Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Hawks	46%	110	128	130.6	98	106.3
	12	Heat	54%	112	130	132.7	98	90.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 26	37.3	23	57%	4	8	2	0	0	2	0	4	2-2	100%	9-13	69%	1-6	17%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 25	36.1	14	50%	4	4	1	0	3	3	1	3	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	1-4	25%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 29	33.8	12	86%	10	1	0	0	2	3	3	7	0-2	0%	6-6	100%	0-0	-
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 24	33.8	25	63%	1	7	1	0	3	0	1	0	6-8	75%	8-12	67%	1-5	20%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 25	20.0	17	71%	1	2	0	0	0	4	0	1	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	1-4	25%

Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	32.2	17	77%	6	3	0	0	0	4	3	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	3-5	60%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	24.4	12	67%	2	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 22	14.1	6	50%	2	0	0	0	1	3	1	1	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 21	8.3	2	33%	7	1	0	0	1	5	2	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyrese Martin #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Donovan Williams #4 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	61%	37	28	5	4	10	25	12	25	17-23	74%	42-63	67%	9-29	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

16 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 26	37.3	23	57%	4	8	2	0	0	2	0	4	2-2	100%	9-13	69%	1-6	17%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 25	36.1	14	50%	4	4	1	0	3	3	1	3	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	1-4	25%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 29	33.8	12	86%	10	1	0	0	2	3	3	7	0-2	0%	6-6	100%	0-0	-
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 24	33.8	25	63%	1	7	1	0	3	0	1	0	6-8	75%	8-12	67%	1-5	20%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 25	20.0	17	71%	1	2	0	0	0	4	0	1	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	1-4	25%

Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	32.2	17	77%	6	3	0	0	0	4	3	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	3-5	60%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	24.4	12	67%	2	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 22	14.1	6	50%	2	0	0	0	1	3	1	1	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 21	8.3	2	33%	7	1	0	0	1	5	2	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyrese Martin #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Donovan Williams #4 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	61%	37	28	5	4	10	25	12	25	17-23	74%	42-63	67%	9-29	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

12 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	36.5	13	46%	4	3	0	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	3-8	38%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 26	36.1	16	67%	6	5	3	1	2	4	0	6	6-6	100%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	32.7	26	65%	10	9	0	0	2	2	4	6	10-12	83%	8-14	57%	0-0	-
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	23.8	8	67%	2	2	1	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Max Strus #31 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 27	22.4	8	100%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%

Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	31.8	22	69%	2	3	0	2	2	2	0	2	6-8	75%	2-5	40%	4-7	57%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	27.7	21	81%	4	2	1	1	1	2	2	2	7-8	88%	4-7	57%	2-2	100%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	17.0	14	117%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	3-4	75%
Cody Zeller #44 · C · 7'0" 240 · 30	11.9	2	25%	4	1	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43	DNP – Coach's Decision
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	INACTIVE
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Rib; Contusion
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	67%	32	27	6	0	11	17	8	24	32-37	86%	25-48	52%	16-29	55%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.22 61.0%

MIA

1.34 67.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

22

28

79%

MIA

18

28

64%

Midrange

ATL

20

35

57%

MIA

7

20

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

9

13.5

29

31%

47%

MIA

16

24.0

29

55%

83%

Free Throws

ATL

17

23

74%

MIA

32

37

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Young	25	63%	12.5 / 20
D. Murray	23	57%	11.5 / 20
J. Collins	17	71%	8.5 / 12
S. Bey	17	77%	8.5 / 11
D. Hunter	14	50%	7.0 / 14
C. Capela	12	86%	6.0 / 7
B. Bogdanović	12	67%	6.0 / 9
O. Okongwu	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Johnson	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	26	65%	13.0 / 20
V. Oladipo	22	69%	11.0 / 16
C. Martin	21	81%	10.5 / 13
B. Adebayo	16	67%	8.0 / 12
D. Robinson	14	117%	7.0 / 6
T. Herro	13	46%	6.5 / 14
G. Vincent	8	67%	4.0 / 6
M. Strus	8	100%	4.0 / 4
C. Zeller	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 115.5 25 112.5	ATL 130.6 MIA 132.7 +2.0
Pace	6 101.6 29 96.8	ATL 106.3 +15.6 MIA 90.8
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.0 5 15.0	ATL 13.5 −2.3 MIA 15.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	19 54.1% 25 53.0%	ATL 60.3% MIA 63.6% +3.3%
TO %	3 12.0% 15 13.1%	ATL 9.7% −0.8% MIA 10.5%
ORB %	8 25.1% 21 22.8%	ATL 33.3% +9.1% MIA 24.2%
FTrt	26 24.4 13 27.0	ATL 25.0 MIA 48.1 +23.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 56.0% 14 60.8%	ATL 54.9% MIA 65.9% +11.0%
STL %	20 6.9% 3 8.2%	ATL 5.1% MIA 6.1% +1.0%
BLK %	13 9.0% 23 7.5%	ATL 8.3% +8.3% MIA 0.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 56.5% 22 55.9%	ATL 61.0% MIA 67.0% +6.0%
Rim FG%	15 64.0% 21 63.3%	ATL 78.6% +14.3% MIA 64.3%
Mid FG%	4 46.0% 6 45.5%	ATL 57.1% +22.1% MIA 35.0%
3P %	21 35.2% 27 34.4%	ATL 31.0% MIA 55.2% +24.2%
FT %	3 81.8% 2 83.1%	ATL 73.9% MIA 86.5% +12.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 32.6% 29 28.3%	ATL 30.4% MIA 36.4% +5.9%
Mid Att. %	29 34.4% 24 30.9%	ATL 38.0% MIA 26.0% −12.1%
3P Att. %	30 33.1% 9 40.8%	ATL 31.5% MIA 37.7% +6.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	MIA
Possessions	98	98
Possession Minutes	22.1	25.9
Points	128	130
Rebounds	37	32
Assists	28	27
Steals	5	6
Blocks	4	0
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	11 (0)
Fouls	25	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (5)	8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (2)	24 (4)
Field Goals	51-92	41-77
At-the-Rim FG	22-28	18-28
Midrange FG	20-35	7-20
2-Point FG	42-63	25-48
3-Point FG	9-29	16-29
Free Throws	17-23	32-37
Fast Break Pts	9	12
2nd Chance Pts	17	9
Points in Paint	70	42
Pts off Turnovers	16	17
Bench Points	37	59
Biggest Lead	15	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg