Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 6, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Blazers	61%	115	110	114.6	96	94.2
	30	Pistons	39%	111	104	107.2	97	100.0

Scoring Opportunities

POR

-11

DET

+16

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.20 59.8%

DET

1.07 53.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

24 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cam Reddish #5 · SG · 6'8" 208 · 24	40.3	13	50%	6	8	2	0	1	2	1	5	4-6	67%	0-4	0%	3-6	50%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 29	40.3	26	62%	6	1	1	3	2	4	1	5	4-4	100%	5-12	42%	4-7	57%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 33	38.1	31	50%	13	12	1	1	4	0	2	11	5-6	83%	4-14	29%	6-14	43%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SF · 6'5" 202 · 26	37.5	3	50%	3	2	1	0	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Drew Eubanks #24 · C · 6'10" 245 · 26	19.2	10	83%	3	2	1	2	0	2	1	2	4-7	57%	3-3	100%	0-0	-

Trendon Watford #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	28.8	12	86%	2	2	0	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	6-6	100%	0-1	0%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	20.7	6	100%	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Nassir Little #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	15.2	9	75%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keon Johnson #6 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Knox II #11 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Butler Jr. #21 · C · 7'1" 190 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Ryan Arcidiacono #51 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Soreness
Justise Winslow #26 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	60%	38	28	7	6	11	17	5	33	19-25	76%	23-45	51%	15-33	45%

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24 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cam Reddish #5 · SG · 6'8" 208 · 24	40.3	13	50%	6	8	2	0	1	2	1	5	4-6	67%	0-4	0%	3-6	50%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 29	40.3	26	62%	6	1	1	3	2	4	1	5	4-4	100%	5-12	42%	4-7	57%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 33	38.1	31	50%	13	12	1	1	4	0	2	11	5-6	83%	4-14	29%	6-14	43%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SF · 6'5" 202 · 26	37.5	3	50%	3	2	1	0	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Drew Eubanks #24 · C · 6'10" 245 · 26	19.2	10	83%	3	2	1	2	0	2	1	2	4-7	57%	3-3	100%	0-0	-

Trendon Watford #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	28.8	12	86%	2	2	0	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	6-6	100%	0-1	0%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	20.7	6	100%	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Nassir Little #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	15.2	9	75%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keon Johnson #6 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Knox II #11 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Butler Jr. #21 · C · 7'1" 190 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Ryan Arcidiacono #51 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Soreness
Justise Winslow #26 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	60%	38	28	7	6	11	17	5	33	19-25	76%	23-45	51%	15-33	45%

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30 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Isaiah Livers #12 · SF · 6'6" 232 · 25	39.0	17	71%	5	2	0	0	2	0	1	4	0-0	-	4-4	100%	3-8	38%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 24	36.3	10	42%	8	1	0	2	3	3	4	4	0-0	-	5-11	45%	0-1	0%
Jaden Ivey #23 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21	31.0	13	41%	5	13	1	0	1	4	0	5	5-5	100%	4-7	57%	0-7	0%
James Wiseman #13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 22	23.7	12	67%	7	0	0	3	4	6	2	5	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Alec Burks #5 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 32	22.6	13	50%	6	4	1	1	1	2	1	5	4-5	80%	0-3	0%	3-8	38%

Cory Joseph #18 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 32	31.6	14	64%	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-6	33%
Hamidou Diallo #6 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 25	27.1	9	35%	8	3	1	0	3	2	4	4	1-6	17%	4-10	40%	0-0	-
R.J. Hampton #14 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 22	19.7	10	83%	4	3	5	0	2	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-2	100%
Jared Rhoden #8 · NA · 6'5" 210 · 24	6.2	4	100%	4	0	0	0	0	1	3	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 26	2.8	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Killian Hayes #7 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 22	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Contusion
Buddy Boeheim #27 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Soreness
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Tibia; Stress fracture
Rodney McGruder #17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Ankle; Soreness
Bojan Bogdanović #44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Achilles; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	54%	52	30	9	6	16	21	16	36	14-20	70%	30-54	56%	10-32	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	DET
Clock	Team	Event	POR	DET

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.20 59.8%

DET

1.07 53.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

58%

DET

62%

Midrange

POR

33%

DET

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

22.5

45%

68%

DET

15.0

31%

47%

Free Throws

POR

76%

DET

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Lillard	31	50%	15.5 / 31
J. Grant	26	62%	13.0 / 21
C. Reddish	13	50%	6.5 / 13
T. Watford	12	86%	6.0 / 7
D. Eubanks	10	83%	5.0 / 6
N. Little	9	75%	4.5 / 6
S. Sharpe	6	100%	3.0 / 3
M. Thybulle	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
I. Livers	17	71%	8.5 / 12
C. Joseph	14	64%	7.0 / 11
J. Ivey	13	41%	6.5 / 16
A. Burks	13	50%	6.5 / 13
J. Wiseman	12	67%	6.0 / 9
M. Bagley	10	42%	5.0 / 12
R. Hampton	10	83%	5.0 / 6
H. Diallo	9	35%	4.5 / 13
J. Rhoden	4	100%	2.0 / 2
E. Omoruyi	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 114.1 28 110.0	POR 114.6 +7.4 DET 107.2
Pace	17 99.2 13 99.8	POR 94.2 DET 100.0 +5.8
Avg. Poss. Time	11 14.7 14 14.4	POR 15.3 DET 14.4 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 54.9% 27 52.0%	POR 58.3% +6.0% DET 52.3%
TO %	20 13.7% 26 14.5%	POR 11.0% −3.4% DET 14.4%
ORB %	24 22.4% 10 24.9%	POR 12.2% DET 32.7% +20.5%
FTrt	6 28.9 4 29.5	POR 32.1 +8.8 DET 23.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 59.7% 22 58.1%	POR 73.7% DET 75.0% +1.3%
STL %	24 6.8% 18 7.0%	POR 7.3% DET 9.3% +2.0%
BLK %	14 8.7% 6 9.7%	POR 11.1% DET 13.3% +2.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 57.6% 26 54.8%	POR 59.8% +6.2% DET 53.6%
Rim FG%	24 63.1% 27 62.0%	POR 57.6% DET 61.9% +4.3%
Mid FG%	25 42.0% 27 40.7%	POR 33.3% DET 33.3%
3P %	14 36.5% 22 35.1%	POR 45.5% +14.2% DET 31.3%
FT %	8 79.6% 21 77.1%	POR 76.0% +6.0% DET 70.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 36.4% 22 31.9%	POR 42.3% DET 48.8% +6.5%
Mid Att. %	2 22.3% 23 30.8%	POR 15.4% DET 14.0% −1.4%
3P Att. %	7 41.3% 15 37.2%	POR 42.3% +5.1% DET 37.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	DET
Possessions	96	97
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.3
Points	110	104
Rebounds	38	52
Assists	28	30
Steals	7	9
Blocks	6	6
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	16 (0)
Fouls	17	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (1)	16 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (0)	36 (2)
Field Goals	38-78	40-86
At-the-Rim FG	19-33	26-42
Midrange FG	4-12	4-12
2-Point FG	23-45	30-54
3-Point FG	15-33	10-32
Free Throws	19-25	14-20
Fast Break Pts	1	22
2nd Chance Pts	6	14
Points in Paint	44	56
Pts off Turnovers	14	18
Bench Points	27	39
Biggest Lead	19	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg