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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 9, 2023
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Warriors49%112110
10Grizzlies51%113131
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 35.0
34.4
31.9
29
67%
7
4
1
1
0
4
3
4
5-6
83%
6-11
4-7
55%
54%
4-8
50%
Jordan Poole
G · 6'5" 191 · 23.7
34.2
30.3
22
76%
3
4
1
1
0
4
1
2
10-10
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
54%
2-5
40%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 33.0
30.2
29.4
16
69%
5
7
3
1
0
5
1
4
6-6
100%
5-8
3-5
63%
57%
0-1
0%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 33.1
27.8
33.8
14
50%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
2-7
29%
Donte DiVincenzo
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.1
21.4
31.9
2
20%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
0-4
0%
Ty Jerome
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.7
23.2
20.4
11
113%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
51%
3-4
75%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.1
19.0
18.8
2
50%
7
1
0
0
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-2
3-4
50%
62%
0-0
-
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 32.7
17.9
10.3
9
56%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
58%
3-7
43%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 39.1
17.6
11.6
0
0%
1
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
57%
0-3
0%
Patrick Baldwin
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.3
14.3
5.6
5
31%
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
50%
1-6
17%
Ryan Rollins
G · 6'4" 180 · 20.7
1.9
0
0-0
48%
Lester Quinones
G · 6'5" 208 · 22.3
Moses Moody
G · 6'5" 211 · 20.8
Anthony Lamb
F · 6'6" 227 · 25.1
Jonathan Kuminga
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.4
Gary Payton II
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.3
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 28.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 27.1
34.5
22.7
14
45%
4
6
1
1
1
0
1
3
1-1
100%
5-8
2-5
63%
48%
1-7
14%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 26.8
33.2
27.5
22
59%
4
11
3
1
0
3
0
4
3-4
75%
5-8
3-6
63%
50%
3-9
33%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 23.5
32.3
30.5
21
65%
9
3
1
1
1
2
2
7
6-7
86%
3-9
5-9
33%
55%
3-4
75%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.7
31.9
31.8
21
62%
2
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
7-11
5-9
64%
53%
2-5
40%
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 24.2
22.3
30.4
10
71%
8
2
1
2
0
2
1
7
0-0
-
5-7
4-7
71%
60%
0-0
-
Santi Aldama
F-C · 6'11" 215 · 22.2
29.6
22.5
15
76%
7
1
0
1
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
60%
3-5
60%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.0
22.2
18.7
8
80%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
58%
2-3
67%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.7
17.3
20.8
6
100%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
2-3
67%
David Roddy
F · 6'6" 255 · 21.9
6.7
11.3
6
51%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-2
0%
3-3
1-2
100%
57%
0-2
0%
Ziaire Williams
F · 6'8" 185 · 21.5
6.7
5.9
5
125%
2
0
0
0
0
3
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
61%
1-1
100%
Kennedy Chandler
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.5
1.7
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Kenneth Lofton Jr.
F · 6'7" 275 · 20.6
1.7
1.8
3
150%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
1-1
100%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.6
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 26.5
Vince Williams Jr.
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.5
Jake LaRavia
F · 6'8" 235 · 21.3
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.