Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, March 16, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Thunder	32%	112	111	111.0	100	99.6
	5	Raptors	68%	118	128	128.0	100	100.3

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

+16

-13

103

TOR

+23

-10

113

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.08 53.9%

TOR

1.12 56.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

19 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 25	34.9	29	69%	3	3	2	0	3	1	2	1	4-5	80%	11-18	61%	1-1	100%	+10.9
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	31.1	10	38%	8	5	1	1	0	2	2	6	5-5	100%	1-5	20%	1-6	17%	+7.7
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 22	29.3	15	54%	7	3	1	0	2	2	2	5	6-7	86%	3-8	38%	1-3	33%	+6.4
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 20	27.2	13	59%	7	1	1	0	3	2	2	5	0-0	-	5-9	56%	1-2	50%	+3.8
Jaylin Williams #6 · C · 6'9" 240 · 21	14.0	5	36%	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-3	33%	+0.8

Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 24	23.9	12	67%	1	1	0	1	0	2	0	1	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	3-5	60%	+5.4
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 22	21.1	12	67%	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-3	67%	+4.0
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	13.5	3	50%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	+1.3
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 29	12.3	4	25%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-2	0%	−1.0
Olivier Sarr #30 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	10.3	0	0%	1	0	0	2	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.6
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	9.0	0	0%	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%	+0.4
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	8.6	2	50%	3	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-	−0.9
Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 26	4.8	6	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%	+3.1
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jared Butler #14 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Foot; Surgery
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Wrist; Scapholunate Ligament Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	54%	39	18	5	6	13	17	11	28	18-20	90%	27-63	43%	13-31	42%

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19 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 25	34.9	29	69%	3	3	2	0	3	1	2	1	4-5	80%	11-18	61%	1-1	100%	+10.9
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	31.1	10	38%	8	5	1	1	0	2	2	6	5-5	100%	1-5	20%	1-6	17%	+7.7
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 22	29.3	15	54%	7	3	1	0	2	2	2	5	6-7	86%	3-8	38%	1-3	33%	+6.4
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 20	27.2	13	59%	7	1	1	0	3	2	2	5	0-0	-	5-9	56%	1-2	50%	+3.8
Jaylin Williams #6 · C · 6'9" 240 · 21	14.0	5	36%	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-3	33%	+0.8

Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 24	23.9	12	67%	1	1	0	1	0	2	0	1	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	3-5	60%	+5.4
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 22	21.1	12	67%	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-3	67%	+4.0
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	13.5	3	50%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	+1.3
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 29	12.3	4	25%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-2	0%	−1.0
Olivier Sarr #30 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	10.3	0	0%	1	0	0	2	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.6
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	9.0	0	0%	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%	+0.4
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	8.6	2	50%	3	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-	−0.9
Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 26	4.8	6	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%	+3.1
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jared Butler #14 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Foot; Surgery
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Wrist; Scapholunate Ligament Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	54%	39	18	5	6	13	17	11	28	18-20	90%	27-63	43%	13-31	42%

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5 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scottie Barnes #4 · SG · 6'8" 237 · 22	34.8	19	56%	8	6	1	0	2	0	4	4	3-4	75%	8-13	62%	0-2	0%	+9.3
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 29	34.0	25	54%	14	8	0	0	0	2	5	9	4-8	50%	6-14	43%	3-5	60%	+14.3
Fred VanVleet #23 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 29	33.7	19	56%	5	6	4	1	3	0	0	5	0-0	-	5-9	56%	3-8	38%	+12.1
OG Anunoby #3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 26	29.0	17	85%	4	1	2	2	2	5	1	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	3-4	75%	+10.4
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 27	29.0	16	50%	12	4	0	1	0	3	5	7	8-10	80%	4-11	36%	0-0	-	+9.3

Gary Trent Jr. #33 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 24	34.9	23	88%	5	2	2	0	0	3	1	4	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	4-6	67%	+14.9
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 30	16.0	6	50%	7	0	0	1	3	5	2	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%	+0.4
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 23	12.3	0	0%	3	1	0	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+1.9
Will Barton #1 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 32	10.6	3	25%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%	−0.2
Malachi Flynn #22 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 25	2.9	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%	+0.6
Joe Wieskamp #11 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 24	2.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.0
Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ron Harper Jr. #8 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thaddeus Young #21 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeff Dowtin Jr. #20 · PG · 6'3" 177 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dalano Banton #45 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Thumb; Sprain
Otto Porter Jr. #32 · SF · 6'8" 198 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Foot; Surgery - second toe dislocation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	56%	59	29	10	4	10	20	19	40	20-28	71%	33-65	51%	14-32	44%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	TOR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.08 53.9%

TOR

1.12 56.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

50%

TOR

53%

Midrange

OKC

35%

TOR

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

19.5

42%

63%

TOR

21.0

44%

66%

Free Throws

OKC

90%

TOR

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	29	69%	14.5 / 21
J. Williams	15	54%	7.5 / 14
J. Giddey	13	59%	6.5 / 11
I. Joe	12	67%	6.0 / 9
T. Mann	12	67%	6.0 / 9
L. Dort	10	38%	5.0 / 13
L. Waters	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Williams	5	36%	2.5 / 7
D. Šarić	4	25%	2.0 / 8
O. Dieng	3	50%	1.5 / 3
A. Wiggins	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Robinson-Earl	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Siakam	25	54%	12.5 / 23
G. Trent	23	88%	11.5 / 13
S. Barnes	19	56%	9.5 / 17
F. VanVleet	19	56%	9.5 / 17
O. Anunoby	17	85%	8.5 / 10
J. Poeltl	16	50%	8.0 / 16
C. Boucher	6	50%	3.0 / 6
W. Barton	3	25%	1.5 / 6
M. Flynn	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 114.3 14 114.6	OKC 111.0 TOR 128.0 +17.0
Pace	3 101.9 25 97.9	OKC 99.6 TOR 100.3 +0.6
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.9 9 14.7	OKC 14.5 TOR 14.4 −0.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.1% 28 51.7%	OKC 49.5% TOR 55.7% +6.2%
TO %	4 12.1% 1 11.4%	OKC 11.2% TOR 8.4% −2.8%
ORB %	13 24.7% 3 27.8%	OKC 21.6% TOR 40.4% +18.8%
FTrt	23 25.6 22 25.7	OKC 21.3 TOR 28.9 +7.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 56.7% 26 57.1%	OKC 45.0% TOR 61.7% +16.7%
STL %	5 8.0% 1 9.6%	OKC 5.0% TOR 10.0% +5.0%
BLK %	4 9.9% 8 9.3%	OKC 9.2% +2.9% TOR 6.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.01 and 3.01.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 55.7% 27 54.3%	OKC 53.9% TOR 56.1% +2.2%
Rim FG%	30 59.9% 16 63.9%	OKC 50.0% TOR 52.5% +2.5%
Mid FG%	16 43.0% 26 40.8%	OKC 35.5% TOR 48.0% +12.5%
3P %	17 35.6% 28 33.5%	OKC 41.9% TOR 43.8% +1.9%
FT %	6 80.9% 17 78.4%	OKC 90.0% +18.6% TOR 71.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 37.3% 18 32.9%	OKC 34.0% TOR 41.2% +7.2%
Mid Att. %	11 25.8% 27 32.0%	OKC 33.0% TOR 25.8% −7.2%
3P Att. %	18 36.9% 25 35.1%	OKC 33.0% TOR 33.0% +0.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.07 and 2.07.

Game Totals	OKC	TOR
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	111	128
Rebounds	39	59
Assists	18	29
Steals	5	10
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	10 (0)
Fouls	17	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (5)	19 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (3)	40 (0)
Field Goals	40-94	47-97
At-the-Rim FG	16-32	21-40
Midrange FG	11-31	12-25
2-Point FG	27-63	33-65
3-Point FG	13-31	14-32
Free Throws	18-20	20-28
Fast Break Pts	6	23
2nd Chance Pts	12	21
Points in Paint	52	50
Pts off Turnovers	13	19
Bench Points	39	32
Biggest Lead	7	20

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg