FinalWin Prob.pScore
1769%114
119
2831%107
111
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
122.79789.6
HOU logo HOU
114.497106.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.119
100%
111
0%
Q4 - 0:08.8BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound119
99.9%
111
0.1%
Q4 - 0:12.3RocketsKevin Porter Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot119
99.9%
111
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.1BullsAlex Caruso makes regular free throw 2 of 2119
99.9%
111
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.1BullsAlex Caruso misses regular free throw 1 of 2118
99.9%
111
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.1RocketsJabari Smith Jr. personal foul (Take) (Alex Caruso draws the foul)118
99.9%
111
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0BullsDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound118
99.9%
111
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.6RocketsJabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot118
99.8%
111
0.2%
Q4 - 0:31.0BullsAlex Caruso turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Porter Jr. steals)118
99.6%
111
0.4%
Q4 - 0:32.6RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2118
99.8%
111
0.2%
Q4 - 0:32.6RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2118
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.6BullsPatrick Beverley shooting foul (Kenyon Martin Jr. draws the foul)118
99.9%
109
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.9RocketsJabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound118
99.8%
109
0.2%
Q4 - 0:40.1BullsAlex Caruso misses three point jump shot118
99.8%
109
0.2%
Q4 - 0:52.2BullsZach LaVine defensive rebound118
99.8%
109
0.2%
Q4 - 0:54.3RocketsJabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot118
99.7%
109
0.3%
Q4 - 1:05BullsDeMar DeRozan makes three point jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)118
99.4%
109
0.6%
Q4 - 1:13BullsPatrick Beverley defensive rebound115
98.1%
109
1.9%
Q4 - 1:22RocketsKevin Porter Jr. misses three point stepback jump shot115
97.4%
109
2.6%
Q4 - 1:29RocketsRockets offensive rebound115
95.9%
109
4.1%
Q4 - 1:31RocketsKevin Porter Jr. misses three point running pullup jump shot115
97.1%
109
2.9%
Q4 - 1:35RocketsJabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound115
95.5%
109
4.5%
Q4 - 1:39BullsNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot115
96.0%
109
4.0%
Q4 - 1:53RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jabari Smith Jr. assists)115
96.9%
109
3.1%
Q4 - 2:07BullsPatrick Beverley makes three point jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)115
98.7%
106
1.3%
Q4 - 2:25BullsDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound112
97.4%
106
2.6%
Q4 - 2:30RocketsJalen Green misses three point running jump shot112
96.8%
106
3.2%
Q4 - 2:35BullsDeMar DeRozan turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Porter Jr. steals)112
95.1%
106
4.9%
Q4 - 2:40BullsZach LaVine defensive rebound112
97.4%
106
2.6%
Q4 - 2:40RocketsDeMar DeRozan blocks Jalen Green's two point driving layup112
96.9%
106
3.1%
Q4 - 3:04BullsAlex Caruso makes two point running layup (Zach LaVine assists)112
93.7%
106
6.3%
Q4 - 3:09RocketsAlperen Sengun turnover (lost ball) (Alex Caruso steals)110
91.7%
106
8.3%
Q4 - 3:20RocketsRockets defensive rebound110
86.6%
106
13.4%
Q4 - 3:23BullsZach LaVine misses three point jump shot110
88.5%
106
11.5%
Q4 - 3:34BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound110
88.5%
106
11.5%
Q4 - 3:37RocketsKevin Porter Jr. misses two point pullup jump shot110
87.3%
106
12.7%
Q4 - 3:54BullsZach LaVine makes two point running alley-oop dunk (DeMar DeRozan assists)110
84.3%
106
15.7%
Q4 - 3:56BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound108
79.4%
106
20.6%
Q4 - 3:59RocketsAlex Caruso blocks Kenyon Martin Jr.'s two point layup108
77.4%
106
22.6%
Q4 - 4:16BullsZach LaVine makes two point running layup108
72.3%
106
27.7%
Q4 - 4:22RocketsJae'Sean Tate turnover (bad pass) (Alex Caruso steals)106
65.0%
106
35.0%
Q4 - 4:39BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
55.6%
106
44.4%
Q4 - 4:39BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 2105
54.6%
106
45.4%
Q4 - 4:39RocketsJosh Christopher shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)104
53.4%
106
46.6%
Q4 - 4:45RocketsJabari Smith Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Alex Caruso steals)104
47.1%
106
52.9%
Q4 - 4:46RocketsJabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound104
37.4%
106
62.6%
Q4 - 4:49RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point turnaround hook shot104
44.0%
106
56.0%
Q4 - 4:58BullsZach LaVine turnover (lost ball) (Alperen Sengun steals)104
37.3%
106
62.7%
Q4 - 5:08BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound104
50.0%
106
50.0%
Q4 - 5:11RocketsJae'Sean Tate misses two point driving layup104
47.4%
106
52.6%
Q4 - 5:26BullsDeMar DeRozan makes two point driving floating bank jump shot104
41.4%
106
58.6%
Q4 - 5:40RocketsJosh Christopher makes regular free throw 1 of 1102
34.3%
106
65.7%
Q4 - 5:40BullsAlex Caruso shooting foul (Josh Christopher draws the foul)102
35.8%
105
64.2%
Q4 - 5:59RocketsJabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound102
49.3%
103
50.7%
Q4 - 6:00BullsDeMar DeRozan misses two point driving floating bank jump shot102
51.9%
103
48.1%
Q4 - 6:21BullsZach LaVine defensive rebound102
59.8%
103
40.2%
Q4 - 6:21RocketsJalen Green misses regular free throw 2 of 2102
58.7%
103
41.3%
Q4 - 6:21RocketsJalen Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2102
54.0%
103
46.0%
Q4 - 6:21BullsZach LaVine shooting foul (Jalen Green draws the foul)102
55.4%
102
44.6%
Q4 - 6:38BullsAlex Caruso makes two point running layup (Patrick Beverley assists)102
58.4%
102
41.6%
Q4 - 6:41BullsPatrick Beverley defensive rebound100
52.6%
102
47.4%
Q4 - 6:43RocketsAlex Caruso blocks Jae'Sean Tate's two point layup100
50.0%
102
50.0%
Q4 - 6:53RocketsJae'Sean Tate defensive rebound100
43.9%
102
56.1%
Q4 - 6:56BullsDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot100
46.5%
102
53.5%
Q4 - 7:05BullsDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound100
55.1%
102
44.9%
Q4 - 7:06RocketsJosh Christopher misses three point jump shot100
52.7%
102
47.3%
Q4 - 7:26BullsZach LaVine makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
47.0%
102
53.0%
Q4 - 7:26BullsZach LaVine makes regular free throw 1 of 299
46.2%
102
53.8%
Q4 - 7:26RocketsKevin Porter Jr. shooting foul (Zach LaVine draws the foul)98
45.1%
102
54.9%
Q4 - 7:31BullsPatrick Beverley defensive rebound98
41.8%
102
58.2%
Q4 - 7:35RocketsJosh Christopher misses three point stepback jump shot98
39.4%
102
60.6%
Q4 - 7:54RocketsJosh Christopher defensive rebound98
34.1%
102
65.9%
Q4 - 7:58BullsZach LaVine misses three point jump shot98
36.4%
102
63.6%
Q4 - 8:00BullsAndre Drummond offensive rebound98
41.7%
102
58.3%
Q4 - 8:03BullsDeMar DeRozan misses two point jump shot98
38.5%
102
61.5%
Q4 - 8:20RocketsJabari Smith Jr. makes two point putback dunk98
42.8%
102
57.2%
Q4 - 8:20RocketsJabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound98
48.7%
100
51.3%
Q4 - 8:20RocketsJalen Green misses regular free throw 1 of 198
54.3%
100
45.7%
Q4 - 8:20BullsAndre Drummond shooting foul (Jalen Green draws the foul)98
50.1%
100
49.9%
Q4 - 8:30BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 198
60.9%
98
39.1%
Q4 - 8:30RocketsTari Eason shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)97
60.3%
98
39.7%
Q4 - 8:36BullsPatrick Beverley offensive rebound95
49.0%
98
51.0%
Q4 - 8:38BullsDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot95
44.4%
98
55.6%
Q4 - 8:49BullsAndre Drummond defensive rebound95
49.0%
98
51.0%
Q4 - 8:54RocketsJabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot95
47.0%
98
53.0%
Q4 - 9:09BullsAndre Drummond makes two point dunk (Patrick Beverley assists)95
44.7%
98
55.3%
Q4 - 9:21BullsZach LaVine defensive rebound93
39.5%
98
60.5%
Q4 - 9:24RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. misses three point jump shot93
37.6%
98
62.4%
Q4 - 9:38BullsAndre Drummond makes regular free throw 2 of 293
33.4%
98
66.6%
Q4 - 9:38BullsAndre Drummond makes regular free throw 1 of 292
31.5%
98
68.5%
Q4 - 9:38RocketsTari Eason shooting foul (Andre Drummond draws the foul)91
29.3%
98
70.7%
Q4 - 9:45RocketsTari Eason turnover (double dribble)91
28.9%
98
71.1%
Q4 - 9:46BullsPatrick Beverley turnover (bad pass) (Josh Christopher steals)91
23.9%
98
76.1%
Q4 - 9:56RocketsTari Eason turnover (offensive foul)91
28.8%
98
71.2%
Q4 - 9:56RocketsTari Eason offensive foul (Charge) (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)91
23.8%
98
76.2%
Q4 - 10:00RocketsTari Eason defensive rebound91
23.8%
98
76.2%
Q4 - 10:03BullsCoby White misses two point pullup jump shot91
27.6%
98
72.4%
Q4 - 10:18BullsAndre Drummond defensive rebound91
31.1%
98
68.9%
Q4 - 10:21RocketsJosh Christopher misses two point driving finger roll layup91
29.5%
98
70.5%
Q4 - 10:26RocketsRockets offensive rebound91
26.0%
98
74.0%
Q4 - 10:26RocketsPatrick Beverley blocks Tari Eason's two point driving layup91
29.5%
98
70.5%
Q4 - 10:48BullsAndre Drummond makes two point driving hook shot91
26.0%
98
74.0%
Q4 - 11:07RocketsKevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 189
24.0%
98
76.0%
Q4 - 11:07BullsAyo Dosunmu shooting foul (Kevin Porter Jr. draws the foul)89
24.8%
97
75.2%
Q4 - 11:14RocketsKevin Porter Jr. misses technical free throw 1 of 189
32.2%
95
67.8%
Q4 - 11:14Bulls technical foul (Defensive three second)89
28.9%
95
71.1%
Q4 - 11:32BullsAndre Drummond makes two point cutting layup (Coby White assists)89
32.1%
95
67.9%
Q4 - 11:39RocketsTari Eason personal foul (Loose ball) (Andre Drummond draws the foul)87
27.9%
95
72.1%
Q4 - 11:39BullsBulls offensive rebound87
27.9%
95
72.1%
Q4 - 11:40BullsDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot87
25.0%
95
75.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.87
27.8%
95
72.2%
Q3 - 0:01.4BullsCoby White personal foul (Kevin Porter Jr. draws the foul)87
26.7%
95
73.3%
Q3 - 0:04.1BullsZach LaVine makes regular free throw 1 of 187
26.6%
95
73.4%
Q3 - 0:04.1RocketsUsman Garuba shooting foul (Zach LaVine draws the foul)86
26.1%
95
73.9%
Q3 - 0:08.7RocketsKevin Porter Jr. makes three point stepback jump shot84
19.6%
95
80.4%
Q3 - 0:31.5BullsZach LaVine makes two point driving layup84
26.4%
92
73.6%
Q3 - 0:36.3RocketsJae'Sean Tate makes two point driving layup82
22.7%
92
77.3%
Q3 - 0:43.2RocketsRockets offensive rebound82
26.4%
90
73.6%
Q3 - 0:45.8RocketsJae'Sean Tate misses two point fadeaway jump shot82
29.1%
90
70.9%
Q3 - 1:10RocketsTari Eason defensive rebound82
28.6%
90
71.4%
Q3 - 1:12BullsPatrick Williams misses three point jump shot82
29.8%
90
70.2%
Q3 - 1:28RocketsTari Eason makes three point jump shot (Jae'Sean Tate assists)82
32.7%
90
67.3%
Q3 - 1:45BullsZach LaVine makes regular free throw 2 of 282
41.1%
87
58.9%
Q3 - 1:45BullsZach LaVine makes regular free throw 1 of 281
40.5%
87
59.5%
Q3 - 1:45RocketsJae'Sean Tate shooting foul (Zach LaVine draws the foul)80
39.8%
87
60.2%
Q3 - 1:45BullsZach LaVine offensive rebound80
36.9%
87
63.1%
Q3 - 1:46BullsZach LaVine misses two point driving layup80
33.8%
87
66.2%
Q3 - 1:57RocketsJae'Sean Tate makes two point driving layup80
36.9%
87
63.1%
Q3 - 2:08RocketsJae'Sean Tate defensive rebound80
42.7%
85
57.3%
Q3 - 2:11BullsZach LaVine misses three point stepback jump shot80
44.1%
85
55.9%
Q3 - 2:26RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jalen Green assists)80
47.3%
85
52.7%
Q3 - 2:41BullsNikola Vucevic turnover (traveling)80
51.4%
83
48.6%
Q3 - 2:56RocketsJabari Smith Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)80
56.1%
83
43.9%
Q3 - 3:18BullsNikola Vucevic makes three point jump shot (Patrick Beverley assists)80
60.5%
81
39.5%
Q3 - 3:42RocketsJalen Green makes three point pullup jump shot77
52.8%
81
47.2%
Q3 - 3:54BullsPatrick Beverley makes two point turnaround hook shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)77
60.5%
78
39.5%
Q3 - 4:08BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound75
58.3%
78
41.7%
Q3 - 4:10RocketsJabari Smith Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot75
56.9%
78
43.1%
Q3 - 4:15RocketsRockets offensive rebound75
53.6%
78
46.4%
Q3 - 4:15RocketsPatrick Williams blocks Jalen Green's two point driving layup75
56.8%
78
43.2%
Q3 - 4:23RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound75
53.5%
78
46.5%
Q3 - 4:25BullsZach LaVine misses two point fadeaway jump shot75
55.0%
78
45.0%
Q3 - 4:44RocketsJalen Green makes two point stepback jump shot (Jae'Sean Tate assists)75
58.2%
78
41.8%
Q3 - 5:01BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 275
62.0%
76
38.0%
Q3 - 5:01BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 274
61.6%
76
38.4%
Q3 - 5:01RocketsJabari Smith Jr. shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)73
61.1%
76
38.9%
Q3 - 5:16RocketsJalen Green makes two point driving finger roll layup73
58.6%
76
41.4%
Q3 - 5:34BullsNikola Vucevic makes three point jump shot (Zach LaVine assists)73
62.0%
74
38.0%
Q3 - 6:00RocketsJabari Smith Jr. makes three point pullup jump shot (Kevin Porter Jr. assists)70
54.7%
74
45.3%
Q3 - 6:18BullsPatrick Beverley makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)70
62.9%
71
37.1%
Q3 - 6:37RocketsKevin Porter Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot67
55.8%
71
44.2%
Q3 - 6:53BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 267
59.3%
69
40.7%
Q3 - 6:53BullsDeMar DeRozan misses regular free throw 1 of 266
58.8%
69
41.2%
Q3 - 6:53RocketsKevin Porter Jr. shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)66
62.0%
69
38.0%
Q3 - 7:02BullsZach LaVine defensive rebound66
60.3%
69
39.7%
Q3 - 7:04RocketsKevin Porter Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot66
59.0%
69
41.0%
Q3 - 7:17BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point jump shot (Patrick Beverley assists)66
56.2%
69
43.8%
Q3 - 7:41RocketsJalen Green makes three point stepback jump shot (Kenyon Martin Jr. assists)64
53.1%
69
46.9%
Q3 - 8:00BullsNikola Vucevic makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)64
59.8%
66
40.2%
Q3 - 8:10RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. makes three point jump shot (Kevin Porter Jr. assists)61
54.0%
66
46.0%
Q3 - 8:19BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point tip layup61
60.3%
63
39.7%
Q3 - 8:19BullsNikola Vucevic offensive rebound59
57.5%
63
42.5%
Q3 - 8:27BullsNikola Vucevic misses two point layup59
54.6%
63
45.4%
Q3 - 8:48RocketsJalen Green turnover (offensive foul)59
57.5%
63
42.5%
Q3 - 8:48RocketsJalen Green offensive foul (Charge) (Patrick Beverley draws the foul)59
53.3%
63
46.7%
Q3 - 9:07BullsZach LaVine makes three point pullup jump shot59
54.3%
63
45.7%
Q3 - 9:13BullsPatrick Beverley offensive rebound56
47.8%
63
52.2%
Q3 - 9:16BullsJabari Smith Jr. blocks DeMar DeRozan's two point driving layup56
45.1%
63
54.9%
Q3 - 9:29RocketsJabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 256
47.8%
63
52.2%
Q3 - 9:29RocketsJabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 256
48.4%
62
51.6%
Q3 - 9:29BullsPatrick Beverley shooting foul (Jabari Smith Jr. draws the foul)56
49.1%
61
50.9%
Q3 - 9:32BullsDeMar DeRozan turnover (lost ball) (Jabari Smith Jr. steals)56
50.8%
61
49.2%
Q3 - 9:46RocketsJabari Smith Jr. makes two point running layup (Jalen Green assists)56
54.7%
61
45.3%
Q3 - 9:49RocketsJalen Green defensive rebound56
57.7%
59
42.3%
Q3 - 9:52BullsAlperen Sengun blocks Nikola Vucevic's two point driving layup56
58.8%
59
41.2%
Q3 - 10:03BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound56
61.9%
59
38.1%
Q3 - 10:04RocketsJabari Smith Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot56
60.8%
59
39.2%
Q3 - 10:21RocketsKevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound56
58.3%
59
41.7%
Q3 - 10:23BullsDeMar DeRozan misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot56
59.4%
59
40.6%
Q3 - 10:30RocketsAlperen Sengun personal foul (Nikola Vucevic draws the foul)56
61.9%
59
38.1%
Q3 - 10:33BullsPatrick Beverley offensive rebound56
61.9%
59
38.1%
Q3 - 10:36BullsNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot56
59.4%
59
40.6%
Q3 - 10:50RocketsKevin Porter Jr. makes two point layup56
61.9%
59
38.1%
Q3 - 11:02BullsDeMar DeRozan makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)56
65.4%
57
34.6%
Q3 - 11:14RocketsAlperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 254
62.5%
57
37.5%
Q3 - 11:14RocketsAlperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 254
63.2%
56
36.8%
Q3 - 11:14BullsPatrick Beverley shooting foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)54
64.0%
55
36.0%
Q3 - 11:23BullsZach LaVine turnover (lost ball) (Alperen Sengun steals)54
65.3%
55
34.7%
Q3 - 11:29BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound54
68.4%
55
31.6%
Q3 - 11:33RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point pullup jump shot54
67.5%
55
32.5%
Q3 - 11:47BullsNikola Vucevic personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)54
65.3%
55
34.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.54
65.3%
55
34.7%
Q2 - 0:02.7BullsAlex Caruso personal foul (Take) (Jalen Green draws the foul)54
66.7%
55
33.3%
Q2 - 0:09.5RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound54
66.6%
55
33.4%
Q2 - 0:12.6BullsPatrick Beverley misses three point jump shot54
67.3%
55
32.7%
Q2 - 0:30.5BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound54
68.9%
55
31.1%
Q2 - 0:31.9RocketsKevin Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot54
68.2%
55
31.8%
Q2 - 0:37.3BullsZach LaVine misses technical free throw 1 of 154
66.5%
55
33.5%
Q2 - 0:37.3RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. technical foul54
68.7%
55
31.3%
Q2 - 0:37.3RocketsRockets offensive rebound54
66.5%
55
33.5%
Q2 - 0:38.5RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. misses two point turnaround hook shot54
68.2%
55
31.8%
Q2 - 1:00BullsZach LaVine makes two point running alley-oop layup (DeMar DeRozan assists)54
66.5%
55
33.5%
Q2 - 1:03RocketsJalen Green turnover (bad pass) (DeMar DeRozan steals)52
63.9%
55
36.1%
Q2 - 1:21BullsPatrick Beverley makes three point pullup jump shot52
61.8%
55
38.2%
Q2 - 1:23BullsPatrick Beverley offensive rebound49
54.9%
55
45.1%
Q2 - 1:27BullsDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot49
53.3%
55
46.7%
Q2 - 1:37RocketsJae'Sean Tate turnover (offensive foul)49
54.9%
55
45.1%
Q2 - 1:37RocketsJae'Sean Tate offensive foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)49
52.6%
55
47.4%
Q2 - 1:44BullsZach LaVine turnover (offensive foul)49
52.6%
55
47.4%
Q2 - 1:44BullsZach LaVine offensive foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)49
54.9%
55
45.1%
Q2 - 1:49RocketsJalen Green turnover (out of bounds lost ball)49
54.9%
55
45.1%
Q2 - 2:01BullsPatrick Beverley makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)49
53.0%
55
47.0%
Q2 - 2:18RocketsJosh Christopher makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jabari Smith Jr. assists)46
47.2%
55
52.8%
Q2 - 2:40BullsDeMar DeRozan makes two point pullup jump shot46
50.0%
53
50.0%
Q2 - 2:56RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point cutting dunk (Jalen Green assists)44
47.1%
53
52.9%
Q2 - 3:05RocketsJalen Green defensive rebound44
51.0%
51
49.0%
Q2 - 3:07BullsZach LaVine misses three point stepback jump shot44
52.0%
51
48.0%
Q2 - 3:20RocketsJosh Christopher makes three point jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)44
54.3%
51
45.7%
Q2 - 3:27RocketsJabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound44
59.5%
48
40.5%
Q2 - 3:30BullsDeMar DeRozan misses three point jump shot44
60.5%
48
39.5%
Q2 - 3:46RocketsJosh Christopher makes three point running jump shot (Jalen Green assists)44
62.7%
48
37.3%
Q2 - 3:50RocketsJae'Sean Tate defensive rebound44
67.5%
45
32.5%
Q2 - 3:50BullsJabari Smith Jr. blocks DeMar DeRozan's two point turnaround jump shot44
68.4%
45
31.6%
Q2 - 4:03BullsBulls defensive rebound44
70.8%
45
29.2%
Q2 - 4:03RocketsDeMar DeRozan blocks Jalen Green's two point driving layup44
70.1%
45
29.9%
Q2 - 4:26BullsZach LaVine makes three point jump shot (Patrick Beverley assists)44
68.4%
45
31.6%
Q2 - 4:37BullsPatrick Beverley defensive rebound41
63.3%
45
36.7%
Q2 - 4:38RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point turnaround bank hook shot41
62.5%
45
37.5%
Q2 - 4:51RocketsJae'Sean Tate defensive rebound41
60.6%
45
39.4%
Q2 - 4:51BullsZach LaVine misses two point driving finger roll layup41
61.5%
45
38.5%
Q2 - 5:09BullsDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound41
64.3%
45
35.7%
Q2 - 5:12RocketsJabari Smith Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot41
63.3%
45
36.7%
Q2 - 5:44BullsNikola Vucevic makes three point jump shot (Patrick Williams assists)41
61.1%
45
38.9%
Q2 - 5:54RocketsJabari Smith Jr. makes three point pullup jump shot38
56.3%
45
43.7%
Q2 - 6:00RocketsJabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound38
61.1%
42
38.9%
Q2 - 6:04BullsAlex Caruso misses three point jump shot38
62.7%
42
37.3%
Q2 - 6:15RocketsJae'Sean Tate turnover (out of bounds bad pass)38
64.8%
42
35.2%
Q2 - 6:42BullsPatrick Williams makes three point jump shot (Zach LaVine assists)38
61.7%
42
38.3%
Q2 - 7:04RocketsJabari Smith Jr. makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Jae'Sean Tate assists)35
57.4%
42
42.6%
Q2 - 7:30BullsZach LaVine makes two point driving layup35
59.8%
40
40.2%
Q2 - 7:39RocketsTari Eason turnover (offensive foul)33
57.4%
40
42.6%
Q2 - 7:39RocketsTari Eason offensive foul (Coby White draws the foul)33
54.6%
40
45.4%
Q2 - 7:58BullsZach LaVine makes two point driving finger roll layup (Coby White assists)33
54.6%
40
45.4%
Q2 - 8:13RocketsTari Eason makes three point jump shot (Josh Christopher assists)31
52.4%
40
47.6%
Q2 - 8:32BullsDeMar DeRozan makes two point driving finger roll layup31
57.4%
37
42.6%
Q2 - 8:37BullsDeMar DeRozan offensive rebound29
55.0%
37
45.0%
Q2 - 8:40BullsNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot29
53.1%
37
46.9%
Q2 - 8:53BullsBulls defensive rebound29
55.0%
37
45.0%
Q2 - 8:59RocketsTari Eason misses two point layup29
54.2%
37
45.8%
Q2 - 9:00BullsAndre Drummond turnover (bad pass) (Tari Eason steals)29
52.3%
37
47.7%
Q2 - 9:02BullsAndre Drummond defensive rebound29
55.1%
37
44.9%
Q2 - 9:03RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. misses three point jump shot29
54.3%
37
45.7%
Q2 - 9:31BullsAndre Drummond makes two point running layup29
52.4%
37
47.6%
Q2 - 9:36RocketsJosh Christopher turnover (bad pass) (Andre Drummond steals)27
50.0%
37
50.0%
Q2 - 9:44RocketsUsman Garuba defensive rebound27
47.3%
37
52.7%
Q2 - 9:45BullsZach LaVine misses two point running pullup jump shot27
48.1%
37
51.9%
Q2 - 9:53BullsDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound27
50.0%
37
50.0%
Q2 - 9:53RocketsJosh Christopher misses two point driving layup27
49.2%
37
50.8%
Q2 - 10:07BullsDeMar DeRozan turnover (out of bounds bad pass)27
48.1%
37
51.9%
Q2 - 10:11BullsDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound27
50.7%
37
49.3%
Q2 - 10:12RocketsAyo Dosunmu blocks Kevin Porter Jr.'s two point driving floating jump shot27
49.9%
37
50.1%
Q2 - 10:26BullsDeMar DeRozan makes three point jump shot (Zach LaVine assists)27
48.1%
37
51.9%
Q2 - 10:43RocketsKevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 224
43.2%
37
56.8%
Q2 - 10:43RocketsKevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 224
43.7%
36
56.3%
Q2 - 10:43BullsAyo Dosunmu shooting foul (Kevin Porter Jr. draws the foul)24
44.4%
35
55.6%
Q2 - 11:00BullsAndre Drummond turnover (offensive foul)24
45.6%
35
54.4%
Q2 - 11:00BullsAndre Drummond offensive foul (Charge) (Usman Garuba draws the foul)24
48.1%
35
51.9%
Q2 - 11:07BullsBulls defensive rebound24
49.5%
35
50.5%
Q2 - 11:08RocketsJae'Sean Tate misses three point pullup jump shot24
48.8%
35
51.2%
Q2 - 11:23RocketsTari Eason defensive rebound24
47.1%
35
52.9%
Q2 - 11:23BullsDeMar DeRozan misses regular free throw 1 of 124
47.4%
35
52.6%
Q2 - 11:23RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)24
49.2%
35
50.8%
Q2 - 11:46RocketsKevin Porter Jr. makes three point pullup jump shot (Tari Eason assists)22
44.6%
35
55.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.22
49.4%
32
50.6%
Q1 - 0:00.8RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. makes two point alley-oop layup (Jae'Sean Tate assists)22
52.4%
32
47.6%
Q1 - 0:06.7BullsDeMar DeRozan turnover (bad pass) (Jae'Sean Tate steals)22
54.9%
30
45.1%
Q1 - 0:29.2RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. turnover (out of bounds step)22
57.0%
30
43.0%
Q1 - 0:43.0BullsAndre Drummond makes regular free throw 2 of 222
54.9%
30
45.1%
Q1 - 0:43.0BullsAndre Drummond misses regular free throw 1 of 221
54.0%
30
46.0%
Q1 - 0:43.0RocketsUsman Garuba shooting foul (Andre Drummond draws the foul)21
55.3%
30
44.7%
Q1 - 1:01RocketsTari Eason makes three point jump shot (Jae'Sean Tate assists)21
55.2%
30
44.8%
Q1 - 1:18RocketsJae'Sean Tate defensive rebound21
59.9%
27
40.1%
Q1 - 1:22BullsAyo Dosunmu misses three point jump shot21
60.5%
27
39.5%
Q1 - 1:39BullsBulls defensive rebound21
61.9%
27
38.1%
Q1 - 1:39RocketsPatrick Williams blocks Jae'Sean Tate's two point driving layup21
61.3%
27
38.7%
Q1 - 1:54BullsAyo Dosunmu makes three point jump shot (Coby White assists)21
59.9%
27
40.1%
Q1 - 2:12RocketsTari Eason makes three point jump shot (Usman Garuba assists)18
56.1%
27
43.9%
Q1 - 2:18RocketsTari Eason offensive rebound18
60.4%
24
39.6%
Q1 - 2:22RocketsJae'Sean Tate misses three point jump shot18
62.0%
24
38.0%
Q1 - 2:35BullsAndre Drummond personal foul (Loose ball) (Jae'Sean Tate draws the foul)18
60.4%
24
39.6%
Q1 - 2:35RocketsRockets defensive rebound18
60.4%
24
39.6%
Q1 - 2:35BullsZach LaVine misses two point driving reverse layup18
61.1%
24
38.9%
Q1 - 2:39BullsAndre Drummond offensive rebound18
62.6%
24
37.4%
Q1 - 2:41BullsZach LaVine misses three point jump shot18
61.1%
24
38.9%
Q1 - 2:54RocketsJalen Green makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jae'Sean Tate assists)18
62.6%
24
37.4%
Q1 - 3:12BullsZach LaVine makes two point stepback jump shot18
64.5%
22
35.5%
Q1 - 3:32RocketsJae'Sean Tate makes three point jump shot (Jalen Green assists)16
62.9%
22
37.1%
Q1 - 3:48BullsZach LaVine makes three point stepback jump shot16
66.5%
19
33.5%
Q1 - 4:02RocketsJabari Smith Jr. makes two point putback dunk13
63.6%
19
36.4%
Q1 - 4:04RocketsJabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound13
65.2%
17
34.8%
Q1 - 4:07RocketsJalen Green misses three point stepback jump shot13
66.7%
17
33.3%
Q1 - 4:15RocketsRockets offensive rebound13
65.2%
17
34.8%
Q1 - 4:15RocketsPatrick Williams blocks Jae'Sean Tate's two point driving layup13
66.7%
17
33.3%
Q1 - 4:27RocketsJabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound13
65.2%
17
34.8%
Q1 - 4:31BullsCoby White misses three point running jump shot13
65.8%
17
34.2%
Q1 - 4:37RocketsJalen Green turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Vucevic steals)13
67.3%
17
32.7%
Q1 - 4:54BullsZach LaVine makes two point driving layup (Nikola Vucevic assists)13
65.1%
17
34.9%
Q1 - 4:56BullsNikola Vucevic offensive rebound11
63.5%
17
36.5%
Q1 - 5:00BullsCoby White misses three point jump shot11
61.9%
17
38.1%
Q1 - 5:01BullsPatrick Beverley offensive rebound11
64.3%
17
35.7%
Q1 - 5:06BullsPatrick Williams misses three point jump shot11
62.8%
17
37.2%
Q1 - 5:27RocketsJae'Sean Tate makes regular free throw 2 of 211
64.2%
17
35.8%
Q1 - 5:27RocketsJae'Sean Tate makes regular free throw 1 of 211
64.7%
16
35.3%
Q1 - 5:27BullsCoby White shooting foul (Jae'Sean Tate draws the foul)11
65.2%
15
34.8%
Q1 - 5:41BullsZach LaVine makes two point driving layup11
65.8%
15
34.2%
Q1 - 5:52RocketsKevin Porter Jr. turnover (offensive foul)9
64.2%
15
35.8%
Q1 - 5:52RocketsKevin Porter Jr. offensive foul (Alex Caruso draws the foul)9
62.1%
15
37.9%
Q1 - 6:04RocketsKevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound9
62.7%
15
37.3%
Q1 - 6:06BullsNikola Vucevic misses two point turnaround hook shot9
63.3%
15
36.7%
Q1 - 6:22BullsZach LaVine defensive rebound9
64.6%
15
35.4%
Q1 - 6:22RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 19
64.4%
15
35.6%
Q1 - 6:22BullsDeMar DeRozan shooting foul (Kenyon Martin Jr. draws the foul)9
63.3%
15
36.7%
Q1 - 6:43BullsPatrick Beverley makes two point running layup (Nikola Vucevic assists)9
66.3%
13
33.7%
Q1 - 6:45BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound7
64.6%
13
35.4%
Q1 - 6:45RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point tip layup7
64.0%
13
36.0%
Q1 - 6:45RocketsAlperen Sengun offensive rebound7
62.7%
13
37.3%
Q1 - 6:47RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point tip layup7
64.0%
13
36.0%
Q1 - 6:47RocketsAlperen Sengun offensive rebound7
62.7%
13
37.3%
Q1 - 6:54RocketsJalen Green misses three point running jump shot7
64.0%
13
36.0%
Q1 - 6:58BullsZach LaVine turnover (bad pass) (Alperen Sengun steals)7
62.7%
13
37.3%
Q1 - 7:13RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point driving reverse layup7
65.3%
13
34.7%
Q1 - 7:33BullsDeMar DeRozan makes two point driving reverse layup (Zach LaVine assists)7
66.9%
11
33.1%
Q1 - 7:38BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound5
65.2%
11
34.8%
Q1 - 7:40RocketsKevin Porter Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot5
64.7%
11
35.3%
Q1 - 7:49RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound5
63.3%
11
36.7%
Q1 - 7:49BullsNikola Vucevic misses two point turnaround hook shot5
63.9%
11
36.1%
Q1 - 8:04BullsAlex Caruso offensive rebound5
65.9%
11
34.1%
Q1 - 8:07BullsAlex Caruso misses two point tip layup5
64.6%
11
35.4%
Q1 - 8:07BullsAlex Caruso offensive rebound5
65.9%
11
34.1%
Q1 - 8:09BullsZach LaVine misses two point fadeaway jump shot5
64.6%
11
35.4%
Q1 - 8:31RocketsJalen Green makes three point jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)5
65.9%
11
34.1%
Q1 - 8:43BullsZach LaVine makes two point running dunk5
69.1%
8
30.9%
Q1 - 8:46RocketsAlperen Sengun turnover (bad pass) (Zach LaVine steals)3
67.6%
8
32.4%
Q1 - 9:01RocketsKevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound3
65.9%
8
34.1%
Q1 - 9:03BullsDeMar DeRozan misses two point jump shot3
66.5%
8
33.5%
Q1 - 9:19RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. makes two point alley-oop dunk (Alperen Sengun assists)3
67.7%
8
32.3%
Q1 - 9:28BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 23
69.2%
6
30.8%
Q1 - 9:28BullsDeMar DeRozan misses regular free throw 1 of 22
69.1%
6
30.9%
Q1 - 9:28RocketsJabari Smith Jr. shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)2
70.4%
6
29.6%
Q1 - 9:39RocketsJabari Smith Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot (Kevin Porter Jr. assists)2
69.4%
6
30.6%
Q1 - 9:49BullsPatrick Beverley personal foul (Jalen Green draws the foul)2
70.8%
4
29.2%
Q1 - 9:57RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. defensive rebound2
70.8%
4
29.2%
Q1 - 9:59BullsDeMar DeRozan misses two point jump shot2
71.3%
4
28.7%
Q1 - 10:14RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. makes two point running layup (Kevin Porter Jr. assists)2
72.6%
4
27.4%
Q1 - 10:17RocketsKevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound2
73.9%
2
26.1%
Q1 - 10:19BullsZach LaVine misses two point running layup2
74.3%
2
25.7%
Q1 - 10:28BullsZach LaVine defensive rebound2
75.4%
2
24.6%
Q1 - 10:28RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. misses two point running dunk2
74.9%
2
25.1%
Q1 - 10:32BullsNikola Vucevic turnover (bad pass) (Jalen Green steals)2
73.9%
2
26.1%
Q1 - 10:46BullsPatrick Beverley defensive rebound2
75.4%
2
24.6%
Q1 - 10:49RocketsJalen Green misses three point jump shot2
74.9%
2
25.1%
Q1 - 10:57RocketsJabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound2
73.9%
2
26.1%
Q1 - 10:57BullsNikola Vucevic misses two point turnaround hook shot2
74.3%
2
25.7%
Q1 - 11:16RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point driving layup (Jalen Green assists)2
75.6%
2
24.4%
Q1 - 11:41BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point turnaround hook shot2
76.7%
0
23.3%
Q1 - 12:00Nikola Vucevic vs. Jabari Smith Jr. (DeMar DeRozan gains possession)0
75.6%
0
24.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.23 61.3%
HOU
1.19 59.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
19
30
63%
HOU
19
33
58%
Midrange
CHI
10
24
42%
HOU
6
18
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
15
22.5
32
47%
70%
HOU
16
24.0
34
47%
71%
Free Throws
CHI
16
22
73%
HOU
13
17
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Z. LaVine3664%18.0 / 28
D. DeRozan2754%13.5 / 25
N. Vučević1860%9.0 / 15
P. Beverley16114%8.0 / 7
A. Drummond1192%5.5 / 6
A. Caruso542%2.5 / 6
P. Williams350%1.5 / 3
A. Dosunmu375%1.5 / 2
C. White0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2067%10.0 / 15
J. Green1860%9.0 / 15
K. Martin1667%8.0 / 12
K. Porter1554%7.5 / 14
T. Eason12100%6.0 / 6
J. Christopher1169%5.5 / 8
A. Sengun1050%5.0 / 10
J. Tate941%4.5 / 11
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
83
+14
-14
97
HOU
81
+12
-16
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.23 61.3%
HOU
1.19 59.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.3
111.0
CHI 122.7 +8.2
HOU 114.4
Pace
98.7
99.4
CHI 89.6
HOU 106.8 +17.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
14.7
CHI 16.1
HOU 13.5 +2.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.0%
51.6%
CHI 59.9% +2.3%
HOU 57.6%
TO %
12.7%
15.5%
CHI 12.8% +1.9%
HOU 14.7%
ORB %
20.1%
30.3%
CHI 32.5% +16.3%
HOU 16.2%
FTrt
25.1
28.5
CHI 25.6 +5.6
HOU 20.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.5%
55.1%
CHI 56.8%
HOU 68.3% +11.5%
STL %
7.9%
7.4%
CHI 7.2%
HOU 10.3% +3.1%
BLK %
9.0%
9.2%
CHI 17.6% +12.0%
HOU 5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.41 and 2.41.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.3%
53.9%
CHI 61.3% +1.6%
HOU 59.7%
Rim FG%
64.3%
59.6%
CHI 63.3% +5.7%
HOU 57.6%
Mid FG%
45.8%
40.4%
CHI 41.7% +8.4%
HOU 33.3%
3P %
36.1%
32.7%
CHI 46.9%
HOU 47.1% +0.2%
FT %
80.9%
75.4%
CHI 72.7%
HOU 76.5% +3.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
42.0%
CHI 34.9%
HOU 38.8% +3.9%
Mid Att. %
31.9%
22.0%
CHI 27.9%
HOU 21.2% +6.7%
3P Att. %
33.3%
35.9%
CHI 37.2%
HOU 40.0% +2.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.11 and 2.11.
Game TotalsCHIHOU
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes26.021.8
Points119111
Rebounds4433
Assists2528
Steals710
Blocks93
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)16 (0)
Fouls1719
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (1)6 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (4)27 (2)
Field Goals44-8641-85
At-the-Rim FG19-3019-33
Midrange FG10-246-18
2-Point FG29-5425-51
3-Point FG15-3216-34
Free Throws16-2213-17
Fast Break Pts169
2nd Chance Pts199
Points in Paint5046
Pts off Turnovers2310
Bench Points1732
Biggest Lead913

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 28
43.3
36
64%
8
5
1
0
4
2
1
7
5-6
83%
11-18
61%
3-8
38%
#11 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 34
39.0
27
54%
7
5
1
2
4
1
1
6
7-10
70%
7-18
39%
2-3
67%
#21 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 35
33.8
16
114%
10
5
0
1
1
4
5
5
0-0
-
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
#9 · C · 6'10" 260 · 32
33.2
18
60%
12
6
1
0
2
1
2
10
0-0
-
3-8
38%
4-7
57%
#6 · PF · 6'5" 186 · 29
28.6
5
42%
2
0
3
2
1
2
2
0
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
#44 · PF · 6'7" 215 · 22
22.7
3
50%
0
1
0
3
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
#0 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 23
16.1
0
0%
0
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
#3 · C · 6'11" 279 · 30
13.7
11
92%
5
0
1
0
2
3
2
3
3-4
75%
4-4
100%
0-0
-
#12 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 23
9.6
3
75%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
#22 · PG · 6'0" 174 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
#25 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 21
DNP – Coach's Decision
#32 · PF · 6'5" 230 · 23
DNP – Coach's Decision
#34 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Surgery; ACL Reconstruction
#2 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Surgery
#24 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Surgery
#19 · C · 6'11" 220 · 23
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
119
61%
44
25
7
9
14
17
13
31
16-22
73%
29-54
54%
15-32
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.