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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 6, 2023
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Hawks
128
12Heat
130
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 26.5
37
33
23
4
8
2
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
9-13
6-11
69%
51%
1-6
17%
De'Andre Hunter
F · 6'7" 225 · 25.3
36
30
14
4
4
1
1
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
5-9
4-7
56%
52%
1-4
25%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 28.8
34
25
12
10
1
0
1
0
2
3
7
0-2
0%
6-6
5-8
100%
62%
0-0
-
Trae Young
G · 6'2" 178 · 24.5
34
31
25
1
7
1
1
0
3
1
0
6-8
75%
8-12
5-11
67%
50%
1-5
20%
John Collins
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
20
21
17
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
6-7
3-5
86%
61%
1-4
25%
Saddiq Bey
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.9
32
28
17
6
3
0
1
0
0
3
3
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
3-5
60%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.5
24
24
12
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
2-3
67%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
2-5
40%
Onyeka Okongwu
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 22.2
14
22
6
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
4-6
40%
64%
0-0
-
Jalen Johnson
F · 6'8" 210 · 21.2
8
16
2
7
1
0
0
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
57%
0-0
-
AJ Griffin
F · 6'6" 220 · 19.5
7
0
1-1
55%
Bruno Fernando
F · 6'10" 233 · 24.6
2
0
0-1
55%
Aaron Holiday
G · 6'1" 187 · 26.4
2
0
0-0
44%
Garrison Mathews
G · 6'5" 204 · 26.4
2
0
0-0
50%
Vit Krejci
G · 6'8" 195 · 22.7
1
0
0-0
50%
Tyrese Martin
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.0
Donovan Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 21.5
Trent Forrest
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 23.1
37
35
13
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
5-10
33%
51%
3-8
38%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 25.6
36
33
16
7
5
3
1
1
2
1
6
6-6
100%
5-9
8-14
56%
58%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 33.5
33
31
26
9
9
0
2
0
2
3
6
10-12
83%
8-14
6-11
57%
55%
0-0
-
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.7
24
28
8
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
52%
2-5
40%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
22
21
8
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
58%
2-3
67%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.8
32
22
22
2
3
0
1
2
2
0
2
6-8
75%
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
4-7
57%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.4
28
26
21
4
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
7-8
88%
4-7
2-4
57%
55%
2-2
100%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.9
17
5
14
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
59%
3-4
75%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.4
12
12
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
59%
0-0
-
Omer Yurtseven
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.7
10
0
2-3
57%
Jamal Cain
F · 6'7" 191 · 24.0
6
0
1-1
56%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.2
4
0
0-0
54%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 42.7
1
0
0-0
45%
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 19.7
Orlando Robinson
C · 7'0" 235 · 22.7
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 34.5
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 36.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.