Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 14, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Magic	69%	118	114	112.9	101	104.7
	28	Spurs	31%	112	132	130.7	101	97.5

Scoring Opportunities

ORL

+16

-9

108

SAS

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.06 52.8%

SAS

1.38 68.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 20	31.8	27	59%	6	0	0	1	3	1	0	6	3-5	60%	9-17	53%	2-4	50%	+5.6
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 25	30.9	13	46%	4	6	1	1	2	2	2	2	3-3	100%	5-13	38%	0-0	-	+5.5
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 24	28.9	16	50%	10	3	0	0	0	3	4	6	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	1-6	17%	+8.0
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	28.4	11	46%	2	4	1	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-3	33%	+3.3
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 28	24.4	3	50%	1	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	+3.6

Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23	29.3	14	50%	5	4	0	0	0	4	2	3	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	2-5	40%	+6.6
Jalen Suggs #4 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	22.1	12	46%	1	1	2	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-7	29%	+5.1
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 26	19.1	12	86%	7	1	1	0	0	0	3	4	5-7	71%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	+8.9
Bol Bol #10 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 23	16.7	6	75%	6	2	1	0	1	1	0	6	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	+4.8
Kevon Harris #7 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 26	6.8	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.5
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 20	1.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.0
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Michael Carter-Williams #11 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chuma Okeke #3 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Admiral Schofield #25 · PF · 6'5" 241 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Adductor; Torn/surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	53%	42	24	7	2	9	16	13	29	16-21	76%	34-68	50%	10-29	34%

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23 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 20	31.8	27	59%	6	0	0	1	3	1	0	6	3-5	60%	9-17	53%	2-4	50%	+5.6
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 25	30.9	13	46%	4	6	1	1	2	2	2	2	3-3	100%	5-13	38%	0-0	-	+5.5
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 24	28.9	16	50%	10	3	0	0	0	3	4	6	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	1-6	17%	+8.0
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	28.4	11	46%	2	4	1	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-3	33%	+3.3
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 28	24.4	3	50%	1	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	+3.6

Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23	29.3	14	50%	5	4	0	0	0	4	2	3	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	2-5	40%	+6.6
Jalen Suggs #4 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	22.1	12	46%	1	1	2	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-7	29%	+5.1
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 26	19.1	12	86%	7	1	1	0	0	0	3	4	5-7	71%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	+8.9
Bol Bol #10 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 23	16.7	6	75%	6	2	1	0	1	1	0	6	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	+4.8
Kevon Harris #7 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 26	6.8	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.5
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 20	1.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.0
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Michael Carter-Williams #11 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chuma Okeke #3 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Admiral Schofield #25 · PF · 6'5" 241 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Adductor; Torn/surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	53%	42	24	7	2	9	16	13	29	16-21	76%	34-68	50%	10-29	34%

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28 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 23	32.6	10	45%	6	4	0	2	2	2	0	6	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	1-4	25%	+3.9
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 20	32.0	29	66%	11	2	1	0	3	4	1	10	4-6	67%	8-13	62%	3-6	50%	+11.2
Zach Collins #23 · C · 6'9" 240 · 25	28.4	25	83%	6	5	1	3	0	0	2	4	2-2	100%	7-11	64%	3-3	100%	+16.7
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 27	26.5	14	100%	5	4	1	0	0	0	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	+11.4
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 28	24.9	15	75%	4	9	1	0	2	1	0	4	6-7	86%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	+10.6

Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	24.1	15	94%	2	2	1	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	5-8	63%	+8.2
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	23.1	8	50%	2	7	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-5	40%	+4.2
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · C · 6'9" 240 · 24	21.5	7	58%	7	3	0	0	2	3	2	5	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	2-4	50%	+3.9
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 20	11.1	4	100%	2	0	0	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-	+2.8
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 22	8.5	2	50%	0	2	1	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-	+3.2
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	7.4	3	75%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%	+1.3
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	DNP – Injury/Illness · Left Foot; Soreness
Gorgui Dieng #41 · C · 6'11" 251 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness · “”; Non-Covid Illness
Malaki Branham #22 · SF · 6'5" 180 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Shoulder; Impingement
Romeo Langford #35 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Adductor; Soreness/Injury Management
Khem Birch #92 · C · 6'9" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Knee; Chondromalacia
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	69%	47	39	6	7	14	17	7	40	14-18	78%	26-44	59%	22-41	54%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.06 52.8%

SAS

1.38 68.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

63%

SAS

86%

Midrange

ORL

32%

SAS

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

15.0

34%

52%

SAS

33.0

54%

80%

Free Throws

ORL

76%

SAS

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Banchero	27	59%	13.5 / 23
W. Carter	16	50%	8.0 / 16
C. Anthony	14	50%	7.0 / 14
M. Fultz	13	46%	6.5 / 14
J. Suggs	12	46%	6.0 / 13
M. Wagner	12	86%	6.0 / 7
F. Wagner	11	46%	5.5 / 12
B. Bol	6	75%	3.0 / 4
G. Harris	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Sochan	29	66%	14.5 / 22
Z. Collins	25	83%	12.5 / 15
D. Graham	15	75%	7.5 / 10
D. McDermott	15	94%	7.5 / 8
K. Bates-Diop	14	100%	7.0 / 7
D. Vassell	10	45%	5.0 / 11
B. Wesley	8	50%	4.0 / 8
S. Mamukelashvili	7	58%	3.5 / 6
D. Barlow	4	100%	2.0 / 2
J. Champagnie	3	75%	1.5 / 2
C. Bassey	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 111.5 29 109.8	ORL 112.9 SAS 130.7 +17.8
Pace	15 99.6 2 102.1	ORL 104.7 +7.2 SAS 97.5
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 23 14.0	ORL 13.8 −1.0 SAS 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 53.2% 26 52.5%	ORL 50.5% SAS 69.4% +18.9%
TO %	25 14.4% 24 14.3%	ORL 7.8% −6.1% SAS 13.9%
ORB %	15 23.8% 7 25.6%	ORL 24.5% +5.1% SAS 19.4%
FTrt	5 29.0 29 22.9	ORL 21.6 +0.4 SAS 21.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 57.4% 6 63.2%	ORL 54.5% SAS 81.3% +26.8%
STL %	13 7.3% 23 6.8%	ORL 6.9% +1.0% SAS 5.9%
BLK %	3 10.3% 19 8.1%	ORL 4.5% SAS 10.3% +5.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	21 56.1% 28 54.3%	ORL 52.8% SAS 68.8% +16.0%
Rim FG%	14 64.4% 26 62.1%	ORL 62.5% SAS 85.7% +23.2%
Mid FG%	28 40.7% 23 42.1%	ORL 32.1% SAS 34.8% +2.7%
3P %	24 34.6% 26 34.5%	ORL 34.5% SAS 53.7% +19.2%
FT %	16 78.4% 28 74.3%	ORL 76.2% SAS 77.8% +1.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 35.8% 12 35.2%	ORL 41.2% +16.5% SAS 24.7%
Mid Att. %	18 28.1% 22 30.0%	ORL 28.9% SAS 27.1% −1.8%
3P Att. %	22 36.1% 27 34.8%	ORL 29.9% SAS 48.2% +18.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ORL	SAS
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	114	132
Rebounds	42	47
Assists	24	39
Steals	7	6
Blocks	2	7
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	14 (1)
Fouls	16	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (3)	7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (1)	40 (1)
Field Goals	44-97	48-85
At-the-Rim FG	25-40	18-21
Midrange FG	9-28	8-23
2-Point FG	34-68	26-44
3-Point FG	10-29	22-41
Free Throws	16-21	14-18
Fast Break Pts	13	15
2nd Chance Pts	22	20
Points in Paint	60	50
Pts off Turnovers	16	11
Bench Points	44	39
Biggest Lead	6	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg