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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 17, 2023
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Grizzlies76%117126
29Spurs24%107120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 23.5
42.8
28.0
28
61%
5
1
1
1
4
5
3
2
4-7
57%
12-17
4-8
71%
56%
0-3
0%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 26.9
42.4
29.2
20
60%
10
10
2
1
0
2
2
8
3-4
75%
4-8
3-6
50%
52%
3-7
43%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 27.1
40.4
28.7
16
67%
5
1
3
1
1
3
1
4
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
4-8
50%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.7
38.9
26.9
21
48%
8
7
3
1
1
0
0
8
0-0
-
9-17
4-8
53%
54%
1-5
20%
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 24.2
21.1
24.5
12
68%
6
3
0
1
0
1
3
3
2-2
100%
5-8
4-6
63%
62%
0-0
-
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.7
31.5
18.9
13
82%
2
3
4
0
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
51%
4-7
57%
Santi Aldama
F-C · 6'11" 215 · 22.2
17.2
21.9
3
19%
5
0
0
1
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
62%
1-4
25%
Kenneth Lofton Jr.
F · 6'7" 275 · 20.6
13.5
6.8
11
71%
7
1
0
0
1
2
3
4
2-4
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
57%
1-2
50%
David Roddy
F · 6'6" 255 · 22.0
12.7
18.3
2
25%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
61%
0-2
0%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.0
4.5
20.8
0
0%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
60%
0-0
-
Ziaire Williams
F · 6'8" 185 · 21.5
7.9
0
1-1
64%
Kennedy Chandler
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.5
5.4
0
1-1
54%
Jake LaRavia
F · 6'8" 235 · 21.4
3.6
0
0-0
57%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Malaki Branham
F · 6'5" 180 · 19.8
38.9
20.6
18
53%
6
2
1
1
0
3
3
3
2-2
100%
2-7
3-5
29%
54%
4-9
44%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 23.4
38.4
24.5
21
49%
5
0
3
1
0
1
1
4
1-1
100%
4-10
5-9
40%
53%
4-11
36%
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 25.3
35.7
26.1
24
64%
8
4
0
1
1
6
2
6
6-6
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
55%
4-10
40%
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 22.6
34.7
21.3
25
56%
5
5
1
1
0
1
0
5
2-3
67%
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
5-13
38%
Jeremy Sochan
F · 6'9" 230 · 19.8
8.4
29.3
3
150%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
6-11
-
52%
1-1
100%
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.2
33.6
25.1
8
60%
3
9
2
1
0
2
1
2
4-6
67%
2-3
4-8
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 23.8
22.8
21.6
6
39%
14
2
1
0
0
1
8
6
2-4
50%
2-5
2-3
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Blake Wesley
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.0
20.8
22.2
4
35%
2
5
1
1
2
1
0
2
2-4
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 27.1
12.8
16.7
11
103%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
55%
2-3
67%
Dominick Barlow
F · 6'9" 215 · 19.8
12.2
15.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 33.2
6.8
7.4
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
55%
0-2
0%
Devonte' Graham
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.1
25.2
1
1-2
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.