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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 11, 2023
7:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Heat54%107114
22Magic46%106126
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 25.6
42.0
33.4
14
41%
7
3
0
1
0
4
1
6
0-0
-
7-17
8-13
41%
56%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 33.5
39.0
32.6
38
67%
5
2
1
2
0
2
1
4
8-8
100%
12-18
7-12
67%
54%
2-7
29%
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.7
37.3
23.0
13
60%
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
4-6
1-3
67%
51%
1-4
25%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 23.1
26.6
35.6
14
54%
5
3
0
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
4-7
5-9
57%
50%
2-6
33%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 34.5
17.0
20.1
4
72%
4
2
1
0
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-1
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 37.0
36.1
16.3
12
68%
2
4
2
1
1
3
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
3-6
50%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
32.2
23.2
8
80%
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
57%
2-4
50%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.9
23.5
25.1
9
32%
3
3
2
1
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
1-8
13%
Omer Yurtseven
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.7
7.2
3.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
55%
0-0
-
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.4
3.7
13.2
2
53%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
2-3
-
57%
0-1
0%
Jamal Cain
F · 6'7" 191 · 24.0
0.2
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.3
3.9
0
0-0
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 42.8
1.6
0
0-0
46%
Orlando Robinson
C · 7'0" 235 · 22.7
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.4
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 19.8
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paolo Banchero
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.3
42.7
33.0
17
51%
10
9
0
1
0
3
2
8
6-6
100%
4-11
6-12
36%
51%
1-3
33%
Wendell Carter Jr.
F · 6'10" 251 · 23.9
41.6
25.9
27
76%
11
2
1
0
0
1
2
9
1-2
50%
10-10
4-6
100%
60%
2-7
29%
Markelle Fultz
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.8
38.0
32.4
12
40%
4
8
2
1
2
6
2
2
0-0
-
6-14
5-10
43%
54%
0-1
0%
Franz Wagner
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.5
28.8
29.9
17
72%
8
6
0
1
1
1
4
4
2-4
50%
6-7
4-7
86%
55%
1-3
33%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.5
26.9
28.1
11
42%
1
2
3
1
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
3-10
30%
Cole Anthony
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.8
33.2
24.8
16
71%
6
3
0
1
1
3
1
5
5-5
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Jalen Suggs
G · 6'4" 205 · 21.8
27.2
26.0
16
74%
5
4
4
1
3
3
3
2
2-2
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
50%
4-6
67%
Bol Bol
C · 7'2" 208 · 23.3
11.9
13.5
2
50%
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
63%
0-1
0%
Moritz Wagner
F · 7'0" 241 · 25.9
11.4
23.3
8
47%
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
1-1
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
64%
1-4
25%
Chuma Okeke
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.6
2.7
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-1
0%
Caleb Houstan
G · 6'8" 205 · 20.2
0.6
10.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Goga Bitadze
C · 6'11" 245 · 23.6
13.2
0
2-3
60%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 31.4
7.0
0
1-2
44%
Admiral Schofield
F · 6'5" 241 · 25.9
4.3
0
0-0
60%
Kevon Harris
G · 6'6" 216 · 25.7
Jonathan Isaac
F · 6'10" 210 · 25.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.