FinalWin Prob.pScore
649%108
120
951%109
127
ORTG#PossPace
NYK logo NYK
120.0100100.1
MIA logo MIA
128.39998.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatKnicksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatKnicksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNYKMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.120
0%
127
100%
Q4 - 0:11.6KnicksJulius Randle makes two point driving layup (Jalen Brunson assists)120
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.5HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 2118
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.5HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 2118
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.5KnicksRJ Barrett personal foul (Take) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)118
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound118
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.3KnicksJalen Brunson misses regular free throw 2 of 2118
0.2%
125
99.8%
Q4 - 0:22.3KnicksJalen Brunson misses regular free throw 1 of 2118
0.3%
125
99.7%
Q4 - 0:22.3HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)118
0.6%
125
99.4%
Q4 - 0:34.6HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2118
0.5%
125
99.5%
Q4 - 0:34.6HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2118
0.6%
124
99.4%
Q4 - 0:34.6KnicksRJ Barrett personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)118
0.6%
123
99.4%
Q4 - 0:42.2KnicksRJ Barrett makes three point jump shot (Julius Randle assists)118
2.2%
123
97.8%
Q4 - 0:47.0KnicksRJ Barrett offensive rebound115
0.8%
123
99.2%
Q4 - 0:49.0KnicksRJ Barrett misses three point jump shot115
0.5%
123
99.5%
Q4 - 0:55.3HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds step)115
1.1%
123
98.9%
Q4 - 0:56.3HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound115
0.6%
123
99.4%
Q4 - 0:59.2KnicksQuentin Grimes misses three point running jump shot115
0.7%
123
99.3%
Q4 - 1:01KnicksJulius Randle defensive rebound115
1.2%
123
98.8%
Q4 - 1:04HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot115
1.1%
123
98.9%
Q4 - 1:20KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 2115
1.0%
123
99.0%
Q4 - 1:20KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 2114
0.9%
123
99.1%
Q4 - 1:20HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)113
0.8%
123
99.2%
Q4 - 1:22KnicksJulius Randle defensive rebound113
0.7%
123
99.3%
Q4 - 1:26HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 2113
0.7%
123
99.3%
Q4 - 1:26HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 2113
0.5%
123
99.5%
Q4 - 1:26KnicksJulius Randle shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)113
0.3%
123
99.7%
Q4 - 1:41KnicksRJ Barrett turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)113
0.6%
123
99.4%
Q4 - 1:46HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot113
1.1%
123
98.9%
Q4 - 2:06KnicksJulius Randle makes two point driving layup (Jalen Brunson assists)113
1.6%
121
98.4%
Q4 - 2:18HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving bank jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)111
1.2%
121
98.8%
Q4 - 2:40KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot111
1.5%
119
98.5%
Q4 - 2:51HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot109
1.8%
119
98.2%
Q4 - 3:13KnicksQuentin Grimes makes three point jump shot (Josh Hart assists)109
3.6%
116
96.4%
Q4 - 3:23HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
1.7%
116
98.3%
Q4 - 3:23HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2106
1.8%
115
98.2%
Q4 - 3:23KnicksJalen Brunson shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)106
1.9%
114
98.1%
Q4 - 3:41KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
4.5%
114
95.5%
Q4 - 3:41KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 2105
4.2%
114
95.8%
Q4 - 3:41HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)104
3.8%
114
96.2%
Q4 - 3:43HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Jalen Brunson steals)104
3.3%
114
96.7%
Q4 - 3:47KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 2104
2.2%
114
97.8%
Q4 - 3:47KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 2103
2.1%
114
97.9%
Q4 - 3:47HeatMax Strus shooting foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)102
1.9%
114
98.1%
Q4 - 3:54HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)102
1.6%
114
98.4%
Q4 - 4:05KnicksJulius Randle personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)102
3.0%
111
97.0%
Q4 - 4:24KnicksJulius Randle turnover (offensive foul)102
2.9%
111
97.1%
Q4 - 4:24KnicksJulius Randle offensive foul (Charge) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)102
4.3%
111
95.7%
Q4 - 4:35HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)102
4.2%
111
95.8%
Q4 - 4:51HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound102
8.1%
108
91.9%
Q4 - 4:55KnicksRJ Barrett misses three point jump shot102
9.0%
108
91.0%
Q4 - 5:10HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)102
14.4%
108
85.6%
Q4 - 5:33KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving layup (Julius Randle assists)102
23.7%
105
76.3%
Q4 - 5:58HeatKyle Lowry makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot100
18.6%
105
81.4%
Q4 - 6:16HeatHeat defensive rebound100
25.6%
103
74.4%
Q4 - 6:16KnicksJalen Brunson misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot100
27.6%
103
72.4%
Q4 - 6:32HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
32.6%
103
67.4%
Q4 - 6:32HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2100
33.8%
102
66.2%
Q4 - 6:32KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)100
35.2%
101
64.8%
Q4 - 6:39HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound100
38.0%
101
62.0%
Q4 - 6:41KnicksImmanuel Quickley misses three point stepback jump shot100
40.5%
101
59.5%
Q4 - 7:05HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)100
46.9%
101
53.1%
Q4 - 7:25KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein turnover (offensive foul)100
58.7%
98
41.3%
Q4 - 7:25KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein offensive foul (Off the ball) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)100
66.2%
98
33.8%
Q4 - 7:42KnicksObi Toppin defensive rebound100
66.3%
98
33.8%
Q4 - 7:45HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot100
64.0%
98
36.0%
Q4 - 8:11KnicksJosh Hart makes two point driving floating jump shot (Immanuel Quickley assists)100
58.3%
98
41.7%
Q4 - 8:38HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 298
52.5%
98
47.5%
Q4 - 8:38HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 1 of 298
53.7%
97
46.3%
Q4 - 8:38KnicksMitchell Robinson shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)98
48.9%
97
51.1%
Q4 - 8:51KnicksMitchell Robinson personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)98
52.2%
97
47.8%
Q4 - 9:03KnicksRJ Barrett turnover (out of bounds step)98
52.0%
97
48.0%
Q4 - 9:05KnicksObi Toppin defensive rebound98
58.4%
97
41.6%
Q4 - 9:09HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving floating jump shot98
56.4%
97
43.6%
Q4 - 9:35KnicksMitchell Robinson makes two point alley-oop dunk (Josh Hart assists)98
52.0%
97
48.0%
Q4 - 9:49KnicksImmanuel Quickley defensive rebound96
46.7%
97
53.3%
Q4 - 9:52HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot96
44.7%
97
55.3%
Q4 - 10:04KnicksRJ Barrett makes two point driving layup96
40.9%
97
59.1%
Q4 - 10:06KnicksMitchell Robinson defensive rebound94
36.3%
97
63.7%
Q4 - 10:10HeatMitchell Robinson blocks Bam Adebayo's two point reverse layup94
34.6%
97
65.4%
Q4 - 10:30KnicksMitchell Robinson makes two point dunk (Obi Toppin assists)94
30.8%
97
69.2%
Q4 - 10:46HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot92
26.8%
97
73.2%
Q4 - 11:00KnicksJosh Hart makes three point jump shot (RJ Barrett assists)92
30.8%
95
69.2%
Q4 - 11:17HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)89
23.6%
95
76.4%
Q4 - 11:37KnicksRJ Barrett makes three point jump shot (Immanuel Quickley assists)89
31.7%
92
68.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.86
23.5%
92
76.5%
Q3 - 0:00.1KnicksKnicks offensive rebound86
24.9%
92
75.1%
Q3 - 0:00.3KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point jump shot86
22.5%
92
77.5%
Q3 - 0:16.2HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)86
24.8%
92
75.2%
Q3 - 0:37.5KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Mitchell Robinson assists)86
28.7%
90
71.3%
Q3 - 0:42.1KnicksKnicks offensive rebound84
24.8%
90
75.2%
Q3 - 0:42.1KnicksBam Adebayo blocks Julius Randle's two point driving layup84
22.4%
90
77.6%
Q3 - 0:45.6KnicksMitchell Robinson offensive rebound84
24.8%
90
75.2%
Q3 - 0:49.9KnicksJulius Randle misses regular free throw 1 of 184
21.8%
90
78.2%
Q3 - 0:49.9HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)84
24.1%
90
75.9%
Q3 - 0:58.9HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip dunk82
18.1%
90
81.9%
Q3 - 0:58.9HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound82
21.3%
88
78.7%
Q3 - 1:02HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot82
25.0%
88
75.0%
Q3 - 1:25KnicksJalen Brunson turnover (offensive foul)82
22.4%
88
77.6%
Q3 - 1:25KnicksJalen Brunson offensive foul (Charge) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)82
26.1%
88
73.9%
Q3 - 1:32KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound82
26.1%
88
73.9%
Q3 - 1:35HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving bank jump shot82
24.9%
88
75.1%
Q3 - 1:51KnicksJosh Hart makes regular free throw 2 of 282
22.4%
88
77.6%
Q3 - 1:51KnicksJosh Hart makes regular free throw 1 of 281
21.7%
88
78.3%
Q3 - 1:51HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Josh Hart draws the foul)80
20.9%
88
79.1%
Q3 - 1:52KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound80
19.5%
88
80.5%
Q3 - 1:56HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot80
18.5%
88
81.5%
Q3 - 2:16KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein turnover (offensive foul)80
17.8%
88
82.2%
Q3 - 2:16KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein offensive foul (Off the ball) (Kevin Love draws the foul)80
20.7%
88
79.3%
Q3 - 2:30HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (bad pass) (Josh Hart steals)80
20.6%
88
79.4%
Q3 - 2:33HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound80
17.7%
88
82.3%
Q3 - 2:36KnicksImmanuel Quickley misses three point pullup jump shot80
18.6%
88
81.4%
Q3 - 2:43KnicksJulius Randle defensive rebound80
20.6%
88
79.4%
Q3 - 2:45HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot80
19.7%
88
80.3%
Q3 - 3:03KnicksJalen Brunson makes three point jump shot (Julius Randle assists)80
18.6%
88
81.4%
Q3 - 3:19HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 177
14.3%
88
85.7%
Q3 - 3:19KnicksJulius Randle technical foul77
14.8%
87
85.2%
Q3 - 3:19HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot77
16.5%
87
83.5%
Q3 - 3:35KnicksJulius Randle turnover (offensive foul)77
18.6%
85
81.4%
Q3 - 3:35KnicksJulius Randle offensive foul (Charge) (Kevin Love draws the foul)77
21.8%
85
78.2%
Q3 - 3:36KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound77
21.7%
85
78.3%
Q3 - 3:40HeatIsaiah Hartenstein blocks Haywood Highsmith's two point driving layup77
20.7%
85
79.3%
Q3 - 3:48KnicksJulius Randle turnover (lost ball) (Max Strus steals)77
18.5%
85
81.5%
Q3 - 4:00HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 177
21.7%
85
78.3%
Q3 - 4:00KnicksQuentin Grimes shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)77
22.1%
84
77.9%
Q3 - 4:20HeatKevin Love defensive rebound77
28.4%
82
71.6%
Q3 - 4:23KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein misses two point floating jump shot77
29.6%
82
70.4%
Q3 - 4:35HeatKevin Love personal foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)77
32.4%
82
67.6%
Q3 - 4:35HeatKevin Love turnover (bad pass) (Isaiah Hartenstein steals)77
32.4%
82
67.6%
Q3 - 4:38KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Love steals)77
28.4%
82
71.6%
Q3 - 4:55KnicksRJ Barrett defensive rebound77
32.4%
82
67.6%
Q3 - 4:59HeatGabe Vincent misses three point running jump shot77
31.2%
82
68.8%
Q3 - 5:02HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound77
29.3%
82
70.7%
Q3 - 5:04KnicksRJ Barrett misses two point tip layup77
30.4%
82
69.6%
Q3 - 5:04KnicksRJ Barrett offensive rebound77
32.9%
82
67.1%
Q3 - 5:08KnicksQuentin Grimes misses two point running layup77
30.4%
82
69.6%
Q3 - 5:11KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound77
32.9%
82
67.1%
Q3 - 5:13HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup77
31.8%
82
68.2%
Q3 - 5:28KnicksQuentin Grimes makes regular free throw 2 of 277
29.3%
82
70.7%
Q3 - 5:28KnicksQuentin Grimes makes regular free throw 1 of 276
28.6%
82
71.4%
Q3 - 5:28HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Quentin Grimes draws the foul)75
27.9%
82
72.1%
Q3 - 5:49HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)75
26.4%
82
73.6%
Q3 - 6:01HeatKevin Love defensive rebound75
33.3%
79
66.7%
Q3 - 6:03KnicksQuentin Grimes misses three point jump shot75
34.4%
79
65.6%
Q3 - 6:23HeatJimmy Butler makes two point reverse layup (Gabe Vincent assists)75
36.9%
79
63.1%
Q3 - 6:38KnicksQuentin Grimes makes three point running pullup jump shot (Julius Randle assists)75
40.3%
77
59.7%
Q3 - 6:41KnicksJulius Randle defensive rebound72
33.5%
77
66.5%
Q3 - 6:46HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot72
32.4%
77
67.6%
Q3 - 6:57HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound72
30.0%
77
70.0%
Q3 - 6:59KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point pullup jump shot72
31.0%
77
69.0%
Q3 - 7:14HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)72
34.1%
77
65.9%
Q3 - 7:38KnicksQuentin Grimes makes three point jump shot (RJ Barrett assists)72
37.0%
75
63.0%
Q3 - 7:56HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)69
30.9%
75
69.1%
Q3 - 8:11HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound69
34.0%
73
66.0%
Q3 - 8:15KnicksJulius Randle misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot69
35.2%
73
64.8%
Q3 - 8:29HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup69
37.9%
73
62.1%
Q3 - 8:36HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound69
40.6%
71
59.4%
Q3 - 8:40KnicksJulius Randle misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot69
41.9%
71
58.1%
Q3 - 8:56HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)69
44.8%
71
55.2%
Q3 - 8:56HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)69
40.6%
71
59.4%
Q3 - 9:03HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound69
41.0%
71
59.0%
Q3 - 9:06KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point stepback jump shot69
42.2%
71
57.8%
Q3 - 9:16HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)69
44.8%
71
55.2%
Q3 - 9:25KnicksJulius Randle defensive rebound69
44.8%
71
55.2%
Q3 - 9:27HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 269
44.3%
71
55.7%
Q3 - 9:27HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 269
41.8%
71
58.2%
Q3 - 9:27KnicksMitchell Robinson shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)69
42.3%
70
57.7%
Q3 - 9:38KnicksRJ Barrett makes two point turnaround jump shot69
44.4%
70
55.6%
Q3 - 9:53HeatGabe Vincent makes two point fadeaway jump shot67
41.4%
70
58.6%
Q3 - 10:05KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot67
44.5%
68
55.5%
Q3 - 10:12KnicksQuentin Grimes defensive rebound65
41.6%
68
58.4%
Q3 - 10:15HeatJimmy Butler misses two point running layup65
40.5%
68
59.5%
Q3 - 10:21KnicksJalen Brunson turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)65
38.0%
68
62.0%
Q3 - 10:27KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound65
41.6%
68
58.4%
Q3 - 10:29HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot65
40.5%
68
59.5%
Q3 - 10:43KnicksQuentin Grimes makes three point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)65
38.0%
68
62.0%
Q3 - 11:01HeatTyler Herro makes two point turnaround jump shot62
32.4%
68
67.6%
Q3 - 11:20KnicksMitchell Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 262
35.2%
66
64.8%
Q3 - 11:20KnicksMitchell Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 261
34.0%
66
66.0%
Q3 - 11:20HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Mitchell Robinson draws the foul)61
35.5%
66
64.5%
Q3 - 11:34HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving floating jump shot (Kevin Love assists)61
35.4%
66
64.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.61
38.3%
64
61.7%
Q2 - 0:00.1KnicksKnicks offensive rebound61
41.7%
64
58.3%
Q2 - 0:00.2KnicksJulius Randle misses three point pullup jump shot61
40.0%
64
60.0%
Q2 - 0:02.8HeatGabe Vincent makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)61
41.7%
64
58.3%
Q2 - 0:25.8KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 161
45.4%
62
54.6%
Q2 - 0:25.8HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)60
44.7%
62
55.3%
Q2 - 0:26.9KnicksRJ Barrett defensive rebound58
38.7%
62
61.3%
Q2 - 0:28.1HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup58
37.9%
62
62.1%
Q2 - 0:28.1HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound58
36.2%
62
63.8%
Q2 - 0:31.3HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving finger roll layup58
37.9%
62
62.1%
Q2 - 0:40.7KnicksJalen Brunson makes three point jump shot (RJ Barrett assists)58
36.1%
62
63.9%
Q2 - 0:57.3HeatGabe Vincent makes two point stepback jump shot55
30.0%
62
70.0%
Q2 - 1:15KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein makes two point floating jump shot (Quentin Grimes assists)55
34.1%
60
65.9%
Q2 - 1:22KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound53
30.7%
60
69.3%
Q2 - 1:27HeatCaleb Martin misses two point jump shot53
30.1%
60
69.9%
Q2 - 1:51KnicksRJ Barrett makes two point driving layup (Julius Randle assists)53
28.7%
60
71.3%
Q2 - 2:09HeatJimmy Butler makes three point pullup jump shot51
26.7%
60
73.3%
Q2 - 2:17HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound51
31.5%
57
68.5%
Q2 - 2:21KnicksJulius Randle misses three point jump shot51
32.3%
57
67.7%
Q2 - 2:41HeatMax Strus makes two point running layup (Caleb Martin assists)51
34.2%
57
65.8%
Q2 - 2:47KnicksJalen Brunson turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)51
36.9%
55
63.1%
Q2 - 3:00HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 251
39.8%
55
60.2%
Q2 - 3:00HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 251
40.2%
54
59.8%
Q2 - 3:00KnicksMitchell Robinson shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)51
40.6%
53
59.4%
Q2 - 3:12KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot51
42.7%
53
57.3%
Q2 - 3:34HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot49
40.4%
53
59.6%
Q2 - 3:45KnicksMitchell Robinson personal foul (Loose ball) (Kevin Love draws the foul)49
42.6%
51
57.4%
Q2 - 3:45HeatHeat defensive rebound49
42.6%
51
57.4%
Q2 - 3:45KnicksJosh Hart misses two point driving layup49
43.7%
51
56.3%
Q2 - 3:51HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Gabe Vincent assists)49
46.0%
51
54.0%
Q2 - 4:03KnicksJulius Randle makes two point driving layup49
48.8%
49
51.2%
Q2 - 4:26HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup (Kevin Love assists)47
46.0%
49
54.0%
Q2 - 4:42HeatMax Strus defensive rebound47
48.8%
47
51.2%
Q2 - 4:46KnicksJosh Hart misses three point jump shot47
49.7%
47
50.3%
Q2 - 4:51KnicksKnicks offensive rebound47
51.6%
47
48.4%
Q2 - 4:51KnicksJulius Randle misses two point running dunk47
49.6%
47
50.4%
Q2 - 4:52KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound47
51.6%
47
48.4%
Q2 - 4:55HeatMitchell Robinson blocks Gabe Vincent's two point driving layup47
50.8%
47
49.2%
Q2 - 5:13KnicksQuentin Grimes makes three point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)47
48.6%
47
51.4%
Q2 - 5:19KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound44
43.7%
47
56.3%
Q2 - 5:21HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot44
42.7%
47
57.3%
Q2 - 5:27HeatHeat offensive rebound44
40.5%
47
59.5%
Q2 - 5:27HeatMitchell Robinson blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup44
42.7%
47
57.3%
Q2 - 5:40KnicksRJ Barrett turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)44
40.5%
47
59.5%
Q2 - 5:48KnicksRJ Barrett defensive rebound44
43.7%
47
56.3%
Q2 - 5:51HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot44
42.7%
47
57.3%
Q2 - 6:14KnicksKnicks turnover (shot clock violation)44
40.8%
47
59.2%
Q2 - 6:28HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)44
44.0%
47
56.0%
Q2 - 6:36KnicksObi Toppin defensive rebound44
44.0%
47
56.0%
Q2 - 6:40HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot44
43.0%
47
57.0%
Q2 - 6:43HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound44
40.8%
47
59.2%
Q2 - 6:46KnicksObi Toppin misses two point running alley-oop dunk44
41.7%
47
58.3%
Q2 - 6:50KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound44
44.0%
47
56.0%
Q2 - 6:53HeatJosh Hart blocks Kyle Lowry's two point driving layup44
43.0%
47
57.0%
Q2 - 7:01HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound44
41.2%
47
58.8%
Q2 - 7:04KnicksObi Toppin misses three point jump shot44
42.0%
47
58.0%
Q2 - 7:20HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 244
43.9%
47
56.1%
Q2 - 7:20HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 244
44.4%
46
55.6%
Q2 - 7:20KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)44
45.0%
45
55.0%
Q2 - 7:37KnicksRJ Barrett makes two point running dunk (Josh Hart assists)44
46.3%
45
53.7%
Q2 - 7:40KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound42
43.9%
45
56.1%
Q2 - 7:43HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot42
43.1%
45
56.9%
Q2 - 7:58HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound42
41.1%
45
58.9%
Q2 - 8:01KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein misses three point jump shot42
42.0%
45
58.0%
Q2 - 8:21HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)42
43.9%
45
56.1%
Q2 - 8:35HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound42
48.9%
42
51.1%
Q2 - 8:37KnicksObi Toppin misses three point jump shot42
49.7%
42
50.3%
Q2 - 8:46HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup42
51.6%
42
48.4%
Q2 - 9:00KnicksJosh Hart makes regular free throw 2 of 242
54.1%
40
45.9%
Q2 - 9:00KnicksJosh Hart makes regular free throw 1 of 241
53.5%
40
46.5%
Q2 - 9:00HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Josh Hart draws the foul)40
52.9%
40
47.1%
Q2 - 9:18HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)40
51.3%
40
48.7%
Q2 - 9:32KnicksJosh Hart makes three point jump shot (Immanuel Quickley assists)40
56.3%
37
43.7%
Q2 - 9:54HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 237
51.4%
37
48.6%
Q2 - 9:54HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 237
51.8%
36
48.2%
Q2 - 9:54KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)37
49.8%
36
50.2%
Q2 - 10:01KnicksObi Toppin makes three point jump shot (RJ Barrett assists)37
51.3%
36
48.7%
Q2 - 10:17HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)34
46.4%
36
53.6%
Q2 - 10:23KnicksJosh Hart turnover (bad pass) (Max Strus steals)34
51.3%
33
48.7%
Q2 - 10:26HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Josh Hart steals)34
53.9%
33
46.1%
Q2 - 10:30HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound34
51.3%
33
48.7%
Q2 - 10:32KnicksImmanuel Quickley misses three point stepback jump shot34
52.1%
33
47.9%
Q2 - 10:54HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 234
53.9%
33
46.1%
Q2 - 10:54HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 234
54.1%
32
45.9%
Q2 - 10:54KnicksImmanuel Quickley shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)34
54.3%
31
45.7%
Q2 - 11:02HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound34
56.0%
31
44.0%
Q2 - 11:08KnicksObi Toppin misses three point jump shot34
56.7%
31
43.3%
Q2 - 11:14KnicksRJ Barrett defensive rebound34
58.3%
31
41.7%
Q2 - 11:18HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot34
57.6%
31
42.4%
Q2 - 11:30KnicksImmanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 2 of 234
56.1%
31
43.9%
Q2 - 11:30KnicksImmanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 1 of 233
55.7%
31
44.3%
Q2 - 11:30HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Immanuel Quickley draws the foul)32
55.4%
31
44.6%
Q2 - 11:35KnicksObi Toppin defensive rebound32
53.6%
31
46.4%
Q2 - 11:40HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving hook shot32
52.9%
31
47.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.32
51.3%
31
48.7%
Q1 - 0:00.4HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)32
53.2%
31
46.8%
Q1 - 0:03.2HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound32
55.8%
29
44.2%
Q1 - 0:04.2KnicksImmanuel Quickley misses two point jump shot32
56.4%
29
43.6%
Q1 - 0:07.6KnicksImmanuel Quickley offensive rebound32
57.8%
29
42.2%
Q1 - 0:09.4KnicksImmanuel Quickley misses two point pullup jump shot32
56.4%
29
43.6%
Q1 - 0:31.5HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving reverse layup32
57.8%
29
42.2%
Q1 - 0:38.0HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound32
60.3%
27
39.7%
Q1 - 0:41.6KnicksJalen Brunson misses two point stepback jump shot32
61.0%
27
39.0%
Q1 - 0:59.3HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Immanuel Quickley steals)32
62.4%
27
37.6%
Q1 - 1:09KnicksImmanuel Quickley makes three point jump shot (Julius Randle assists)32
60.4%
27
39.6%
Q1 - 1:21HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 229
55.7%
27
44.3%
Q1 - 1:21HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 229
55.9%
26
44.1%
Q1 - 1:21KnicksImmanuel Quickley shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)29
56.3%
25
43.7%
Q1 - 1:24KnicksJalen Brunson turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)29
58.1%
25
41.9%
Q1 - 1:47HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving layup29
60.2%
25
39.8%
Q1 - 1:58HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound29
62.6%
23
37.4%
Q1 - 2:01KnicksImmanuel Quickley misses two point driving floating jump shot29
62.7%
23
37.3%
Q1 - 2:15KnicksJalen Brunson offensive rebound29
64.3%
23
35.7%
Q1 - 2:21KnicksJulius Randle misses three point jump shot29
62.8%
23
37.2%
Q1 - 2:25KnicksImmanuel Quickley defensive rebound29
64.3%
23
35.7%
Q1 - 2:30HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot29
63.6%
23
36.4%
Q1 - 2:43KnicksJulius Randle makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Jalen Brunson assists)29
62.1%
23
37.9%
Q1 - 2:49HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Immanuel Quickley steals)27
60.1%
23
39.9%
Q1 - 2:56KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 2 of 227
57.8%
23
42.2%
Q1 - 2:56KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 226
57.5%
23
42.5%
Q1 - 2:56HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)25
57.1%
23
42.9%
Q1 - 2:59KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound25
55.7%
23
44.3%
Q1 - 3:01HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot25
54.7%
23
45.3%
Q1 - 3:12KnicksJulius Randle turnover (offensive foul)25
52.9%
23
47.1%
Q1 - 3:12KnicksJulius Randle offensive foul (Off the ball) (Max Strus draws the foul)25
55.6%
23
44.4%
Q1 - 3:20KnicksImmanuel Quickley defensive rebound25
55.6%
23
44.4%
Q1 - 3:23HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot25
54.7%
23
45.3%
Q1 - 3:36KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 125
52.9%
23
47.1%
Q1 - 3:36HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)24
52.6%
23
47.4%
Q1 - 3:49HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)22
49.0%
23
51.0%
Q1 - 4:04HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound22
52.9%
20
47.1%
Q1 - 4:08KnicksImmanuel Quickley misses three point jump shot22
53.6%
20
46.4%
Q1 - 4:27HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (out of bounds step)22
55.3%
20
44.7%
Q1 - 4:42KnicksRJ Barrett makes three point jump shot (Julius Randle assists)22
52.9%
20
47.1%
Q1 - 4:52KnicksMitchell Robinson defensive rebound19
49.0%
20
51.0%
Q1 - 4:54HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot19
48.2%
20
51.8%
Q1 - 5:16KnicksQuentin Grimes makes two point driving layup19
46.8%
20
53.2%
Q1 - 5:18KnicksQuentin Grimes offensive rebound17
45.0%
20
55.0%
Q1 - 5:21KnicksQuentin Grimes misses three point jump shot17
43.4%
20
56.6%
Q1 - 5:26HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Julius Randle steals)17
45.0%
20
55.0%
Q1 - 5:27HeatKevin Love defensive rebound17
42.8%
20
57.2%
Q1 - 5:29KnicksJulius Randle misses three point fadeaway jump shot17
43.4%
20
56.6%
Q1 - 5:33KnicksMitchell Robinson offensive rebound17
45.0%
20
55.0%
Q1 - 5:35KnicksQuentin Grimes misses three point jump shot17
43.4%
20
56.6%
Q1 - 5:44KnicksJulius Randle defensive rebound17
45.0%
20
55.0%
Q1 - 5:47HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot17
44.3%
20
55.7%
Q1 - 6:12KnicksJulius Randle makes three point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)17
43.0%
20
57.0%
Q1 - 6:39HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup (Kevin Love assists)14
39.2%
20
60.8%
Q1 - 6:42HeatKevin Love defensive rebound14
41.1%
18
58.9%
Q1 - 6:45KnicksRJ Barrett misses two point driving floating jump shot14
41.7%
18
58.3%
Q1 - 6:59HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)14
43.1%
18
56.9%
Q1 - 7:17KnicksMitchell Robinson makes two point driving dunk14
47.1%
15
52.9%
Q1 - 7:41HeatGabe Vincent makes three point running jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)12
45.3%
15
54.7%
Q1 - 7:45HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound12
49.1%
12
50.9%
Q1 - 7:47KnicksJulius Randle misses two point pullup jump shot12
49.7%
12
50.3%
Q1 - 8:10HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running layup (Kevin Love assists)12
51.4%
12
48.6%
Q1 - 8:15KnicksJalen Brunson turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)12
53.1%
10
46.9%
Q1 - 8:33HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)12
55.2%
10
44.8%
Q1 - 8:47KnicksJalen Brunson personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)12
58.8%
7
41.2%
Q1 - 8:48KnicksMitchell Robinson makes two point tip layup12
58.8%
7
41.2%
Q1 - 8:48KnicksMitchell Robinson offensive rebound10
57.1%
7
42.9%
Q1 - 8:53KnicksRJ Barrett misses three point jump shot10
55.7%
7
44.3%
Q1 - 9:06HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)10
56.8%
7
43.2%
Q1 - 9:14KnicksRJ Barrett personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)10
60.4%
4
39.6%
Q1 - 9:21KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving finger roll layup10
60.4%
4
39.6%
Q1 - 9:41HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot8
58.7%
4
41.3%
Q1 - 9:53KnicksMitchell Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 28
60.4%
2
39.6%
Q1 - 9:53KnicksMitchell Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 27
59.6%
2
40.4%
Q1 - 9:53HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Mitchell Robinson draws the foul)7
60.6%
2
39.4%
Q1 - 9:53KnicksMitchell Robinson offensive rebound7
60.5%
2
39.5%
Q1 - 9:53KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point jump shot7
59.2%
2
40.8%
Q1 - 10:05KnicksMitchell Robinson defensive rebound7
60.1%
2
39.9%
Q1 - 10:07HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot7
59.5%
2
40.5%
Q1 - 10:16KnicksQuentin Grimes personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)7
58.2%
2
41.8%
Q1 - 10:28KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Julius Randle assists)7
58.2%
2
41.8%
Q1 - 10:38KnicksMitchell Robinson defensive rebound5
56.5%
2
43.5%
Q1 - 10:44HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot5
55.9%
2
44.1%
Q1 - 11:05KnicksQuentin Grimes makes three point jump shot (Julius Randle assists)5
54.3%
2
45.7%
Q1 - 11:23HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)2
51.0%
2
49.0%
Q1 - 11:41KnicksJulius Randle makes two point fadeaway jump shot (RJ Barrett assists)2
52.5%
0
47.5%
Q1 - 12:00Mitchell Robinson vs. Bam Adebayo (Jalen Brunson gains possession)0
51.0%
0
49.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NYK
1.24 61.9%
MIA
1.38 69.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NYK
17
23
74%
MIA
13
23
57%
Midrange
NYK
9
19
47%
MIA
16
28
57%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NYK
16
24.0
40
40%
60%
MIA
16
24.0
28
57%
86%
Free Throws
NYK
20
25
80%
MIA
21
26
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
NYK logo Knicks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Barrett2681%13.0 / 16
J. Brunson2569%12.5 / 18
Q. Grimes2285%11.0 / 13
J. Randle1547%7.5 / 16
J. Hart1286%6.0 / 7
M. Robinson1083%5.0 / 6
I. Quickley528%2.5 / 9
O. Toppin330%1.5 / 5
I. Hartenstein233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler3570%17.5 / 25
T. Herro2279%11.0 / 14
G. Vincent1979%9.5 / 12
B. Adebayo1554%7.5 / 14
K. Lowry1470%7.0 / 10
M. Strus11110%5.5 / 5
K. Love650%3.0 / 6
C. Martin563%2.5 / 4
H. Highsmith0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NYK
84
+13
-16
97
MIA
89
+3
-10
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NYK
1.24 61.9%
MIA
1.38 69.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
117.5
112.9
NYK 120.0
MIA 128.3 +8.3
Pace
97.4
96.3
NYK 100.1 +1.2
MIA 98.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.0
NYK 14.4 +0.2
MIA 14.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.1%
53.0%
NYK 61.0%
MIA 67.1% +6.1%
TO %
12.2%
13.2%
NYK 15.5%
MIA 10.0% +5.5%
ORB %
28.3%
22.8%
NYK 25.0% +19.3%
MIA 5.7%
FTrt
28.5
27.0
NYK 30.5
MIA 32.9 +2.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.6%
60.8%
NYK 69.0% +6.8%
MIA 62.2%
STL %
6.5%
8.2%
NYK 7.0%
MIA 9.1% +2.1%
BLK %
8.0%
6.3%
NYK 9.8% +7.4%
MIA 2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.2%
55.9%
NYK 61.9%
MIA 69.0% +7.1%
Rim FG%
62.6%
62.6%
NYK 73.9% +17.4%
MIA 56.5%
Mid FG%
44.2%
45.3%
NYK 47.4%
MIA 57.1% +9.7%
3P %
35.4%
34.4%
NYK 40.0%
MIA 57.1% +17.1%
FT %
76.1%
83.1%
NYK 80.0%
MIA 80.8% +0.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
29.9%
NYK 28.0%
MIA 29.1% +1.1%
Mid Att. %
25.7%
29.4%
NYK 23.2% +12.3%
MIA 35.4%
3P Att. %
40.0%
40.8%
NYK 48.8% +13.3%
MIA 35.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNYKMIA
Possessions10099
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points120127
Rebounds4229
Assists2928
Steals79
Blocks51
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)10 (0)
Fouls2518
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)2 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (0)27 (2)
Field Goals42-8245-79
At-the-Rim FG17-2313-23
Midrange FG9-1916-28
2-Point FG26-4229-51
3-Point FG16-4016-28
Free Throws20-2521-26
Fast Break Pts1213
2nd Chance Pts102
Points in Paint4642
Pts off Turnovers920
Bench Points2230
Biggest Lead612

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#11 · SG · 6'2" 190 · 27
37.4
25
69%
6
6
1
0
5
3
1
5
3-5
60%
8-10
80%
2-6
33%
#30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 28
36.0
15
47%
6
9
1
0
4
5
0
6
0-1
0%
6-11
55%
1-5
20%
#9 · SF · 6'6" 214 · 23
35.9
26
81%
6
5
0
0
3
3
2
4
7-7
100%
5-7
71%
3-6
50%
#6 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 23
25.6
22
85%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
6-10
60%
#23 · C · 7'0" 240 · 25
24.9
10
83%
8
1
0
3
0
5
4
4
2-4
50%
4-4
100%
0-0
-
#3 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 28
29.6
12
86%
4
3
2
1
1
0
0
4
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
#55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 25
19.4
2
33%
2
0
1
1
3
5
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
#5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 24
18.8
5
28%
4
3
2
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
1-5
20%
#1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25
12.0
3
30%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
#2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23
0.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#13 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 30
DNP – Coach's Decision
#8 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
#45 · C · 6'10" 250 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#4 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34
DNP – Coach's Decision
#44 · SG · 6'2" 197 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#0 · SG · 6'5" 221 · 20
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
120
62%
42
29
7
5
16
25
9
33
20-25
80%
26-42
62%
16-40
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.