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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 8, 2023
9:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Bulls28%109117
5Nuggets72%11796
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.6
38
34
17
6
8
3
1
0
2
1
5
5-6
83%
6-14
7-14
43%
53%
0-2
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 32.4
35
32
25
15
3
0
1
0
1
2
13
5-5
100%
7-13
6-10
54%
56%
2-4
50%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.0
34
35
29
5
4
2
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
9-13
6-11
69%
53%
3-5
60%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.7
24
29
3
6
4
0
1
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
1-3
33%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 29.0
18
23
6
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Patrick Williams
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.5
30
24
18
4
0
1
1
0
0
2
2
1-1
100%
7-7
2-5
100%
52%
1-2
50%
Coby White
G · 6'5" 191 · 23.1
26
22
7
4
4
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
50%
1-6
17%
Ayo Dosunmu
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.1
20
18
8
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
59%
0-0
-
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 29.6
11
11
2
5
1
0
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
56%
0-0
-
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 26.1
2
5
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
61%
0-0
-
Dalen Terry
F · 6'7" 195 · 20.7
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Marko Simonovic
C · 6'11" 220 · 23.4
Javonte Green
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.6
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.4
Carlik Jones
G · 6'0" 174 · 25.2
Terry Taylor
G · 6'5" 230 · 23.5
Justin Lewis
F · 6'7" 245 · 20.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 26.0
35
33
11
2
6
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-8
5-9
38%
53%
1-7
14%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.0
35
34
18
12
8
0
1
0
5
1
11
1-4
25%
4-7
8-12
57%
65%
3-9
33%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.0
31
31
5
2
4
3
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
1-4
25%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.5
29
28
17
9
2
0
1
1
0
6
3
4-9
44%
5-11
5-8
45%
61%
1-3
33%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 24.7
24
29
12
5
0
0
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
60%
2-7
29%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 32.9
24
21
6
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
2-5
40%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 26.6
23
22
9
8
2
1
1
0
2
3
5
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
56%
1-1
100%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.5
15
18
6
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
59%
2-2
100%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 25.6
13
12
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
65%
2-2
100%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.9
4
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
57%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 34.7
4
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Jack White
F · 6'7" 225 · 25.6
4
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.6
4
0
1-1
68%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 22.2
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 20.5
Collin Gillespie
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.7
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.