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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 9, 2023
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Nets31%107113
5Bucks69%114118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 28.9
18.1
11.3
0
0%
6
3
1
1
1
2
3
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
56%
0-0
-
Mikal Bridges
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.5
12.0
35.3
10
38%
1
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-10
6-11
20%
54%
2-3
67%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.8
11.1
28.0
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
56%
0-2
0%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.5
11.1
17.6
5
47%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
3-3
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
53%
0-0
-
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 31.5
9.8
17.8
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 34.6
30.9
4.1
23
68%
7
4
1
0
1
4
1
6
2-2
100%
3-7
0-1
43%
46%
5-9
56%
Day'Ron Sharpe
F · 6'11" 265 · 21.3
29.6
6.0
11
41%
4
2
2
0
1
2
3
1
1-1
100%
5-12
1-2
42%
55%
0-1
0%
Yuta Watanabe
G · 6'9" 205 · 28.4
29.1
4.6
4
29%
9
1
1
0
0
2
1
8
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
53%
0-4
0%
David Duke Jr.
G · 6'4" 204 · 23.4
27.0
3.6
13
59%
5
2
1
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-9
0-1
56%
47%
1-2
50%
Cam Thomas
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.4
25.9
9.8
21
71%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
4-7
2-3
57%
50%
3-6
50%
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.2
22.4
4.0
17
63%
3
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
1-1
100%
5-7
0-1
71%
48%
2-6
33%
Edmond Sumner
G · 6'5" 188 · 27.2
13.0
5.9
9
51%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
1-5
1-1
20%
52%
1-2
50%
Nic Claxton
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.9
Cameron Johnson
F · 6'9" 205 · 27.0
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 26.6
Royce O'Neale
F · 6'6" 226 · 29.8
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 29.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 34.9
36.0
30.1
24
57%
10
3
1
1
9
2
5
5
1-2
50%
7-13
5-8
54%
61%
3-7
43%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 32.7
33.2
31.6
11
56%
3
7
2
1
1
4
0
3
1-2
50%
2-3
5-8
67%
55%
2-6
33%
Grayson Allen
G · 6'5" 198 · 27.4
32.0
28.6
19
61%
7
2
2
1
0
1
2
5
6-6
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
54%
3-9
33%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 28.1
30.4
22.9
28
84%
13
2
0
1
0
3
3
10
3-4
75%
8-11
4-7
73%
57%
3-4
75%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 31.6
29.4
25.6
11
29%
7
7
0
1
0
2
4
3
0-0
-
4-15
4-7
27%
52%
1-4
25%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 35.4
26.4
22.8
6
50%
8
4
1
1
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
59%
2-4
50%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 32.7
19.5
18.1
6
60%
11
2
0
1
2
0
3
8
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
2-5
40%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.2
16.8
21.5
8
80%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
60%
2-4
50%
Jevon Carter
G · 6'2" 196 · 27.5
16.4
24.5
5
21%
0
4
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
48%
1-7
14%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 31.0
4.8
0
0-0
59%
MarJon Beauchamp
F · 6'6" 199 · 22.4
2.6
0
0-0
53%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'7" 205 · 30.6
2.1
0
0-0
55%
Lindell Wigginton
G · 6'1" 189 · 24.9
2.1
0
0-0
49%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 36.8
AJ Green
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.4
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 36.4
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 28.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.