Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 3, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	7	Grizzlies	37%	111	97	101.0	96	96.7
	2	Nuggets	63%	116	113	117.7	96	95.3

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+13

-10

DEN

+16

-8

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

0.97 48.5%

DEN

1.08 53.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

7 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dillon Brooks #24 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	33.2	8	40%	3	2	1	0	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-5	40%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 24	32.9	27	54%	4	10	2	0	3	2	1	3	9-11	82%	6-17	35%	2-3	67%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 23	30.8	15	50%	6	1	0	3	1	4	1	5	3-5	60%	6-10	60%	0-3	0%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	29.9	19	59%	4	0	0	0	2	2	2	2	7-7	100%	3-6	50%	2-7	29%
Xavier Tillman #2 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	29.6	11	61%	10	4	0	0	0	4	2	8	2-3	67%	3-7	43%	1-1	100%

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 22	23.4	1	10%	4	2	0	1	2	3	0	4	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 27	18.4	6	60%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 27	14.0	3	50%	3	1	3	2	0	5	1	2	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Tyus Jones #21 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 27	12.4	0	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
David Roddy #27 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 22	2.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	2.6	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Kennedy Chandler #1 · PG · 6'0" 170 · 20	2.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kenneth Lofton Jr. #6 · PF · 6'7" 275 · 21	2.6	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	2.6	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 26	2.1	1	25%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Steven Adams #4 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	49%	40	24	6	6	10	24	10	30	24-31	77%	20-52	38%	11-32	34%

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7 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dillon Brooks #24 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	33.2	8	40%	3	2	1	0	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-5	40%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 24	32.9	27	54%	4	10	2	0	3	2	1	3	9-11	82%	6-17	35%	2-3	67%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 23	30.8	15	50%	6	1	0	3	1	4	1	5	3-5	60%	6-10	60%	0-3	0%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	29.9	19	59%	4	0	0	0	2	2	2	2	7-7	100%	3-6	50%	2-7	29%
Xavier Tillman #2 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	29.6	11	61%	10	4	0	0	0	4	2	8	2-3	67%	3-7	43%	1-1	100%

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 22	23.4	1	10%	4	2	0	1	2	3	0	4	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 27	18.4	6	60%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 27	14.0	3	50%	3	1	3	2	0	5	1	2	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Tyus Jones #21 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 27	12.4	0	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
David Roddy #27 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 22	2.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	2.6	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Kennedy Chandler #1 · PG · 6'0" 170 · 20	2.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kenneth Lofton Jr. #6 · PF · 6'7" 275 · 21	2.6	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	2.6	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 26	2.1	1	25%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Steven Adams #4 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	49%	40	24	6	6	10	24	10	30	24-31	77%	20-52	38%	11-32	34%

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2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	37.0	22	52%	5	9	2	0	2	3	1	4	2-4	50%	4-11	36%	4-8	50%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	35.3	18	69%	18	10	0	1	2	5	3	15	4-6	67%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	30.9	8	50%	0	5	1	0	1	3	0	0	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	30.0	26	76%	8	1	1	0	0	2	3	5	8-8	100%	6-7	86%	2-7	29%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	28.2	13	59%	5	0	0	0	0	3	4	1	3-3	100%	5-8	63%	0-2	0%

Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 37	24.8	4	29%	4	1	0	3	0	1	0	4	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 27	23.4	15	63%	6	1	0	1	0	0	1	5	0-0	-	6-9	67%	1-3	33%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 33	19.1	1	6%	2	0	1	0	3	1	0	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-6	0%
Thomas Bryant #13 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	6.0	2	50%	3	0	1	0	0	3	1	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	1.8	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	1.8	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 35	1.8	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	54%	53	28	6	5	8	21	13	40	25-31	81%	32-56	57%	8-31	26%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

0.97 48.5%

DEN

1.08 53.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

59%

DEN

70%

Midrange

MEM

29%

DEN

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

16.5

34%

52%

DEN

12.0

26%

39%

Free Throws

MEM

77%

DEN

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Morant	27	54%	13.5 / 25
D. Bane	19	59%	9.5 / 16
J. Jackson	15	50%	7.5 / 15
X. Tillman	11	61%	5.5 / 9
D. Brooks	8	40%	4.0 / 10
L. Kennard	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Konchar	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. LaRavia	3	75%	1.5 / 2
V. Williams	3	150%	1.5 / 1
S. Aldama	1	10%	0.5 / 5
B. Clarke	1	25%	0.5 / 2
T. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 2
D. Roddy	0	-	0.0 / 1
K. Lofton Jr.	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Porter	26	76%	13.0 / 17
J. Murray	22	52%	11.0 / 21
N. Jokić	18	69%	9.0 / 13
B. Brown	15	63%	7.5 / 12
A. Gordon	13	59%	6.5 / 11
K. Caldwell-Pope	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Green	4	29%	2.0 / 7
T. Bryant	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Jordan	2	100%	1.0 / 1
I. Smith	2	100%	1.0 / 1
R. Jackson	1	6%	0.5 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	11 114.9 5 116.8	MEM 101.0 DEN 117.7 +16.7
Pace	8 101.3 21 99.0	MEM 96.7 +1.4 DEN 95.3
Avg. Poss. Time	25 14.0 12 14.7	MEM 14.9 −0.2 DEN 15.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 54.0% 1 57.3%	MEM 43.5% DEN 50.6% +7.1%
TO %	8 12.7% 22 14.0%	MEM 10.1% DEN 9.0% −1.1%
ORB %	6 26.5% 11 24.8%	MEM 20.0% DEN 30.2% +10.2%
FTrt	19 25.9 20 25.9	MEM 36.9 +1.3 DEN 35.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 59.6% 2 66.3%	MEM 77.4% +7.4% DEN 70.0%
STL %	4 8.1% 9 7.6%	MEM 6.3% DEN 6.3%
BLK %	7 9.7% 21 8.0%	MEM 10.7% +1.1% DEN 9.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 55.9% 5 58.7%	MEM 48.5% DEN 53.8% +5.3%
Rim FG%	18 63.6% 3 67.8%	MEM 58.8% DEN 70.0% +11.2%
Mid FG%	14 43.1% 15 43.0%	MEM 28.6% DEN 42.3% +13.7%
3P %	23 35.1% 4 37.9%	MEM 34.4% +8.6% DEN 25.8%
FT %	30 73.3% 26 75.1%	MEM 77.4% DEN 80.6% +3.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 35.8% 3 37.3%	MEM 20.2% DEN 34.5% +14.2%
Mid Att. %	14 27.0% 12 26.6%	MEM 41.7% DEN 29.9% −11.8%
3P Att. %	16 37.2% 21 36.1%	MEM 38.1% +2.5% DEN 35.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	DEN
Possessions	96	96
Possession Minutes	23.8	24.2
Points	97	113
Rebounds	40	53
Assists	24	28
Steals	6	6
Blocks	6	5
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	8 (2)
Fouls	24	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (4)	40 (4)
Field Goals	31-84	40-87
At-the-Rim FG	10-17	21-30
Midrange FG	10-35	11-26
2-Point FG	20-52	32-56
3-Point FG	11-32	8-31
Free Throws	24-31	25-31
Fast Break Pts	7	19
2nd Chance Pts	14	17
Points in Paint	36	58
Pts off Turnovers	13	8
Bench Points	17	26
Biggest Lead	11	21

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg