FinalWin Prob.pScore
1372%112
112
3028%104
100
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
120.49393.9
DET logo DET
109.99190.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.112
100%
100
0%
Q4 - 0:18.3HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound112
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.9PistonsRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot112
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.7HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup112
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.1HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound110
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0PistonsKillian Hayes misses two point driving layup110
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.1HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2110
99.7%
100
0.3%
Q4 - 0:58.1HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2109
99.7%
100
0.3%
Q4 - 0:58.1PistonsKillian Hayes personal foul (Take) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)108
99.7%
100
0.3%
Q4 - 0:58.6PistonsJaden Ivey makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
99.6%
100
0.4%
Q4 - 0:58.6PistonsJaden Ivey makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
99.6%
99
0.4%
Q4 - 0:58.6HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)108
99.7%
98
0.3%
Q4 - 1:10HeatTyler Herro makes three point fadeaway jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)108
99.7%
98
0.3%
Q4 - 1:11HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound105
99.0%
98
1.0%
Q4 - 1:12HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot105
98.4%
98
1.6%
Q4 - 1:33HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound105
98.5%
98
1.5%
Q4 - 1:35PistonsJaden Ivey misses two point pullup jump shot105
98.2%
98
1.8%
Q4 - 1:49HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)105
96.8%
98
3.2%
Q4 - 2:09HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound103
95.9%
98
4.1%
Q4 - 2:12PistonsJaden Ivey misses three point stepback jump shot103
95.1%
98
4.9%
Q4 - 2:29HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)103
92.6%
98
7.4%
Q4 - 2:43HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)103
92.7%
98
7.3%
Q4 - 3:07HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound101
88.4%
98
11.6%
Q4 - 3:08PistonsKillian Hayes misses two point pullup jump shot101
86.7%
98
13.3%
Q4 - 3:20HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)101
81.6%
98
18.4%
Q4 - 3:23HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound98
68.6%
98
31.4%
Q4 - 3:25HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot98
59.1%
98
40.9%
Q4 - 3:43HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound98
66.5%
98
33.5%
Q4 - 3:44PistonsKillian Hayes misses three point jump shot98
63.8%
98
36.2%
Q4 - 4:00HeatJimmy Butler makes two point putback layup98
57.2%
98
42.8%
Q4 - 4:01HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound96
48.9%
98
51.1%
Q4 - 4:02HeatJimmy Butler misses two point alley-oop layup96
42.2%
98
57.8%
Q4 - 4:20PistonsJames Wiseman makes two point putback layup96
48.6%
98
51.4%
Q4 - 4:21PistonsJames Wiseman offensive rebound96
57.0%
96
43.0%
Q4 - 4:22PistonsCory Joseph misses three point jump shot96
63.6%
96
36.4%
Q4 - 4:31HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)96
57.0%
96
43.0%
Q4 - 4:39HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound94
48.5%
96
51.5%
Q4 - 4:43PistonsCaleb Martin blocks Cory Joseph's three point jump shot94
45.5%
96
54.5%
Q4 - 5:01HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 294
43.2%
96
56.8%
Q4 - 5:01HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 293
41.8%
96
58.2%
Q4 - 5:01PistonsJames Wiseman shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)92
40.1%
96
59.9%
Q4 - 5:12PistonsKillian Hayes makes three point jump shot (Jaden Ivey assists)92
35.9%
96
64.1%
Q4 - 5:30HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Caleb Martin assists)92
51.0%
93
49.0%
Q4 - 5:56PistonsCory Joseph makes regular free throw 2 of 290
43.3%
93
56.7%
Q4 - 5:56PistonsCory Joseph makes regular free throw 1 of 290
44.4%
92
55.6%
Q4 - 5:56HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Cory Joseph draws the foul)90
45.6%
91
54.4%
Q4 - 6:09HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 290
53.0%
91
47.0%
Q4 - 6:09HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 289
51.7%
91
48.3%
Q4 - 6:09PistonsEugene Omoruyi personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)88
50.2%
91
49.8%
Q4 - 6:22PistonsJames Wiseman makes two point dunk (Jaden Ivey assists)88
47.1%
91
52.9%
Q4 - 6:34HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)88
52.9%
89
47.1%
Q4 - 6:34HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)88
61.4%
89
38.6%
Q4 - 6:38HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound88
61.4%
89
38.6%
Q4 - 6:40PistonsEugene Omoruyi misses two point pullup bank jump shot88
58.8%
89
41.2%
Q4 - 7:03PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound88
55.7%
89
44.3%
Q4 - 7:06HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot88
58.0%
89
42.0%
Q4 - 7:15PistonsKillian Hayes turnover (out of bounds bad pass)88
63.3%
89
36.7%
Q4 - 7:26HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)88
55.5%
89
44.5%
Q4 - 7:33PistonsPistons defensive rebound88
55.5%
89
44.5%
Q4 - 7:34HeatMax Strus misses two point driving layup88
57.9%
89
42.1%
Q4 - 7:43HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound88
63.2%
89
36.8%
Q4 - 7:45PistonsKillian Hayes misses two point pullup jump shot88
60.9%
89
39.1%
Q4 - 8:02HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway jump shot88
56.8%
89
43.2%
Q4 - 8:18PistonsJames Wiseman makes two point hook shot (Cory Joseph assists)86
50.9%
89
49.1%
Q4 - 8:38HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 186
56.7%
87
43.3%
Q4 - 8:38PistonsMarvin Bagley III shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)85
55.9%
87
44.1%
Q4 - 8:47PistonsCory Joseph makes three point jump shot82
38.6%
87
61.4%
Q4 - 9:09HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)82
52.5%
84
47.5%
Q4 - 9:25PistonsEugene Omoruyi personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)80
47.2%
84
52.8%
Q4 - 9:29PistonsCory Joseph makes two point driving floating jump shot80
47.1%
84
52.9%
Q4 - 9:41HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)80
52.3%
82
47.7%
Q4 - 9:54HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound77
41.2%
82
58.8%
Q4 - 9:57PistonsCory Joseph misses regular free throw 2 of 277
40.4%
82
59.6%
Q4 - 9:57PistonsCory Joseph makes regular free throw 1 of 277
36.4%
82
63.6%
Q4 - 9:57HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Cory Joseph draws the foul)77
37.2%
81
62.8%
Q4 - 10:16PistonsCory Joseph defensive rebound77
42.5%
81
57.5%
Q4 - 10:20HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot77
44.3%
81
55.7%
Q4 - 10:30PistonsMarvin Bagley III personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)77
48.5%
81
51.5%
Q4 - 10:35HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound77
48.5%
81
51.5%
Q4 - 10:37PistonsEugene Omoruyi misses two point pullup jump shot77
46.7%
81
53.3%
Q4 - 10:46PistonsRodney McGruder defensive rebound77
42.4%
81
57.6%
Q4 - 10:49HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot77
44.3%
81
55.7%
Q4 - 11:05HeatMax Strus defensive rebound77
49.2%
81
50.8%
Q4 - 11:09PistonsBam Adebayo blocks Marvin Bagley III's two point cutting layup77
47.5%
81
52.5%
Q4 - 11:26HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 177
43.8%
81
56.2%
Q4 - 11:26PistonsMarvin Bagley III shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)76
42.9%
81
57.1%
Q4 - 11:36PistonsJaden Ivey turnover (out of bounds lost ball)74
34.0%
81
66.0%
Q4 - 11:38PistonsPistons offensive rebound74
29.4%
81
70.6%
Q4 - 11:38PistonsBam Adebayo blocks Cory Joseph's two point fadeaway jump shot74
32.6%
81
67.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.74
29.3%
81
70.7%
Q3 - 0:00.2PistonsEugene Omoruyi makes three point pullup jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)74
36.9%
81
63.1%
Q3 - 0:05.7HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 274
46.5%
78
53.5%
Q3 - 0:05.7HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 273
45.9%
78
54.1%
Q3 - 0:05.7PistonsKillian Hayes shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)72
45.2%
78
54.8%
Q3 - 0:28.0PistonsCory Joseph makes three point pullup jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)72
41.3%
78
58.7%
Q3 - 0:37.0HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)72
51.2%
75
48.8%
Q3 - 0:45.1PistonsEugene Omoruyi makes two point cutting layup (Rodney McGruder assists)69
41.2%
75
58.8%
Q3 - 0:45.1PistonsRodney McGruder offensive rebound69
46.2%
73
53.8%
Q3 - 0:46.8PistonsEugene Omoruyi misses three point jump shot69
49.6%
73
50.4%
Q3 - 1:02HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)69
48.0%
73
52.0%
Q3 - 1:27PistonsMarvin Bagley III makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Eugene Omoruyi assists)67
43.6%
73
56.4%
Q3 - 1:35HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Killian Hayes steals)67
47.9%
71
52.1%
Q3 - 1:48HeatMax Strus defensive rebound67
52.8%
71
47.2%
Q3 - 1:51PistonsKillian Hayes misses two point pullup jump shot67
51.3%
71
48.7%
Q3 - 2:14PistonsMarvin Bagley III defensive rebound67
49.3%
71
50.7%
Q3 - 2:15HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup67
50.7%
71
49.3%
Q3 - 2:23HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound67
54.0%
71
46.0%
Q3 - 2:26PistonsRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot67
52.5%
71
47.5%
Q3 - 2:46HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 167
49.2%
71
50.8%
Q3 - 2:46PistonsEugene Omoruyi shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)66
48.6%
71
51.4%
Q3 - 3:09PistonsKillian Hayes turnover (traveling)64
42.5%
71
57.5%
Q3 - 3:29HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)64
37.6%
71
62.4%
Q3 - 3:29HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Rodney McGruder draws the foul)64
42.4%
71
57.6%
Q3 - 3:38PistonsCory Joseph makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)64
42.4%
71
57.6%
Q3 - 3:57PistonsEugene Omoruyi defensive rebound64
45.8%
69
54.2%
Q3 - 4:00HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot64
47.3%
69
52.7%
Q3 - 4:13PistonsCory Joseph makes three point jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)64
52.5%
69
47.5%
Q3 - 4:36HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 264
59.8%
66
40.2%
Q3 - 4:36HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 263
59.3%
66
40.7%
Q3 - 4:36PistonsCory Joseph shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)62
58.7%
66
41.3%
Q3 - 4:57PistonsJames Wiseman makes regular free throw 1 of 162
56.4%
66
43.6%
Q3 - 4:57HeatKevin Love shooting foul (James Wiseman draws the foul)62
57.6%
65
42.4%
Q3 - 4:57PistonsJames Wiseman offensive rebound62
63.6%
63
36.4%
Q3 - 4:57PistonsJames Wiseman misses two point driving floating jump shot62
66.7%
63
33.3%
Q3 - 5:01PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound62
64.2%
63
35.8%
Q3 - 5:03HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot62
65.4%
63
34.6%
Q3 - 5:17PistonsRodney McGruder makes three point running jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)62
68.0%
63
32.0%
Q3 - 5:24HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Killian Hayes steals)62
74.2%
60
25.8%
Q3 - 5:30PistonsJames Wiseman makes two point stepback jump shot (Rodney McGruder assists)62
77.3%
60
22.7%
Q3 - 5:51HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)62
79.8%
58
20.2%
Q3 - 5:59HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound60
77.3%
58
22.7%
Q3 - 6:01PistonsMarvin Bagley III misses two point jump shot60
76.8%
58
23.2%
Q3 - 6:21PistonsRodney McGruder defensive rebound60
74.7%
58
25.3%
Q3 - 6:24HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot60
75.6%
58
24.4%
Q3 - 6:51HeatHeat defensive rebound60
77.6%
58
22.4%
Q3 - 6:52PistonsMarvin Bagley III misses three point jump shot60
76.7%
58
23.3%
Q3 - 7:13HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)60
74.6%
58
25.4%
Q3 - 7:34PistonsJames Wiseman makes two point dunk (Marvin Bagley III assists)57
69.2%
58
30.8%
Q3 - 7:56HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 257
71.8%
56
28.2%
Q3 - 7:56HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 256
71.4%
56
28.6%
Q3 - 7:56PistonsJaden Ivey shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)55
71.0%
56
29.0%
Q3 - 8:12PistonsJames Wiseman makes three point jump shot (Rodney McGruder assists)55
69.7%
56
30.3%
Q3 - 8:23PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound55
74.8%
53
25.2%
Q3 - 8:25HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot55
75.8%
53
24.2%
Q3 - 8:41HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound55
77.9%
53
22.1%
Q3 - 8:43PistonsJaden Ivey misses two point pullup jump shot55
77.0%
53
23.0%
Q3 - 8:56PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound55
74.8%
53
25.2%
Q3 - 8:59HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 255
75.2%
53
24.8%
Q3 - 8:59HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 255
77.1%
53
22.9%
Q3 - 8:59PistonsJaden Ivey shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)54
76.7%
53
23.3%
Q3 - 9:13PistonsKillian Hayes makes two point pullup jump shot54
75.5%
53
24.5%
Q3 - 9:27PistonsKillian Hayes defensive rebound54
77.6%
51
22.4%
Q3 - 9:30HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot54
78.4%
51
21.6%
Q3 - 9:46HeatKevin Love defensive rebound54
80.2%
51
19.8%
Q3 - 9:48PistonsRodney McGruder misses three point running pullup jump shot54
79.5%
51
20.5%
Q3 - 9:54PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound54
77.6%
51
22.4%
Q3 - 9:57HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot54
78.4%
51
21.6%
Q3 - 9:59HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound54
80.2%
51
19.8%
Q3 - 10:01HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot54
78.4%
51
21.6%
Q3 - 10:12PistonsKillian Hayes makes two point driving floating bank jump shot54
80.1%
51
19.9%
Q3 - 10:36HeatKevin Love makes two point turnaround bank hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)54
81.9%
49
18.1%
Q3 - 10:40HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound52
80.1%
49
19.9%
Q3 - 10:42PistonsJames Wiseman misses two point running layup52
79.4%
49
20.6%
Q3 - 10:47HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Rodney McGruder steals)52
77.6%
49
22.4%
Q3 - 11:01HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound52
80.3%
49
19.7%
Q3 - 11:04PistonsJaden Ivey misses three point running pullup jump shot52
79.6%
49
20.4%
Q3 - 11:11PistonsRodney McGruder defensive rebound52
78.0%
49
22.0%
Q3 - 11:13HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot52
78.7%
49
21.3%
Q3 - 11:23PistonsJames Wiseman makes two point dunk (Killian Hayes assists)52
80.3%
49
19.7%
Q3 - 11:37PistonsKillian Hayes defensive rebound52
82.2%
47
17.8%
Q3 - 11:40HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot52
82.8%
47
17.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.52
84.1%
47
15.9%
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound52
84.2%
47
15.8%
Q2 - 0:00.3HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot52
83.2%
47
16.8%
Q2 - 0:03.3PistonsJames Wiseman makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jaden Ivey assists)52
84.2%
47
15.8%
Q2 - 0:17.3PistonsJaden Ivey defensive rebound52
86.1%
45
13.9%
Q2 - 0:19.6HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot52
86.5%
45
13.5%
Q2 - 0:31.2PistonsMarvin Bagley III makes two point floating jump shot (Jaden Ivey assists)52
87.3%
45
12.7%
Q2 - 0:42.2PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound52
88.9%
43
11.1%
Q2 - 0:44.5HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot52
89.2%
43
10.8%
Q2 - 1:03PistonsJaden Ivey turnover (offensive foul)52
89.8%
43
10.2%
Q2 - 1:03PistonsJaden Ivey offensive foul (Charge) (Kevin Love draws the foul)52
88.9%
43
11.1%
Q2 - 1:12HeatKevin Love turnover (out of bounds bad pass)52
88.9%
43
11.1%
Q2 - 1:21PistonsPistons turnover (shot clock violation)52
89.8%
43
10.2%
Q2 - 1:21PistonsKillian Hayes offensive rebound52
88.9%
43
11.1%
Q2 - 1:24PistonsBam Adebayo blocks Rodney McGruder's two point driving floating jump shot52
89.5%
43
10.5%
Q2 - 1:45HeatKevin Love turnover (3-second violation)52
88.9%
43
11.1%
Q2 - 1:47HeatKevin Love offensive rebound52
89.8%
43
10.2%
Q2 - 1:49HeatKevin Love misses two point driving floating jump shot52
89.2%
43
10.8%
Q2 - 1:59HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound52
89.8%
43
10.2%
Q2 - 2:01PistonsKillian Hayes misses three point jump shot52
89.3%
43
10.7%
Q2 - 2:23HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)52
88.4%
43
11.6%
Q2 - 2:26HeatKevin Love offensive rebound49
85.8%
43
14.2%
Q2 - 2:28HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot49
84.7%
43
15.3%
Q2 - 2:49PistonsRodney McGruder makes regular free throw 1 of 149
85.8%
43
14.2%
Q2 - 2:49HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Rodney McGruder draws the foul)49
86.2%
42
13.8%
Q2 - 3:01PistonsRodney McGruder defensive rebound49
88.1%
40
11.9%
Q2 - 3:03HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot49
88.5%
40
11.5%
Q2 - 3:19PistonsJames Wiseman makes two point dunk (Killian Hayes assists)49
89.4%
40
10.6%
Q2 - 3:34HeatGabe Vincent makes three point running jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)49
90.3%
38
9.7%
Q2 - 3:37HeatKevin Love defensive rebound46
88.3%
38
11.7%
Q2 - 3:37PistonsJames Wiseman misses two point tip layup46
87.9%
38
12.1%
Q2 - 3:37PistonsJames Wiseman offensive rebound46
86.8%
38
13.2%
Q2 - 3:41PistonsMarvin Bagley III misses two point driving layup46
87.9%
38
12.1%
Q2 - 3:57HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)46
86.8%
38
13.2%
Q2 - 4:11PistonsMarvin Bagley III turnover (back court violation)43
84.2%
38
15.8%
Q2 - 4:25HeatMax Strus makes two point running alley-oop layup (Jimmy Butler assists)43
82.7%
38
17.3%
Q2 - 4:28HeatKevin Love defensive rebound41
81.0%
38
19.0%
Q2 - 4:30PistonsRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot41
80.5%
38
19.5%
Q2 - 4:51HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot41
79.2%
38
20.8%
Q2 - 5:08PistonsMarvin Bagley III makes regular free throw 2 of 238
75.9%
38
24.1%
Q2 - 5:08PistonsMarvin Bagley III makes regular free throw 1 of 238
76.5%
37
23.5%
Q2 - 5:08HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Marvin Bagley III draws the foul)38
77.1%
36
22.9%
Q2 - 5:12PistonsRodney McGruder defensive rebound38
77.5%
36
22.5%
Q2 - 5:14HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot38
78.2%
36
21.8%
Q2 - 5:34PistonsJames Wiseman turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)38
79.7%
36
20.3%
Q2 - 5:35PistonsJames Wiseman offensive rebound38
77.5%
36
22.5%
Q2 - 5:37PistonsRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot38
79.0%
36
21.0%
Q2 - 5:56HeatCaleb Martin makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)38
77.5%
36
22.5%
Q2 - 6:10PistonsRodney McGruder makes regular free throw 2 of 236
76.2%
36
23.8%
Q2 - 6:10PistonsRodney McGruder makes regular free throw 1 of 236
76.6%
35
23.4%
Q2 - 6:10HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Rodney McGruder draws the foul)36
77.2%
34
22.8%
Q2 - 6:28HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)36
77.7%
34
22.3%
Q2 - 6:42PistonsMarvin Bagley III makes two point driving floating jump shot (Cory Joseph assists)36
79.9%
34
20.1%
Q2 - 6:56PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound36
81.2%
32
18.8%
Q2 - 6:58HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot36
81.8%
32
18.2%
Q2 - 7:10PistonsPistons turnover (shot clock violation)36
82.9%
32
17.1%
Q2 - 7:31PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound36
81.2%
32
18.8%
Q2 - 7:34HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 236
81.5%
32
18.5%
Q2 - 7:34HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 236
82.5%
32
17.5%
Q2 - 7:34PistonsJames Wiseman shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)35
82.2%
32
17.8%
Q2 - 7:46HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound35
81.4%
32
18.6%
Q2 - 7:51PistonsCory Joseph misses three point jump shot35
80.8%
32
19.2%
Q2 - 7:53PistonsMarvin Bagley III offensive rebound35
79.6%
32
20.4%
Q2 - 7:57PistonsJaden Ivey misses regular free throw 2 of 235
81.1%
32
18.9%
Q2 - 7:57PistonsJaden Ivey makes regular free throw 1 of 235
80.1%
32
19.9%
Q2 - 7:57HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)35
80.5%
31
19.5%
Q2 - 7:59PistonsBuddy Boeheim defensive rebound35
81.2%
31
18.8%
Q2 - 8:00HeatJalen Duren blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving dunk35
81.8%
31
18.2%
Q2 - 8:12HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound35
82.7%
31
17.3%
Q2 - 8:15PistonsBuddy Boeheim misses three point jump shot35
82.2%
31
17.8%
Q2 - 8:36HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running layup35
81.1%
31
18.9%
Q2 - 8:40HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound33
79.6%
31
20.4%
Q2 - 8:42PistonsCory Joseph misses two point driving floating jump shot33
79.0%
31
21.0%
Q2 - 8:53HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Eugene Omoruyi draws the foul)33
77.7%
31
22.3%
Q2 - 8:59HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)33
77.7%
31
22.3%
Q2 - 9:10HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound30
73.8%
31
26.2%
Q2 - 9:13PistonsBuddy Boeheim misses three point jump shot30
73.2%
31
26.8%
Q2 - 9:37HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 230
71.8%
31
28.2%
Q2 - 9:37HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 229
71.4%
31
28.6%
Q2 - 9:37PistonsJaden Ivey shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)28
70.9%
31
29.1%
Q2 - 9:39HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound28
69.7%
31
30.3%
Q2 - 9:41PistonsEugene Omoruyi misses two point cutting layup28
69.0%
31
31.0%
Q2 - 9:55PistonsCory Joseph defensive rebound28
67.4%
31
32.6%
Q2 - 9:58HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot28
68.1%
31
31.9%
Q2 - 10:11PistonsEugene Omoruyi makes regular free throw 2 of 228
70.0%
31
30.0%
Q2 - 10:11PistonsEugene Omoruyi makes regular free throw 1 of 228
70.5%
30
29.5%
Q2 - 10:11HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Eugene Omoruyi draws the foul)28
71.1%
29
28.9%
Q2 - 10:23HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Loose ball) (Eugene Omoruyi draws the foul)28
72.0%
29
28.0%
Q2 - 10:23PistonsPistons offensive rebound28
72.0%
29
28.0%
Q2 - 10:24PistonsBuddy Boeheim misses three point jump shot28
73.4%
29
26.6%
Q2 - 10:43PistonsCory Joseph defensive rebound28
72.0%
29
28.0%
Q2 - 10:46HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot28
72.6%
29
27.4%
Q2 - 10:52HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound28
74.0%
29
26.0%
Q2 - 10:55PistonsCory Joseph misses two point stepback jump shot28
73.4%
29
26.6%
Q2 - 11:19HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)28
72.5%
29
27.5%
Q2 - 11:26HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound26
70.4%
29
29.6%
Q2 - 11:28PistonsEugene Omoruyi misses three point jump shot26
69.8%
29
30.2%
Q2 - 11:43HeatBam Adebayo turnover (3-second violation)26
68.5%
29
31.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.26
70.4%
29
29.6%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound26
70.6%
29
29.4%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatMax Strus misses three point fadeaway jump shot26
69.4%
29
30.6%
Q1 - 0:00.8PistonsJalen Duren turnover (offensive foul)26
70.6%
29
29.4%
Q1 - 0:00.8PistonsJalen Duren offensive foul (Charge) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)26
68.8%
29
31.2%
Q1 - 0:02.7PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound26
68.8%
29
31.2%
Q1 - 0:04.9HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot26
69.4%
29
30.6%
Q1 - 0:25.7HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound26
70.6%
29
29.4%
Q1 - 0:28.3PistonsBuddy Boeheim misses three point jump shot26
70.1%
29
29.9%
Q1 - 0:45.3HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)26
68.8%
29
31.2%
Q1 - 0:53.7PistonsBuddy Boeheim personal foul (Omer Yurtseven draws the foul)23
64.4%
29
35.6%
Q1 - 0:59.4HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound23
64.4%
29
35.6%
Q1 - 1:01PistonsBuddy Boeheim misses three point running jump shot23
64.3%
29
35.7%
Q1 - 1:07PistonsKillian Hayes defensive rebound23
62.9%
29
37.1%
Q1 - 1:09HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot23
63.5%
29
36.5%
Q1 - 1:34PistonsKillian Hayes makes two point pullup jump shot23
64.8%
29
35.2%
Q1 - 1:49PistonsPistons defensive rebound23
67.1%
27
32.9%
Q1 - 1:49HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot23
67.6%
27
32.4%
Q1 - 2:04HeatHeat defensive rebound23
69.5%
27
30.5%
Q1 - 2:05PistonsKillian Hayes misses two point fadeaway jump shot23
68.9%
27
31.1%
Q1 - 2:24HeatMax Strus turnover (bad pass) (Rodney McGruder steals)23
67.5%
27
32.5%
Q1 - 2:27PistonsKillian Hayes turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)23
69.5%
27
30.5%
Q1 - 2:35PistonsRodney McGruder defensive rebound23
67.4%
27
32.6%
Q1 - 2:40HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot23
68.1%
27
31.9%
Q1 - 2:44HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive rebound23
69.5%
27
30.5%
Q1 - 2:46HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot23
68.1%
27
31.9%
Q1 - 3:01PistonsRodney McGruder makes three point jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)23
69.6%
27
30.4%
Q1 - 3:11HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)23
72.8%
24
27.2%
Q1 - 3:21HeatKevin Love makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)23
72.8%
24
27.2%
Q1 - 3:43PistonsKillian Hayes makes two point driving floating jump shot21
71.5%
24
28.5%
Q1 - 3:55HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point hook shot (Max Strus assists)21
72.9%
22
27.1%
Q1 - 4:04PistonsJalen Duren makes two point cutting layup19
71.9%
22
28.1%
Q1 - 4:21HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 219
73.3%
20
26.7%
Q1 - 4:21HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 218
73.1%
20
26.9%
Q1 - 4:21PistonsRodney McGruder shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)17
72.8%
20
27.2%
Q1 - 4:35PistonsRodney McGruder makes two point cutting layup (Killian Hayes assists)17
71.8%
20
28.2%
Q1 - 4:46PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound17
73.2%
18
26.8%
Q1 - 4:48HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot17
73.8%
18
26.2%
Q1 - 4:56PistonsKillian Hayes turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)17
75.1%
18
24.9%
Q1 - 5:04PistonsRodney McGruder defensive rebound17
73.7%
18
26.3%
Q1 - 5:06HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot17
74.3%
18
25.7%
Q1 - 5:30PistonsKillian Hayes makes two point pullup jump shot (Marvin Bagley III assists)17
75.4%
18
24.6%
Q1 - 5:52HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)17
76.7%
16
23.3%
Q1 - 6:10PistonsMarvin Bagley III makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot15
75.6%
16
24.4%
Q1 - 6:38HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Kevin Love assists)15
77.0%
14
23.0%
Q1 - 6:40HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound13
75.6%
14
24.4%
Q1 - 6:42HeatKevin Love misses three point stepback jump shot13
74.5%
14
25.5%
Q1 - 6:59PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point putback layup13
75.6%
14
24.4%
Q1 - 7:00PistonsJaden Ivey offensive rebound13
77.0%
12
23.0%
Q1 - 7:02PistonsRodney McGruder misses three point running jump shot13
78.4%
12
21.6%
Q1 - 7:09PistonsJaden Ivey defensive rebound13
77.3%
12
22.7%
Q1 - 7:12HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot13
77.8%
12
22.2%
Q1 - 7:25PistonsMarvin Bagley III makes two point driving hook shot (Killian Hayes assists)13
78.8%
12
21.2%
Q1 - 7:41HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 213
80.0%
10
20.0%
Q1 - 7:41HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 212
79.8%
10
20.2%
Q1 - 7:41PistonsMarvin Bagley III shooting foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)11
79.6%
10
20.4%
Q1 - 7:42HeatHeat offensive rebound11
78.8%
10
21.2%
Q1 - 7:42HeatMarvin Bagley III blocks Tyler Herro's two point running layup11
77.8%
10
22.2%
Q1 - 7:45HeatKevin Love defensive rebound11
78.8%
10
21.2%
Q1 - 7:47PistonsRodney McGruder misses two point cutting layup11
78.3%
10
21.7%
Q1 - 8:08HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Kevin Love assists)11
77.7%
10
22.3%
Q1 - 8:26PistonsJaden Ivey makes three point jump shot (Marvin Bagley III assists)9
76.5%
10
23.5%
Q1 - 8:44HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)9
79.0%
7
21.0%
Q1 - 8:58PistonsJaden Ivey makes three point jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)6
76.5%
7
23.5%
Q1 - 9:16HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)6
79.0%
4
21.0%
Q1 - 9:31PistonsRodney McGruder makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jaden Ivey assists)4
77.8%
4
22.2%
Q1 - 9:44PistonsJaden Ivey defensive rebound4
79.0%
2
21.0%
Q1 - 9:47HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot4
79.4%
2
20.6%
Q1 - 9:55HeatKevin Love defensive rebound4
80.3%
2
19.7%
Q1 - 9:57PistonsKillian Hayes misses two point pullup jump shot4
79.9%
2
20.1%
Q1 - 10:15PistonsRodney McGruder defensive rebound4
78.9%
2
21.1%
Q1 - 10:18HeatTyler Herro misses two point cutting layup4
79.4%
2
20.6%
Q1 - 10:36PistonsKillian Hayes personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)4
80.2%
2
19.8%
Q1 - 10:41PistonsJaden Ivey turnover (out of bounds bad pass)4
80.2%
2
19.8%
Q1 - 10:56HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Tyler Herro assists)4
78.9%
2
21.1%
Q1 - 11:11HeatKevin Love defensive rebound2
78.0%
2
22.0%
Q1 - 11:14PistonsMarvin Bagley III misses regular free throw 1 of 12
77.8%
2
22.2%
Q1 - 11:14HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Marvin Bagley III draws the foul)2
77.1%
2
22.9%
Q1 - 11:14PistonsMarvin Bagley III offensive rebound2
79.1%
0
20.9%
Q1 - 11:15PistonsMarvin Bagley III misses three point jump shot2
80.0%
0
20.0%
Q1 - 11:32HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)2
79.1%
0
20.9%
Q1 - 11:41PistonsRodney McGruder turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)0
78.0%
0
22.0%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. James Wiseman (Rodney McGruder gains possession)0
76.6%
0
23.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.6%
DET
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
22
59%
DET
15
23
65%
Midrange
MIA
12
18
67%
DET
13
27
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
39
33%
50%
DET
10
15.0
32
31%
47%
Free Throws
MIA
23
25
92%
DET
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2681%13.0 / 16
B. Adebayo2269%11.0 / 16
T. Herro1953%9.5 / 18
C. Martin1365%6.5 / 10
K. Love1260%6.0 / 10
K. Lowry7175%3.5 / 2
G. Vincent638%3.0 / 8
M. Strus528%2.5 / 9
O. Yurtseven2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Wiseman2285%11.0 / 13
C. Joseph1662%8.0 / 13
R. McGruder1554%7.5 / 14
M. Bagley1458%7.0 / 12
K. Hayes1346%6.5 / 14
J. Ivey1161%5.5 / 9
E. Omoruyi744%3.5 / 8
J. Duren2100%1.0 / 1
B. Boeheim0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+11
-10
94
DET
80
+11
-11
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.6%
DET
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.9
110.3
MIA 120.4 +10.5
DET 109.9
Pace
96.3
99.4
MIA 93.9 +3.8
DET 90.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.3
MIA 15.3 +0.7
DET 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.0%
52.0%
MIA 56.3% +3.9%
DET 52.4%
TO %
13.2%
14.5%
MIA 10.0% +2.7%
DET 12.7%
ORB %
22.8%
25.0%
MIA 21.1% +0.2%
DET 20.9%
FTrt
27.0
29.5
MIA 31.6 +10.9
DET 20.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.8%
58.1%
MIA 86.8% +18.4%
DET 68.4%
STL %
8.2%
7.0%
MIA 4.3%
DET 4.4% +0.1%
BLK %
6.3%
6.9%
MIA 8.0% +3.0%
DET 5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
54.8%
MIA 59.6% +4.7%
DET 54.9%
Rim FG%
62.6%
61.1%
MIA 59.1%
DET 65.2% +6.1%
Mid FG%
45.3%
40.5%
MIA 66.7% +18.6%
DET 48.1%
3P %
34.4%
35.1%
MIA 33.3% +2.0%
DET 31.3%
FT %
83.1%
77.1%
MIA 92.0% +9.6%
DET 82.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.9%
33.7%
MIA 27.8%
DET 28.0% +0.2%
Mid Att. %
29.4%
29.1%
MIA 22.8% +10.1%
DET 32.9%
3P Att. %
40.8%
37.2%
MIA 49.4% +10.3%
DET 39.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions9391
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points112100
Rebounds4239
Assists3326
Steals44
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)11 (2)
Fouls1720
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)30 (2)
Field Goals38-7938-82
At-the-Rim FG13-2215-23
Midrange FG12-1813-27
2-Point FG25-4028-50
3-Point FG13-3910-32
Free Throws23-2514-17
Fast Break Pts114
2nd Chance Pts1513
Points in Paint4048
Pts off Turnovers119
Bench Points2725
Biggest Lead127

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
39.5
22
69%
10
5
0
3
3
2
1
9
8-9
89%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 34
35.0
26
81%
4
10
1
0
1
1
3
1
10-11
91%
8-11
73%
0-0
-
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23
34.1
19
53%
6
4
0
0
1
2
0
6
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
3-9
33%
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 35
23.5
12
60%
8
2
0
0
2
3
2
6
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
2-6
33%
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
22.6
6
38%
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-8
25%
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27
30.7
13
65%
5
4
2
1
0
4
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
3-7
43%
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37
25.4
7
175%
6
6
0
0
1
4
0
6
1-1
100%
0-0
-
2-2
100%
#31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27
24.1
5
28%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-7
14%
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 25
3.7
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31
DNP – Coach's Decision
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 20
DNP – Coach's Decision
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29
DNP – Coach's Decision
#8 · SF · 6'6" 191 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43
DNP – Coach's Decision
#44 · C · 7'0" 240 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Nasal; Fracture
#25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
60%
42
33
4
4
10
17
8
34
23-25
92%
25-40
63%
13-39
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.