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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 1, 2023
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Grizzlies
113
30Rockets
99
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.7
29
29
30
9
6
0
1
1
1
1
8
0-0
-
6-8
4-8
75%
53%
6-9
67%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 23.5
29
29
17
4
0
0
1
5
1
1
3
3-3
100%
4-5
5-8
80%
56%
2-7
29%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 27.1
27
27
16
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
4-8
50%
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 24.1
27
29
4
5
3
0
2
2
1
1
4
2-2
100%
1-2
4-7
50%
61%
0-1
0%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.6
27
31
20
7
7
2
1
0
0
2
5
7-10
70%
5-10
8-15
50%
55%
1-2
50%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 26.8
21
16
8
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
51%
2-6
33%
Santi Aldama
F-C · 6'11" 215 · 22.1
21
18
9
5
1
0
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
62%
1-1
100%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.7
20
22
0
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-4
0%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 26.4
20
17
6
7
2
1
1
0
0
3
4
2-2
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
67%
0-0
-
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.9
15
15
3
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
59%
1-2
50%
Ziaire Williams
F · 6'8" 185 · 21.5
5
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
64%
0-1
0%
David Roddy
F · 6'6" 255 · 21.9
6
0
1-1
58%
Jake LaRavia
F · 6'8" 235 · 21.3
4
0
0-0
59%
Kennedy Chandler
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.5
3
0
0-1
53%
Kenneth Lofton Jr.
F · 6'7" 275 · 20.5
3
0
0-1
56%
Vince Williams Jr.
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.5
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kenyon Martin Jr.
F · 6'6" 215 · 22.1
34
29
19
6
0
0
1
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
6-7
5-7
86%
64%
2-5
40%
Alperen Sengun
C · 6'10" 243 · 20.6
31
26
11
8
5
1
1
0
4
3
5
1-4
25%
5-5
5-9
100%
56%
0-1
0%
Jalen Green
G · 6'6" 186 · 21.1
29
21
20
3
3
0
0
1
1
0
3
2-3
67%
3-11
3-7
27%
49%
4-7
57%
Kevin Porter Jr.
G · 6'6" 216 · 22.8
26
23
11
5
2
0
1
0
2
1
4
3-4
75%
1-6
3-6
17%
50%
2-5
40%
Jabari Smith Jr.
F · 6'10" 220 · 19.8
21
33
4
6
1
0
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
49%
0-2
0%
Tari Eason
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.8
25
27
10
7
1
1
1
3
1
4
3
0-0
-
2-8
4-8
25%
50%
2-3
67%
Jae'Sean Tate
F · 6'4" 230 · 27.3
18
25
11
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
4-7
4-7
57%
55%
0-2
0%
Josh Christopher
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.2
16
19
4
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
3-5
0%
53%
1-2
50%
Daishen Nix
G · 6'3" 226 · 21.0
14
25
1
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Usman Garuba
F · 6'8" 229 · 21.0
13
12
8
4
0
1
1
1
0
3
1
4-4
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
53%
0-0
-
TyTy Washington Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 21.3
5
28
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
48%
0-4
0%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 34.5
4
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
57%
0-0
-
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 29.9
4
4
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-1
0%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 29.5
2
0
0-0
55%
Trevor Hudgins
G · 6'0" 180 · 23.9
Darius Days
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.