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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 16, 2023
10:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Magic31%105113
9Suns69%112116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Franz Wagner
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.5
35.4
27.7
16
52%
10
2
0
1
0
3
2
8
1-1
100%
6-12
4-7
50%
54%
1-3
33%
Markelle Fultz
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.8
33.6
31.2
25
68%
7
9
2
1
0
2
1
6
3-3
100%
11-16
5-10
69%
52%
0-1
0%
Paolo Banchero
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.3
33.5
32.3
18
54%
8
3
2
1
0
5
0
8
3-4
75%
6-11
6-12
55%
49%
1-4
25%
Wendell Carter Jr.
F · 6'10" 251 · 23.9
32.9
28.9
16
73%
5
3
1
1
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
5-6
4-7
83%
59%
2-5
40%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.5
26.5
24.9
6
43%
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
2-7
29%
Cole Anthony
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.8
26.9
27.3
17
76%
5
3
0
1
0
1
2
3
5-5
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
47%
2-4
50%
Jalen Suggs
G · 6'4" 205 · 21.8
21.6
23.5
5
38%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
3-6
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Bol Bol
C · 7'2" 208 · 23.3
14.5
14.6
6
63%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
62%
0-1
0%
Goga Bitadze
C · 6'11" 245 · 23.7
8.2
6.0
2
33%
5
1
0
0
2
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
59%
0-1
0%
Moritz Wagner
F · 7'0" 241 · 25.9
6.8
18.5
2
50%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
62%
0-0
-
Kevon Harris
G · 6'6" 216 · 25.7
7.6
0
1-1
48%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 31.4
6.9
0
1-2
43%
Caleb Houstan
G · 6'8" 205 · 20.2
4.9
0
0-0
49%
Admiral Schofield
F · 6'5" 241 · 26.0
3.1
0
0-0
59%
Chuma Okeke
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.6
3.0
0
0-0
48%
Jonathan Isaac
F · 6'10" 210 · 25.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Booker
G · 6'6" 210 · 26.4
36.3
36.7
19
52%
5
2
0
1
0
4
2
3
3-3
100%
5-12
9-16
42%
55%
2-5
40%
Deandre Ayton
F-C · 7'1" 250 · 24.6
34.9
29.6
16
58%
7
0
0
1
1
1
0
7
4-4
100%
6-12
8-13
50%
63%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 37.9
30.9
30.7
16
67%
2
7
2
2
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
7-8
4-7
88%
55%
0-3
0%
Josh Okogie
G · 6'5" 211 · 24.5
30.4
30.8
15
46%
4
4
3
1
3
2
1
3
5-5
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
51%
2-10
20%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.2
25.4
23.4
9
75%
5
2
1
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
3-5
60%
Ish Wainright
F · 6'5" 250 · 28.5
23.0
17.7
3
38%
5
3
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
53%
1-3
33%
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.6
20.6
15.7
18
72%
2
5
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
49%
3-5
60%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 32.1
16.0
15.2
7
60%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
1-2
50%
Jock Landale
C · 6'11" 255 · 27.4
12.7
9.9
8
67%
3
2
0
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
63%
0-0
-
Damion Lee
G · 6'6" 210 · 30.4
9.8
9.1
5
83%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
1-2
50%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 30.5
8.3
0
1-2
59%
T.J. Warren
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.5
5.8
0
1-2
55%
Darius Bazley
F · 6'9" 208 · 22.8
3.7
0
0-1
51%
Landry Shamet
G · 6'5" 188 · 26.0
Saben Lee
G · 6'2" 183 · 23.7
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 34.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.