Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 13, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Pacers	60%	114	97	99.0	98	105.8
	30	Pistons	40%	111	117	119.4	98	92.4

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+16

-14

100

DET

+23

-14

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

0.97 48.5%

DET

1.09 54.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

24 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 23	36.0	15	50%	4	7	0	0	3	3	1	3	2-3	67%	5-11	45%	1-3	33%	+4.4
Aaron Nesmith #23 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 23	30.6	15	58%	6	4	2	1	4	1	2	4	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	2-6	33%	+7.7
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 21	27.1	11	69%	6	0	2	1	1	4	1	5	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	0-0	-	+6.4
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	24.1	12	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	+4.7
Buddy Hield #24 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 30	22.3	7	29%	8	4	0	1	1	0	2	6	0-1	0%	2-5	40%	1-7	14%	+3.2

Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	31.3	20	71%	4	3	2	0	2	1	0	4	3-5	60%	4-6	67%	3-6	50%	+10.4
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 25	27.9	9	45%	4	1	1	1	1	1	1	3	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%	+3.9
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 23	20.9	4	20%	8	2	0	1	1	4	5	3	0-2	0%	2-5	40%	0-4	0%	+1.7
George Hill #7 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 37	15.4	3	38%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	+0.5
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 36	4.4	1	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.4
Daniel Theis #27 · C · 6'9" 243 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trevelin Queen #8 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Knee; Bruised
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Tibia; StressFracture
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Ankle; Sprained
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Back; Sore Lower
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Back; Sore
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	49%	42	23	7	5	14	15	13	29	15-24	63%	26-52	50%	10-34	29%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

24 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 23	36.0	15	50%	4	7	0	0	3	3	1	3	2-3	67%	5-11	45%	1-3	33%	+4.4
Aaron Nesmith #23 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 23	30.6	15	58%	6	4	2	1	4	1	2	4	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	2-6	33%	+7.7
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 21	27.1	11	69%	6	0	2	1	1	4	1	5	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	0-0	-	+6.4
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	24.1	12	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	+4.7
Buddy Hield #24 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 30	22.3	7	29%	8	4	0	1	1	0	2	6	0-1	0%	2-5	40%	1-7	14%	+3.2

Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	31.3	20	71%	4	3	2	0	2	1	0	4	3-5	60%	4-6	67%	3-6	50%	+10.4
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 25	27.9	9	45%	4	1	1	1	1	1	1	3	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%	+3.9
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 23	20.9	4	20%	8	2	0	1	1	4	5	3	0-2	0%	2-5	40%	0-4	0%	+1.7
George Hill #7 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 37	15.4	3	38%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	+0.5
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 36	4.4	1	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.4
Daniel Theis #27 · C · 6'9" 243 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trevelin Queen #8 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Knee; Bruised
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Tibia; StressFracture
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Ankle; Sprained
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Back; Sore Lower
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Back; Sore
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	49%	42	23	7	5	14	15	13	29	15-24	63%	26-52	50%	10-34	29%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

30 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 26	31.9	17	65%	6	2	3	0	0	5	2	4	0-1	0%	7-8	88%	1-5	20%	+11.8
Rodney McGruder #17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 32	31.5	18	64%	5	2	1	0	1	4	2	3	0-0	-	3-9	33%	4-5	80%	+8.3
Killian Hayes #7 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 22	28.8	10	42%	1	11	2	0	5	1	0	1	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-3	0%	+4.7
James Wiseman #13 · C · 7'0" 240 · 22	24.5	18	53%	14	1	0	3	2	2	5	9	2-4	50%	8-14	57%	0-1	0%	+7.6
Isaiah Livers #12 · SF · 6'6" 232 · 25	19.9	2	14%	4	0	0	0	0	3	2	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-4	0%	−0.4

Cory Joseph #18 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 32	32.3	22	73%	5	5	1	0	2	2	1	4	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	5-8	63%	+11.9
R.J. Hampton #14 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 22	24.1	15	83%	6	3	0	0	2	2	2	4	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	3-3	100%	+7.3
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 19	23.5	12	55%	11	3	1	2	2	1	5	6	0-0	-	6-11	55%	0-0	-	+7.3
Buddy Boeheim #27 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 23	22.6	3	21%	0	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-7	14%	+2.9
Jared Rhoden #8 · NA · 6'5" 210 · 24	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.0
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 24	DNP – Injury/Illness · Right Ankle; Soreness
Hamidou Diallo #6 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 25	DNP – Injury/Illness · Right Ankle; Sprain
Jaden Ivey #23 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Tibia; Stress fracture
Bojan Bogdanović #44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Achilles; Tendinopathy
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Shoulder; Impingement
Alec Burks #5 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Foot; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	55%	52	28	10	5	14	21	19	33	7-10	70%	34-64	53%	14-36	39%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	DET
Clock	Team	Event	IND	DET

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND

0.97 48.5%

DET

1.09 54.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

56%

DET

57%

Midrange

IND

40%

DET

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

15.0

29%

44%

DET

21.0

39%

58%

Free Throws

IND

63%

DET

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Nwora	20	71%	10.0 / 14
A. Nembhard	15	50%	7.5 / 15
A. Nesmith	15	58%	7.5 / 13
C. Duarte	12	75%	6.0 / 8
I. Jackson	11	69%	5.5 / 8
O. Brissett	9	45%	4.5 / 10
B. Hield	7	29%	3.5 / 12
J. Smith	4	20%	2.0 / 10
G. Hill	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Johnson	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Joseph	22	73%	11.0 / 15
R. McGruder	18	64%	9.0 / 14
J. Wiseman	18	53%	9.0 / 17
E. Omoruyi	17	65%	8.5 / 13
R. Hampton	15	83%	7.5 / 9
J. Duren	12	55%	6.0 / 11
K. Hayes	10	42%	5.0 / 12
B. Boeheim	3	21%	1.5 / 7
I. Livers	2	14%	1.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 114.0 28 110.0	IND 99.0 DET 119.4 +20.4
Pace	4 101.8 13 99.8	IND 105.8 +13.4 DET 92.4
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.7 14 14.4	IND 13.6 −2.0 DET 15.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	16 54.5% 27 52.0%	IND 47.7% DET 55.0% +7.3%
TO %	21 13.8% 26 14.5%	IND 14.2% DET 12.6% −1.6%
ORB %	18 23.4% 10 24.9%	IND 28.3% DET 39.6% +11.3%
FTrt	15 26.5 4 29.5	IND 27.9 +17.9 DET 10.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 64.3% 22 58.1%	IND 63.9% +5.6% DET 58.3%
STL %	11 7.6% 18 7.0%	IND 7.1% DET 10.2% +3.1%
BLK %	9 9.3% 6 9.7%	IND 7.8% DET 9.6% +1.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.8% 26 54.8%	IND 48.5% DET 54.7% +6.2%
Rim FG%	28 61.4% 27 62.0%	IND 56.3% DET 57.1% +0.8%
Mid FG%	20 42.6% 27 40.7%	IND 40.0% DET 45.5% +5.5%
3P %	11 36.7% 22 35.1%	IND 29.4% DET 38.9% +9.5%
FT %	13 79.0% 21 77.1%	IND 62.5% DET 70.0% +7.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 35.9% 22 31.9%	IND 37.2% DET 42.0% +4.8%
Mid Att. %	4 22.9% 23 30.8%	IND 23.3% DET 22.0% −1.3%
3P Att. %	8 41.3% 15 37.2%	IND 39.5% +3.5% DET 36.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	DET
Possessions	98	98
Possession Minutes	22.2	25.5
Points	97	117
Rebounds	42	52
Assists	23	28
Steals	7	10
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	14 (2)	14 (1)
Fouls	15	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (3)	19 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (1)	33 (4)
Field Goals	36-86	48-100
At-the-Rim FG	18-32	24-42
Midrange FG	8-20	10-22
2-Point FG	26-52	34-64
3-Point FG	10-34	14-36
Free Throws	15-24	7-10
Fast Break Pts	18	9
2nd Chance Pts	12	22
Points in Paint	44	62
Pts off Turnovers	15	25
Bench Points	37	52
Biggest Lead	1	31

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg