Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Nuggets	79%	123	120	113.2	106	105.7
	28	Spurs	21%	111	128	119.6	107	107.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	38.5	37	71%	11	11	3	0	5	2	3	8	5-6	83%	10-18	56%	4-6	67%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	37.3	24	52%	6	7	3	2	4	2	2	4	4-4	100%	7-13	54%	2-8	25%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	37.1	13	72%	2	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	3-6	50%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	33.6	14	78%	6	3	1	1	3	3	0	6	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	2-5	40%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	20.3	7	70%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-3	33%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 27	25.2	8	44%	1	1	2	0	2	4	0	1	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 33	17.1	4	29%	0	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 37	16.3	6	60%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Thomas Bryant #13 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	7.6	4	50%	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	7.0	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	60%	33	32	14	4	14	14	8	25	19-20	95%	31-55	56%	13-35	37%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	38.5	37	71%	11	11	3	0	5	2	3	8	5-6	83%	10-18	56%	4-6	67%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	37.3	24	52%	6	7	3	2	4	2	2	4	4-4	100%	7-13	54%	2-8	25%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	37.1	13	72%	2	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	3-6	50%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	33.6	14	78%	6	3	1	1	3	3	0	6	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	2-5	40%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	20.3	7	70%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-3	33%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 27	25.2	8	44%	1	1	2	0	2	4	0	1	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 33	17.1	4	29%	0	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 37	16.3	6	60%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Thomas Bryant #13 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	7.6	4	50%	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	7.0	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	60%	33	32	14	4	14	14	8	25	19-20	95%	31-55	56%	13-35	37%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

28 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	35.8	23	64%	8	6	2	0	3	1	1	7	4-4	100%	5-12	42%	3-5	60%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 20	32.4	19	59%	8	3	1	0	4	1	2	6	1-1	100%	9-13	69%	0-3	0%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 23	31.2	14	47%	2	4	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	4-8	50%	2-7	29%
Malaki Branham #22 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 20	25.6	4	29%	4	3	1	0	2	5	1	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Zach Collins #23 · C · 6'9" 240 · 25	21.1	10	50%	9	3	1	0	3	2	1	8	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-5	20%

Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	28.4	20	111%	5	1	1	0	1	2	2	3	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	4-4	100%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	25.4	14	78%	2	8	3	0	3	1	0	2	4-5	80%	5-6	83%	0-1	0%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 22	14.9	4	50%	4	1	1	0	0	3	2	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 27	13.2	9	75%	4	0	0	0	1	0	3	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · C · 6'9" 240 · 24	12.0	11	92%	4	2	0	0	0	3	1	3	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	2-3	67%
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Romeo Langford #35 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gorgui Dieng #41 · C · 6'11" 251 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Khem Birch #92 · C · 6'9" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Chondromalacia
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	62%	50	31	10	0	18	20	13	37	13-17	76%	38-61	62%	13-33	39%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.20 60.0%

SAS

1.23 61.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

22

32

69%

SAS

30

43

70%

Midrange

DEN

9

23

39%

SAS

8

18

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

13

19.5

35

37%

56%

SAS

13

19.5

33

39%

59%

Free Throws

DEN

19

20

95%

SAS

13

17

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	37	71%	18.5 / 26
J. Murray	24	52%	12.0 / 23
A. Gordon	14	78%	7.0 / 9
K. Caldwell-Pope	13	72%	6.5 / 9
B. Brown	8	44%	4.0 / 9
M. Porter	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Green	6	60%	3.0 / 5
R. Jackson	4	29%	2.0 / 7
T. Bryant	4	50%	2.0 / 4
C. Braun	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Johnson	23	64%	11.5 / 18
D. McDermott	20	111%	10.0 / 9
J. Sochan	19	59%	9.5 / 16
D. Vassell	14	47%	7.0 / 15
T. Jones	14	78%	7.0 / 9
S. Mamukelashvili	11	92%	5.5 / 6
Z. Collins	10	50%	5.0 / 10
K. Bates-Diop	9	75%	4.5 / 6
M. Branham	4	29%	2.0 / 7
C. Bassey	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 116.8 29 109.8	DEN 113.2 SAS 119.6 +6.4
Pace	21 99.0 2 102.1	DEN 105.7 SAS 107.3 +1.6
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.7 23 14.0	DEN 13.6 SAS 13.4 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.3% 26 52.5%	DEN 56.1% SAS 61.2% +5.1%
TO %	22 14.0% 24 14.3%	DEN 12.4% −3.4% SAS 15.8%
ORB %	11 24.8% 7 25.6%	DEN 17.8% SAS 34.2% +16.4%
FTrt	20 25.9 29 22.9	DEN 22.2 +4.1 SAS 18.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 66.3% 6 63.2%	DEN 72.7% +11.9% SAS 60.8%
STL %	9 7.6% 23 6.8%	DEN 13.2% +3.9% SAS 9.3%
BLK %	21 8.0% 19 8.1%	DEN 6.6% +6.6% SAS 0.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.7% 28 54.3%	DEN 60.0% SAS 61.5% +1.5%
Rim FG%	3 67.8% 26 62.1%	DEN 68.8% SAS 69.8% +1.0%
Mid FG%	15 43.0% 23 42.1%	DEN 39.1% SAS 44.4% +5.3%
3P %	4 37.9% 26 34.5%	DEN 37.1% SAS 39.4% +2.3%
FT %	26 75.1% 28 74.3%	DEN 95.0% +18.5% SAS 76.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 37.3% 12 35.2%	DEN 35.6% SAS 45.7% +10.2%
Mid Att. %	12 26.6% 22 30.0%	DEN 25.6% SAS 19.1% −6.4%
3P Att. %	21 36.1% 27 34.8%	DEN 38.9% +3.8% SAS 35.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	SAS
Possessions	106	107
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	120	128
Rebounds	33	50
Assists	32	31
Steals	14	10
Blocks	4	0
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	18 (1)
Fouls	14	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (0)	13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (5)	37 (1)
Field Goals	44-90	51-94
At-the-Rim FG	22-32	30-43
Midrange FG	9-23	8-18
2-Point FG	31-55	38-61
3-Point FG	13-35	13-33
Free Throws	19-20	13-17
Fast Break Pts	12	12
2nd Chance Pts	5	24
Points in Paint	54	68
Pts off Turnovers	16	18
Bench Points	25	58
Biggest Lead	15	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg