Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, March 16, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Nuggets	93%	126	119	125.3	95	91.6
	30	Pistons	7%	109	100	106.4	94	97.6

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+17

-9

103

DET

+16

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.14 57.2%

DET

1.08 53.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

6 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	38.7	19	59%	6	10	0	0	4	2	1	5	3-3	100%	5-10	50%	2-5	40%	+7.9
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	33.5	30	79%	10	9	1	1	1	2	4	6	2-3	67%	14-17	82%	0-1	0%	+18.5
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	29.7	20	63%	1	2	3	0	0	2	0	1	2-3	67%	3-8	38%	4-7	57%	+11.5
Aaron Gordon #50 · SF · 6'8" 235 · 27	28.8	15	63%	8	1	0	0	1	0	5	3	3-6	50%	6-8	75%	0-1	0%	+6.7
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 25	28.0	15	50%	5	2	0	3	0	0	0	5	2-3	67%	5-8	63%	1-6	17%	+7.1

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 27	26.3	5	31%	5	4	3	2	1	3	0	5	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-1	0%	+6.5
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	20.4	9	64%	3	0	2	1	0	3	0	3	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	+6.6
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 37	18.2	3	50%	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	4	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	+1.1
Thomas Bryant #13 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	14.2	3	50%	4	0	0	0	1	2	3	1	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-	+0.7
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	1.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.2
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 35	1.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.0
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Shoulder; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	57%	47	29	9	7	9	15	13	34	17-25	68%	39-65	60%	8-24	33%

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6 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	38.7	19	59%	6	10	0	0	4	2	1	5	3-3	100%	5-10	50%	2-5	40%	+7.9
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	33.5	30	79%	10	9	1	1	1	2	4	6	2-3	67%	14-17	82%	0-1	0%	+18.5
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	29.7	20	63%	1	2	3	0	0	2	0	1	2-3	67%	3-8	38%	4-7	57%	+11.5
Aaron Gordon #50 · SF · 6'8" 235 · 27	28.8	15	63%	8	1	0	0	1	0	5	3	3-6	50%	6-8	75%	0-1	0%	+6.7
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 25	28.0	15	50%	5	2	0	3	0	0	0	5	2-3	67%	5-8	63%	1-6	17%	+7.1

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 27	26.3	5	31%	5	4	3	2	1	3	0	5	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-1	0%	+6.5
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	20.4	9	64%	3	0	2	1	0	3	0	3	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	+6.6
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 37	18.2	3	50%	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	4	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	+1.1
Thomas Bryant #13 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	14.2	3	50%	4	0	0	0	1	2	3	1	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-	+0.7
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	1.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.2
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 35	1.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.0
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Shoulder; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	57%	47	29	9	7	9	15	13	34	17-25	68%	39-65	60%	8-24	33%

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30 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaden Ivey #23 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	35.5	14	37%	2	6	0	0	4	3	1	1	4-8	50%	2-10	20%	2-5	40%	+1.0
Killian Hayes #7 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 22	34.5	10	42%	1	7	1	2	4	4	1	0	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-3	0%	+3.5
Rodney McGruder #17 · SF · 6'4" 200 · 32	34.2	20	67%	8	3	3	1	0	2	2	6	0-0	-	1-5	20%	6-10	60%	+15.4
James Wiseman #13 · C · 7'0" 240 · 22	29.9	14	50%	9	1	0	0	2	3	3	6	0-0	-	7-14	50%	0-0	-	+2.7
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 26	25.9	11	61%	3	1	1	0	1	4	1	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-3	33%	+4.8

Cory Joseph #18 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 32	30.7	13	72%	0	2	0	0	3	1	0	0	4-5	80%	0-3	0%	3-4	75%	+3.2
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 19	27.1	15	63%	13	4	3	0	3	3	5	8	1-4	25%	7-9	78%	0-1	0%	+10.8
R.J. Hampton #14 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 22	15.4	3	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	+0.6
Buddy Boeheim #27 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 23	6.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.0
Isaiah Livers #12 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 25	DNP – Injury/Illness · Right Hip; Soreness
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 24	DNP – Injury/Illness · Right Ankle; Soreness
Jared Rhoden #8 · NA · 6'5" 210 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Shoulder; Impingement
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Tibia; Stress fracture
Bojan Bogdanović #44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Achilles; Tendinopathy
Alec Burks #5 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Foot; Soreness
Hamidou Diallo #6 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	54%	37	24	8	3	17	20	13	24	10-18	56%	27-58	47%	12-27	44%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	DET
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	DET

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.14 57.2%

DET

1.08 53.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

70%

DET

63%

Midrange

DEN

38%

DET

22%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

12.0

33%

50%

DET

18.0

44%

67%

Free Throws

DEN

68%

DET

56%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	30	79%	15.0 / 19
K. Caldwell-Pope	20	63%	10.0 / 16
J. Murray	19	59%	9.5 / 16
A. Gordon	15	63%	7.5 / 12
M. Porter	15	50%	7.5 / 15
C. Braun	9	64%	4.5 / 7
B. Brown	5	31%	2.5 / 8
J. Green	3	50%	1.5 / 3
T. Bryant	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. McGruder	20	67%	10.0 / 15
J. Duren	15	63%	7.5 / 12
J. Ivey	14	37%	7.0 / 19
J. Wiseman	14	50%	7.0 / 14
C. Joseph	13	72%	6.5 / 9
E. Omoruyi	11	61%	5.5 / 9
K. Hayes	10	42%	5.0 / 12
R. Hampton	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 116.8 28 110.0	DEN 125.3 +18.9 DET 106.4
Pace	21 99.0 13 99.8	DEN 91.6 DET 97.6 +6.1
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.7 14 14.4	DEN 15.7 DET 14.7 −1.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.3% 27 52.0%	DEN 57.3% +4.4% DET 52.9%
TO %	22 14.0% 26 14.5%	DEN 9.1% −6.4% DET 15.5%
ORB %	11 24.8% 10 24.9%	DEN 35.1% +7.4% DET 27.7%
FTrt	20 25.9 4 29.5	DEN 28.1 +6.9 DET 21.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 66.3% 22 58.1%	DEN 61.7% +0.2% DET 61.5%
STL %	9 7.6% 18 7.0%	DEN 9.5% +1.0% DET 8.5%
BLK %	21 8.0% 6 9.7%	DEN 12.1% +7.5% DET 4.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.7% 26 54.8%	DEN 57.2% +3.4% DET 53.8%
Rim FG%	3 67.8% 27 62.0%	DEN 70.5% +7.6% DET 62.9%
Mid FG%	15 43.0% 27 40.7%	DEN 38.1% +16.4% DET 21.7%
3P %	4 37.9% 22 35.1%	DEN 33.3% DET 44.4% +11.1%
FT %	26 75.1% 21 77.1%	DEN 68.0% +12.4% DET 55.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 37.3% 22 31.9%	DEN 49.4% +8.3% DET 41.2%
Mid Att. %	12 26.6% 23 30.8%	DEN 23.6% −3.5% DET 27.1%
3P Att. %	21 36.1% 15 37.2%	DEN 27.0% DET 31.8% +4.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	DET
Possessions	95	94
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	119	100
Rebounds	47	37
Assists	29	24
Steals	9	8
Blocks	7	3
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	17 (0)
Fouls	15	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (4)	13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (0)	24 (4)
Field Goals	47-89	39-85
At-the-Rim FG	31-44	22-35
Midrange FG	8-21	5-23
2-Point FG	39-65	27-58
3-Point FG	8-24	12-27
Free Throws	17-25	10-18
Fast Break Pts	21	8
2nd Chance Pts	16	23
Points in Paint	66	52
Pts off Turnovers	21	16
Bench Points	20	31
Biggest Lead	22	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg