Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 22, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Pacers	23%	109	118	119.2	99	103.2
	7	Raptors	77%	118	114	116.3	98	95.1

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+10

-18

TOR

+18

-10

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.28 64.1%

TOR

1.08 53.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 23	35.3	25	74%	2	10	0	0	2	5	0	2	0-0	-	8-12	67%	3-5	60%	+12.3
Buddy Hield #24 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 30	30.7	13	72%	6	3	0	1	4	3	1	5	2-3	67%	4-5	80%	1-3	33%	+4.2
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	28.9	16	73%	7	3	0	1	2	6	2	5	4-6	67%	6-9	67%	0-0	-	+6.9
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 21	28.3	15	94%	2	0	1	1	3	4	0	2	6-6	100%	0-2	0%	3-3	100%	+6.4
Oshae Brissett #12 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	23.5	9	56%	6	1	0	0	2	1	2	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	1-1	100%	+2.1

Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 23	26.0	9	56%	6	2	1	0	2	4	0	6	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	+4.5
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31	22.5	14	50%	1	7	2	1	2	1	0	1	4-4	100%	5-12	42%	0-0	-	+7.3
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	18.1	10	63%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	2-3	67%	+3.3
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 21	16.3	5	83%	6	0	0	0	0	2	3	3	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-	+3.8
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 23	10.4	2	50%	3	1	0	1	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	+1.2
George Hill #7 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daniel Theis #27 · C · 6'9" 243 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trevelin Queen #8 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Tibia; Stress Fracture
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Ankle; Sprain
Chris Duarte #3 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Ankle; Sore
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	64%	39	27	4	7	18	29	8	31	21-25	84%	32-56	57%	11-21	52%

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25 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 23	35.3	25	74%	2	10	0	0	2	5	0	2	0-0	-	8-12	67%	3-5	60%	+12.3
Buddy Hield #24 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 30	30.7	13	72%	6	3	0	1	4	3	1	5	2-3	67%	4-5	80%	1-3	33%	+4.2
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	28.9	16	73%	7	3	0	1	2	6	2	5	4-6	67%	6-9	67%	0-0	-	+6.9
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 21	28.3	15	94%	2	0	1	1	3	4	0	2	6-6	100%	0-2	0%	3-3	100%	+6.4
Oshae Brissett #12 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	23.5	9	56%	6	1	0	0	2	1	2	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	1-1	100%	+2.1

Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 23	26.0	9	56%	6	2	1	0	2	4	0	6	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	+4.5
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31	22.5	14	50%	1	7	2	1	2	1	0	1	4-4	100%	5-12	42%	0-0	-	+7.3
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	18.1	10	63%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	2-3	67%	+3.3
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 21	16.3	5	83%	6	0	0	0	0	2	3	3	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-	+3.8
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 23	10.4	2	50%	3	1	0	1	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	+1.2
George Hill #7 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daniel Theis #27 · C · 6'9" 243 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trevelin Queen #8 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Tibia; Stress Fracture
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Ankle; Sprain
Chris Duarte #3 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Ankle; Sore
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	64%	39	27	4	7	18	29	8	31	21-25	84%	32-56	57%	11-21	52%

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7 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Fred VanVleet #23 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 29	42.8	28	52%	2	11	2	0	5	3	0	2	11-12	92%	4-10	40%	3-12	25%	+11.5
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 29	39.8	31	70%	10	7	0	1	1	5	3	7	9-11	82%	11-15	73%	0-2	0%	+16.2
OG Anunoby #3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 26	37.0	7	25%	6	1	4	0	1	3	2	4	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	1-7	14%	+5.2
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 27	35.6	23	72%	8	1	2	2	1	3	4	4	3-9	33%	10-12	83%	0-0	-	+13.3
Will Barton #1 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 32	22.5	4	25%	3	0	1	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-5	0%	+1.5

Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 30	27.7	11	50%	6	0	1	3	0	2	2	4	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	1-3	33%	+6.9
Malachi Flynn #22 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 25	17.9	8	67%	1	0	1	0	2	2	0	1	2-3	67%	0-1	0%	2-4	50%	+2.6
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 23	10.3	0	0%	4	1	0	1	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%	+1.8
Jeff Dowtin Jr. #20 · PG · 6'3" 177 · 26	6.4	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-	+0.8
Thaddeus Young #21 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ron Harper Jr. #8 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness · Right Hamstring; Tightness
Scottie Barnes #4 · SF · 6'8" 237 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness · Left Wrist; Soreness
Joe Wieskamp #11 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness · Right Hamstring; Strain
Gary Trent Jr. #33 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness · Right Elbow; Stiffness
Otto Porter Jr. #32 · SF · 6'8" 198 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Foot; Surgery - second toe dislocation
Dalano Banton #45 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Thumb; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	54%	40	21	11	5	10	22	13	27	29-39	74%	32-55	58%	7-34	21%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	IND	TOR

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.28 64.1%

TOR

1.08 53.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

61%

TOR

59%

Midrange

IND

55%

TOR

58%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

16.5

52%

79%

TOR

10.5

21%

31%

Free Throws

IND

84%

TOR

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Nembhard	25	74%	12.5 / 17
M. Turner	16	73%	8.0 / 11
B. Mathurin	15	94%	7.5 / 8
T. McConnell	14	50%	7.0 / 14
B. Hield	13	72%	6.5 / 9
J. Nwora	10	63%	5.0 / 8
O. Brissett	9	56%	4.5 / 8
A. Nesmith	9	56%	4.5 / 8
I. Jackson	5	83%	2.5 / 3
J. Smith	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Siakam	31	70%	15.5 / 22
F. VanVleet	28	52%	14.0 / 27
J. Poeltl	23	72%	11.5 / 16
C. Boucher	11	50%	5.5 / 11
M. Flynn	8	67%	4.0 / 6
O. Anunoby	7	25%	3.5 / 14
W. Barton	4	25%	2.0 / 8
J. Dowtin	2	100%	1.0 / 1
C. Koloko	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 114.0 14 114.6	IND 119.2 +2.9 TOR 116.3
Pace	4 101.8 25 97.9	IND 103.2 +8.1 TOR 95.1
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.7 9 14.7	IND 14.0 −1.2 TOR 15.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	16 54.5% 28 51.7%	IND 63.0% +15.2% TOR 47.8%
TO %	21 13.8% 1 11.4%	IND 17.0% TOR 8.6% −8.4%
ORB %	18 23.4% 3 27.8%	IND 22.9% TOR 29.5% +6.6%
FTrt	15 26.5 22 25.7	IND 32.5 TOR 43.8 +11.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 64.3% 26 57.1%	IND 62.8% +9.0% TOR 53.8%
STL %	11 7.6% 1 9.6%	IND 4.0% TOR 11.2% +7.2%
BLK %	9 9.3% 8 9.3%	IND 12.7% +3.8% TOR 8.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.01 and 3.01.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.8% 27 54.3%	IND 64.1% +10.3% TOR 53.8%
Rim FG%	28 61.4% 16 63.9%	IND 60.9% +2.3% TOR 58.6%
Mid FG%	20 42.6% 26 40.8%	IND 54.5% TOR 57.7% +3.2%
3P %	11 36.7% 28 33.5%	IND 52.4% +31.8% TOR 20.6%
FT %	13 79.0% 17 78.4%	IND 84.0% +9.6% TOR 74.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 35.9% 18 32.9%	IND 29.9% TOR 32.6% +2.7%
Mid Att. %	4 22.9% 27 32.0%	IND 42.9% TOR 29.2% −13.6%
3P Att. %	8 41.3% 25 35.1%	IND 27.3% TOR 38.2% +10.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	TOR
Possessions	99	98
Possession Minutes	23.0	24.7
Points	118	114
Rebounds	39	40
Assists	27	21
Steals	4	11
Blocks	7	5
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	10 (0)
Fouls	29	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (2)	13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (5)	27 (0)
Field Goals	43-77	39-89
At-the-Rim FG	14-23	17-29
Midrange FG	18-33	15-26
2-Point FG	32-56	32-55
3-Point FG	11-21	7-34
Free Throws	21-25	29-39
Fast Break Pts	20	11
2nd Chance Pts	17	17
Points in Paint	54	52
Pts off Turnovers	8	21
Bench Points	40	21
Biggest Lead	13	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg