Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 19, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Heat	83%	116	112	120.4	93	93.9
	30	Pistons	17%	105	100	109.9	91	90.1

Scoring Opportunities

MIA

+11

-10

DET

+11

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.19 59.6%

DET

1.10 54.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

12 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 26	39.5	22	69%	10	5	0	3	3	2	1	9	8-9	89%	7-12	58%	0-0	-	+10.4
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 34	35.0	26	81%	4	10	1	0	1	1	3	1	10-11	91%	8-11	73%	0-0	-	+16.8
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	34.1	19	53%	6	4	0	0	1	2	0	6	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	3-9	33%	+7.4
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35	23.5	12	60%	8	2	0	0	2	3	2	6	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-6	33%	+5.2
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	22.6	6	38%	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-8	25%	+2.3

Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	30.7	13	65%	5	4	2	1	0	4	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-7	43%	+11.2
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	25.4	7	175%	6	6	0	0	1	4	0	6	1-1	100%	0-0	-	2-2	100%	+7.1
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	24.1	5	28%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-7	14%	−0.1
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 25	3.7	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-	+1.2
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.0
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43	DNP – Coach's Decision
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cody Zeller #44 · C · 7'0" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Nasal; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	60%	42	33	4	4	10	17	8	34	23-25	92%	25-40	63%	13-39	33%

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12 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 26	39.5	22	69%	10	5	0	3	3	2	1	9	8-9	89%	7-12	58%	0-0	-	+10.4
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 34	35.0	26	81%	4	10	1	0	1	1	3	1	10-11	91%	8-11	73%	0-0	-	+16.8
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	34.1	19	53%	6	4	0	0	1	2	0	6	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	3-9	33%	+7.4
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35	23.5	12	60%	8	2	0	0	2	3	2	6	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-6	33%	+5.2
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	22.6	6	38%	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-8	25%	+2.3

Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	30.7	13	65%	5	4	2	1	0	4	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-7	43%	+11.2
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	25.4	7	175%	6	6	0	0	1	4	0	6	1-1	100%	0-0	-	2-2	100%	+7.1
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	24.1	5	28%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-7	14%	−0.1
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 25	3.7	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-	+1.2
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.0
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43	DNP – Coach's Decision
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cody Zeller #44 · C · 7'0" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Nasal; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	60%	42	33	4	4	10	17	8	34	23-25	92%	25-40	63%	13-39	33%

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30 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaden Ivey #23 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21	38.0	11	61%	4	5	0	0	3	4	1	3	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	2-4	50%	+4.5
Killian Hayes #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 22	37.8	13	46%	4	11	2	0	4	3	1	3	0-0	-	5-11	45%	1-3	33%	+7.1
Rodney McGruder #17 · SF · 6'4" 200 · 32	37.2	15	54%	9	3	2	0	1	1	1	8	3-3	100%	3-5	60%	2-8	25%	+9.4
James Wiseman #13 · C · 7'0" 240 · 22	33.1	22	85%	13	0	0	0	1	2	4	9	1-1	100%	9-12	75%	1-1	100%	+10.1
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 24	29.6	14	58%	3	4	0	1	1	4	2	1	2-3	67%	6-9	67%	0-2	0%	+6.1

Cory Joseph #18 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 32	28.9	16	62%	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	3-6	50%	+7.1
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 26	20.1	7	44%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-3	33%	+2.0
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 19	8.9	2	100%	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-	+0.6
Buddy Boeheim #27 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 23	6.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-5	0%	−1.4
R.J. Hampton #14 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 22	DNP – Injury/Illness · Low Back; Spasms
Isaiah Livers #12 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 25	DNP – Injury/Illness · Right Hip; Soreness
Jared Rhoden #8 · NA · 6'5" 210 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Shoulder; Impingement
Alec Burks #5 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Foot; Soreness
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Tibia; Stress fracture
Bojan Bogdanović #44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Achilles; Tendinopathy
Hamidou Diallo #6 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	55%	39	26	4	2	11	20	9	30	14-17	82%	28-50	56%	10-32	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DET
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DET

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.19 59.6%

DET

1.10 54.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

59%

DET

65%

Midrange

MIA

67%

DET

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

19.5

33%

50%

DET

15.0

31%

47%

Free Throws

MIA

92%

DET

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	26	81%	13.0 / 16
B. Adebayo	22	69%	11.0 / 16
T. Herro	19	53%	9.5 / 18
C. Martin	13	65%	6.5 / 10
K. Love	12	60%	6.0 / 10
K. Lowry	7	175%	3.5 / 2
G. Vincent	6	38%	3.0 / 8
M. Strus	5	28%	2.5 / 9
Ö. Yurtseven	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Wiseman	22	85%	11.0 / 13
C. Joseph	16	62%	8.0 / 13
R. McGruder	15	54%	7.5 / 14
M. Bagley	14	58%	7.0 / 12
K. Hayes	13	46%	6.5 / 14
J. Ivey	11	61%	5.5 / 9
E. Omoruyi	7	44%	3.5 / 8
J. Duren	2	100%	1.0 / 1
B. Boeheim	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 112.5 28 110.0	MIA 120.4 +10.5 DET 109.9
Pace	29 96.8 13 99.8	MIA 93.9 +3.8 DET 90.1
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.0 14 14.4	MIA 15.3 −0.7 DET 16.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 53.0% 27 52.0%	MIA 56.3% +3.9% DET 52.4%
TO %	15 13.1% 26 14.5%	MIA 10.0% −2.7% DET 12.7%
ORB %	21 22.8% 10 24.9%	MIA 21.1% +0.2% DET 20.9%
FTrt	13 27.0 4 29.5	MIA 31.6 +10.9 DET 20.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 60.8% 22 58.1%	MIA 86.8% +18.4% DET 68.4%
STL %	3 8.2% 18 7.0%	MIA 4.3% DET 4.4% +0.1%
BLK %	23 7.5% 6 9.7%	MIA 8.0% +3.0% DET 5.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.9% 26 54.8%	MIA 59.6% +4.7% DET 54.9%
Rim FG%	21 63.3% 27 62.0%	MIA 59.1% DET 65.2% +6.1%
Mid FG%	6 45.5% 27 40.7%	MIA 66.7% +18.6% DET 48.1%
3P %	27 34.4% 22 35.1%	MIA 33.3% +2.0% DET 31.3%
FT %	2 83.1% 21 77.1%	MIA 92.0% +9.6% DET 82.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 28.3% 22 31.9%	MIA 27.8% DET 28.0% +0.2%
Mid Att. %	24 30.9% 23 30.8%	MIA 22.8% −10.1% DET 32.9%
3P Att. %	9 40.8% 15 37.2%	MIA 49.4% +10.3% DET 39.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	DET
Possessions	93	91
Possession Minutes	23.8	24.2
Points	112	100
Rebounds	42	39
Assists	33	26
Steals	4	4
Blocks	4	2
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	11 (2)
Fouls	17	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (3)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (2)	30 (2)
Field Goals	38-79	38-82
At-the-Rim FG	13-22	15-23
Midrange FG	12-18	13-27
2-Point FG	25-40	28-50
3-Point FG	13-39	10-32
Free Throws	23-25	14-17
Fast Break Pts	11	4
2nd Chance Pts	15	13
Points in Paint	40	48
Pts off Turnovers	11	9
Bench Points	27	25
Biggest Lead	12	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg