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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 5, 2023
7:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Jazz
119
22Thunder
129
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 30.7
34
31
18
4
12
2
1
0
3
2
2
6-8
75%
6-10
5-10
60%
54%
0-5
0%
Walker Kessler
C · 7'1" 245 · 21.6
32
27
17
10
0
0
1
5
2
4
6
1-2
50%
8-10
4-6
80%
67%
0-1
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 31.9
31
26
15
10
5
0
1
0
2
2
8
6-7
86%
3-5
2-4
60%
57%
1-3
33%
Ochai Agbaji
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.9
31
25
14
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
5-5
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
56%
1-6
17%
Talen Horton-Tucker
G · 6'4" 235 · 22.3
24
23
11
3
3
0
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
2-6
33%
Kris Dunn
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.0
27
22
17
2
3
1
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
47%
3-4
75%
Simone Fontecchio
F · 6'8" 209 · 27.2
16
21
5
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
1-4
25%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 36.5
14
15
7
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
3-3
2-3
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 27.7
14
13
4
3
1
0
0
2
1
2
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
66%
0-0
-
Johnny Juzang
G · 6'6" 209 · 22.0
12
8
11
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
3-6
50%
Juan Toscano-Anderson
F · 6'6" 209 · 29.9
5
11
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
57%
0-0
-
Udoka Azubuike
C-F · 7'0" 280 · 23.5
5
0
1-1
62%
Micah Potter
C · 6'10" 248 · 24.9
Collin Sexton
G · 6'2" 183 · 24.2
Lauri Markkanen
F · 7'0" 230 · 25.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 24.6
37
35
38
7
4
3
1
1
4
2
5
17-19
89%
9-15
9-17
60%
55%
1-2
50%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 21.9
34
31
32
5
5
2
1
2
1
1
4
4-6
67%
8-10
5-9
80%
60%
4-5
80%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 20.4
32
29
24
9
9
2
1
0
3
2
7
0-0
-
6-10
6-12
60%
55%
4-6
67%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 23.9
31
31
4
5
1
0
1
0
1
3
2
2-2
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
49%
0-6
0%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.7
20
24
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
54%
0-3
0%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 23.7
26
26
6
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
56%
2-7
29%
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 19.8
20
18
12
4
0
2
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
60%
2-3
67%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 24.2
15
24
1
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-3
3-5
0%
60%
0-1
0%
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 28.9
14
16
8
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
53%
1-2
50%
Olivier Sarr
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.0
11
7
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
59%
0-2
0%
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 25.6
1
14
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
60%
0-0
-
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 22.1
14
0
2-3
48%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
F · 6'8" 242 · 22.3
12
0
1-2
54%
Jared Butler
G · 6'2" 193 · 22.5
4
0
0-1
53%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.3
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 20.8
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 21.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.