Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Hawks	42%	109	109	110.1	99	108.7
	13	Heat	58%	112	117	117.0	100	91.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 26	36.0	10	31%	5	3	2	0	2	1	1	4	4-5	80%	3-9	33%	0-5	0%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 24	32.3	8	27%	4	10	5	0	5	1	1	3	4-5	80%	2-8	25%	0-5	0%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 25	30.3	17	71%	3	2	1	0	1	2	1	2	4-4	100%	5-6	83%	1-4	25%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 29	24.9	16	80%	13	0	1	1	0	3	5	8	0-0	-	8-10	80%	0-0	-
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 25	16.2	3	30%	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%

Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	34.8	22	79%	3	2	2	0	2	1	1	2	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	4-8	50%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	26.1	13	65%	0	2	1	0	3	4	0	0	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	3-5	60%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 22	23.1	15	83%	4	1	0	0	1	5	1	3	7-8	88%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 21	16.3	5	125%	4	2	0	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 25	INACTIVE
Tyrese Martin #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Donovan Williams #4 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	57%	37	22	12	3	16	23	10	27	26-30	87%	28-49	57%	9-30	30%

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17 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 26	36.0	10	31%	5	3	2	0	2	1	1	4	4-5	80%	3-9	33%	0-5	0%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 24	32.3	8	27%	4	10	5	0	5	1	1	3	4-5	80%	2-8	25%	0-5	0%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 25	30.3	17	71%	3	2	1	0	1	2	1	2	4-4	100%	5-6	83%	1-4	25%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 29	24.9	16	80%	13	0	1	1	0	3	5	8	0-0	-	8-10	80%	0-0	-
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 25	16.2	3	30%	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%

Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	34.8	22	79%	3	2	2	0	2	1	1	2	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	4-8	50%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	26.1	13	65%	0	2	1	0	3	4	0	0	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	3-5	60%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 22	23.1	15	83%	4	1	0	0	1	5	1	3	7-8	88%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 21	16.3	5	125%	4	2	0	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 25	INACTIVE
Tyrese Martin #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Donovan Williams #4 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	57%	37	22	12	3	16	23	10	27	26-30	87%	28-49	57%	9-30	30%

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13 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	38.3	20	48%	6	5	0	0	4	1	3	3	1-1	100%	5-12	42%	3-9	33%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 26	35.5	30	88%	11	5	1	2	2	3	3	8	10-12	83%	10-12	83%	0-0	-
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	34.0	15	83%	11	7	2	0	2	1	3	8	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	1-1	100%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	31.9	9	45%	2	3	0	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	3-7	43%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 34	18.1	6	43%	5	1	1	0	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-7	29%

Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	29.9	15	75%	3	1	1	1	3	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-5	60%
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	21.5	5	36%	0	6	0	0	4	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	18.4	4	50%	3	3	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Cody Zeller #44 · C · 7'0" 240 · 30	12.5	13	93%	2	0	0	0	1	4	2	0	5-6	83%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43	DNP – Coach's Decision
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	INACTIVE
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 25	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Stress Reaction
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	62%	43	31	5	1	19	19	12	31	20-23	87%	29-48	60%	13-35	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.15 57.4%

MIA

1.23 61.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

21

32

66%

MIA

17

28

61%

Midrange

ATL

7

17

41%

MIA

12

20

60%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

9

13.5

30

30%

45%

MIA

13

19.5

35

37%

56%

Free Throws

ATL

26

30

87%

MIA

20

23

87%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Bey	22	79%	11.0 / 14
D. Hunter	17	71%	8.5 / 12
C. Capela	16	80%	8.0 / 10
O. Okongwu	15	83%	7.5 / 9
B. Bogdanović	13	65%	6.5 / 10
D. Murray	10	31%	5.0 / 16
T. Young	8	27%	4.0 / 15
J. Johnson	5	125%	2.5 / 2
J. Collins	3	30%	1.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo	30	88%	15.0 / 17
T. Herro	20	48%	10.0 / 21
J. Butler	15	83%	7.5 / 9
C. Martin	15	75%	7.5 / 10
C. Zeller	13	93%	6.5 / 7
G. Vincent	9	45%	4.5 / 10
K. Love	6	43%	3.0 / 7
V. Oladipo	5	36%	2.5 / 7
M. Strus	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 115.5 25 112.5	ATL 110.1 MIA 117.0 +6.9
Pace	6 101.6 29 96.8	ATL 108.7 +16.9 MIA 91.8
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.0 5 15.0	ATL 13.2 −2.4 MIA 15.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	19 54.1% 25 53.0%	ATL 52.5% MIA 58.4% +5.9%
TO %	3 12.0% 15 13.1%	ATL 14.8% −2.9% MIA 17.7%
ORB %	8 25.1% 21 22.8%	ATL 24.4% MIA 30.8% +6.4%
FTrt	26 24.4 13 27.0	ATL 38.0 +10.3 MIA 27.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 56.0% 14 60.8%	ATL 59.5% MIA 73.8% +14.3%
STL %	20 6.9% 3 8.2%	ATL 12.1% +7.1% MIA 5.0%
BLK %	13 9.0% 23 7.5%	ATL 6.3% +4.3% MIA 2.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 56.5% 22 55.9%	ATL 57.4% MIA 61.6% +4.2%
Rim FG%	15 64.0% 21 63.3%	ATL 65.6% +4.9% MIA 60.7%
Mid FG%	4 46.0% 6 45.5%	ATL 41.2% MIA 60.0% +18.8%
3P %	21 35.2% 27 34.4%	ATL 30.0% MIA 37.1% +7.1%
FT %	3 81.8% 2 83.1%	ATL 86.7% MIA 87.0% +0.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 32.6% 29 28.3%	ATL 40.5% +6.8% MIA 33.7%
Mid Att. %	29 34.4% 24 30.9%	ATL 21.5% −2.6% MIA 24.1%
3P Att. %	30 33.1% 9 40.8%	ATL 38.0% MIA 42.2% +4.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	MIA
Possessions	99	100
Possession Minutes	21.9	26.1
Points	109	117
Rebounds	37	43
Assists	22	31
Steals	12	5
Blocks	3	1
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	19 (1)
Fouls	23	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (1)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (2)	31 (2)
Field Goals	37-79	42-83
At-the-Rim FG	21-32	17-28
Midrange FG	7-17	12-20
2-Point FG	28-49	29-48
3-Point FG	9-30	13-35
Free Throws	26-30	20-23
Fast Break Pts	17	20
2nd Chance Pts	14	18
Points in Paint	48	54
Pts off Turnovers	20	19
Bench Points	55	37
Biggest Lead	4	21

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg