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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 5, 2023
3:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Warriors60%116105
22Lakers40%112113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Donte DiVincenzo
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.1
37.0
30.6
11
54%
7
6
0
1
1
0
1
6
5-5
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
50%
2-6
33%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 33.1
32.1
31.4
22
58%
5
3
0
1
1
3
1
4
2-2
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
50%
4-10
40%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 35.0
32.0
30.5
27
60%
2
6
1
1
0
2
0
2
6-6
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
56%
5-13
38%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 33.0
31.1
26.5
15
61%
8
3
0
1
0
1
1
7
1-3
33%
7-10
2-4
70%
58%
0-1
0%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.1
20.4
24.8
6
75%
5
0
1
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
63%
0-0
-
Jordan Poole
G · 6'5" 191 · 23.7
28.3
31.7
10
42%
3
4
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
0-1
5-9
0%
55%
3-10
30%
Anthony Lamb
F · 6'6" 227 · 25.1
27.1
21.8
6
60%
6
2
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
60%
2-5
40%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 39.1
14.4
7.2
0
0%
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
59%
0-2
0%
Jonathan Kuminga
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.4
13.0
27.7
5
25%
6
1
0
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-7
5-8
14%
59%
1-3
33%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 32.7
4.4
10.6
3
75%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
60%
1-2
50%
Patrick Baldwin Jr.
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.3
7.2
0
0-1
52%
Moses Moody
G · 6'5" 211 · 20.8
6.4
0
0-1
57%
Lester Quinones
G · 6'5" 208 · 22.3
3.3
0
0-1
49%
Ryan Rollins
G · 6'4" 180 · 20.7
Gary Payton II
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.3
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 28.0
Ty Jerome
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Troy Brown Jr.
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
41.2
25.5
14
70%
8
2
0
1
0
0
1
7
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
53%
4-7
57%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 30.0
37.6
32.0
39
63%
8
6
0
1
2
2
3
5
10-13
77%
13-22
9-15
59%
58%
1-3
33%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 29.5
33.3
32.1
11
40%
1
6
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-9
4-7
33%
50%
1-4
25%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 26.3
30.9
29.0
12
58%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
3-3
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
1-4
25%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 23.9
23.6
26.4
10
45%
13
4
1
1
0
1
2
11
0-0
-
5-9
3-5
56%
60%
0-2
0%
Austin Reaves
G · 6'5" 197 · 24.8
27.6
22.9
16
74%
2
8
1
0
1
2
0
2
3-4
75%
2-4
2-3
50%
62%
3-5
60%
Rui Hachimura
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.1
20.0
20.9
2
20%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
54%
0-2
0%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 24.2
15.4
19.6
7
39%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
1-5
20%
Wenyen Gabriel
F · 6'9" 205 · 25.9
8.4
10.2
2
50%
6
0
0
0
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
2-2
50%
62%
0-0
-
Mo Bamba
C · 7'1" 225 · 24.8
2.0
11.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
57%
0-1
0%
Max Christie
G · 6'6" 190 · 20.1
4.7
0
0-0
50%
Davon Reed
G · 6'6" 210 · 27.7
2.0
0
0-0
45%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 38.2
Scotty Pippen Jr.
G · 6'3" 170 · 22.3
Cole Swider
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.8
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'5" 195 · 27.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.