Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Celtics	88%	122	109	112.4	97	107.9
	29	Rockets	12%	108	111	116.8	95	86.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	41.1	22	46%	8	6	1	0	4	1	0	8	4-4	100%	6-12	50%	2-10	20%	+6.4
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 26	39.2	43	77%	5	2	1	1	2	1	1	4	7-8	88%	12-15	80%	4-10	40%	+18.4
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 37	30.9	2	33%	5	3	1	2	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%	+5.3
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 29	28.3	6	38%	2	2	2	0	4	6	1	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	+1.4
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 29	26.9	9	56%	5	3	0	0	1	5	2	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-3	33%	+4.3

Malcolm Brogdon #13 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 30	28.6	20	71%	2	1	2	0	1	4	1	1	7-7	100%	2-6	33%	3-5	60%	+10.2
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 25	19.7	5	31%	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	+0.8
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 28	8.9	2	50%	4	0	0	1	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-	+2.0
Blake Griffin #91 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 34	8.3	0	0%	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%	+1.7
Grant Williams #12 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 24	8.2	0	0%	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	−0.0
Mike Muscala #57 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mfiondu Kabengele #28 · PF · 6'10" 256 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Danilo Gallinari #8 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Knee; ACL Repair
Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Heel; Pain
Robert Williams III #44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	56%	38	19	7	2	13	22	10	28	19-21	90%	27-45	60%	12-42	29%

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1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	41.1	22	46%	8	6	1	0	4	1	0	8	4-4	100%	6-12	50%	2-10	20%	+6.4
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 26	39.2	43	77%	5	2	1	1	2	1	1	4	7-8	88%	12-15	80%	4-10	40%	+18.4
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 37	30.9	2	33%	5	3	1	2	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%	+5.3
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 29	28.3	6	38%	2	2	2	0	4	6	1	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	+1.4
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 29	26.9	9	56%	5	3	0	0	1	5	2	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-3	33%	+4.3

Malcolm Brogdon #13 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 30	28.6	20	71%	2	1	2	0	1	4	1	1	7-7	100%	2-6	33%	3-5	60%	+10.2
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 25	19.7	5	31%	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	+0.8
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 28	8.9	2	50%	4	0	0	1	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-	+2.0
Blake Griffin #91 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 34	8.3	0	0%	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%	+1.7
Grant Williams #12 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 24	8.2	0	0%	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	−0.0
Mike Muscala #57 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mfiondu Kabengele #28 · PF · 6'10" 256 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Danilo Gallinari #8 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Knee; ACL Repair
Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Heel; Pain
Robert Williams III #44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	56%	38	19	7	2	13	22	10	28	19-21	90%	27-45	60%	12-42	29%

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29 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 21	40.5	28	44%	7	3	2	0	3	4	3	4	10-11	91%	6-21	29%	2-8	25%	+6.4
KJ Martin #6 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 22	39.8	20	67%	8	1	1	0	1	2	4	4	3-5	60%	7-7	100%	1-6	17%	+10.2
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · PG · 6'5" 203 · 23	38.3	14	50%	6	13	3	0	1	2	1	5	3-3	100%	4-9	44%	1-4	25%	+13.7
Jabari Smith Jr. #1 · C · 6'11" 220 · 20	35.8	24	100%	11	3	1	1	1	2	3	8	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	5-6	83%	+16.3
Tari Eason #17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 22	34.5	6	38%	9	2	0	1	1	2	2	7	0-2	0%	3-4	75%	0-3	0%	+3.4

Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 27	24.1	11	46%	2	2	2	0	3	6	0	2	3-4	75%	4-7	57%	0-3	0%	+3.1
Usman Garuba #16 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 21	12.2	6	150%	4	3	0	0	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%	+6.1
TyTy Washington Jr. #0 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21	11.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%	−0.5
Josh Christopher #9 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 21	3.4	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	−0.1
Daishen Nix #15 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Frank Kaminsky #33 · C · 7'0" 242 · 30	DNP
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Darius Days #5 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trevor Hudgins #12 · PG · 6'0" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Groin; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	53%	48	27	9	5	10	21	15	33	20-27	74%	29-55	53%	11-35	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	HOU
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	HOU

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.11 55.6%

HOU

1.07 53.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BOS

21

33

64%

HOU

21

35

60%

Midrange

BOS

6

12

50%

HOU

8

20

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BOS

12

18.0

42

29%

43%

HOU

11

16.5

35

31%

47%

Free Throws

BOS

19

21

90%

HOU

20

27

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Brown	43	77%	21.5 / 28
J. Tatum	22	46%	11.0 / 24
M. Brogdon	20	71%	10.0 / 14
D. White	9	56%	4.5 / 8
M. Smart	6	38%	3.0 / 8
S. Hauser	5	31%	2.5 / 8
A. Horford	2	33%	1.0 / 3
L. Kornet	2	50%	1.0 / 2
B. Griffin	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Green	28	44%	14.0 / 32
J. Smith	24	100%	12.0 / 12
K. Martin	20	67%	10.0 / 15
K. Porter	14	50%	7.0 / 14
J. Tate	11	46%	5.5 / 12
T. Eason	6	38%	3.0 / 8
U. Garuba	6	150%	3.0 / 2
J. Christopher	2	33%	1.0 / 3
T. Washington	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 117.3 27 110.6	BOS 112.4 HOU 116.8 +4.5
Pace	20 99.0 14 99.8	BOS 107.9 +21.6 HOU 86.3
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.7 7 14.8	BOS 13.4 −3.3 HOU 16.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 56.6% 30 51.6%	BOS 51.7% +1.1% HOU 50.6%
TO %	6 12.7% 30 15.4%	BOS 12.7% HOU 9.7% −3.0%
ORB %	25 22.1% 1 30.2%	BOS 23.3% HOU 34.9% +11.6%
FTrt	27 24.3 7 28.5	BOS 24.1 HOU 30.0 +5.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 63.2% 29 55.1%	BOS 48.7% HOU 67.5% +18.8%
STL %	27 6.3% 14 7.3%	BOS 7.2% HOU 9.5% +2.3%
BLK %	27 7.2% 1 11.6%	BOS 3.6% HOU 11.1% +7.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.5 and 2.5.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 58.8% 29 53.9%	BOS 55.6% +2.2% HOU 53.4%
Rim FG%	8 65.9% 29 61.1%	BOS 63.6% +3.6% HOU 60.0%
Mid FG%	13 43.3% 30 39.8%	BOS 50.0% +10.0% HOU 40.0%
3P %	6 37.7% 30 32.7%	BOS 28.6% HOU 31.4% +2.8%
FT %	4 81.2% 25 75.4%	BOS 90.5% +16.4% HOU 74.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 30.8% 1 39.7%	BOS 37.9% HOU 38.9% +1.0%
Mid Att. %	1 21.2% 7 24.3%	BOS 13.8% −8.4% HOU 22.2%
3P Att. %	2 48.0% 24 35.9%	BOS 48.3% +9.4% HOU 38.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.17 and 2.17.

Game Totals	BOS	HOU
Possessions	97	95
Possession Minutes	21.6	26.4
Points	109	111
Rebounds	38	48
Assists	19	27
Steals	7	9
Blocks	2	5
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	10 (1)
Fouls	22	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (7)	33 (2)
Field Goals	39-87	40-90
At-the-Rim FG	21-33	21-35
Midrange FG	6-12	8-20
2-Point FG	27-45	29-55
3-Point FG	12-42	11-35
Free Throws	19-21	20-27
Fast Break Pts	9	11
2nd Chance Pts	10	17
Points in Paint	50	54
Pts off Turnovers	16	22
Bench Points	27	19
Biggest Lead	6	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg