60%
49%
2-4
50%
James Wiseman
C · 7'1" 240 · 21.9
29.2
22.7
7
60%
9
2
0
0
0
3
3
6
1-2
50%
3-4
5-8
75%
57%
0-1
0%
Killian Hayes
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.6
24.4
31.8
11
61%
2
7
3
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
3-7
80%
45%
1-4
25%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 31.6
17.3
16.0
4
50%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Hamidou Diallo
G · 6'5" 197 · 24.6
28.6
25.1
19
63%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
5-5
100%
7-11
5-10
64%
57%
0-2
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.5
25.3
19.5
3
50%
4
5
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
1-3
33%
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 24.0
18.8
20.3
8
59%
9
1
0
0
1
1
2
7
4-4
100%
2-5
4-7
40%
57%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 31.6
18.4
23.0
11
56%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
2-7
29%
R.J. Hampton
G · 6'4" 175 · 22.1
7.1
12.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jared Rhoden
G · 6'6" 210 · 23.5
7.2
0
1-1
50%
Buddy Boeheim
F · 6'6" 205 · 23.3
0.7
0
0-0
50%
Cade Cunningham
G · 6'7" 220 · 21.4
Isaiah Livers
F · 6'6" 232 · 24.6
Isaiah Stewart
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 21.8
Jalen Duren
C · 6'11" 250 · 19.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.