Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Jazz	26%	106	115	115.0	100	109.1
	12	Heat	74%	114	119	119.0	100	92.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · SF · 7'1" 240 · 26	36.8	38	66%	8	1	3	1	2	1	5	3	4-6	67%	8-14	57%	6-12	50%	+18.8
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 22	30.0	7	70%	9	1	0	1	0	3	2	7	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-	+5.5
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	29.1	14	58%	4	1	1	0	2	3	3	1	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	1-5	20%	+5.5
Talen Horton-Tucker #0 · PG · 6'4" 235 · 22	27.3	9	32%	6	8	1	0	6	1	2	4	2-2	100%	2-10	20%	1-3	33%	+0.5
Kelly Olynyk #41 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 32	24.3	3	50%	5	7	0	1	2	4	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%	+4.5

Simone Fontecchio #16 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 27	29.9	23	68%	5	1	1	0	3	3	2	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	5-11	45%	+8.6
Kris Dunn #11 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 29	20.8	9	64%	6	8	0	0	2	4	0	6	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	0-0	-	+6.0
Rudy Gay #22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 37	15.4	8	67%	1	2	1	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-2	100%	+5.6
Damian Jones #15 · C · 7'0" 245 · 28	12.8	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.6
Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 30	11.0	4	100%	1	2	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-	+1.8
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 22	2.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%	−1.0
Udoka Azubuike #20 · C · 7'0" 280 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Hamstring; Strain
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Hand; Fourth finger sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	57%	48	31	7	4	18	25	16	32	13-18	72%	27-52	52%	16-38	42%

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25 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · SF · 7'1" 240 · 26	36.8	38	66%	8	1	3	1	2	1	5	3	4-6	67%	8-14	57%	6-12	50%	+18.8
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 22	30.0	7	70%	9	1	0	1	0	3	2	7	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-	+5.5
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	29.1	14	58%	4	1	1	0	2	3	3	1	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	1-5	20%	+5.5
Talen Horton-Tucker #0 · PG · 6'4" 235 · 22	27.3	9	32%	6	8	1	0	6	1	2	4	2-2	100%	2-10	20%	1-3	33%	+0.5
Kelly Olynyk #41 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 32	24.3	3	50%	5	7	0	1	2	4	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%	+4.5

Simone Fontecchio #16 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 27	29.9	23	68%	5	1	1	0	3	3	2	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	5-11	45%	+8.6
Kris Dunn #11 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 29	20.8	9	64%	6	8	0	0	2	4	0	6	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	0-0	-	+6.0
Rudy Gay #22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 37	15.4	8	67%	1	2	1	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-2	100%	+5.6
Damian Jones #15 · C · 7'0" 245 · 28	12.8	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.6
Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 30	11.0	4	100%	1	2	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-	+1.8
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 22	2.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%	−1.0
Udoka Azubuike #20 · C · 7'0" 280 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Hamstring; Strain
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Hand; Fourth finger sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	57%	48	31	7	4	18	25	16	32	13-18	72%	27-52	52%	16-38	42%

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12 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	37.8	18	47%	6	2	1	0	2	1	0	6	6-6	100%	3-6	50%	2-10	20%	+6.2
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 26	36.9	16	62%	9	3	1	1	3	2	2	7	6-8	75%	5-10	50%	0-0	-	+6.8
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	31.2	24	57%	8	4	4	2	1	1	4	4	13-15	87%	4-12	33%	1-2	50%	+16.6
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	27.3	18	90%	3	3	3	0	1	2	2	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	+13.7
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35	21.4	11	61%	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	2-5	40%	+3.4

Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	26.7	10	63%	2	1	2	1	2	2	0	2	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%	+4.9
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	20.8	11	110%	1	2	0	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	+4.8
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	19.4	9	64%	1	4	0	0	1	1	0	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	+4.8
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 25	11.1	2	50%	4	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-	+1.2
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	7.4	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%	+1.2
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cody Zeller #44 · C · 7'0" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Nasal; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	61%	37	20	12	4	13	13	9	28	31-36	86%	23-45	51%	14-34	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.15 57.5%

MIA

1.21 60.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

14

22

64%

MIA

12

15

80%

Midrange

UTA

13

30

43%

MIA

11

30

37%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

16

24.0

38

42%

63%

MIA

14

21.0

34

41%

62%

Free Throws

UTA

13

18

72%

MIA

31

36

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Markkanen	38	66%	19.0 / 29
S. Fontecchio	23	68%	11.5 / 17
O. Agbaji	14	58%	7.0 / 12
T. Horton-Tucker	9	32%	4.5 / 14
K. Dunn	9	64%	4.5 / 7
R. Gay	8	67%	4.0 / 6
W. Kessler	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Toscano-Anderson	4	100%	2.0 / 2
K. Olynyk	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Juzang	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	24	57%	12.0 / 21
T. Herro	18	47%	9.0 / 19
G. Vincent	18	90%	9.0 / 10
B. Adebayo	16	62%	8.0 / 13
K. Love	11	61%	5.5 / 9
V. Oladipo	11	110%	5.5 / 5
C. Martin	10	63%	5.0 / 8
K. Lowry	9	64%	4.5 / 7
Ö. Yurtseven	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Strus	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 115.3 25 112.5	UTA 115.0 MIA 119.0 +4.0
Pace	12 100.9 29 96.8	UTA 109.1 +16.8 MIA 92.3
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.4 5 15.0	UTA 13.2 −2.4 MIA 15.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.7% 25 53.0%	UTA 56.7% +1.0% MIA 55.7%
TO %	28 14.7% 15 13.1%	UTA 15.5% MIA 12.1% −3.4%
ORB %	4 26.8% 21 22.8%	UTA 36.4% +14.4% MIA 22.0%
FTrt	14 26.5 13 27.0	UTA 20.0 MIA 45.6 +25.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 61.1% 14 60.8%	UTA 72.1% +18.0% MIA 54.1%
STL %	30 6.0% 3 8.2%	UTA 7.0% MIA 12.0% +5.0%
BLK %	17 8.5% 23 7.5%	UTA 8.9% +1.2% MIA 7.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 57.3% 22 55.9%	UTA 57.5% MIA 60.7% +3.2%
Rim FG%	12 64.9% 21 63.3%	UTA 63.6% MIA 80.0% +16.4%
Mid FG%	8 44.7% 6 45.5%	UTA 43.3% +6.6% MIA 36.7%
3P %	20 35.3% 27 34.4%	UTA 42.1% +0.9% MIA 41.2%
FT %	14 78.6% 2 83.1%	UTA 72.2% MIA 86.1% +13.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 32.5% 29 28.3%	UTA 24.4% +5.5% MIA 19.0%
Mid Att. %	10 25.4% 24 30.9%	UTA 33.3% −4.6% MIA 38.0%
3P Att. %	6 42.1% 9 40.8%	UTA 42.2% MIA 43.0% +0.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	UTA	MIA
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	22.0	26.0
Points	115	119
Rebounds	48	37
Assists	31	20
Steals	7	12
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls	25	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (2)	9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (2)	28 (3)
Field Goals	43-90	37-79
At-the-Rim FG	14-22	12-15
Midrange FG	13-30	11-30
2-Point FG	27-52	23-45
3-Point FG	16-38	14-34
Free Throws	13-18	31-36
Fast Break Pts	23	23
2nd Chance Pts	15	15
Points in Paint	52	40
Pts off Turnovers	11	21
Bench Points	44	32
Biggest Lead	8	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg