Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 18, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Timberwolves	25%	108	107	103.9	103	102.8
	4	Raptors	75%	116	122	118.4	103	104.8

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+11

-14

100

TOR

+10

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.06 53.0%

TOR

1.24 62.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

15 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Anderson #5 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 29	31.8	12	43%	7	5	0	0	0	4	2	5	0-0	-	6-12	50%	0-2	0%	+5.2
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	31.0	18	60%	6	1	0	1	0	4	0	6	2-2	100%	2-8	25%	4-6	67%	+7.7
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 31	30.7	14	64%	12	3	0	1	2	3	5	7	6-7	86%	4-8	50%	0-0	-	+7.6
Taurean Prince #12 · SG · 6'6" 218 · 29	30.0	4	25%	2	2	0	0	3	3	0	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-4	0%	−2.0
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 35	26.0	12	60%	2	3	1	0	1	2	0	2	4-4	100%	4-4	100%	0-4	0%	+6.2

Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 27	23.9	9	64%	1	8	0	0	3	1	0	1	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%	+4.1
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 24	19.9	22	92%	4	1	0	0	2	3	0	4	5-7	71%	7-8	88%	1-2	50%	+8.0
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	18.9	4	25%	2	2	2	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-3	0%	+3.2
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 20	15.7	6	75%	3	1	1	0	3	2	0	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-	+1.5
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 24	3.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-	−0.0
Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 26	3.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.2
Nathan Knight #13 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 25	3.0	4	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	+1.2
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 21	3.0	2	33%	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-	+1.4
Austin Rivers #25 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Calf; Strain
Anthony Edwards #1 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Ankle; Sprain
Jaylen Nowell #4 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Knee; Tendinopathy
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	53%	42	27	5	2	14	23	9	33	24-28	86%	34-62	55%	5-23	22%

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15 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Anderson #5 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 29	31.8	12	43%	7	5	0	0	0	4	2	5	0-0	-	6-12	50%	0-2	0%	+5.2
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	31.0	18	60%	6	1	0	1	0	4	0	6	2-2	100%	2-8	25%	4-6	67%	+7.7
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 31	30.7	14	64%	12	3	0	1	2	3	5	7	6-7	86%	4-8	50%	0-0	-	+7.6
Taurean Prince #12 · SG · 6'6" 218 · 29	30.0	4	25%	2	2	0	0	3	3	0	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-4	0%	−2.0
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 35	26.0	12	60%	2	3	1	0	1	2	0	2	4-4	100%	4-4	100%	0-4	0%	+6.2

Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 27	23.9	9	64%	1	8	0	0	3	1	0	1	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%	+4.1
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 24	19.9	22	92%	4	1	0	0	2	3	0	4	5-7	71%	7-8	88%	1-2	50%	+8.0
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	18.9	4	25%	2	2	2	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-3	0%	+3.2
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 20	15.7	6	75%	3	1	1	0	3	2	0	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-	+1.5
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 24	3.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-	−0.0
Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 26	3.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.2
Nathan Knight #13 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 25	3.0	4	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	+1.2
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 21	3.0	2	33%	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-	+1.4
Austin Rivers #25 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Calf; Strain
Anthony Edwards #1 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Ankle; Sprain
Jaylen Nowell #4 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Knee; Tendinopathy
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	53%	42	27	5	2	14	23	9	33	24-28	86%	34-62	55%	5-23	22%

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4 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Fred VanVleet #23 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 29	35.8	28	70%	3	7	2	0	3	3	0	3	5-6	83%	7-11	64%	3-7	43%	+13.5
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 29	35.4	27	56%	10	6	0	0	3	4	2	8	4-6	67%	10-16	63%	1-6	17%	+9.1
OG Anunoby #3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 26	35.2	15	83%	2	1	1	0	3	3	0	2	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	2-3	67%	+4.9
Scottie Barnes #4 · SG · 6'8" 237 · 22	28.4	10	42%	4	2	0	0	1	3	2	2	4-5	80%	3-9	33%	0-1	0%	+2.0
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 27	25.4	14	88%	11	2	0	0	2	5	4	7	0-0	-	7-8	88%	0-0	-	+7.1

Gary Trent Jr. #33 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 24	29.3	19	68%	3	3	5	0	1	1	1	2	1-1	100%	6-9	67%	2-5	40%	+13.9
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 30	19.2	5	83%	4	1	2	2	0	1	0	4	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-2	50%	+7.4
Will Barton #1 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 32	13.6	0	0%	4	1	0	1	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+1.8
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 23	8.8	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-	+0.2
Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 23	3.0	2	50%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	−0.3
Malachi Flynn #22 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 25	3.0	2	33%	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%	−0.3
Joe Wieskamp #11 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 24	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.0
Thaddeus Young #21 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ron Harper Jr. #8 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeff Dowtin Jr. #20 · PG · 6'3" 177 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dalano Banton #45 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Thumb; Sprain
Otto Porter Jr. #32 · SF · 6'8" 198 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Foot; Surgery - second toe dislocation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	62%	45	23	11	3	15	25	9	36	17-21	81%	39-63	62%	9-27	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	TOR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.06 53.0%

TOR

1.24 62.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

67%

TOR

73%

Midrange

MIN

30%

TOR

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

7.5

22%

33%

TOR

13.5

33%

50%

Free Throws

MIN

86%

TOR

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Reid	22	92%	11.0 / 12
J. McDaniels	18	60%	9.0 / 15
R. Gobert	14	64%	7.0 / 11
K. Anderson	12	43%	6.0 / 14
M. Conley	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. McLaughlin	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. Minott	6	75%	3.0 / 4
T. Prince	4	25%	2.0 / 8
N. Alexander-Walker	4	25%	2.0 / 8
N. Knight	4	50%	2.0 / 4
W. Moore	2	33%	1.0 / 3
L. Garza	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
F. VanVleet	28	70%	14.0 / 20
P. Siakam	27	56%	13.5 / 24
G. Trent	19	68%	9.5 / 14
O. Anunoby	15	83%	7.5 / 9
J. Poeltl	14	88%	7.0 / 8
S. Barnes	10	42%	5.0 / 12
C. Boucher	5	83%	2.5 / 3
P. Achiuwa	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Flynn	2	33%	1.0 / 3
C. Koloko	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 113.3 14 114.6	MIN 103.9 TOR 118.4 +14.6
Pace	7 101.4 25 97.9	MIN 102.8 TOR 104.8 +2.0
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.0 9 14.7	MIN 14.0 TOR 13.7 −0.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.0% 28 51.7%	MIN 48.8% TOR 58.3% +9.5%
TO %	27 14.5% 1 11.4%	MIN 13.4% TOR 13.1% −0.3%
ORB %	27 21.5% 3 27.8%	MIN 20.0% TOR 21.4% +1.4%
FTrt	12 27.1 22 25.7	MIN 32.9 +9.6 TOR 23.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 61.0% 26 57.1%	MIN 69.2% +21.3% TOR 47.9%
STL %	7 7.8% 1 9.6%	MIN 4.9% TOR 10.7% +5.8%
BLK %	22 7.7% 8 9.3%	MIN 3.2% TOR 4.8% +1.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.01 and 3.01.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 58.0% 27 54.3%	MIN 53.0% TOR 62.2% +9.2%
Rim FG%	9 65.5% 16 63.9%	MIN 66.7% TOR 72.7% +6.0%
Mid FG%	12 43.7% 26 40.8%	MIN 30.0% TOR 50.0% +20.0%
3P %	13 36.5% 28 33.5%	MIN 21.7% TOR 33.3% +11.6%
FT %	24 75.5% 17 78.4%	MIN 85.7% +4.7% TOR 81.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 37.0% 18 32.9%	MIN 49.4% +12.7% TOR 36.7%
Mid Att. %	9 24.9% 27 32.0%	MIN 23.5% −9.8% TOR 33.3%
3P Att. %	14 38.1% 25 35.1%	MIN 27.1% TOR 30.0% +2.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	TOR
Possessions	103	103
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.6
Points	107	122
Rebounds	42	45
Assists	27	23
Steals	5	11
Blocks	2	3
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	15 (0)
Fouls	23	25
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	36 (1)
Field Goals	39-85	48-90
At-the-Rim FG	28-42	24-33
Midrange FG	6-20	15-30
2-Point FG	34-62	39-63
3-Point FG	5-23	9-27
Free Throws	24-28	17-21
Fast Break Pts	16	18
2nd Chance Pts	9	2
Points in Paint	64	64
Pts off Turnovers	17	17
Bench Points	47	28
Biggest Lead	3	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg