Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Bucks	62%	122	133	130.4	102	100.3
	13	Kings	38%	118	124	121.6	102	103.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 35	36.6	23	77%	8	4	0	3	1	4	1	7	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	4-6	67%	+13.4
Jrue Holiday #21 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 33	34.4	11	55%	6	8	1	1	1	2	1	5	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	1-5	20%	+9.5
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 28	34.0	46	74%	12	4	1	0	5	2	1	11	6-7	86%	17-26	65%	2-2	100%	+16.0
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 32	33.8	31	91%	3	9	0	0	0	2	0	3	8-8	100%	4-7	57%	5-8	63%	+18.5
Grayson Allen #12 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 27	28.3	8	67%	3	1	0	0	3	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	+1.1

Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 30	21.5	2	33%	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%	+0.2
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 33	19.4	4	40%	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%	+2.4
Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 28	18.9	3	75%	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-	+1.0
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 27	13.2	5	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	+1.7
Wesley Matthews #23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Goran Dragic #7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
MarJon Beauchamp #0 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Meyers Leonard #3 · C · 7'1" 255 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lindell Wigginton #28 · PG · 6'1" 189 · 25	DNP
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	69%	43	29	2	4	12	18	5	38	18-22	82%	35-53	66%	15-33	45%

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2 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 35	36.6	23	77%	8	4	0	3	1	4	1	7	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	4-6	67%	+13.4
Jrue Holiday #21 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 33	34.4	11	55%	6	8	1	1	1	2	1	5	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	1-5	20%	+9.5
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 28	34.0	46	74%	12	4	1	0	5	2	1	11	6-7	86%	17-26	65%	2-2	100%	+16.0
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 32	33.8	31	91%	3	9	0	0	0	2	0	3	8-8	100%	4-7	57%	5-8	63%	+18.5
Grayson Allen #12 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 27	28.3	8	67%	3	1	0	0	3	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	+1.1

Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 30	21.5	2	33%	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%	+0.2
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 33	19.4	4	40%	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%	+2.4
Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 28	18.9	3	75%	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-	+1.0
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 27	13.2	5	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	+1.7
Wesley Matthews #23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Goran Dragic #7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
MarJon Beauchamp #0 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Meyers Leonard #3 · C · 7'1" 255 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lindell Wigginton #28 · PG · 6'1" 189 · 25	DNP
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	69%	43	29	2	4	12	18	5	38	18-22	82%	35-53	66%	15-33	45%

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13 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 27	39.1	23	50%	17	15	0	0	1	3	10	7	0-0	-	10-21	48%	1-2	50%	+15.7
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 25	36.6	35	70%	8	3	2	1	3	1	2	6	4-6	67%	8-11	73%	5-12	42%	+16.5
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	30.4	14	70%	4	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	3-8	38%	+5.8
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	27.8	28	82%	1	3	0	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	8-11	73%	+13.7
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 23	22.2	7	44%	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%	+0.9

Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 27	25.8	6	43%	7	4	0	0	0	2	1	6	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-6	33%	+5.1
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 25	20.0	6	33%	2	5	2	0	2	1	1	1	0-2	0%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%	+3.4
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23	17.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%	−1.0
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	11.4	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%	−1.5
Chimezie Metu #7 · C · 6'10" 219 · 26	8.9	5	50%	2	0	0	1	0	3	0	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	+2.3
Terence Davis #3 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Dozier #35 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Matthew Dellavedova #8 · PG · 6'4" 198 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	55%	45	31	4	2	9	21	15	30	11-15	73%	25-54	46%	21-50	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.37 68.6%

SAC

1.11 55.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

22

30

73%

SAC

19

30

63%

Midrange

MIL

13

23

57%

SAC

6

24

25%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

15

22.5

33

45%

68%

SAC

21

31.5

50

42%

63%

Free Throws

MIL

18

22

82%

SAC

11

15

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	46	74%	23.0 / 31
K. Middleton	31	91%	15.5 / 17
B. Lopez	23	77%	11.5 / 15
J. Holiday	11	55%	5.5 / 10
G. Allen	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Carter	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Crowder	4	40%	2.0 / 5
B. Portis	3	75%	1.5 / 2
P. Connaughton	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Fox	35	70%	17.5 / 25
K. Huerter	28	82%	14.0 / 17
D. Sabonis	23	50%	11.5 / 23
H. Barnes	14	70%	7.0 / 10
K. Murray	7	44%	3.5 / 8
T. Lyles	6	43%	3.0 / 7
M. Monk	6	33%	3.0 / 9
C. Metu	5	50%	2.5 / 5
K. Edwards	0	-	0.0 / 3
D. Mitchell	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 114.6 1 118.8	MIL 130.4 +8.8 SAC 121.6
Pace	9 101.2 11 101.0	MIL 100.3 SAC 103.7 +3.5
Avg. Poss. Time	18 14.3 29 13.7	MIL 14.4 SAC 13.9 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.5% 2 57.2%	MIL 66.9% +12.6% SAC 54.3%
TO %	18 13.6% 10 12.9%	MIL 12.0% SAC 7.5% −4.5%
ORB %	9 25.0% 22 22.7%	MIL 14.3% SAC 28.3% +14.0%
FTrt	25 24.8 9 28.4	MIL 25.6 +11.2 SAC 14.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 60.4% 7 62.6%	MIL 58.0% SAC 67.4% +9.4%
STL %	29 6.2% 21 6.9%	MIL 2.0% SAC 3.9% +1.9%
BLK %	26 7.3% 28 7.2%	MIL 7.4% +3.6% SAC 3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 56.9% 1 59.6%	MIL 68.6% +13.2% SAC 55.4%
Rim FG%	7 66.1% 4 67.3%	MIL 73.3% +10.0% SAC 63.3%
Mid FG%	17 43.0% 2 46.4%	MIL 56.5% +31.5% SAC 25.0%
3P %	10 36.8% 9 36.9%	MIL 45.5% +3.5% SAC 42.0%
FT %	29 74.3% 12 79.0%	MIL 81.8% +8.5% SAC 73.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 30.5% 14 33.8%	MIL 34.9% +6.0% SAC 28.8%
Mid Att. %	8 24.8% 6 23.9%	MIL 26.7% SAC 23.1% −3.7%
3P Att. %	4 44.6% 5 42.3%	MIL 38.4% SAC 48.1% +9.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIL	SAC
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	133	124
Rebounds	43	45
Assists	29	31
Steals	2	4
Blocks	4	2
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	9 (0)
Fouls	18	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (2)	15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (2)	30 (2)
Field Goals	50-86	46-104
At-the-Rim FG	22-30	19-30
Midrange FG	13-23	6-24
2-Point FG	35-53	25-54
3-Point FG	15-33	21-50
Free Throws	18-22	11-15
Fast Break Pts	7	19
2nd Chance Pts	8	15
Points in Paint	60	48
Pts off Turnovers	14	17
Bench Points	14	17
Biggest Lead	11	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg